This quarterly report summarizes real estate activity in Mission Bay, San Francisco in Q1 2017. Median home prices decreased slightly from the previous year but days on market increased significantly, indicating a cooling market. The report provides sales statistics and current listings for several Mission Bay condominium buildings. It advises sellers to reevaluate their timelines if planning to sell within the next year to maximize returns during the market correction.
2. 2014 2015 2016 2017
$1000
$1100
$1200
$900
MISSION BAY
MEDIAN PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT
VI PAVLICEVICH
bre 01906246 | 415.828.1114
vi@skyboxrealty.com
SHERRY JUNEJA
bre 01916952 | 415.676.7086
sherry@skyboxrealty.com
We are at the end of Q1 and there is a lot of volatility in the San
Francisco condo market. January was unusually active, due to
various factors including the unpredictability of the Trump
administration, news of three potential rate hikes in 2017, and
the hype surrounding the Warriors breaking ground in our
neighborhood.
The graph to the left shows the rolling 6 month average $/SF sold
in Mission Bay. There was a slight uptick with the sales of multiple
1 bedroom view units, however, there is a consistent gradual de-
cline over the past 12 months. We believe this is the first year of a
multi-year correction in our real estate market.
There is more equilibrium between buyers and sellers, and we
advise sellers to reexamine their time horizons for holding property.
If within 12 months, we believe now is the time for sellers to
maximize their return on their investment.
Please reach out with questions about the Mission Bay market.
Your Neighbors,
Vi & Sherry
415.828.1114
This document has been prepared by Skybox Realty for advertising and general information only. Skybox
Realty makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested
party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Skybox Realty excludes
unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and
excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
DEAR NEIGHBORS,
2017 Q1
3
3. FAST FACTS
235 BERRY
255 BERRY
ARTERRA
PARK TERRACE
MADRONE
RADIANCE
ARDEN
ONE MISSION BAY
WARRIORS STADIUM
6 - 7
8 - 9
10 - 11
12 - 13
14 - 15
16 - 17
18 - 19
20 - 21
24 - 25
26 - 27
TABLE OF CONTENTS
MISSION BAY 2017 Q1 REPORT
4. # SOLD
21
AVG SALE PRICE
$1,081,230
AVG $/SF
$1,021
AVG DOM
80
38% YOY 20% YOY 9.2% YOY 95% YOY
MISSION BAY
FAST FACTS
13% QOQ 4.3% QOQ 5% QOQ 74% QOQ
The average $/ft sold year over year decreased by
2.5%. This is a slight decline, but what’s more telling
of a cooling market is the average Days On Market.
All across Mission Bay, it now takes an average of 80
days for a property to sell compared to an average of
41 days last year.
5. 9
AVG DOM
54
AVG SALE PRICE
$1,280,000
AVG $/SF
$1036
# SOLD
1
AVG % SALE/LIST
100.39
MEDIAN PRICE
$1,280,000
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
612 | $1,749,000 (2BR) $1100/sf
313 | $1,280,000 (2BR) $1036/sf
704 | $1,195,000 (2BR) $1187/sf
All Data From SFARMLS
235 BERRY | 235 BERRY
6. 11255 BERRY | 255 BERRY
AVG DOM
145
AVG SALE PRICE
$1,350,000
AVG $/SF
$1,350
# SOLD
1
AVG % SALE/LIST
96.50
MEDIAN PRICE
$1,350,000
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
508 | $1,100,000 (1BR) $940/sf
604 | $1,350,000 (2BR) $1350/sf
102 | $1,200,000 (2BR) $1026/sf
304 | $879,000 (1BR) $1007/sf
516 | $1,475,000 (2BR) $1206/sf
All Data From SFARMLS
7. 13ARTERRA | 300 BERRY
AVG DOM
18
AVG SALE PRICE
$868,333
AVG $/SF
$1,204
# SOLD
3
AVG % SALE/LIST
99.35
MEDIAN PRICE
$875,000
1303 | $875,000 (1BR) $1195/sf
706 | $845,000 (1BR) $----/sf
621 | $885,000 (1BR) $1212/sf
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
1210 | $1,195,000 (2BR) $1245/sf
All Data From SFARMLS
8. 15PARK TERRACE | 325 BERRY
AVG DOM
8
AVG SALE PRICE
$940,000
AVG $/SF
$1,190
# SOLD
2
AVG % SALE/LIST
105.74
MEDIAN PRICE
$940,000
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
315 | $920,000 (1BR) $1085/sf306 | $899,000 (1BR) $1019/sf
717 | $960,000 (1BR) $1296/sf
516 | $1,365,000 (2BR) $1001/sf
All Data From SFARMLS
9. 17MADRONE |420 / 480 MISSION BAY BLVD | 435 CHINA BASIN
AVG DOM
115
AVG SALE PRICE
$1,605,000
AVG $/SF
$1,082
# SOLD
2
AVG % SALE/LIST
102.00
MEDIAN PRICE
$1,605,000
534 | $1,375,000 (2BR) $988/sf
1203 | $1,835,000 (2BR) $1175/sf
709 | $1,428,000 (2BR) $1132/sf
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
717 | $1,095,000 (1BR) $930/sf
All Data From SFARMLS
10. 19RADIANCE | 330 MISSION BAY BLVD | 325 CHINA BASIN
AVG DOM
11
AVG SALE PRICE
$1,150,000
AVG $/SF
$1,099
# SOLD
1
AVG % SALE/LIST
104.64
MEDIAN PRICE
$1,150,000
405 | $1,150,000 (2BR) $1099/sf
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
All Data From SFARMLS
11. 21ARDEN | 718 / 738 LONG BRIDGE
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
AVG DOM
36
AVG SALE PRICE
$1,492,942
AVG $/SF
$1,034
# SOLD
3
AVG % SALE/LIST
101.54
MEDIAN PRICE
$1,515,000
204 | $1,328,826 (2BR) $1015/sf
406 | $1,515,000 (2BR) $1054/sf
1400 | $1,635,000 (2BR) $----/sf
All Data From SFARMLS
12. Address BR BA Status Status Date DOM Sold Price $/SFSF List Price
* Only showing sold units in buildings featured in this book. Does not include new construction.
325 Berry 717 1
330 Mission Bay 405 2
235 Berry 313 2
738 Long Bridge 204 2
435 China Basin 534 2
718 Long Bridge 406 2
718 Long Bridge 1400 2
420 Mission Bay 1203 2
255 Berry 604 2
1 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2 Sold
2.6.17 8
2.24.17 11
2.10.17 54
1.24.17 0
2.1.17 184
3.8.17 36
1.19.17 0
2.23.17 46
3.16.17 145
741 $879,000
1046 $1,099,000
1235 $1,275,000
1309 $1,278,000
1391 $1,549,000
1438 $1,498,000
---- $1,635,000
1562 $1,748,000
---- $1,499,000
$960,000
$1,150,000
$1,280,000
$1,328,826
$1,375,000
$1,350,000
$1296
$1099
$1036
$1015
$989
$1,515,000 $1054
$1,635,000 ----
$1,835,000 $1175
----
300 Berry 621 1 1 Sold 3.10.17 7 730 $849,000 $885,000 $1212
300 Berry 706 1 1 Sold 1.17.17 35 ---- $845,000 $845,000 ----
300 Berry 1303 1 1 Sold 2.24.17 12 732 $899,000 $875,000 $1195
23SOLD UNITS Q1 2017
325 Berry 315 1 1 Sold 3.23.17 0 848 $899,000 $920,000 $1085
All Data From SFARMLS
13. 531 | $740,000 (0BR) $1495/sf
1607 | $2,600,000 (3BR) $1586/sf
320 | $1,300,000 (2BR) $1099/sf
518 | $920,000 (1BR) $1199/sf
629 | $926,000 (1BR) $1204/sf
213 | $1,495,000 (2BR) $1204/sf219 | $900,000 (1BR) $1071/sf
1307 | $2,300,000 (3BR) $2898/sf
25ONE MISSION BAY | 110 CHANNEL | 1000 3RD
SOLD ACTIVE CONTINGENT PENDING
1BR LIST PRICE
$725K+
# IN CONTRACT
170+
AVG ABSORPTION
16.7
# UNITS
350
3BR LIST PRICE
$1.718M+
2BR LIST PRICE
$1.26M+
Only showing listings marketed on SFARMLS