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REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
DEALING IN
UNCERTAINTY:
Diligence & Integrity Risks in
a Recovering World
2
CONTENTS
Editorial: Facing Fraud, Corruption & Cybercrime in Unprecedented Times
PRIVATE EQUITY IN FOCUS
What Tomorrow’s Dealmakers Should be Thinking About Today________________________________ 4
Unlocking Value Through Cyber Due Diligence: Key Considerations for Deal Teams________________ 5
Spotlight: An Interview with Phil Sanderson________________________________________________ 6
NAVIGATING THE INSOLVENCY & BANKRUPTCY LANDSCAPE
Cent on the Dollar: Insolvency, Asset Tracing and Recovery in an Economic Downturn______________ 8
Spotlight: Contentious Insolvencies Amidst COVID-19 & the Use-Case for Intelligence______________ 9
FRAUD, CORRUPTION & COVID-19
Corporate Integrity Trends & Challenges: A Panel Discussion_________________________________ 11
The Business Impact of Government Corruption: Political & Economic Drivers____________________12
Dealing in Uncertainty: Diligence & Integrity Risks in a Recovering World
© S-RM intelligence & Risk management 2020
3
PRIVATE EQUITY
I N F O C U S
4
RECENT OBSERVED TRENDS IN OUR CLIENTS’ ENGAGEMENT WITH THE
INTELLIGENCE PROCESS INCLUDE:
Higher demand for market intelligence
Earlier engagement with intelligence experts
Formalising the intelligence process
Direct involvement between legal counsel and deal
teams
Cyber due diligence is on the rise
Increased focus on culture and ESG concerns
WHAT TOMORROW’S
D EA LMA K ER S SH OU LD B E
TH IN K IN G A B OU T TOD AY
BY TOBY THOMAS, DIRECTOR, DEAL ADVISORY
& ALICE SHONE, ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR, DEAL ADVISORY
Fund managers around the world are actively considering which sectors and industries
are most attractive in the new investment environment. A sustained economic downturn
– and differences in the pace of recovery – means that investors will invariably be more
exposed to new industries and geographies. High competition for a limited supply of
distressed assets or opportunities in ‘hot’ sectors will put pressure on deal teams,
shortening the deal process and potentially leading to expedited decision-making. All
this at a time when fraud and cyber risks are elevated, as businesses come under
pressure to attract investors and secure loans, and criminals exploit an uncertain
environment and vulnerabilities in remote working.
5
INTEGRATE CYBER DD
INTO THE DEAL TIMELINE
VERIFY INFORMATION
WITH TESTING AND
CONTROLS
REPORTS SHOULD BE
CLEAR ABOUT RISKS,
COSTS AND TIMEFRAMES
MATCH EXPERTISE TO
THE TARGET IN QUESTION
DETERMINE RELEVANT
METRICS TO INFORM
DECISIONS
UNLOCKING VALUE
THROUGH CYBER
DUE DILIGENCE: KEY
CONSIDERATIONS FOR
DEAL TEAMS
BY ANDREW SHAUGHNESSY
SENIOR ASSOCIATE, CYBER SECURITY
When done well, cyber due diligence gives a
clearer view of the cyber risks present in a target,
the potential costs of managing those risks, and
an opportunity to factor those into pricing and
valuation. However, it is not a straightforward
silver bullet. It is an assessment of complex risks
which is often conducted with limited information
under critical time pressure. The wrong approach
can leave investors no more informed about the
investment target’s risk profile and cyber security
costs, as well as having wasted vital days in their
deal timeline.
Drawing on S-RM’s experience in cyber due
diligence, we discuss five critical aspects of the
process and how to get the most out of it.
1
2
3
4
5
A
6
In this interview, S-RM’s Head of
Corporate Intelligence, Martin
Devenish MBE, asked Sanderson for
his insights on the current
diligencing environment, the shift
toward stakeholder capitalism in the
PE sector, and the future of vendor
due diligence.
SPOTLIGHT: AN
INTERVIEW WITH
PHIL SANDERSON
BY MARTIN DEVENISH MBE, HEAD OF CORPORATE INTELLIGENCE
Do you think vendor due diligence (VDD) has a role going
forward?
Q
VDD is helpful when it brings order. It is easier to sell a business when the key
points have been considered in good time rather than just in time. So I believe in
VDD. But it has got to be better. Legal VDD is often not worth the paper it is
written on. This is disappointing. Lawyers should be in a position to make
businesses sell better by thoughtful analysis. They don’t though, not enough of the
time anyway. It is an absolute waste of time to get all bidders in an auction to do
all the legal DD themselves, but this is the inevitable consequence of the legal
VDD reports that I increasingly reviewed.
7
NAVIGATING THE
INSOLVENCY
& BANKRUPTCY
LANDSCAPE
8
Most insolvencies are process-driven and relatively
straightforward. However, in a minority of cases, insolvency
practitioners (IPs) might need to unpick a fraud or look
beyond the numbers on the balance sheet for assets to
recover. In these circumstances, it is critical that the IP fulfils
its obligations to creditors by assembling a team with the
right mix of skills to maximise recovery.
Our team has already been engaged to
trace the assets of companies which have
failed to pay invoices or honour contracts
with subcontractors and suppliers, after
their liquidity dried up when their
operations screeched to a sudden halt.
Intelligence and investigative work can make significant
contributions to the insolvency process. Furthermore, recent
in intelligence industry techniques since 2008 can facilitate
the recovery of assets after insolvency.
CENTS ON THE DOLLAR:
INSOLVENCY, ASSET
TRACING AND RECOVERY
IN AN ECONOMIC
DOWNTURN
BY MARCUS FISHBURN, HEAD OF DISPUTES AND INVESTIGATIONS
& PHILIPPA WILKINSON, ASSOCIATE, DISPUTES AND INVESTIGATIONS
9
Q: UNDER WHAT CIRCUMSTANCES
DO YOU CALL UPON INVESTIGATIONS
AND INTELLIGENCE SUPPORT DURING A
CONTENTIOUS INSOLVENCY?
CB: Firstly, if the books and company records
don’t accurately reflect what payments have been
made, this needs looking into. Secondly, we use
intelligence to understand the protagonists’ own
wealth.
There's an old adage that you need to watch out for
companies with a large fish-tank or where the
director is driving a Bentley! If you have what appear
to be clean company records, and the director's only
– and limited – income has been from this same
company for 20 years, but he lives in a GBP 15
million house, that’s a good sign that you need to
have a more detailed look into the company and its
finances.
If you have those suspicions, engaging somebody to
do wealth and asset reports can be extremely useful.
It can give you a much better picture of the dynamics
at play.
SPOTLIGHT:
CONTENTIOUS
INSOLVENCIES
AMIDST COVID-19 &
THE USE-CASE FOR
INTELLIGENCE
Carl Bowles is a Managing Director with
Alvarez & Marsal Restructuring in London. He
brings 15 years of experience and specialises in
offshore, asset tracing and contentious insolvency
situations. He has worked in numerous offshore
and onshore jurisdictions working on very
complex corporate insolvencies and winding
down large structures. In addition, Mr. Bowles has
also taken appointments as a trustee in
bankruptcy in complex cross-border and asset
tracing situations. Mr. Bowles is recognised as an
asset recovery expert in Who’s Who 2020.
Q&A BETWEEN MARCUS FISHBURN, S-RM’S HEAD
OF DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS, AND CARL
BOWLES, HEAD OF CONTENTIOUS INSOLVENCY AT
ALVAREZ & MARSAL
10
FRAUD,
CORRUPTION
& COVID-19
11
C OR POR ATE IN TEGR ITY
TR EN D S & C H A LLEN GES:
A PAN EL D ISC U SSION
BY MARTIN DEVENISH MBE, HEAD OF CORPORATE INTELLIGENCE
WILL COVID-19 INCREASE OR REDUCE PUBLIC
SCRUTINY ON CORRUPTION AND
TRANSPARENCY ISSUES?
To what extent have the values underpinning
transparency, corporate accountability and good
governance been compromised by the urgency of the
crisis? What impact will that compromise likely have on
the trust civil society places on both the private sector
and public institutions?
We recently brought together a panel of experts to discuss
this and other pertinent questions relating to the integrity
concerns likely to emerge in the wake of the pandemic.
DUNCAN HAMES
Director of Policy
Transparency International UK
KRISTEN STONE
Director, Corporate
Intelligence, S-RM
BLAIR GLENCORSE
Founder & Executive
Director, Accountability Lab
HENRY WILLIAMS
Head of Investigations,
Themis
‘Making sure we have good transparency about
transactions that are conducted now will enable
accountability later. In the context of a crisis, it’s very
important that we should defend and strengthen existing
accountability mechanisms because during the crisis
there’s little opportunity to develop and mobilise new
ones.’
‘We're going to see a lot of companies cutting
corners and making decisions that they wouldn't
have otherwise made in order to stay alive.’
‘I think the pandemic is really pushing transparency and
accountability to the forefront of public discourse in a
way that hasn’t happened very much in recent years.
That creates a real opportunity for the creation of more
oversight bodies and for strengthening interest from the
public so that they can feel engaged and involved in the
enforcement of transparency and oversight initiatives in
their own countries.’
‘A lot of regulations are going to be almost set aside,
for instance, in financial services, while businesses
try and get back on their feet’
12
Not all sectors will be equally exposed to the increased threat of corruption, nor
will corruption manifest in identical ways across different sectors and industries.
THE BUSINESS IMPACT
OF GOVERNMENT
CORRUPTION: POLITICAL
& ECONOMIC DRIVES
BY CVETE KONESKA
HEAD OF POLIITICAL & SECURITY RISK ANALYSIS
During periods of economic difficulty, corruption becomes much more prominent
in policy discussions and public debates, even if corrupt practices have not
become more prevalent. There is evidence that public perceptions of corruption
increase during difficult economic times, suggesting that at least in some cases
political and state actors tend to resort to corrupt practices during economic
crises. Indeed, when economic opportunities are scarce, the government’s role
as supporter of businesses means that some officials will be tempted to abuse
their position for personal gain. This implies that, looking ahead, businesses will
need to be increasingly vigilant about the threat from corruption and the
measures they take to reduce it.
13
“EARLY STEPS TAKEN TO PREPARE
AND ADAPT TO NEW CORRUPTION
TRENDS WILL SAVE TIME AND
RESOURCES IN THE LONG-TERM”
14
FIND OUT MORE
www.s-rminform.com/dealing-in-uncertainty
CONTACT
Important Information The information provided to you in this document is confidential and prepared for your sole use. It must not be copied (in whole or in part) or used for any purpose other than to evaluate its contents. No
representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by S-RM, or by any of its respective officers, employees or agents in relation to the accuracy or
completeness of this document and any such liability is expressly disclaimed. In particular, but without limitation, no representation or warranty is given as to the reasonableness of suggestions as to future conduct contained
in this document. Information herein is provided by S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd on our standard terms of business as disclosed to you or as otherwise made available on request. This information is provided to
you in good faith to assist you in mitigating risks which could arise. No implied or express warranty against risk, changes in circumstances or other unforeseen events is or can be provided. S-RM Intelligence and Risk
Consulting Ltd accepts no liability for any loss from relying on information contained in the report. S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd is not authorised to provide regulatory advice. S-RM Intelligence and Risk
Consulting Ltd is registered in England with Number 05408866 with its registered office at: Beaufort House, 15 St Botolph Street, London, EC3A 7DT, UK.
© S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd 2020
INTELLIGENCE | RESILIENCE | RESPONSE
hello@s-rminform.com

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Dealing in Uncertainty: Diligence and Integrity Risks in a Recovering World

  • 1. 1 REPORT HIGHLIGHTS DEALING IN UNCERTAINTY: Diligence & Integrity Risks in a Recovering World
  • 2. 2 CONTENTS Editorial: Facing Fraud, Corruption & Cybercrime in Unprecedented Times PRIVATE EQUITY IN FOCUS What Tomorrow’s Dealmakers Should be Thinking About Today________________________________ 4 Unlocking Value Through Cyber Due Diligence: Key Considerations for Deal Teams________________ 5 Spotlight: An Interview with Phil Sanderson________________________________________________ 6 NAVIGATING THE INSOLVENCY & BANKRUPTCY LANDSCAPE Cent on the Dollar: Insolvency, Asset Tracing and Recovery in an Economic Downturn______________ 8 Spotlight: Contentious Insolvencies Amidst COVID-19 & the Use-Case for Intelligence______________ 9 FRAUD, CORRUPTION & COVID-19 Corporate Integrity Trends & Challenges: A Panel Discussion_________________________________ 11 The Business Impact of Government Corruption: Political & Economic Drivers____________________12 Dealing in Uncertainty: Diligence & Integrity Risks in a Recovering World © S-RM intelligence & Risk management 2020
  • 4. 4 RECENT OBSERVED TRENDS IN OUR CLIENTS’ ENGAGEMENT WITH THE INTELLIGENCE PROCESS INCLUDE: Higher demand for market intelligence Earlier engagement with intelligence experts Formalising the intelligence process Direct involvement between legal counsel and deal teams Cyber due diligence is on the rise Increased focus on culture and ESG concerns WHAT TOMORROW’S D EA LMA K ER S SH OU LD B E TH IN K IN G A B OU T TOD AY BY TOBY THOMAS, DIRECTOR, DEAL ADVISORY & ALICE SHONE, ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR, DEAL ADVISORY Fund managers around the world are actively considering which sectors and industries are most attractive in the new investment environment. A sustained economic downturn – and differences in the pace of recovery – means that investors will invariably be more exposed to new industries and geographies. High competition for a limited supply of distressed assets or opportunities in ‘hot’ sectors will put pressure on deal teams, shortening the deal process and potentially leading to expedited decision-making. All this at a time when fraud and cyber risks are elevated, as businesses come under pressure to attract investors and secure loans, and criminals exploit an uncertain environment and vulnerabilities in remote working.
  • 5. 5 INTEGRATE CYBER DD INTO THE DEAL TIMELINE VERIFY INFORMATION WITH TESTING AND CONTROLS REPORTS SHOULD BE CLEAR ABOUT RISKS, COSTS AND TIMEFRAMES MATCH EXPERTISE TO THE TARGET IN QUESTION DETERMINE RELEVANT METRICS TO INFORM DECISIONS UNLOCKING VALUE THROUGH CYBER DUE DILIGENCE: KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR DEAL TEAMS BY ANDREW SHAUGHNESSY SENIOR ASSOCIATE, CYBER SECURITY When done well, cyber due diligence gives a clearer view of the cyber risks present in a target, the potential costs of managing those risks, and an opportunity to factor those into pricing and valuation. However, it is not a straightforward silver bullet. It is an assessment of complex risks which is often conducted with limited information under critical time pressure. The wrong approach can leave investors no more informed about the investment target’s risk profile and cyber security costs, as well as having wasted vital days in their deal timeline. Drawing on S-RM’s experience in cyber due diligence, we discuss five critical aspects of the process and how to get the most out of it. 1 2 3 4 5
  • 6. A 6 In this interview, S-RM’s Head of Corporate Intelligence, Martin Devenish MBE, asked Sanderson for his insights on the current diligencing environment, the shift toward stakeholder capitalism in the PE sector, and the future of vendor due diligence. SPOTLIGHT: AN INTERVIEW WITH PHIL SANDERSON BY MARTIN DEVENISH MBE, HEAD OF CORPORATE INTELLIGENCE Do you think vendor due diligence (VDD) has a role going forward? Q VDD is helpful when it brings order. It is easier to sell a business when the key points have been considered in good time rather than just in time. So I believe in VDD. But it has got to be better. Legal VDD is often not worth the paper it is written on. This is disappointing. Lawyers should be in a position to make businesses sell better by thoughtful analysis. They don’t though, not enough of the time anyway. It is an absolute waste of time to get all bidders in an auction to do all the legal DD themselves, but this is the inevitable consequence of the legal VDD reports that I increasingly reviewed.
  • 8. 8 Most insolvencies are process-driven and relatively straightforward. However, in a minority of cases, insolvency practitioners (IPs) might need to unpick a fraud or look beyond the numbers on the balance sheet for assets to recover. In these circumstances, it is critical that the IP fulfils its obligations to creditors by assembling a team with the right mix of skills to maximise recovery. Our team has already been engaged to trace the assets of companies which have failed to pay invoices or honour contracts with subcontractors and suppliers, after their liquidity dried up when their operations screeched to a sudden halt. Intelligence and investigative work can make significant contributions to the insolvency process. Furthermore, recent in intelligence industry techniques since 2008 can facilitate the recovery of assets after insolvency. CENTS ON THE DOLLAR: INSOLVENCY, ASSET TRACING AND RECOVERY IN AN ECONOMIC DOWNTURN BY MARCUS FISHBURN, HEAD OF DISPUTES AND INVESTIGATIONS & PHILIPPA WILKINSON, ASSOCIATE, DISPUTES AND INVESTIGATIONS
  • 9. 9 Q: UNDER WHAT CIRCUMSTANCES DO YOU CALL UPON INVESTIGATIONS AND INTELLIGENCE SUPPORT DURING A CONTENTIOUS INSOLVENCY? CB: Firstly, if the books and company records don’t accurately reflect what payments have been made, this needs looking into. Secondly, we use intelligence to understand the protagonists’ own wealth. There's an old adage that you need to watch out for companies with a large fish-tank or where the director is driving a Bentley! If you have what appear to be clean company records, and the director's only – and limited – income has been from this same company for 20 years, but he lives in a GBP 15 million house, that’s a good sign that you need to have a more detailed look into the company and its finances. If you have those suspicions, engaging somebody to do wealth and asset reports can be extremely useful. It can give you a much better picture of the dynamics at play. SPOTLIGHT: CONTENTIOUS INSOLVENCIES AMIDST COVID-19 & THE USE-CASE FOR INTELLIGENCE Carl Bowles is a Managing Director with Alvarez & Marsal Restructuring in London. He brings 15 years of experience and specialises in offshore, asset tracing and contentious insolvency situations. He has worked in numerous offshore and onshore jurisdictions working on very complex corporate insolvencies and winding down large structures. In addition, Mr. Bowles has also taken appointments as a trustee in bankruptcy in complex cross-border and asset tracing situations. Mr. Bowles is recognised as an asset recovery expert in Who’s Who 2020. Q&A BETWEEN MARCUS FISHBURN, S-RM’S HEAD OF DISPUTES & INVESTIGATIONS, AND CARL BOWLES, HEAD OF CONTENTIOUS INSOLVENCY AT ALVAREZ & MARSAL
  • 11. 11 C OR POR ATE IN TEGR ITY TR EN D S & C H A LLEN GES: A PAN EL D ISC U SSION BY MARTIN DEVENISH MBE, HEAD OF CORPORATE INTELLIGENCE WILL COVID-19 INCREASE OR REDUCE PUBLIC SCRUTINY ON CORRUPTION AND TRANSPARENCY ISSUES? To what extent have the values underpinning transparency, corporate accountability and good governance been compromised by the urgency of the crisis? What impact will that compromise likely have on the trust civil society places on both the private sector and public institutions? We recently brought together a panel of experts to discuss this and other pertinent questions relating to the integrity concerns likely to emerge in the wake of the pandemic. DUNCAN HAMES Director of Policy Transparency International UK KRISTEN STONE Director, Corporate Intelligence, S-RM BLAIR GLENCORSE Founder & Executive Director, Accountability Lab HENRY WILLIAMS Head of Investigations, Themis ‘Making sure we have good transparency about transactions that are conducted now will enable accountability later. In the context of a crisis, it’s very important that we should defend and strengthen existing accountability mechanisms because during the crisis there’s little opportunity to develop and mobilise new ones.’ ‘We're going to see a lot of companies cutting corners and making decisions that they wouldn't have otherwise made in order to stay alive.’ ‘I think the pandemic is really pushing transparency and accountability to the forefront of public discourse in a way that hasn’t happened very much in recent years. That creates a real opportunity for the creation of more oversight bodies and for strengthening interest from the public so that they can feel engaged and involved in the enforcement of transparency and oversight initiatives in their own countries.’ ‘A lot of regulations are going to be almost set aside, for instance, in financial services, while businesses try and get back on their feet’
  • 12. 12 Not all sectors will be equally exposed to the increased threat of corruption, nor will corruption manifest in identical ways across different sectors and industries. THE BUSINESS IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT CORRUPTION: POLITICAL & ECONOMIC DRIVES BY CVETE KONESKA HEAD OF POLIITICAL & SECURITY RISK ANALYSIS During periods of economic difficulty, corruption becomes much more prominent in policy discussions and public debates, even if corrupt practices have not become more prevalent. There is evidence that public perceptions of corruption increase during difficult economic times, suggesting that at least in some cases political and state actors tend to resort to corrupt practices during economic crises. Indeed, when economic opportunities are scarce, the government’s role as supporter of businesses means that some officials will be tempted to abuse their position for personal gain. This implies that, looking ahead, businesses will need to be increasingly vigilant about the threat from corruption and the measures they take to reduce it.
  • 13. 13 “EARLY STEPS TAKEN TO PREPARE AND ADAPT TO NEW CORRUPTION TRENDS WILL SAVE TIME AND RESOURCES IN THE LONG-TERM”
  • 15. CONTACT Important Information The information provided to you in this document is confidential and prepared for your sole use. It must not be copied (in whole or in part) or used for any purpose other than to evaluate its contents. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by S-RM, or by any of its respective officers, employees or agents in relation to the accuracy or completeness of this document and any such liability is expressly disclaimed. In particular, but without limitation, no representation or warranty is given as to the reasonableness of suggestions as to future conduct contained in this document. Information herein is provided by S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd on our standard terms of business as disclosed to you or as otherwise made available on request. This information is provided to you in good faith to assist you in mitigating risks which could arise. No implied or express warranty against risk, changes in circumstances or other unforeseen events is or can be provided. S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd accepts no liability for any loss from relying on information contained in the report. S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd is not authorised to provide regulatory advice. S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd is registered in England with Number 05408866 with its registered office at: Beaufort House, 15 St Botolph Street, London, EC3A 7DT, UK. © S-RM Intelligence and Risk Consulting Ltd 2020 INTELLIGENCE | RESILIENCE | RESPONSE hello@s-rminform.com