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Data and Analytics in Precision
Oncology
Warren A. Kibbe, Ph.D.
Professor, Biostatistics & Bioinformatics
Chief Data Officer, Duke Cancer Institute
warren.kibbe@duke.edu
@wakibbe
#PredictiveModeling
#ComputationalPhenomics
#PrecisionOncology
Data is pervasive
Fundamental Changes
• Data generation is not the bottleneck
• Most data are now ‘digital first’
• Old statistical models assuming variable
independence are inadequate – systems
and pathways are not independent!
• Project management is critical in scaling
population science
Well-defined experiments are still key
Changes in Oncology
• Understanding Cancer Biology
• Anatomic vs molecular classification
• Health vs Disease
Data sources are evolving
Types of “Real-World Data”
Mobile sensors to enhance monitoring of
effects of new therapies
Defining Clinical Data Quality
This redefinition has been driven by improved biological understanding
Big Data Scientist Training Enhancement
Program (BD-STEP)
Graduates of BD-STEP would:
• have skillsets to perform next-generation patient-
centered outcomes research by manipulating and
analyzing large-scale, multi-element, patient data
sets to develop novel disease signatures or unique
performance-based clinical benchmarks
• have an understanding of real-time, performance-
driven health care delivery in the VA systems
Frank Meng, VA Michelle Berny-Lang, NCI
Mining the VA Corporate Data
Warehouse
• From 130 clinical sites covering
about 9 current million veterans, 16
million since VistA was put in place in
1990
Work performed by David Winski, PhD
https://www.hsrd.research.va.gov/for_researchers/cyber_seminars/archives/2376-notes.pdf
Understanding NSCLC
• What is the impact of new
immunotherapies on the outcomes of
NSCLC patients in the VA?
• Does Mutational Tumor Burden
impact effectiveness?
• Is PD-L1 expression predictive of
response to immunotherapies
Mining the VA Corporate Data
Warehouse
Transforming the National Department of
Veterans Affairs Data Warehouse to the OMOP
Common Data Model
Fern FitzHenry ;
Jesse Brannen ;
Jason Denton ;
Jonathan R. Nebeker ;
Scott L. Duvall ;
Freneka F. Minter ;
Jeffrey Scehnet ;
Brian Sauer;
Lucila Ohno-Machado ;
Michael E. Matheny
Cancer Registry Tables (“Raw Onc Tables”)
- Set of two T-SQL tables comprised of a “Patient” table and
a “Cancer” table
- When a VA patient is diagnosed with cancer, cancer
registrars will enter a patient record in the Patient table and
a cancer record in the the Cancer table
- Tables structured along North American Association of
Central Cancer Registry (NAACCR) guidelines
- Patient table contains >100 fields containing patient
identifiers, patient demographic data and patient military
service data
- Cancer table contains >500 fields including date of
diagnosis, diagnosis codes, tumor location, tumor histology
and diagnosis-related medications/procedures
Work performed by David Winski, PhD
Identify patients receiving
immunotherapy
Work performed by David Winski, PhD
Transforming the National Department of
Veterans Affairs Data Warehouse to the OMOP
Common Data Model
Fern FitzHenry ;
Jesse Brannen ;
Jason Denton ;
Jonathan R. Nebeker ;
Scott L. Duvall ;
Freneka F. Minter ;
Jeffrey Scehnet ;
Brian Sauer;
Lucila Ohno-Machado ;
Michael E. Matheny
Building a Tumor-Sequenced Non-Small Cell
Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Cohort
1.Begin with all patients in Precision Oncology
Program (i.e. tumor profiled by NGS) with
associated NSCLC diagnosis (n=2057)
2.Filter to subset of these patients who received
chemo or immuno drugs through VA (n=1457)
3.Filter to those patients whose first date of
immunotherapy treatment was prior to April 2018
to allow enough time for survival analysis
(n=383)
4.Filter to those patients who had NSCLC diagnosis
corroborated in the Cancer Registry (n=330)
Lag in Cancer Registry Records
Work performed by David Winski, PhD
Lag in Cancer Registry is a Reporting Lag
Work performed by David Winski, PhD
Number of visits vs cancer diagnosis in the ‘Raw Onc’ tables
Tumor Sequencing and
Immunotherapy Orders Have
Grown Rapidly in Recent Years
Immunotherapy OrdersTumors Sequenced
Immunotherapy Drugs of Interest
- Four drugs of interest: Pembrolizumab,
Nivolumab, Atezolizumab and Durvalumab
# of Orders at VA
NSCLC POP Dx With Tumor
Profiled by NGS: 2057
patients
NSCLC Verified in
Cancer Registry:
330
Immuno Prior to
April 2018: 383
Chemo/Immuno
Drug Orders at VA:
1472
PD-L1 expression and Nivolumab in NSLC
• We also examined PD-L1 testing and
the impact of high expressing tumors
on outcomes
– Inconclusive because many patients
were treated as second line therapy,
where PD-L1 testing is optional.
• Retrospective mining still requires
good questions and adequate power
• Even given the size of the VA, the
ability to build a well powered cohort
with good data is difficult
Questions?
Warren Kibbe, Ph.D.
warren.kibbe@duke.edu
@wakibbe

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PMED: APPM Workshop: Data & Analytics in Precision Oncology- Warren Kibbe, March 14, 2019

  • 1. Data and Analytics in Precision Oncology Warren A. Kibbe, Ph.D. Professor, Biostatistics & Bioinformatics Chief Data Officer, Duke Cancer Institute warren.kibbe@duke.edu @wakibbe #PredictiveModeling #ComputationalPhenomics #PrecisionOncology
  • 3. Fundamental Changes • Data generation is not the bottleneck • Most data are now ‘digital first’ • Old statistical models assuming variable independence are inadequate – systems and pathways are not independent! • Project management is critical in scaling population science Well-defined experiments are still key
  • 4. Changes in Oncology • Understanding Cancer Biology • Anatomic vs molecular classification • Health vs Disease
  • 5. Data sources are evolving
  • 7. Mobile sensors to enhance monitoring of effects of new therapies
  • 9. This redefinition has been driven by improved biological understanding
  • 10. Big Data Scientist Training Enhancement Program (BD-STEP) Graduates of BD-STEP would: • have skillsets to perform next-generation patient- centered outcomes research by manipulating and analyzing large-scale, multi-element, patient data sets to develop novel disease signatures or unique performance-based clinical benchmarks • have an understanding of real-time, performance- driven health care delivery in the VA systems Frank Meng, VA Michelle Berny-Lang, NCI
  • 11. Mining the VA Corporate Data Warehouse • From 130 clinical sites covering about 9 current million veterans, 16 million since VistA was put in place in 1990 Work performed by David Winski, PhD https://www.hsrd.research.va.gov/for_researchers/cyber_seminars/archives/2376-notes.pdf
  • 12. Understanding NSCLC • What is the impact of new immunotherapies on the outcomes of NSCLC patients in the VA? • Does Mutational Tumor Burden impact effectiveness? • Is PD-L1 expression predictive of response to immunotherapies
  • 13. Mining the VA Corporate Data Warehouse Transforming the National Department of Veterans Affairs Data Warehouse to the OMOP Common Data Model Fern FitzHenry ; Jesse Brannen ; Jason Denton ; Jonathan R. Nebeker ; Scott L. Duvall ; Freneka F. Minter ; Jeffrey Scehnet ; Brian Sauer; Lucila Ohno-Machado ; Michael E. Matheny
  • 14. Cancer Registry Tables (“Raw Onc Tables”) - Set of two T-SQL tables comprised of a “Patient” table and a “Cancer” table - When a VA patient is diagnosed with cancer, cancer registrars will enter a patient record in the Patient table and a cancer record in the the Cancer table - Tables structured along North American Association of Central Cancer Registry (NAACCR) guidelines - Patient table contains >100 fields containing patient identifiers, patient demographic data and patient military service data - Cancer table contains >500 fields including date of diagnosis, diagnosis codes, tumor location, tumor histology and diagnosis-related medications/procedures Work performed by David Winski, PhD
  • 15. Identify patients receiving immunotherapy Work performed by David Winski, PhD Transforming the National Department of Veterans Affairs Data Warehouse to the OMOP Common Data Model Fern FitzHenry ; Jesse Brannen ; Jason Denton ; Jonathan R. Nebeker ; Scott L. Duvall ; Freneka F. Minter ; Jeffrey Scehnet ; Brian Sauer; Lucila Ohno-Machado ; Michael E. Matheny
  • 16. Building a Tumor-Sequenced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Cohort 1.Begin with all patients in Precision Oncology Program (i.e. tumor profiled by NGS) with associated NSCLC diagnosis (n=2057) 2.Filter to subset of these patients who received chemo or immuno drugs through VA (n=1457) 3.Filter to those patients whose first date of immunotherapy treatment was prior to April 2018 to allow enough time for survival analysis (n=383) 4.Filter to those patients who had NSCLC diagnosis corroborated in the Cancer Registry (n=330)
  • 17. Lag in Cancer Registry Records Work performed by David Winski, PhD
  • 18. Lag in Cancer Registry is a Reporting Lag Work performed by David Winski, PhD Number of visits vs cancer diagnosis in the ‘Raw Onc’ tables
  • 19. Tumor Sequencing and Immunotherapy Orders Have Grown Rapidly in Recent Years Immunotherapy OrdersTumors Sequenced
  • 20. Immunotherapy Drugs of Interest - Four drugs of interest: Pembrolizumab, Nivolumab, Atezolizumab and Durvalumab # of Orders at VA
  • 21. NSCLC POP Dx With Tumor Profiled by NGS: 2057 patients NSCLC Verified in Cancer Registry: 330 Immuno Prior to April 2018: 383 Chemo/Immuno Drug Orders at VA: 1472
  • 22. PD-L1 expression and Nivolumab in NSLC • We also examined PD-L1 testing and the impact of high expressing tumors on outcomes – Inconclusive because many patients were treated as second line therapy, where PD-L1 testing is optional.
  • 23. • Retrospective mining still requires good questions and adequate power • Even given the size of the VA, the ability to build a well powered cohort with good data is difficult

Editor's Notes

  1. +ve –ve protein expression levels, ALK- Anaplastic lymphoma kinase, Squamous is a cell type (epidermoid),