SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Download to read offline
ZeroCity LLC
P.O. Box 3658
Santa Cruz, California 95063
www.zero.city
White Paper:
Community-Scale Renewables
and
Monterey Bay Community Power
Summary
Efforts over the past three years to confirm the feasibility of Monterey Bay Community Power
(MBCP) are to be applauded. Now, as steps are taken to establish the agency’s governing
authority, officials should examine renewable energy goals more closely. According to a
recently released peer review of MBCP’s Technical Study by MRW & Associates, assumptions
about achieving 100 megawatts of utility-scale solar development by 2019 “may be optimistic
and not met.” MRW recommends further analysis to “explore the likely challenge of meeting
the schedule set for new renewable project development.”
If peer reviewers are correct, shortages in renewable energy supplies could force MBCP to
charge higher rates, settle for portfolios that contain less renewable sources of power, and/or rely
on more out-of-state resources. As these issues are fundamental to the decision by local
jurisdictions to participate in MBCP, planners should revisit these key assumptions as part of the
formation process now getting underway.
Community-Scale Renewable Energy
The purpose of this white paper is to suggest a way in which MBCP could bolster the likelihood
of achieving its 2019 renewable energy goals and address the issues raised in peer review. The
suggestion is that MBCP place less emphasis on utility-scale renewable energy and instead
implement a program to catalyze near-term investment in community-scale renewable energy
development. The express aim of such a program would be to achieve half of MBCP’s 2019
goal—50 megawatts—with community-scale renewable power.
The program could be designed as follows: in the coming year, during the period leading up to
MBCP’s start-up and before the agency assembles its first portfolio, MBCP would encourage
interested customers/developers to apply for community-scale renewable energy projects that
Page 2
Copyright © ZeroCity LLC White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables
July 2016
would become operational during MBCP’s two-year phase-in period through 2019. The
customer/developer would submit such plans at least two months prior to the start of MBCP
operations (expected in late 2017) thereby allowing MBCP planners time to make final
adjustments in the agency’s financial plan before start-up occurs. MBCP, for its part, would
agree to accept the renewable power into its portfolio, either paying the customer a subsidized
rate for power under a feed-in tariff (FIT)-type program or crediting the customer’s utility bill at
retail rates under a net energy metering (NEM)-type program.
The program would terminate at the end of 2019, after which time MBCP could evaluate the
feasibility of permanently extending some modified program beyond the two-year start-up
period. As in any serious promotion of local distributed energy, the permanent program should
include measures to flatten the electricity load profile through the use of storage, demand
response, and peak-load shifts.
Program Analysis
If structured as a FIT program, the proposed program could be modelled after the Pro-FIT
Program offered by Sonoma Clean Energy. Instead of limiting the program to small systems of
one (1) megawatt or less, the MBCP program would accommodate larger community-scale
systems up to 10 megawatts in size. Some higher level of subsidy would also be appropriate.
Sonoma Clean Energy offers $95 per megawatt-hour to encourage program participation—a
subsidy of $30 over the assumed base rate of $65 per megawatt-hour, but still less than half of
average retail rates. What if, instead, MBCP passed the power through to customers with only
an administrative fee, say for a rate closer to $150 per megawatt-hour?
Fifty (50) megawatts of solar nameplate capacity has the potential to generate approximately
75,000 megawatt-hours annually, so in the conventional way of thinking about it, a rate of $150
per megawatt-hour would cost MBCP $6.37 million annually for the duration of the FIT contract
period (typically 15 to 20 years). Let us set conventions aside for a moment, though, and
examine program costs objectively. Without the program, customers/developers interested in
constructing community-scale renewable energy would likely become wholesale energy
suppliers (or drop plans altogether). If they chose to become wholesalers, MBCP would
purchase such power at base rate and then sell at retail rates, earning a margin on the renewable
energy brought online. If, however, MBCP planned at start-up to forego its opportunity to earn a
margin on the power purveyed through the program, then it would act simply as a broker
between the FIT developer and end customer. Then, what otherwise looked like a hefty program
cost would appear to be something more akin to an opportunity cost.
Page 3
Copyright © ZeroCity LLC White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables
July 2016
The effect of such a program on MBCP’s overall financial strength should be manageable.
According to the MBCP Technical Report, MBCP’s market for power delivery is estimated to be
approximately 3.7 million megawatt-hours annually. A two-year FIT program generating 75,000
megawatt-hours would amount to only two (2) percent of potential sales. It should be possible to
plan a financially successful CCE organization with the remaining 98 percent of customer base,
representing 3.625 million megawatt-hours of potential sales.
The proposed program could, alternatively, be structured as a NEM program. Under NEM, the
customer would build behind-the-meter capacity and receive a credit from MBCP for any excess
power generated, which would then be applied to the customer’s annual utility bill. Typically,
such programs are targeted for smaller projects but in theory could serve community-scale
projects as well. The costs associated with NEM programs are an ongoing topic of discussion in
the technical community, so evaluating the pros and cons of a NEM approach versus a FIT
approach is best left to the consulting experts that are advising MBCP. Perhaps some
combination of NEM and FIT that provides for a fuller range of incentives is possible.
Potential Program Benefits
Promoting renewable energy development through a program like the one discussed above could
result in substantial benefits for all involved:
 MBCP wins because catalyzing community-scale renewable energy development would
mitigate against rising prices for renewable energy. MBCP experts have warned that the
market for renewable energy is tightening due to increasing demand, which, in turn,
could drive up prices for MBCP and create uncertainty for the new organization at a
critical time in its development. Bringing 50 megawatts of community-scale renewable
power online would bring lower prices to participating customers and help MBCP
achieve its 100-megawatt goal by 2019.
 Local jurisdictions and institutional users win because such a program would encourage
the development of community-scale renewables on underutilized lands and rooftops,
lessening the pressure to develop rural lands and resulting in significant budgetary
savings for the participating customer/developer.
 Labor wins because such a program would infuse money into the local economy,
resulting in more local jobs and an overall higher standard of living.
Page 4
Copyright © ZeroCity LLC White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables
July 2016
 The state’s power grid wins because such a program would promote system resiliency
and mitigate against prolonged power outages caused by large storms and other
unexpected catastrophes.
 Finally, the region wins because recruiting 21 member jurisdictions plus other large
institutions in the region to help MBCP pursue renewable energy development would
hasten the transition of our local energy economy.
Timing is Important
Program timing is important. First, there is a 30 percent Solar Investment Tax Credit currently in
place to incentivize solar energy development, and this tax credit lapses at the end of 2019. This
incentive is critical to promoting renewable energy development, and MBCP should make the
most of it. Second, planners expect MBCP to come online in late 2017. If the proposed program
is not in place before MBCP’s financial plan is finalized, the opportunity may be compromised,
and renewable energy development in the region could be stymied for two years or longer until
MBCP completes its start-up and brings more conventional programs online.
Recommendations
MBCP should heed the advice offered by MRW & Associates in its peer review and investigate
assumptions about the agency’s ability to secure 100 megawatts of new utility-scale renewable
energy by 2019. This investigation should resolve the issues raised in the peer review and weigh
in on the feasibility of placing greater emphasis on community-scale renewables in the Monterey
Bay Region as a way of reaching 2019 goals.
The change being proposed here is fundamental to the mission of MBCP, so this matter should be
fully explored early on to support local jurisdictions as they make the choice to participate in
MBCP.
Respectfully,
The ZeroCity Team

More Related Content

What's hot

EPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and States
EPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and StatesEPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and States
EPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and StatesICF
 
Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2
Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2
Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2Mike Miller
 
Wis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentation
Wis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentationWis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentation
Wis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentationiowapolitics
 
Renewable Energy The Sunrise Industry
Renewable Energy   The Sunrise IndustryRenewable Energy   The Sunrise Industry
Renewable Energy The Sunrise IndustryFernando Penarroyo
 
Consensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DC
Consensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DCConsensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DC
Consensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DCGW Solar Institute
 
Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...
Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...
Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...ENVIRONMENTALALERTEA1
 
Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar
Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar
Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar opportunitymaine
 
RPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory Burden
RPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory BurdenRPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory Burden
RPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory BurdenCTRM Center
 
Fitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax Code
Fitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax CodeFitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax Code
Fitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax CodeGW Solar Institute
 
A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...
A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...
A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...bobprocter
 
Green Power Superhighways
Green Power SuperhighwaysGreen Power Superhighways
Green Power Superhighwaysmegglest
 
HAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
HAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITYHAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
HAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITYClifton M. Hasegawa & Associates, LLC
 
Accenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distribution
Accenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distributionAccenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distribution
Accenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distributionStu Laurie
 
Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...
Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...
Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...Jason McConnell
 

What's hot (18)

EPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and States
EPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and StatesEPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and States
EPA's Clean Power Plan: Challenges Ahead for Sources and States
 
Sara kamins meeting rps
Sara kamins meeting rpsSara kamins meeting rps
Sara kamins meeting rps
 
Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2
Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2
Ogos Energy-Mike Miller-SPI Poster v_2
 
Wis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentation
Wis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentationWis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentation
Wis. climate change legislation - 1/20/2010 presentation
 
Customer Perspective on Green Tariffs
Customer Perspective on Green TariffsCustomer Perspective on Green Tariffs
Customer Perspective on Green Tariffs
 
Renewable Energy The Sunrise Industry
Renewable Energy   The Sunrise IndustryRenewable Energy   The Sunrise Industry
Renewable Energy The Sunrise Industry
 
Consensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DC
Consensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DCConsensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DC
Consensus Recommendations on How to Catalyze Low-Income Solar in DC
 
Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...
Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...
Advancing Civil Society Organisations and Networks coordination for contribut...
 
Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar
Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar
Opportunity Maine Policy Webinar
 
RPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory Burden
RPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory BurdenRPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory Burden
RPS and RECs – Managing an Increasing Regulatory Burden
 
Fitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax Code
Fitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax CodeFitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax Code
Fitting Clean Energy into a Reformed Tax Code
 
A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...
A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...
A national perspective on using rates to control power system costs (recommen...
 
Green Power Superhighways
Green Power SuperhighwaysGreen Power Superhighways
Green Power Superhighways
 
FHA Guidance letter on PACE Programs
FHA Guidance letter on PACE ProgramsFHA Guidance letter on PACE Programs
FHA Guidance letter on PACE Programs
 
HAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
HAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITYHAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
HAWAII - RENEWABLE ENERGY - UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY
 
Accenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distribution
Accenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distributionAccenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distribution
Accenture digitally-enabled-grid-pov-utility-distribution
 
Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...
Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...
Academia version - Louisville Sustainability Analysis and Recommendations for...
 
Ab2679 Info Sheet
Ab2679 Info SheetAb2679 Info Sheet
Ab2679 Info Sheet
 

Viewers also liked

Aviation in India - 2014 Outlook
Aviation in India - 2014 OutlookAviation in India - 2014 Outlook
Aviation in India - 2014 OutlookSuresh Nair
 
Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)
Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)
Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)Pablo Santos Vilcherrez
 
Plantas para la salud
Plantas para la saludPlantas para la salud
Plantas para la saludnataliasergio
 
Portfolio_BushraAshraf1
Portfolio_BushraAshraf1Portfolio_BushraAshraf1
Portfolio_BushraAshraf1Bushra Ashraf
 
Pantech communication and NS2 projects 2016-17
Pantech   communication and NS2  projects 2016-17Pantech   communication and NS2  projects 2016-17
Pantech communication and NS2 projects 2016-17Senthil Kumar
 

Viewers also liked (7)

Aviation in India - 2014 Outlook
Aviation in India - 2014 OutlookAviation in India - 2014 Outlook
Aviation in India - 2014 Outlook
 
Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)
Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)
Pasosparalaelaboraciondeunproyectodeinvestigacion 120613141257-phpapp01 (1)
 
1.3.1 zener diode
1.3.1 zener diode1.3.1 zener diode
1.3.1 zener diode
 
Plantas para la salud
Plantas para la saludPlantas para la salud
Plantas para la salud
 
Portfolio_BushraAshraf1
Portfolio_BushraAshraf1Portfolio_BushraAshraf1
Portfolio_BushraAshraf1
 
Pantech communication and NS2 projects 2016-17
Pantech   communication and NS2  projects 2016-17Pantech   communication and NS2  projects 2016-17
Pantech communication and NS2 projects 2016-17
 
Obs debut
Obs debutObs debut
Obs debut
 

Similar to ZeroCity+White+Paper+on+Community-Scale+Renewables

Solar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated Approach
Solar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated ApproachSolar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated Approach
Solar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated ApproachCenter for Sustainable Energy
 
Pace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New BrunswickPace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New BrunswickEfficiencyCanada
 
Pace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New BrunswickPace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New BrunswickEfficiencyCanada
 
Rate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVES
Rate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVESRate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVES
Rate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVESAmerican Public Power Association
 
Municipalities and Districts Brochure
Municipalities and Districts Brochure Municipalities and Districts Brochure
Municipalities and Districts Brochure Henry Ka
 
NRG Policy Report Brief Final
NRG Policy Report Brief FinalNRG Policy Report Brief Final
NRG Policy Report Brief FinalAustin deButts
 
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...Resurgent India
 
Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...
Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...
Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...World Resources Institute (WRI)
 
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms Resurgent India
 
Choosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open Access
Choosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open AccessChoosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open Access
Choosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open AccessWRI India
 
Fact Sheet: Commercial PACE Financing
Fact Sheet: Commercial PACE FinancingFact Sheet: Commercial PACE Financing
Fact Sheet: Commercial PACE FinancingThe Solar Foundation
 
Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptx
Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptxCurrent Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptx
Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptxTauqeerIqbal6
 
Solar Energy Forum
Solar Energy ForumSolar Energy Forum
Solar Energy ForumEddie Egger
 
Why Residential Solar is Having a Powerful Impact
Why Residential Solar is Having a Powerful ImpactWhy Residential Solar is Having a Powerful Impact
Why Residential Solar is Having a Powerful ImpactCIT Group
 
Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019
Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019
Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019Gensol Engineering Limited
 

Similar to ZeroCity+White+Paper+on+Community-Scale+Renewables (20)

Solar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated Approach
Solar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated ApproachSolar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated Approach
Solar and Energy Efficiency: Moving Towards and Integrated Approach
 
Pace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New BrunswickPace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
 
Pace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New BrunswickPace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
Pace 2.0 Submission to New Brunswick
 
DSM
DSMDSM
DSM
 
Project narrative how smartky
Project narrative   how smartkyProject narrative   how smartky
Project narrative how smartky
 
Dsm bses
Dsm bsesDsm bses
Dsm bses
 
Rate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVES
Rate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVESRate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVES
Rate Design for Distributed Generation - NET METERING ALTERNATIVES
 
Field Essay
Field EssayField Essay
Field Essay
 
Municipalities and Districts Brochure
Municipalities and Districts Brochure Municipalities and Districts Brochure
Municipalities and Districts Brochure
 
NRG Policy Report Brief Final
NRG Policy Report Brief FinalNRG Policy Report Brief Final
NRG Policy Report Brief Final
 
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019 - Key Strategies (Improve and Enhance Dist...
 
Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...
Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...
Bending the Curve Together: Leveraging Common Goals in Utility Resource Plann...
 
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms
Affordable 24x7 Power To All @2019- Fuel Security & Distribution Reforms
 
Choosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open Access
Choosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open AccessChoosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open Access
Choosing Green: Status and Challenges of RE based Open Access
 
Fact Sheet: Commercial PACE Financing
Fact Sheet: Commercial PACE FinancingFact Sheet: Commercial PACE Financing
Fact Sheet: Commercial PACE Financing
 
Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptx
Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptxCurrent Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptx
Current Issue Presentation 19-10-21.pptx
 
Solar power plant Opportunity and Costing
Solar power plant Opportunity and CostingSolar power plant Opportunity and Costing
Solar power plant Opportunity and Costing
 
Solar Energy Forum
Solar Energy ForumSolar Energy Forum
Solar Energy Forum
 
Why Residential Solar is Having a Powerful Impact
Why Residential Solar is Having a Powerful ImpactWhy Residential Solar is Having a Powerful Impact
Why Residential Solar is Having a Powerful Impact
 
Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019
Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019
Tamil Nadu (TN) Solar Policy 2019 Highlights_07.02.2019
 

ZeroCity+White+Paper+on+Community-Scale+Renewables

  • 1. ZeroCity LLC P.O. Box 3658 Santa Cruz, California 95063 www.zero.city White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables and Monterey Bay Community Power Summary Efforts over the past three years to confirm the feasibility of Monterey Bay Community Power (MBCP) are to be applauded. Now, as steps are taken to establish the agency’s governing authority, officials should examine renewable energy goals more closely. According to a recently released peer review of MBCP’s Technical Study by MRW & Associates, assumptions about achieving 100 megawatts of utility-scale solar development by 2019 “may be optimistic and not met.” MRW recommends further analysis to “explore the likely challenge of meeting the schedule set for new renewable project development.” If peer reviewers are correct, shortages in renewable energy supplies could force MBCP to charge higher rates, settle for portfolios that contain less renewable sources of power, and/or rely on more out-of-state resources. As these issues are fundamental to the decision by local jurisdictions to participate in MBCP, planners should revisit these key assumptions as part of the formation process now getting underway. Community-Scale Renewable Energy The purpose of this white paper is to suggest a way in which MBCP could bolster the likelihood of achieving its 2019 renewable energy goals and address the issues raised in peer review. The suggestion is that MBCP place less emphasis on utility-scale renewable energy and instead implement a program to catalyze near-term investment in community-scale renewable energy development. The express aim of such a program would be to achieve half of MBCP’s 2019 goal—50 megawatts—with community-scale renewable power. The program could be designed as follows: in the coming year, during the period leading up to MBCP’s start-up and before the agency assembles its first portfolio, MBCP would encourage interested customers/developers to apply for community-scale renewable energy projects that
  • 2. Page 2 Copyright © ZeroCity LLC White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables July 2016 would become operational during MBCP’s two-year phase-in period through 2019. The customer/developer would submit such plans at least two months prior to the start of MBCP operations (expected in late 2017) thereby allowing MBCP planners time to make final adjustments in the agency’s financial plan before start-up occurs. MBCP, for its part, would agree to accept the renewable power into its portfolio, either paying the customer a subsidized rate for power under a feed-in tariff (FIT)-type program or crediting the customer’s utility bill at retail rates under a net energy metering (NEM)-type program. The program would terminate at the end of 2019, after which time MBCP could evaluate the feasibility of permanently extending some modified program beyond the two-year start-up period. As in any serious promotion of local distributed energy, the permanent program should include measures to flatten the electricity load profile through the use of storage, demand response, and peak-load shifts. Program Analysis If structured as a FIT program, the proposed program could be modelled after the Pro-FIT Program offered by Sonoma Clean Energy. Instead of limiting the program to small systems of one (1) megawatt or less, the MBCP program would accommodate larger community-scale systems up to 10 megawatts in size. Some higher level of subsidy would also be appropriate. Sonoma Clean Energy offers $95 per megawatt-hour to encourage program participation—a subsidy of $30 over the assumed base rate of $65 per megawatt-hour, but still less than half of average retail rates. What if, instead, MBCP passed the power through to customers with only an administrative fee, say for a rate closer to $150 per megawatt-hour? Fifty (50) megawatts of solar nameplate capacity has the potential to generate approximately 75,000 megawatt-hours annually, so in the conventional way of thinking about it, a rate of $150 per megawatt-hour would cost MBCP $6.37 million annually for the duration of the FIT contract period (typically 15 to 20 years). Let us set conventions aside for a moment, though, and examine program costs objectively. Without the program, customers/developers interested in constructing community-scale renewable energy would likely become wholesale energy suppliers (or drop plans altogether). If they chose to become wholesalers, MBCP would purchase such power at base rate and then sell at retail rates, earning a margin on the renewable energy brought online. If, however, MBCP planned at start-up to forego its opportunity to earn a margin on the power purveyed through the program, then it would act simply as a broker between the FIT developer and end customer. Then, what otherwise looked like a hefty program cost would appear to be something more akin to an opportunity cost.
  • 3. Page 3 Copyright © ZeroCity LLC White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables July 2016 The effect of such a program on MBCP’s overall financial strength should be manageable. According to the MBCP Technical Report, MBCP’s market for power delivery is estimated to be approximately 3.7 million megawatt-hours annually. A two-year FIT program generating 75,000 megawatt-hours would amount to only two (2) percent of potential sales. It should be possible to plan a financially successful CCE organization with the remaining 98 percent of customer base, representing 3.625 million megawatt-hours of potential sales. The proposed program could, alternatively, be structured as a NEM program. Under NEM, the customer would build behind-the-meter capacity and receive a credit from MBCP for any excess power generated, which would then be applied to the customer’s annual utility bill. Typically, such programs are targeted for smaller projects but in theory could serve community-scale projects as well. The costs associated with NEM programs are an ongoing topic of discussion in the technical community, so evaluating the pros and cons of a NEM approach versus a FIT approach is best left to the consulting experts that are advising MBCP. Perhaps some combination of NEM and FIT that provides for a fuller range of incentives is possible. Potential Program Benefits Promoting renewable energy development through a program like the one discussed above could result in substantial benefits for all involved:  MBCP wins because catalyzing community-scale renewable energy development would mitigate against rising prices for renewable energy. MBCP experts have warned that the market for renewable energy is tightening due to increasing demand, which, in turn, could drive up prices for MBCP and create uncertainty for the new organization at a critical time in its development. Bringing 50 megawatts of community-scale renewable power online would bring lower prices to participating customers and help MBCP achieve its 100-megawatt goal by 2019.  Local jurisdictions and institutional users win because such a program would encourage the development of community-scale renewables on underutilized lands and rooftops, lessening the pressure to develop rural lands and resulting in significant budgetary savings for the participating customer/developer.  Labor wins because such a program would infuse money into the local economy, resulting in more local jobs and an overall higher standard of living.
  • 4. Page 4 Copyright © ZeroCity LLC White Paper: Community-Scale Renewables July 2016  The state’s power grid wins because such a program would promote system resiliency and mitigate against prolonged power outages caused by large storms and other unexpected catastrophes.  Finally, the region wins because recruiting 21 member jurisdictions plus other large institutions in the region to help MBCP pursue renewable energy development would hasten the transition of our local energy economy. Timing is Important Program timing is important. First, there is a 30 percent Solar Investment Tax Credit currently in place to incentivize solar energy development, and this tax credit lapses at the end of 2019. This incentive is critical to promoting renewable energy development, and MBCP should make the most of it. Second, planners expect MBCP to come online in late 2017. If the proposed program is not in place before MBCP’s financial plan is finalized, the opportunity may be compromised, and renewable energy development in the region could be stymied for two years or longer until MBCP completes its start-up and brings more conventional programs online. Recommendations MBCP should heed the advice offered by MRW & Associates in its peer review and investigate assumptions about the agency’s ability to secure 100 megawatts of new utility-scale renewable energy by 2019. This investigation should resolve the issues raised in the peer review and weigh in on the feasibility of placing greater emphasis on community-scale renewables in the Monterey Bay Region as a way of reaching 2019 goals. The change being proposed here is fundamental to the mission of MBCP, so this matter should be fully explored early on to support local jurisdictions as they make the choice to participate in MBCP. Respectfully, The ZeroCity Team