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The Market Forces of
Supply and Demand
BY : REVA MITTAL
The Market Forces of
Supply and Demand
Supply and demand are the two words
that economists use most often.
Supply and demand are the forces that
make market economies work.
Modern microeconomics is about
supply, demand, and market
equilibrium.
Markets
A market is a group of buyers and
sellers of a particular good or service.
The terms supply and demand refer
to the behavior of people . . . as they
interact with one another in markets.
Markets
 Buyers determine demand.
 Sellers determine supply.
Demand
Quantity demanded
is the amount
of a good that buyers are
willing and able
to purchase.
Law of Demand
The law of demand states that,
ceteris paribus, there is an
inverse relationship between price
and quantity demanded.
Demand Schedule
The demand schedule is a table
that shows the relationship
between the price of the good
and the quantity demanded.
Demand Schedule
Price Quantity
0.00 12
0.50 10
1.00 8
1.50 6
2.00 4
2.50 2
3.00 0
Demand Curve
The demand curve is the downward-
sloping line relating price to quantity
demanded.
Demand Curve
Rs.3
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1211
Price
Quantity of
Ice-Creams0
Price Quantity
0.00 12
0.50 10
1.00 8
1.50 6
2.00 4
2.50 2
3.00 0
Ceteris Paribus
Ceteris paribus is a Latin phrase that
means all variables other than the
ones being studied are assumed to be
constant. Literally, ceteris paribus
means “other things being equal.”
The demand curve slopes downward
because, ceteris paribus, lower prices
imply a greater quantity demanded!
Ceteris Paribus
 Ceteris Paribus means “other things being
equal”. What other things?
 Consumer income.
 Consumer preferences.
 Fashion.
 Population.
 Price of related goods.
 Government policies.
 Weather conditions.
Market Demand
Market demand refers to the
sum of all individual demands
for a particular good or service.
Determinants of Demand
Market price : A larger quantity is demanded at
a lower price & vice versa.
Tastes, habits and preferences : Demand depends
upon a persons tastes, habits and preferences.
Demand for ice – creams, bhel – puri etc depends
upon an individual’s tastes. Tea, betal leafs,
tobacco etc is a matter of habits. People with
different tastes & habits have different
preferences. A strict veg. will have no demand for
fish and a person who likes non – veg will
purchase fish even at a high price.
Determinants of Demand
 Expectations : If a consumer expects
that the prices of a product are going
to rise in future, the demand may
increase and vice – versa.
Consumer income : A rich consumer
demands more goods than a poor
consumer.
Determinants of Demand
 Prices of related goods ( substitutes and
complementary ) : When a desire or a want can
be satisfied by alternative similar goods, they
are called as substitutes. Eg. Peas and beans,
groundnut oil and mustard oil, tea or coffee,
jowar or bajra etc.
 Demand for a commodity depends on the
relative prices of the substitutes. There will be
more demand for a commodity if it’s
substitutes are highly priced.
Determinants of Demand
 Complementary products : When, in order to
satisfy a given want, two or more goods are
needed in combination, these goods are
referred to as complementary goods. Eg. car
and petrol, pen and ink, shoes and socks, guns
and bullets.
 Complementary goods are always in Joint
Demand. Thus, when the price of a
complementary product will fall, the demand
for its complementary product will increase.
Change in Quantity Demanded
versus Change in Demand
Change in Quantity Demanded
Movement along the demand curve.
Caused by a change in the price of
the product.
Changes in Quantity
Demanded
0
D1
Price of
Cigarettes
Number of Cigarettes
A tax that raises the
price of cigarettes
results in a movement
along the demand
curve.
A
C
20
2.00
Rs.4.
00
12
Change in Quantity Demanded
versus Change in Demand
Change in Demand
A shift in the demand curve, either
to the left or right.
Caused by a change in a
determinant other than the price.
Changes in Demand
0
D1
Price
Quantity of
Ice-Cream
Cones
D3
D2
Increase in
demand
Decrease in
demand
Law of Supply
The law of supply states that, ceteris
paribus, there is a direct (positive)
relationship between price and
quantity supplied.
Supply
Quantity supplied is the amount of a
good that sellers are willing and able
to sell.
Supply Schedule
The supply schedule is a table that
shows the relationship between the
price of the good and the quantity
supplied.
Supply Schedule
Price Quantity
Rs.0.0 0
0.50 0
1.00 1
1.50 2
2.00 3
2.50 4
3.00 5
Supply Curve
The supply curve is the upward-
sloping line relating price to quantity
supplied.
Supply Curve
Rs.3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1211
Price
Quantity of
Ice-Cream
Cones
0
Price Quantity
0.00 0
0.50 0
1.00 1
1.50 2
2.00 3
2.50 4
3.00 5
Market Supply
Market supply refers to the sum
of all individual supplies for all
sellers of a particular good or
service.
Change in Quantity Supplied
versus Change in Supply
Change in Quantity Supplied
Movement along the supply curve.
Caused by a change in the market price
of the product.
Change in Quantity Supplied
1 5
Price
Quantity of
Ice-Cream
Cones
0
S
1.00
A
C
Rs.3.00 A rise in the price
of ice cream cones
results in a
movement along
the supply curve.
Change in Quantity Supplied
versus Change in Supply
Change in Supply
A shift in the supply curve, either to the
left or right.
Caused by a change in a determinant
other than price.
Change in Supply
Price
Quantity of
Ice-Cream
Cones
0
S1 S2
S3
Increase in
Supply
Decrease in
Supply
Shifts in Curves versus
Movements along Curves
A shift in the supply curve is called a change
in supply.
A movement along a fixed supply curve is
called a change in quantity supplied.
A shift in the demand curve is called a
change in demand.
A movement along a fixed demand curve is
called a change in quantity demanded.
Supply and Demand Together
Equilibrium Price
The price that balances supply and
demand. On a graph, it is the price at
which the supply and demand curves
intersect.
Equilibrium Quantity
The quantity that balances supply and
demand. On a graph it is the quantity at
which the supply and demand curves
intersect.
Supply and Demand Together
Price Quantity
Rs 0 0
0.50 0
1.00 1
1.50 4
2.00 7
2.50 10
3.00 13
Price Quantity
Rs 0 19
0.50 16
1.00 13
1.50 10
2.00 7
2.50 4
3.00 1
Demand Schedule Supply Schedule
At Rs.2.00, the quantity demanded is
equal to the quantity supplied!
Supply
Demand
Price of
Ice-Cream
Cone
Quantity of
Ice-Cream
Cones
Equilibrium of
Supply and Demand
21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12110
Rs.3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
Equilibrium
Price of
Ice-Cream
Cone
Quantity of
Ice-Cream
Cones
21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12110
Rs.3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
Supply
Demand
Surplus
Excess Supply
Surplus
When the price is above the equilibrium
price, the quantity supplied exceeds the
quantity demanded. There is excess supply
or a surplus. Suppliers will lower the price
to increase sales, thereby moving toward
equilibrium.
Excess Demand
Quantity of
Ice-Cream Cones
Price of
Ice-Cream
Cone
Rs.2.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Supply
Demand
Rs.1.50
Shortage
Shortage
When the price is below the equilibrium
price, the quantity demanded exceeds the
quantity supplied. There is excess demand
or a shortage. Suppliers will raise the price
due to too many buyers chasing too few
goods, thereby moving toward equilibrium.
How an Increase in Demand
Affects the Equilibrium
Price of
Ice-Cream
Cone
2.00
0 7 Quantity of
Ice-Cream Cones
Supply
Initial
equilibrium
D1
1. Hot weather increases
the demand for ice cream...
D2
2. ...resulting
in a higher
price...
Rs.2.50
10
3. ...and a higher
quantity sold.
New equilibrium
S2
How a Decrease in Supply Affects
the Equilibrium
Price of
Ice-Cream
Cone
2.00
0 1 2 3 4 7 8 9 11 12 Quantity of
Ice-Cream Cones
13
Demand
Initial equilibrium
S1
10
1. Shortage of milk reduces
the supply of ice cream...
New
equilibrium
2. ...resulting
in a higher
price...
Rs.2.50
3. ...and a lower
quantity sold.
Elasticity – The concept
 The responsiveness of one variable to
changes in another
 When price rises what happens to
demand?
 Demand falls
 BUT!
 How much does demand fall?
Elasticity – The concept
 If price rises by 10% - what happens to
demand?
 We know demand will fall
 By more than 10%?
 By less than 10%?
 Elasticity measures the extent to which
demand will change
Elasticity . . .
 … is a measure of how much buyers and
sellers respond to changes in market
conditions
 … allows us to analyze supply and
demand with greater precision.
Price Elasticity of Demand
Price elasticity of demand is the
percentage change in quantity demanded
given a percent change in the price.
It is a measure of how much the quantity
demanded of a good responds to a change
in the price of that good.
Determinants of Elasticity
 Time period – the longer the time under
consideration the more elastic a good is likely
to be.
 Number and closeness of substitutes –
the greater the number of substitutes,
the more elastic the demand.
 The proportion of income taken up by the product
– the smaller the proportion the more inelastic
 Luxury or Necessity – necessary goods have
inelastic demand vs. luxury goods have elastic
demand. E.g. Salt vs. luxury cars.
Determinants of
Price Elasticity of Demand
Demand tends to be more elastic :
if the good is a luxury.
the longer the time period.
the larger the number of close
substitutes.
If the consumer is spending large portion
of his income on the product.
Determinants of
Price Elasticity of Demand
Demand tends to be more elastic :
if the good is a luxury.
the longer the time period.
the larger the number of close
substitutes.
If the consumer is spending large portion
of his income on the product.
Computing the Price Elasticity
of Demand
The price elasticity of demand is computed
as the percentage change in the quantity
demanded divided by the percentage
change in price.
Price Elasticity of Demand =
Percentage Change
in Quantity Demanded
Percentage Change
in Price
Price Elasticity of Demand =
Percentage Change
in Quantity Demanded
Percentage Change
in Price
The Percentage Method
Computing the Price Elasticity
of Demand
priceinchangePercentage
demandedquatityinchangePercentage
demandofelasticityPrice 
Example: If the price of an ice cream increases from
2.00 to 2.20 and the amount you buy falls from 10 to 8
then your elasticity of demand would be calculated as:
2
percent10
percent20
100
002
002202
100
10
810





.
)..(
)(
Ranges of Elasticity
Perfectly Inelastic
Quantity demanded does not respond at
all to price changes.
Inelastic Demand
Quantity demanded does not respond
strongly to price changes.
Price elasticity of demand is less than one.
Ranges of Elasticity
Unit Elastic
Quantity demanded changes by the same
percentage as the price.
Elastic Demand
Quantity demanded responds strongly to
changes in price.
Price elasticity of demand is greater than one.
Perfectly Elastic
Quantity demanded changes infinitely with any
change in price.
A Variety of Demand Curves
 Because the price elasticity of
demand measures how much
quantity demanded responds to the
price, it is closely related to the
slope of the demand curve.
Perfectly Inelastic Demand
- Elasticity equals 0
Quantity
Price
4
5
Demand
100
2. ...leaves the quantity demanded unchanged.
1. An
increase
in price...
Inelastic Demand
- Elasticity is less than 1
Quantity
Price
4
5
1. A 25%
increase
in price...
10090
2. ...leads to a 10% decrease in quantity.
Unit Elastic Demand
- Elasticity equals 1
Quantity
Price
4
51. A 25%
increase
in price...
10075
2. ...leads to a 25% decrease in quantity.
Elastic Demand
- Elasticity is greater than 1
Quantity
Price
4
5
1. A 25%
increase
in price...
10050
2. ...leads to a 50% decrease in quantity.
Perfectly Elastic Demand
- Elasticity equals infinity
Quantity
Price
Demand4
1. At any price
above 4, quantity
demanded is zero.
2. At exactly 4,
consumers will
buy any quantity.
3. At a price below 4,
quantity demanded is infinite.
Elasticity
Price
Quantity Demanded
D
The importance of
elasticity is the
information it
provides on the
effect on total
revenue of
changes in price.
5
100
Total revenue is
price x quantity
sold. In this
example, TR = 5 x
100 = 500.
This value is
represented by the
shaded rectangle.
Total Revenue
Elasticity
Price
Quantity Demanded
D
If the firm decides
to decrease price
to (say) 3, the
degree of price
elasticity of the
demand curve
would determine
the extent of the
increase in
demand and the
change therefore
in total revenue.
5
100
3
140
Total Revenue
Elasticity
Price
Quantity Demanded
10
D
5
5
6
% Δ Price = -50%
% Δ Quantity Demanded = +20%
Ped = -0.4 (Inelastic)
Total Revenue would fall
Producer decides to lower price to attract sales
Not a good move!
Elasticity
Price (£)
Quantity Demanded
D
10
5 20
Producer decides to reduce price to increase sales
7
% Δ in Price = - 30%
% Δ in Demand = + 300%
Ped = - 10 (Elastic)
Total Revenue rises
Good Move!
Elasticity
 If demand is price
elastic:
 Increasing price
would reduce TR
(%Δ Qd > % Δ P)
 Reducing price
would increase TR
(%Δ Qd > % Δ P)
 If demand is price
inelastic:
 Increasing price
would increase TR
(%Δ Qd < % Δ P)
 Reducing price
would reduce TR
(%Δ Qd < % Δ P)
Computing the Price Elasticity
of Demand ( Other methods)
 Price elasticity of demand can also be
calculated by a few other methods. These
methods are :
 Total Outlay Method
 Midpoint Formula
 Geometric Method
Total Outlay Method
 This method, measures the change on
expenditure on commodities due to a change in
price.
 If a given change does not cause any change in
the total amount spent on the commodity, the
demand is said to be unitary elastic.
 If the total expenditure increases due to fall in
price, the demand is said to be elastic and vice
versa.
Demand is Unitary elastic
Price ( in Rs.) Quantity demanded Total expenditure
4.50 4 18
4.00 4.5 18
3.00 6 18
As price falls, the quantity demanded increases,
But the total outlay remains constant.
Hence, elasticity of demand is equal to unity.
Demand is Elastic
Price ( in Rs.) Quantity demanded Total expenditure
4.50 6 27
4 7 28
3 10 30
As price falls, the quantity demanded increases,
And the total outlay also increases.
Hence, demand is elastic. ( Greater than unity)
Demand is inelastic
Price ( in Rs.) Quantity demanded Total expenditure
4.50 4 18
4 4.25 17
3 5 15
As price falls, the quantity demanded increases,
but the total outlay decreases.
Hence, demand is inelastic. ( Lesser than unity)
Midpoint Formula
The midpoint formula is preferable when
calculating the price elasticity of demand
because it gives the same answer regardless
of the direction of the change.
)/ 2 ]P)/ [(PP(P
)/ 2 ]Q)/ [(QQ(Q
=D e m a n do fE la s t ic it yP rice
1212
1212


Geometric method
 Elasticity at a point on a straight line demand curve
can be calculated as follows :
 e = Length of the lower segment
--------------------------------------------------
Length of the upper segment
 At the midpoint of the demand curve e = 1
 At all points above the midpoint e >1
 At all points below the midpoint e < 1
Geometric Method
 At the point M,
the demand curve
is unit elastic. M is
the midpoint of
this linear demand
curve
 Above M, demand
is elastic,
 Below M, demand
is inelastic
Price
Quantity
M
Elasticity = 1
Elasticity > 1
Elasticity < 1
Income elasticity of Demand
 Income elasticity of
demand incomeinchangePercentage
demandedquatityinchangePercentage
=
Cross Elasticity of Demand
 Cross Elasticity:
 The responsiveness of demand of one
good to changes in the price of a related
good – either a substitute or a
complement
Price Elasticity of Demand =
in Quantity Demanded
Percentage
Cross Elasticity of Demand =
Percentage Change
in Quantity Demanded of good X
Percentage Change
in Price of good Y
Demand Forecasting
 A forecast is a prediction or anticipation
of any event which is likely to happen in
future.
 Demand forecast is the prediction of the
future demand for a firm’s product.
Forecasts are necessary for :
 Scheduling of the production process.
 Preparations of budgets.
 Manpower Planning.
 Setting targets of sales executives.
 Advertising & promotion decisions.
 Decisions about expansion of a firm.
 Other decisions like long term investment
plans, warehousing and inventory decisions.
Methods of Demand
forecasting
 There are two different sets of methods
for demand forecasting :
 Interview & survey methods ( for short
term forecasts )
 Projection Approach ( for long term
forecasts )
Demand Forecasting Methods
FORECASTING METHODS
Survey Method Statistical Method
Opinion
Survey
Consumers'
Interview
Trend
projection
Brometric
method
Correlation
& Regression
Complete
enumeration
Sample
survey
End-use
method
Interview and Survey approach
 To anticipate the demand for a product,
information needs to be collected about
the expected expenditure patterns of
consumers.
 Depending on the various approaches to
collect this information, different sub –
methods are formulated.
 We will study them one by one.
Interview and Survey approach
 Executive Opinion :
 In small companies, usually the owner
takes the responsibility of forecasting.
 As a result of the experience and
knowledge he is expected to have, he can
predict what would be the course of
activities in future and plan his own
activities accordingly.
Interview and Survey approach
 Opinion polling method : Information
about the consumer’s expenditure can be
collected either by the market research
department or through the wholesalers
and retailers.
 As a result of technological
advancements, it is now possible to collect
this information by the means of internet.
Interview and Survey approach
 Collective opinion method :
Jury is a group of individuals, usually the top
bosses or sales, production, marketing
managers having experience in different fields.
The advantage of this method is that instead of
basing the forecast on the opinion of one single
individual, a more accurate forecast can be
drawn.
Interview and Survey approach
 Sample survey method :
 The total number of customers of a
company is called as its population.
When this number is more, it is not
possible to collect information for all the
customers. When only a few customers
are contacted, it is called as a Sample
Survey.
User’s Expectations
 Consumer and industrial companies
often poll their actual or potential
customers.
 Some Industrial manufacturers ask
about the quantities of products their
customers may purchase in future and
take this as their forecast.
Delphi Method
Administering a series of questionnaires to
panels of experts. This method gathers
information from all experts and the opinion of
all the experts is shared by all other experts.
In case if an expert finds that his own forecast
is unrealistic, after going through the opinion
of other experts, there is a chance for
corrections.
Projection Approach
 In this method, the past experience is
projected for the future. This can be done
by two methods :
 Correlation or regression analysis.
 Time series analysis.
Past sales can be used to forecast future demand.
Past sales are viewed from the angles of trends,
various cycles of business, seasonality and then a
forecast is drawn after checking the possibility of
the same treads, cycles and seasonality factors.
This method is easy to use, it is based on past
behavior and does not include new company,
competitor or macroeconomic developments.
Classical approach to time series analysis:
Naïve Method
Next Year’s Sales = This Year’s Sales X This Year’s Sales
Last Year’s Sales
Moving Average
Moving averages are used to allow for
marketplace factors changing at different
rates and at different times.
PERIOD
SALES
VOLUME
SALES FOR
THREE-YEAR
PERIOD
THREE-YEAR
MOVING
AVERAGE
1 200
2 250
3 300 750
4 350 900 300
5 450 1100 ( 3) = 366.6
6 ?
Period 6 Forecast = 366.6
EXAMPLE OF MOVING-AVERAGE FORECAST
Trend Projections – Least Squares
Eyeball fitting is simply a plot of the data
with a line drawn through them that the
forecaster feels most accurately fits the
linear trend of the data.
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1984
Time
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990
Observed Sales Forecast Sales
Sales
Trend
Line
A TREND FORECAST OF SALES
Market Structures
 Market structure refers to the number and
size of buyers and sellers in the market for a
good or service.
 A market can be defined as a group of firms
willing and able to sell a similar product or
service to the same potential buyers.
Classification of market
structures
 4 broad categories –
1. Perfect competition
2. Monopoly
3. Monopolistic competition
4. Oligopoly
Major features that determine
market structure
 Number of sellers
 Product differentiation
 Entry and exit conditions
Features of the four market structures
Type of
market
Number
of firms
Freedom of
entry
Nature of
product
Examples Implications for
demand curve
faced by firm
Perfect
competition
Large
( 30+)
Unrestricted
Homogeneous
(undifferentiated)
Potatoes, Eggs
(approximately)
Horizontal:
firm is a price taker
Monopolistic
competition
Many
( 10 - 30)
Unrestricted Differentiated Builders,
restaurants
Downward sloping,
but relatively
elastic
Oligopoly Few but
Large
( 02–10)
Restricted
Undifferentiated
or differentiated
Cement
cars, electrical
appliances
Downward sloping.
inelastic or elastic
(depends on
reactions of rivals)
Monopoly One Restricted or
completely
blocked
Unique
Indian railways,
Local electricity
co etc
Downward sloping:
more inelastic.
Firm has a fair
control over price
Important Concepts before we move forward with
market Structures
 Short-run:
 Period of time in which quantities of one or
more production factors cannot be changed.
 These inputs are called fixed inputs.
 Long-run
 Amount of time needed to make all production
inputs variable.
The Short Run versus the Long Run
Cost Concepts
 TOTAL COST – Total Fixed Cost + Total
Variable Cost.
TC = TFC + TVC
 AVERAGE COST - tells us how much is
the cost of producing a typical unit.
AC = TC/ Q
 MARGINAL COST - is the change in total
cost from an additional unit produced
MC =TC/ Q
Output (Q)
Costs(Rs.)
MC
AC
Average and marginal costs
Revenue Concepts
 TOTAL REVENUE - for a firm is the selling
price times the quantity sold.
TR = (P X Q)
 AVERAGE REVENUE - tells us how much
revenue a firm receives for the typical unit sold.
AR = TR / Q
 MARGINAL REVENUE - revenue is the
change in total revenue from an additional unit
sold.
MR =TR/ Q
Profit
 Normal Profit : That part of the cost which is
paid to the entrepreneur as a part of his
compensation.
 Super-normal Profit : The profit that the
entrepreneur may get over and above the
compensation that he receives from the firm,
for his contribution.
What we analyze in all graphs of Market
Structures…
 AR, MR
 AC, MC
 Profit Maximization Point - The point where
MR = MC ( Profit maximum )
and MC is rising.
 Q* ( Equilibrium Output )
 P* ( Equilibrium Price )
Perfect competition
 Features –
1. Large number of buyers and sellers
2. Products are perfect substitutes of each other;
homogeneous products
3. Free entry and exit from the market
4. Perfect knowledge of the market to both buyers
and sellers
5. No govt. intervention
6. Transport cost are negligible hence don’t affect
pricing.
The Meaning of Competition
 As a result of its characteristics, the perfectly
competitive market has the following outcomes:
 The actions of any single buyer or seller in
the market have a negligible impact on the
market price.
 Each buyer and seller takes the market price
as given.
Total, Average, and Marginal Revenue for a Competitive
Firm
Quantity Price TR
P x Q
AR
TR / Q
MR
TR / Q
1 6 6 6 6
2 6 12 6 6
3 6 18 6 6
4 6 24 6 6
5 6 30 6 6
6 6 36 6 6
7 6 42 6 6
Output (Q)
Costs(Rs.)
MC
x
AC
z
Average and marginal costs
O
Rs.
(b) Firm
Q (thousands)
O
(a) Industry
P
Q (millions)
S
D
Pe
MC
AR/P
D = AR
= MR
Qe
AC
C
Short-run equilibrium of industry and firm under
perfect competition
E
B
A
Qe
P1
D1 = AR1
= MR1
AR1
O O
(a) Industry
P Rs
Q (millions)
S
D
(b) Firm
MC AC
AC
Q (thousands)
Loss under perfect competition
Rs
QO
(SR)AC
(LR)MC
LRAC
AR = MR
DL
P = AR = MR = MC = AC
Long-run equilibrium of the firm under perfect competition
Monopoly
 A monopoly has only one seller, who
is able to influence the total supply
and price of the goods and services.
 Further, there are no close substitutes
for the goods produced by the
monopolist and there are barriers to
entry.
 This single seller represents the
entire Industry.
 Hence, this firm is called as a Price
Maker.
Main factors that lead to monopoly are:
 Ownership of strategic raw materials and
exclusive technical know-how
 Possession of product/process patent
rights
 Acquisition of government license to
procure certain goods
 High entry costs
 Governments themselves produce some
commodities to avoid consumer
exploitation
Revenues for a firm facing a downward-sloping demand curve
Q
(units)
P = AR
(Rs)
TR
(Rs)
MR
(Rs)
1 8 8
6
2 7 14
4
3 6 18
2
4 5 20
0
5 4 20
–2
6 3 18
–4
7 2 14
6.00
4.50
-4
0
4
8
12
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
T O T A L P R O F I T
MR
Quantity
Costsandrevenue(Rs)
MC
AC
AR
b
a
Measuring the maximum profit using average curves
Total profit =
Rs1.50 x 3 = Rs4.50
Price Discrimination
 A Monopoly can discriminate between
different buyers by charging them different
prices because it has control over the price
and customers have no choice.
 It is a situation when a firm charges different
prices for the same product when the
difference in price is not based on the
difference in costs.
 The cost curves of the firm are same but the
demand and revenue curves are different.
First Degree Price Discrimination
 This is a situation where a Monopolist charges
a different price for each customer for each unit
separately.
 Eg. In a town, if there is only one cardiac
surgeon, he may charge different rates from
different customers, may be based on their
paying capacity, for a bypass surgery.
Second Degree Price Discrimination
 Here, the monopolist charges different prices
for different batches or blocks of units of the
same product.
 E.g. A monopoly electric company can charge
one rate per unit for the first 1000 units and
then decrease the rate per unit for the
subsequent batches of 500 units.
 Here, the per unit price remains the same for all
the units in one batch and changes batch-wise.
Third degree Price Discrimination
 Here, the monopoly firm divides the entire
market into two or more different groups and
charges a different price for each different
group.
 Eg. Indian Railways has different charges for
senior citizens, kids below 12 years, cancer
patients, sports teams etc.
 Electric companies have different rates for
farmers, commercial users, domestic users etc.
Characters of Monopolistic competition
 Product Differentiation: A monopolistic market
consists of relatively large number of sellers,
each satisfying a relatively small share of total
market for similar, but not identical goods,
such that each firm has a very little control
over market price.
 Example: Pepsodent & Colgate; Lux, Cinthol &
Santoor, etc.
 Product differentiation can be done on the
parameters of Product Quality, Services,
Location, Promotion and packaging.
Characters of Monopolistic competition
 No interdependence: The presence of numerous firms
with differentiated products ensures no mutual
interdependence among them. Rivals’ reactions can
be ignored as their impact on other firms is very small
and there is no reason for these firms to react.
Example: Aiwa & BPL
 Relative Freedom: Under monopolistic competition,
firms have relative freedom to enter or exit from the
market.
 Industrial Examples: Toilet soaps, toothpastes,
restaurants, retail trade, etc.
Selling Costs
 Product differentiation is the important feature of
monopolistically competitive markets. Product
differentiation, which arises because of factors like brand
names, quality, services, etc, enables the sellers to sell
the goods at a higher price. But to create product
differentiation, the firm incurs some additional
expenditure in the form of advertising cost, product
development cost, servicing cost, etc.
 Thus, average cost of the monopolistically competitive
firms will rise due to incurrence of additional costs -
product development and advertisements, etc. This
shifts the average cost curve up and consequently the
consumer has to pay a higher price for the goods.
 Thus, in monopolistically competitive markets the
average unit cost is given by
 [Production cost + Selling cost]/Output
Demand Curve of Monopolistic
Competition
 Unlike the demand curve of a perfectly
competitive firm, which is perfectly elastic,
the demand curve of a firm operating
under conditions of monopolistic
competition is highly, but not perfectly,
elastic due to product differentiation.
 However, since a large number of firms
sell closely substitutable products, it is
much more elastic than a pure
monopolist’s demand curve.
Demand Curve of Monopolistic
Competition
 The important reasons of not having perfectly elastic
demand curve are:
 Presence of few firms (when compared to perfect
competition)
 Firms produce only close but not perfect substitute
products.
 Thus, the degree of elasticity of demand of a
monopolistically competitive firm depends on the
number of rivals and the degree of product
differentiation.
 Fewer the number of rivals and the greater the degree
of product differentiation, the lower is the degree of
elasticity.
Varity of Demand Curves
Rs
QO Qs
AR  D
MC
AC
MR
Short-run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition
Ps
ACs
Long-run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition
ARL  DL
MRL
Rs
QO Q1
P1
LRAC
LRMC
Characteristics of Oligopoly
 Only a few firms supply goods for the entire market;
the goods may be either homogenous or differentiated.
 The firms are mutually interdependent and hence their
pricing, output and other business policies are always
dependent on their rivals’ reactions.
 A firm’s demand curve in an oligopoly market is
indeterminable, because the output and price are
dependent on the rivals’ reactions.
 Entry is very difficult or impossible.
Classification of Oligopoly
 Based on product differentiation: Based on product
differentiation market can be classified into two types :
 Differentiated oligopoly
 Pure oligopoly
 Differentiated Oligopoly: The firms sell goods that are
similar but not identical. Product differentiation may be
in terms of quality, quantity, services, etc. E.g.
Automobiles, cigarettes, etc.
 Pure Oligopoly: The firms sell homogenous or
standardized goods. E.g. Steel, petrol, and aluminum
Classification of Oligopoly
 Based on Collusion:
 Non-collusive Oligopoly: A market is said to be a
non-collusive oligopoly when the members of
the group compete with one another. E.g.
Automobiles
 Collusive Oligopoly (Cartels): In collusive
oligopoly, the members come to an
understanding among themselves to promote
their common interests. E.g. OPEC and cement
Oligopoly
• Characteristics
Small number of large firms.
Product differentiation may or may not exist
High barriers to entry. Eg. Capital requirements,
government policy, patents, brand names etc.
• Example
• Aviation
• Steel
• Aluminum
• Petrochemicals
The Kinked Demand Curve
Rs/Q
Quantity
MR
D
If the producer lowers price, the
competitors will follow and the
demand will be inelastic.
If the producer raises price & the
& competitors don’t, the
demand will be elastic.
Cost concepts
 The term cost simply means cost of
production.
 It is the expenses incurred in the production
of goods.
 It is the sum of all money-expenses incurred
by a firm in order to produce a commodity.
 Thus it includes all expenses from the time
the raw material are bought till the finished
products reach the wholesaler.
 A managerial economist must have a proper
understanding of the different cost concept
which are essential for clear business thinking.
 The cost concept which are relevant to business
operation and decision can be grouped on the
basis of their propose under two overlapping
categories:
 1. Concept used for accounting purpose
 2. Concept used in economics analysis of the
business
Opportunity Cost
 Opportunity costs are those costs of “displaced
alternatives”.
 It is the cost sacrificed for the next best
alternative.
 They represent only sacrificed alternatives and
hence are not recorded in any financial account.
 The economic principle behind cost in the
modern sense is not the pain or strain involved,
nor the money cost involved in producing a thing.
Fixed Cost and Variable Cost
 Fixed and variable costs are not two distinct
categories; rather they are the two ends of a
continuum.
 In the long-run all costs become variable and
hence this distinction prevails mainly for a
short period.
 It is valid only for a particular set of
circumstances. However, this distinction is
useful in evaluating the effect of short-run
changes in volume, upon costs and profits.
Fixed Costs and Variable Costs
 Fixed costs are costs that don’t change with
the level of output.
 E.g. Director’s Salary, Building etc.
 Variable costs are costs that vary with the
level of output.
 E.g. Raw material, electricity used for
machines etc.
Incremental Cost vs. Sunk Cost
 Incremental cost refers to the additional cost
incurred due to a change in the level or nature of
activity.
 A change in the activity connotes addition of a
product, change in distribution channel,
expansion of market, etc.
 Incremental cost are also known as differential
costs.
 Incremental cost measures the difference
between old and new total costs.
Incremental Cost vs. Sunk Cost
 Sunk costs are the costs which remain
unaltered even after a change in the level or
nature of business activity.
 These are known as specific costs. The best of
the sunk cost is depreciation.
 Incremental cost are very useful in business
decision, but sunk costs appear to be
irrelevant to managerial decisions, as they do
not change with the changing business activity.
Break Even Analysis
 Break-even analysis is a technique widely used
by production management and management
accountants.
 It is based on categorizing production costs
between those which are "variable" (costs that
change when the production output changes)
and those that are "fixed" (costs not directly
related to the volume of production).
 Total variable and fixed costs are compared with
sales revenue in order to determine the level of
sales volume, sales value or production at
which the business makes neither a profit
nor a loss (the "break-even point").
Break Even Point
COST-VOLUME-PROFIT (CVP) ANALYSIS
 CVP analysis examines the interaction of a firm’s sales
volume, selling price, cost structure, and profitability. It is a
powerful tool in making managerial decisions including
marketing, production, investment, and financing
decisions.
 How many units of its products must a firm sell to break
even?
 How many units of its products must a firm sell to earn a
certain amount of profit?
 Should a firm invest in highly automated machinery and
reduce its labor force?
 Should a firm advertise more to improve its sales?
Cost-Volume-Profit Model
Net Income (NI) = Total Revenue – Total Cost
Total Revenue = Selling Price Per Unit (P) * Number of
Units Sold (X)
Total Cost = Total Variable Cost + Total Fixed Cost (F)
Total Variable Cost = Variable Cost Per Unit (V) * Number
of Units Sold (X)
NI = P X – V X – F
NI = X (P – V) – F
One Product Cost-Volume-Profit Model
Net Income (NI) = Total Revenue – Total Cost
Total Revenue = Selling Price Per Unit (P) * Number of
Units Sold (X)
Total Cost = Total Variable Cost + Total Fixed Cost (F)
Total Variable Cost = Variable Cost Per Unit (V) * Number
of Units Sold (X)
NI = P X – V X – F
NI = X (P – V) – F
This is an Income Statement
Sales Revenue (P X)
- Variable Costs (V X)
Contribution Margin
- Fixed Costs (F)
Net Income (NI)
Break Even Units
 Breakeven Units =
Fixed Costs
-----------------------------------
Selling Price – Variable Costs
CVP Model – Assumptions
Key assumptions of CVP model
 Selling price is constant
 Costs are linear and can be divided into
variable and fixed elements.
 In multi-product companies, sales mix is
constant
 In manufacturing companies, inventories do
not change.
Risk
 Risk implies future uncertainty about
deviation from expected earnings or
expected outcome.
 Risk measures the uncertainty that an
investor is willing to take to realize a gain
from an investment.
Business Risks Terms
 Risk
 The possibility of a financial loss.
 Risk management
 The process of managing a business’s
exposure to risk in order to achieve business
objectives.
 Business risk
 The possibility of business failure or loss.
Types of Risks
 Speculative risk
 Risking loss to make a profit.
 Possibility of seeing a loss, no change, or
actually making profit
 Examples include
 buying new machinery
 constructing new buildings
 Pure risk
 The possibility of loss to a business without any
possibility of gain
 Economic risks
 Natural risks
 Human risks
Economic Risks
Risks that result from changes in overall business
conditions. Examples of economic risks include:
 Competition – More businesses that would
compete with your business open in the area.
 Changing consumer lifestyles – The lifestyle of
the consumers in your area changes due to new
industry opening or closing, new businesses, etc.
 Population changes – Potential customers
 moving out due to economic downfall
 or moving in due to new economic opportunities
Economic Risks
 Limited usefulness of products - new
products introduce replace your products or
the needs of customers’ needs change
 Inflation – the availability of cash to
customers will reflect in the buying patterns.
 Product obsolescence – products you
offer to the public is not longer needed or
out-of-date.
Economic Risks
 Government regulation – new regulations
can change the status of your products.
Products can be recalled because of safety
measures such as baby products or
medicines.
 Recession – Just as with inflation the
availability of cash affect customer
purchases.
Ways to Reduce Risk
 Purchase property insurance to cover:
 the loss of physical property such as cash,
inventory, vehicles, buildings.
 real property such as buildings, land, and fixtures.
 personal property such as vehicles, clothing,
furniture, jewelry.
 Purchase business interruption insurance
to make up for:
 lost income if a business is shut down for repairs
or rebuilding.
 Allows a business owner to continue to pay rent,
salaries, and other key payments.
Ways to Transfer Risk
 Purchase casualty insurance to:
 Protects a business from lawsuits.
 Pays the claim if a person is injured on your business
premises or if a worker causes damage
 Types of casualty insurance
 Errors-and-omissions insurance: Protects businesses from
lawsuits resulting from mistakes in advertising.
 Product liability insurance: Protects manufacturers from
claims for injuries that result from using their products.
 Fidelity bonds: Protect companies from employee theft.
 Performance bonds: Protect a business if work is not finished
on time or as agreed.
Ways to Transfer Risk
 Purchase life insurance to:
 Pay a business in the event of the insured
person’s death.
 Covers owner(s) and key management
employees
Business Risk Retention
 Businesses is self-insurance against
business loss.
 If a business cannot or does not provide for
ways to transfer risk using one of the described
means, the business should set aside money
each month to help cover the costs should a
loss occur.
 Planning for the unexpected, can save a
business.
Hedging
 A hedge is an investment to reduce the risk
of adverse price movements in an asset.
 Normally, a hedge consists of taking an
offsetting position in a related security, such
as a futures contract.
 Eg. Virgin Atlantic’s strategy of hedging for oil
prices.
 Wheat growers and bread manufacturers.
Diversification
 Diversification is a risk management
technique that mixes a wide variety of
investments within a portfolio.
 The rationale behind this technique contends
that a portfolio constructed of different kinds
of investments will, on average, yield higher
returns and pose a lower risk than any
individual investment found within the
portfolio.
Decision Tree Analysis
 A decision tree is a decision support tool that
uses a tree-like graph or model of decisions
and their possible consequences, including
chance event outcomes, resource costs, and
utility.
 It is one way to display an algorithm that only
contains conditional control statements.
Using Decision Trees
 Can be used as visual aids to structure
and solve sequential decision problems
 Especially beneficial when the
complexity of the problem grows
Decision Trees
 Three types of “nodes”
 Decision nodes - represented by squares (□)
 Chance nodes - represented by circles (Ο)
 Terminal nodes - represented by triangles (optional)
 Solving the tree involves pruning all but the best
decisions at decision nodes, and finding expected
values of all possible states of nature at chance
nodes
 Create the tree from left to right
 Solve the tree from right to left
Example Decision Tree
Decision
node
Chance
node Event 1
Event 2
Event 3

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Eco

  • 1. The Market Forces of Supply and Demand BY : REVA MITTAL
  • 2. The Market Forces of Supply and Demand Supply and demand are the two words that economists use most often. Supply and demand are the forces that make market economies work. Modern microeconomics is about supply, demand, and market equilibrium.
  • 3. Markets A market is a group of buyers and sellers of a particular good or service. The terms supply and demand refer to the behavior of people . . . as they interact with one another in markets.
  • 4. Markets  Buyers determine demand.  Sellers determine supply.
  • 5. Demand Quantity demanded is the amount of a good that buyers are willing and able to purchase.
  • 6. Law of Demand The law of demand states that, ceteris paribus, there is an inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded.
  • 7. Demand Schedule The demand schedule is a table that shows the relationship between the price of the good and the quantity demanded.
  • 8. Demand Schedule Price Quantity 0.00 12 0.50 10 1.00 8 1.50 6 2.00 4 2.50 2 3.00 0
  • 9. Demand Curve The demand curve is the downward- sloping line relating price to quantity demanded.
  • 10. Demand Curve Rs.3 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1211 Price Quantity of Ice-Creams0 Price Quantity 0.00 12 0.50 10 1.00 8 1.50 6 2.00 4 2.50 2 3.00 0
  • 11. Ceteris Paribus Ceteris paribus is a Latin phrase that means all variables other than the ones being studied are assumed to be constant. Literally, ceteris paribus means “other things being equal.” The demand curve slopes downward because, ceteris paribus, lower prices imply a greater quantity demanded!
  • 12. Ceteris Paribus  Ceteris Paribus means “other things being equal”. What other things?  Consumer income.  Consumer preferences.  Fashion.  Population.  Price of related goods.  Government policies.  Weather conditions.
  • 13. Market Demand Market demand refers to the sum of all individual demands for a particular good or service.
  • 14. Determinants of Demand Market price : A larger quantity is demanded at a lower price & vice versa. Tastes, habits and preferences : Demand depends upon a persons tastes, habits and preferences. Demand for ice – creams, bhel – puri etc depends upon an individual’s tastes. Tea, betal leafs, tobacco etc is a matter of habits. People with different tastes & habits have different preferences. A strict veg. will have no demand for fish and a person who likes non – veg will purchase fish even at a high price.
  • 15. Determinants of Demand  Expectations : If a consumer expects that the prices of a product are going to rise in future, the demand may increase and vice – versa. Consumer income : A rich consumer demands more goods than a poor consumer.
  • 16. Determinants of Demand  Prices of related goods ( substitutes and complementary ) : When a desire or a want can be satisfied by alternative similar goods, they are called as substitutes. Eg. Peas and beans, groundnut oil and mustard oil, tea or coffee, jowar or bajra etc.  Demand for a commodity depends on the relative prices of the substitutes. There will be more demand for a commodity if it’s substitutes are highly priced.
  • 17. Determinants of Demand  Complementary products : When, in order to satisfy a given want, two or more goods are needed in combination, these goods are referred to as complementary goods. Eg. car and petrol, pen and ink, shoes and socks, guns and bullets.  Complementary goods are always in Joint Demand. Thus, when the price of a complementary product will fall, the demand for its complementary product will increase.
  • 18. Change in Quantity Demanded versus Change in Demand Change in Quantity Demanded Movement along the demand curve. Caused by a change in the price of the product.
  • 19. Changes in Quantity Demanded 0 D1 Price of Cigarettes Number of Cigarettes A tax that raises the price of cigarettes results in a movement along the demand curve. A C 20 2.00 Rs.4. 00 12
  • 20. Change in Quantity Demanded versus Change in Demand Change in Demand A shift in the demand curve, either to the left or right. Caused by a change in a determinant other than the price.
  • 21. Changes in Demand 0 D1 Price Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones D3 D2 Increase in demand Decrease in demand
  • 22. Law of Supply The law of supply states that, ceteris paribus, there is a direct (positive) relationship between price and quantity supplied.
  • 23. Supply Quantity supplied is the amount of a good that sellers are willing and able to sell.
  • 24. Supply Schedule The supply schedule is a table that shows the relationship between the price of the good and the quantity supplied.
  • 25. Supply Schedule Price Quantity Rs.0.0 0 0.50 0 1.00 1 1.50 2 2.00 3 2.50 4 3.00 5
  • 26. Supply Curve The supply curve is the upward- sloping line relating price to quantity supplied.
  • 27. Supply Curve Rs.3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1211 Price Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 0 Price Quantity 0.00 0 0.50 0 1.00 1 1.50 2 2.00 3 2.50 4 3.00 5
  • 28. Market Supply Market supply refers to the sum of all individual supplies for all sellers of a particular good or service.
  • 29. Change in Quantity Supplied versus Change in Supply Change in Quantity Supplied Movement along the supply curve. Caused by a change in the market price of the product.
  • 30. Change in Quantity Supplied 1 5 Price Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 0 S 1.00 A C Rs.3.00 A rise in the price of ice cream cones results in a movement along the supply curve.
  • 31. Change in Quantity Supplied versus Change in Supply Change in Supply A shift in the supply curve, either to the left or right. Caused by a change in a determinant other than price.
  • 32. Change in Supply Price Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 0 S1 S2 S3 Increase in Supply Decrease in Supply
  • 33. Shifts in Curves versus Movements along Curves A shift in the supply curve is called a change in supply. A movement along a fixed supply curve is called a change in quantity supplied. A shift in the demand curve is called a change in demand. A movement along a fixed demand curve is called a change in quantity demanded.
  • 34. Supply and Demand Together Equilibrium Price The price that balances supply and demand. On a graph, it is the price at which the supply and demand curves intersect. Equilibrium Quantity The quantity that balances supply and demand. On a graph it is the quantity at which the supply and demand curves intersect.
  • 35. Supply and Demand Together Price Quantity Rs 0 0 0.50 0 1.00 1 1.50 4 2.00 7 2.50 10 3.00 13 Price Quantity Rs 0 19 0.50 16 1.00 13 1.50 10 2.00 7 2.50 4 3.00 1 Demand Schedule Supply Schedule At Rs.2.00, the quantity demanded is equal to the quantity supplied!
  • 36. Supply Demand Price of Ice-Cream Cone Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Equilibrium of Supply and Demand 21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12110 Rs.3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Equilibrium
  • 37. Price of Ice-Cream Cone Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 21 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12110 Rs.3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Supply Demand Surplus Excess Supply
  • 38. Surplus When the price is above the equilibrium price, the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded. There is excess supply or a surplus. Suppliers will lower the price to increase sales, thereby moving toward equilibrium.
  • 39. Excess Demand Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Price of Ice-Cream Cone Rs.2.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Supply Demand Rs.1.50 Shortage
  • 40. Shortage When the price is below the equilibrium price, the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. There is excess demand or a shortage. Suppliers will raise the price due to too many buyers chasing too few goods, thereby moving toward equilibrium.
  • 41. How an Increase in Demand Affects the Equilibrium Price of Ice-Cream Cone 2.00 0 7 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Supply Initial equilibrium D1 1. Hot weather increases the demand for ice cream... D2 2. ...resulting in a higher price... Rs.2.50 10 3. ...and a higher quantity sold. New equilibrium
  • 42. S2 How a Decrease in Supply Affects the Equilibrium Price of Ice-Cream Cone 2.00 0 1 2 3 4 7 8 9 11 12 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 13 Demand Initial equilibrium S1 10 1. Shortage of milk reduces the supply of ice cream... New equilibrium 2. ...resulting in a higher price... Rs.2.50 3. ...and a lower quantity sold.
  • 43. Elasticity – The concept  The responsiveness of one variable to changes in another  When price rises what happens to demand?  Demand falls  BUT!  How much does demand fall?
  • 44. Elasticity – The concept  If price rises by 10% - what happens to demand?  We know demand will fall  By more than 10%?  By less than 10%?  Elasticity measures the extent to which demand will change
  • 45. Elasticity . . .  … is a measure of how much buyers and sellers respond to changes in market conditions  … allows us to analyze supply and demand with greater precision.
  • 46. Price Elasticity of Demand Price elasticity of demand is the percentage change in quantity demanded given a percent change in the price. It is a measure of how much the quantity demanded of a good responds to a change in the price of that good.
  • 47. Determinants of Elasticity  Time period – the longer the time under consideration the more elastic a good is likely to be.  Number and closeness of substitutes – the greater the number of substitutes, the more elastic the demand.  The proportion of income taken up by the product – the smaller the proportion the more inelastic  Luxury or Necessity – necessary goods have inelastic demand vs. luxury goods have elastic demand. E.g. Salt vs. luxury cars.
  • 48. Determinants of Price Elasticity of Demand Demand tends to be more elastic : if the good is a luxury. the longer the time period. the larger the number of close substitutes. If the consumer is spending large portion of his income on the product.
  • 49. Determinants of Price Elasticity of Demand Demand tends to be more elastic : if the good is a luxury. the longer the time period. the larger the number of close substitutes. If the consumer is spending large portion of his income on the product.
  • 50. Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand The price elasticity of demand is computed as the percentage change in the quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price. Price Elasticity of Demand = Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded Percentage Change in Price Price Elasticity of Demand = Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded Percentage Change in Price The Percentage Method
  • 51. Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand priceinchangePercentage demandedquatityinchangePercentage demandofelasticityPrice  Example: If the price of an ice cream increases from 2.00 to 2.20 and the amount you buy falls from 10 to 8 then your elasticity of demand would be calculated as: 2 percent10 percent20 100 002 002202 100 10 810      . )..( )(
  • 52. Ranges of Elasticity Perfectly Inelastic Quantity demanded does not respond at all to price changes. Inelastic Demand Quantity demanded does not respond strongly to price changes. Price elasticity of demand is less than one.
  • 53. Ranges of Elasticity Unit Elastic Quantity demanded changes by the same percentage as the price. Elastic Demand Quantity demanded responds strongly to changes in price. Price elasticity of demand is greater than one. Perfectly Elastic Quantity demanded changes infinitely with any change in price.
  • 54. A Variety of Demand Curves  Because the price elasticity of demand measures how much quantity demanded responds to the price, it is closely related to the slope of the demand curve.
  • 55. Perfectly Inelastic Demand - Elasticity equals 0 Quantity Price 4 5 Demand 100 2. ...leaves the quantity demanded unchanged. 1. An increase in price...
  • 56. Inelastic Demand - Elasticity is less than 1 Quantity Price 4 5 1. A 25% increase in price... 10090 2. ...leads to a 10% decrease in quantity.
  • 57. Unit Elastic Demand - Elasticity equals 1 Quantity Price 4 51. A 25% increase in price... 10075 2. ...leads to a 25% decrease in quantity.
  • 58. Elastic Demand - Elasticity is greater than 1 Quantity Price 4 5 1. A 25% increase in price... 10050 2. ...leads to a 50% decrease in quantity.
  • 59. Perfectly Elastic Demand - Elasticity equals infinity Quantity Price Demand4 1. At any price above 4, quantity demanded is zero. 2. At exactly 4, consumers will buy any quantity. 3. At a price below 4, quantity demanded is infinite.
  • 60. Elasticity Price Quantity Demanded D The importance of elasticity is the information it provides on the effect on total revenue of changes in price. 5 100 Total revenue is price x quantity sold. In this example, TR = 5 x 100 = 500. This value is represented by the shaded rectangle. Total Revenue
  • 61. Elasticity Price Quantity Demanded D If the firm decides to decrease price to (say) 3, the degree of price elasticity of the demand curve would determine the extent of the increase in demand and the change therefore in total revenue. 5 100 3 140 Total Revenue
  • 62. Elasticity Price Quantity Demanded 10 D 5 5 6 % Δ Price = -50% % Δ Quantity Demanded = +20% Ped = -0.4 (Inelastic) Total Revenue would fall Producer decides to lower price to attract sales Not a good move!
  • 63. Elasticity Price (£) Quantity Demanded D 10 5 20 Producer decides to reduce price to increase sales 7 % Δ in Price = - 30% % Δ in Demand = + 300% Ped = - 10 (Elastic) Total Revenue rises Good Move!
  • 64. Elasticity  If demand is price elastic:  Increasing price would reduce TR (%Δ Qd > % Δ P)  Reducing price would increase TR (%Δ Qd > % Δ P)  If demand is price inelastic:  Increasing price would increase TR (%Δ Qd < % Δ P)  Reducing price would reduce TR (%Δ Qd < % Δ P)
  • 65. Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand ( Other methods)  Price elasticity of demand can also be calculated by a few other methods. These methods are :  Total Outlay Method  Midpoint Formula  Geometric Method
  • 66. Total Outlay Method  This method, measures the change on expenditure on commodities due to a change in price.  If a given change does not cause any change in the total amount spent on the commodity, the demand is said to be unitary elastic.  If the total expenditure increases due to fall in price, the demand is said to be elastic and vice versa.
  • 67. Demand is Unitary elastic Price ( in Rs.) Quantity demanded Total expenditure 4.50 4 18 4.00 4.5 18 3.00 6 18 As price falls, the quantity demanded increases, But the total outlay remains constant. Hence, elasticity of demand is equal to unity.
  • 68. Demand is Elastic Price ( in Rs.) Quantity demanded Total expenditure 4.50 6 27 4 7 28 3 10 30 As price falls, the quantity demanded increases, And the total outlay also increases. Hence, demand is elastic. ( Greater than unity)
  • 69. Demand is inelastic Price ( in Rs.) Quantity demanded Total expenditure 4.50 4 18 4 4.25 17 3 5 15 As price falls, the quantity demanded increases, but the total outlay decreases. Hence, demand is inelastic. ( Lesser than unity)
  • 70. Midpoint Formula The midpoint formula is preferable when calculating the price elasticity of demand because it gives the same answer regardless of the direction of the change. )/ 2 ]P)/ [(PP(P )/ 2 ]Q)/ [(QQ(Q =D e m a n do fE la s t ic it yP rice 1212 1212  
  • 71. Geometric method  Elasticity at a point on a straight line demand curve can be calculated as follows :  e = Length of the lower segment -------------------------------------------------- Length of the upper segment  At the midpoint of the demand curve e = 1  At all points above the midpoint e >1  At all points below the midpoint e < 1
  • 72. Geometric Method  At the point M, the demand curve is unit elastic. M is the midpoint of this linear demand curve  Above M, demand is elastic,  Below M, demand is inelastic Price Quantity M Elasticity = 1 Elasticity > 1 Elasticity < 1
  • 73. Income elasticity of Demand  Income elasticity of demand incomeinchangePercentage demandedquatityinchangePercentage =
  • 74. Cross Elasticity of Demand  Cross Elasticity:  The responsiveness of demand of one good to changes in the price of a related good – either a substitute or a complement Price Elasticity of Demand = in Quantity Demanded Percentage Cross Elasticity of Demand = Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded of good X Percentage Change in Price of good Y
  • 75. Demand Forecasting  A forecast is a prediction or anticipation of any event which is likely to happen in future.  Demand forecast is the prediction of the future demand for a firm’s product.
  • 76. Forecasts are necessary for :  Scheduling of the production process.  Preparations of budgets.  Manpower Planning.  Setting targets of sales executives.  Advertising & promotion decisions.  Decisions about expansion of a firm.  Other decisions like long term investment plans, warehousing and inventory decisions.
  • 77. Methods of Demand forecasting  There are two different sets of methods for demand forecasting :  Interview & survey methods ( for short term forecasts )  Projection Approach ( for long term forecasts )
  • 78. Demand Forecasting Methods FORECASTING METHODS Survey Method Statistical Method Opinion Survey Consumers' Interview Trend projection Brometric method Correlation & Regression Complete enumeration Sample survey End-use method
  • 79. Interview and Survey approach  To anticipate the demand for a product, information needs to be collected about the expected expenditure patterns of consumers.  Depending on the various approaches to collect this information, different sub – methods are formulated.  We will study them one by one.
  • 80. Interview and Survey approach  Executive Opinion :  In small companies, usually the owner takes the responsibility of forecasting.  As a result of the experience and knowledge he is expected to have, he can predict what would be the course of activities in future and plan his own activities accordingly.
  • 81. Interview and Survey approach  Opinion polling method : Information about the consumer’s expenditure can be collected either by the market research department or through the wholesalers and retailers.  As a result of technological advancements, it is now possible to collect this information by the means of internet.
  • 82. Interview and Survey approach  Collective opinion method : Jury is a group of individuals, usually the top bosses or sales, production, marketing managers having experience in different fields. The advantage of this method is that instead of basing the forecast on the opinion of one single individual, a more accurate forecast can be drawn.
  • 83. Interview and Survey approach  Sample survey method :  The total number of customers of a company is called as its population. When this number is more, it is not possible to collect information for all the customers. When only a few customers are contacted, it is called as a Sample Survey.
  • 84. User’s Expectations  Consumer and industrial companies often poll their actual or potential customers.  Some Industrial manufacturers ask about the quantities of products their customers may purchase in future and take this as their forecast.
  • 85. Delphi Method Administering a series of questionnaires to panels of experts. This method gathers information from all experts and the opinion of all the experts is shared by all other experts. In case if an expert finds that his own forecast is unrealistic, after going through the opinion of other experts, there is a chance for corrections.
  • 86. Projection Approach  In this method, the past experience is projected for the future. This can be done by two methods :  Correlation or regression analysis.  Time series analysis.
  • 87. Past sales can be used to forecast future demand. Past sales are viewed from the angles of trends, various cycles of business, seasonality and then a forecast is drawn after checking the possibility of the same treads, cycles and seasonality factors. This method is easy to use, it is based on past behavior and does not include new company, competitor or macroeconomic developments. Classical approach to time series analysis:
  • 88. Naïve Method Next Year’s Sales = This Year’s Sales X This Year’s Sales Last Year’s Sales
  • 89. Moving Average Moving averages are used to allow for marketplace factors changing at different rates and at different times.
  • 90. PERIOD SALES VOLUME SALES FOR THREE-YEAR PERIOD THREE-YEAR MOVING AVERAGE 1 200 2 250 3 300 750 4 350 900 300 5 450 1100 ( 3) = 366.6 6 ? Period 6 Forecast = 366.6 EXAMPLE OF MOVING-AVERAGE FORECAST
  • 91. Trend Projections – Least Squares Eyeball fitting is simply a plot of the data with a line drawn through them that the forecaster feels most accurately fits the linear trend of the data.
  • 92. 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1984 Time 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Observed Sales Forecast Sales Sales Trend Line A TREND FORECAST OF SALES
  • 93. Market Structures  Market structure refers to the number and size of buyers and sellers in the market for a good or service.  A market can be defined as a group of firms willing and able to sell a similar product or service to the same potential buyers.
  • 94. Classification of market structures  4 broad categories – 1. Perfect competition 2. Monopoly 3. Monopolistic competition 4. Oligopoly
  • 95. Major features that determine market structure  Number of sellers  Product differentiation  Entry and exit conditions
  • 96. Features of the four market structures Type of market Number of firms Freedom of entry Nature of product Examples Implications for demand curve faced by firm Perfect competition Large ( 30+) Unrestricted Homogeneous (undifferentiated) Potatoes, Eggs (approximately) Horizontal: firm is a price taker Monopolistic competition Many ( 10 - 30) Unrestricted Differentiated Builders, restaurants Downward sloping, but relatively elastic Oligopoly Few but Large ( 02–10) Restricted Undifferentiated or differentiated Cement cars, electrical appliances Downward sloping. inelastic or elastic (depends on reactions of rivals) Monopoly One Restricted or completely blocked Unique Indian railways, Local electricity co etc Downward sloping: more inelastic. Firm has a fair control over price
  • 97. Important Concepts before we move forward with market Structures  Short-run:  Period of time in which quantities of one or more production factors cannot be changed.  These inputs are called fixed inputs.  Long-run  Amount of time needed to make all production inputs variable. The Short Run versus the Long Run
  • 98. Cost Concepts  TOTAL COST – Total Fixed Cost + Total Variable Cost. TC = TFC + TVC  AVERAGE COST - tells us how much is the cost of producing a typical unit. AC = TC/ Q  MARGINAL COST - is the change in total cost from an additional unit produced MC =TC/ Q
  • 100. Revenue Concepts  TOTAL REVENUE - for a firm is the selling price times the quantity sold. TR = (P X Q)  AVERAGE REVENUE - tells us how much revenue a firm receives for the typical unit sold. AR = TR / Q  MARGINAL REVENUE - revenue is the change in total revenue from an additional unit sold. MR =TR/ Q
  • 101. Profit  Normal Profit : That part of the cost which is paid to the entrepreneur as a part of his compensation.  Super-normal Profit : The profit that the entrepreneur may get over and above the compensation that he receives from the firm, for his contribution.
  • 102. What we analyze in all graphs of Market Structures…  AR, MR  AC, MC  Profit Maximization Point - The point where MR = MC ( Profit maximum ) and MC is rising.  Q* ( Equilibrium Output )  P* ( Equilibrium Price )
  • 103. Perfect competition  Features – 1. Large number of buyers and sellers 2. Products are perfect substitutes of each other; homogeneous products 3. Free entry and exit from the market 4. Perfect knowledge of the market to both buyers and sellers 5. No govt. intervention 6. Transport cost are negligible hence don’t affect pricing.
  • 104. The Meaning of Competition  As a result of its characteristics, the perfectly competitive market has the following outcomes:  The actions of any single buyer or seller in the market have a negligible impact on the market price.  Each buyer and seller takes the market price as given.
  • 105. Total, Average, and Marginal Revenue for a Competitive Firm Quantity Price TR P x Q AR TR / Q MR TR / Q 1 6 6 6 6 2 6 12 6 6 3 6 18 6 6 4 6 24 6 6 5 6 30 6 6 6 6 36 6 6 7 6 42 6 6
  • 107. O Rs. (b) Firm Q (thousands) O (a) Industry P Q (millions) S D Pe MC AR/P D = AR = MR Qe AC C Short-run equilibrium of industry and firm under perfect competition E B A
  • 108. Qe P1 D1 = AR1 = MR1 AR1 O O (a) Industry P Rs Q (millions) S D (b) Firm MC AC AC Q (thousands) Loss under perfect competition
  • 109. Rs QO (SR)AC (LR)MC LRAC AR = MR DL P = AR = MR = MC = AC Long-run equilibrium of the firm under perfect competition
  • 110. Monopoly  A monopoly has only one seller, who is able to influence the total supply and price of the goods and services.  Further, there are no close substitutes for the goods produced by the monopolist and there are barriers to entry.  This single seller represents the entire Industry.  Hence, this firm is called as a Price Maker.
  • 111. Main factors that lead to monopoly are:  Ownership of strategic raw materials and exclusive technical know-how  Possession of product/process patent rights  Acquisition of government license to procure certain goods  High entry costs  Governments themselves produce some commodities to avoid consumer exploitation
  • 112. Revenues for a firm facing a downward-sloping demand curve Q (units) P = AR (Rs) TR (Rs) MR (Rs) 1 8 8 6 2 7 14 4 3 6 18 2 4 5 20 0 5 4 20 –2 6 3 18 –4 7 2 14
  • 113. 6.00 4.50 -4 0 4 8 12 16 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 T O T A L P R O F I T MR Quantity Costsandrevenue(Rs) MC AC AR b a Measuring the maximum profit using average curves Total profit = Rs1.50 x 3 = Rs4.50
  • 114. Price Discrimination  A Monopoly can discriminate between different buyers by charging them different prices because it has control over the price and customers have no choice.  It is a situation when a firm charges different prices for the same product when the difference in price is not based on the difference in costs.  The cost curves of the firm are same but the demand and revenue curves are different.
  • 115. First Degree Price Discrimination  This is a situation where a Monopolist charges a different price for each customer for each unit separately.  Eg. In a town, if there is only one cardiac surgeon, he may charge different rates from different customers, may be based on their paying capacity, for a bypass surgery.
  • 116. Second Degree Price Discrimination  Here, the monopolist charges different prices for different batches or blocks of units of the same product.  E.g. A monopoly electric company can charge one rate per unit for the first 1000 units and then decrease the rate per unit for the subsequent batches of 500 units.  Here, the per unit price remains the same for all the units in one batch and changes batch-wise.
  • 117. Third degree Price Discrimination  Here, the monopoly firm divides the entire market into two or more different groups and charges a different price for each different group.  Eg. Indian Railways has different charges for senior citizens, kids below 12 years, cancer patients, sports teams etc.  Electric companies have different rates for farmers, commercial users, domestic users etc.
  • 118. Characters of Monopolistic competition  Product Differentiation: A monopolistic market consists of relatively large number of sellers, each satisfying a relatively small share of total market for similar, but not identical goods, such that each firm has a very little control over market price.  Example: Pepsodent & Colgate; Lux, Cinthol & Santoor, etc.  Product differentiation can be done on the parameters of Product Quality, Services, Location, Promotion and packaging.
  • 119. Characters of Monopolistic competition  No interdependence: The presence of numerous firms with differentiated products ensures no mutual interdependence among them. Rivals’ reactions can be ignored as their impact on other firms is very small and there is no reason for these firms to react. Example: Aiwa & BPL  Relative Freedom: Under monopolistic competition, firms have relative freedom to enter or exit from the market.  Industrial Examples: Toilet soaps, toothpastes, restaurants, retail trade, etc.
  • 120. Selling Costs  Product differentiation is the important feature of monopolistically competitive markets. Product differentiation, which arises because of factors like brand names, quality, services, etc, enables the sellers to sell the goods at a higher price. But to create product differentiation, the firm incurs some additional expenditure in the form of advertising cost, product development cost, servicing cost, etc.  Thus, average cost of the monopolistically competitive firms will rise due to incurrence of additional costs - product development and advertisements, etc. This shifts the average cost curve up and consequently the consumer has to pay a higher price for the goods.  Thus, in monopolistically competitive markets the average unit cost is given by  [Production cost + Selling cost]/Output
  • 121. Demand Curve of Monopolistic Competition  Unlike the demand curve of a perfectly competitive firm, which is perfectly elastic, the demand curve of a firm operating under conditions of monopolistic competition is highly, but not perfectly, elastic due to product differentiation.  However, since a large number of firms sell closely substitutable products, it is much more elastic than a pure monopolist’s demand curve.
  • 122. Demand Curve of Monopolistic Competition  The important reasons of not having perfectly elastic demand curve are:  Presence of few firms (when compared to perfect competition)  Firms produce only close but not perfect substitute products.  Thus, the degree of elasticity of demand of a monopolistically competitive firm depends on the number of rivals and the degree of product differentiation.  Fewer the number of rivals and the greater the degree of product differentiation, the lower is the degree of elasticity.
  • 123. Varity of Demand Curves
  • 124. Rs QO Qs AR  D MC AC MR Short-run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition Ps ACs
  • 125. Long-run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition ARL  DL MRL Rs QO Q1 P1 LRAC LRMC
  • 126. Characteristics of Oligopoly  Only a few firms supply goods for the entire market; the goods may be either homogenous or differentiated.  The firms are mutually interdependent and hence their pricing, output and other business policies are always dependent on their rivals’ reactions.  A firm’s demand curve in an oligopoly market is indeterminable, because the output and price are dependent on the rivals’ reactions.  Entry is very difficult or impossible.
  • 127. Classification of Oligopoly  Based on product differentiation: Based on product differentiation market can be classified into two types :  Differentiated oligopoly  Pure oligopoly  Differentiated Oligopoly: The firms sell goods that are similar but not identical. Product differentiation may be in terms of quality, quantity, services, etc. E.g. Automobiles, cigarettes, etc.  Pure Oligopoly: The firms sell homogenous or standardized goods. E.g. Steel, petrol, and aluminum
  • 128. Classification of Oligopoly  Based on Collusion:  Non-collusive Oligopoly: A market is said to be a non-collusive oligopoly when the members of the group compete with one another. E.g. Automobiles  Collusive Oligopoly (Cartels): In collusive oligopoly, the members come to an understanding among themselves to promote their common interests. E.g. OPEC and cement
  • 129. Oligopoly • Characteristics Small number of large firms. Product differentiation may or may not exist High barriers to entry. Eg. Capital requirements, government policy, patents, brand names etc. • Example • Aviation • Steel • Aluminum • Petrochemicals
  • 130. The Kinked Demand Curve Rs/Q Quantity MR D If the producer lowers price, the competitors will follow and the demand will be inelastic. If the producer raises price & the & competitors don’t, the demand will be elastic.
  • 131. Cost concepts  The term cost simply means cost of production.  It is the expenses incurred in the production of goods.  It is the sum of all money-expenses incurred by a firm in order to produce a commodity.  Thus it includes all expenses from the time the raw material are bought till the finished products reach the wholesaler.
  • 132.  A managerial economist must have a proper understanding of the different cost concept which are essential for clear business thinking.  The cost concept which are relevant to business operation and decision can be grouped on the basis of their propose under two overlapping categories:  1. Concept used for accounting purpose  2. Concept used in economics analysis of the business
  • 133. Opportunity Cost  Opportunity costs are those costs of “displaced alternatives”.  It is the cost sacrificed for the next best alternative.  They represent only sacrificed alternatives and hence are not recorded in any financial account.  The economic principle behind cost in the modern sense is not the pain or strain involved, nor the money cost involved in producing a thing.
  • 134. Fixed Cost and Variable Cost  Fixed and variable costs are not two distinct categories; rather they are the two ends of a continuum.  In the long-run all costs become variable and hence this distinction prevails mainly for a short period.  It is valid only for a particular set of circumstances. However, this distinction is useful in evaluating the effect of short-run changes in volume, upon costs and profits.
  • 135. Fixed Costs and Variable Costs  Fixed costs are costs that don’t change with the level of output.  E.g. Director’s Salary, Building etc.  Variable costs are costs that vary with the level of output.  E.g. Raw material, electricity used for machines etc.
  • 136. Incremental Cost vs. Sunk Cost  Incremental cost refers to the additional cost incurred due to a change in the level or nature of activity.  A change in the activity connotes addition of a product, change in distribution channel, expansion of market, etc.  Incremental cost are also known as differential costs.  Incremental cost measures the difference between old and new total costs.
  • 137. Incremental Cost vs. Sunk Cost  Sunk costs are the costs which remain unaltered even after a change in the level or nature of business activity.  These are known as specific costs. The best of the sunk cost is depreciation.  Incremental cost are very useful in business decision, but sunk costs appear to be irrelevant to managerial decisions, as they do not change with the changing business activity.
  • 138. Break Even Analysis  Break-even analysis is a technique widely used by production management and management accountants.  It is based on categorizing production costs between those which are "variable" (costs that change when the production output changes) and those that are "fixed" (costs not directly related to the volume of production).  Total variable and fixed costs are compared with sales revenue in order to determine the level of sales volume, sales value or production at which the business makes neither a profit nor a loss (the "break-even point").
  • 140. COST-VOLUME-PROFIT (CVP) ANALYSIS  CVP analysis examines the interaction of a firm’s sales volume, selling price, cost structure, and profitability. It is a powerful tool in making managerial decisions including marketing, production, investment, and financing decisions.  How many units of its products must a firm sell to break even?  How many units of its products must a firm sell to earn a certain amount of profit?  Should a firm invest in highly automated machinery and reduce its labor force?  Should a firm advertise more to improve its sales?
  • 141. Cost-Volume-Profit Model Net Income (NI) = Total Revenue – Total Cost Total Revenue = Selling Price Per Unit (P) * Number of Units Sold (X) Total Cost = Total Variable Cost + Total Fixed Cost (F) Total Variable Cost = Variable Cost Per Unit (V) * Number of Units Sold (X) NI = P X – V X – F NI = X (P – V) – F
  • 142. One Product Cost-Volume-Profit Model Net Income (NI) = Total Revenue – Total Cost Total Revenue = Selling Price Per Unit (P) * Number of Units Sold (X) Total Cost = Total Variable Cost + Total Fixed Cost (F) Total Variable Cost = Variable Cost Per Unit (V) * Number of Units Sold (X) NI = P X – V X – F NI = X (P – V) – F This is an Income Statement Sales Revenue (P X) - Variable Costs (V X) Contribution Margin - Fixed Costs (F) Net Income (NI)
  • 143. Break Even Units  Breakeven Units = Fixed Costs ----------------------------------- Selling Price – Variable Costs
  • 144. CVP Model – Assumptions Key assumptions of CVP model  Selling price is constant  Costs are linear and can be divided into variable and fixed elements.  In multi-product companies, sales mix is constant  In manufacturing companies, inventories do not change.
  • 145. Risk  Risk implies future uncertainty about deviation from expected earnings or expected outcome.  Risk measures the uncertainty that an investor is willing to take to realize a gain from an investment.
  • 146. Business Risks Terms  Risk  The possibility of a financial loss.  Risk management  The process of managing a business’s exposure to risk in order to achieve business objectives.  Business risk  The possibility of business failure or loss.
  • 147. Types of Risks  Speculative risk  Risking loss to make a profit.  Possibility of seeing a loss, no change, or actually making profit  Examples include  buying new machinery  constructing new buildings  Pure risk  The possibility of loss to a business without any possibility of gain  Economic risks  Natural risks  Human risks
  • 148. Economic Risks Risks that result from changes in overall business conditions. Examples of economic risks include:  Competition – More businesses that would compete with your business open in the area.  Changing consumer lifestyles – The lifestyle of the consumers in your area changes due to new industry opening or closing, new businesses, etc.  Population changes – Potential customers  moving out due to economic downfall  or moving in due to new economic opportunities
  • 149. Economic Risks  Limited usefulness of products - new products introduce replace your products or the needs of customers’ needs change  Inflation – the availability of cash to customers will reflect in the buying patterns.  Product obsolescence – products you offer to the public is not longer needed or out-of-date.
  • 150. Economic Risks  Government regulation – new regulations can change the status of your products. Products can be recalled because of safety measures such as baby products or medicines.  Recession – Just as with inflation the availability of cash affect customer purchases.
  • 151. Ways to Reduce Risk  Purchase property insurance to cover:  the loss of physical property such as cash, inventory, vehicles, buildings.  real property such as buildings, land, and fixtures.  personal property such as vehicles, clothing, furniture, jewelry.  Purchase business interruption insurance to make up for:  lost income if a business is shut down for repairs or rebuilding.  Allows a business owner to continue to pay rent, salaries, and other key payments.
  • 152. Ways to Transfer Risk  Purchase casualty insurance to:  Protects a business from lawsuits.  Pays the claim if a person is injured on your business premises or if a worker causes damage  Types of casualty insurance  Errors-and-omissions insurance: Protects businesses from lawsuits resulting from mistakes in advertising.  Product liability insurance: Protects manufacturers from claims for injuries that result from using their products.  Fidelity bonds: Protect companies from employee theft.  Performance bonds: Protect a business if work is not finished on time or as agreed.
  • 153. Ways to Transfer Risk  Purchase life insurance to:  Pay a business in the event of the insured person’s death.  Covers owner(s) and key management employees
  • 154. Business Risk Retention  Businesses is self-insurance against business loss.  If a business cannot or does not provide for ways to transfer risk using one of the described means, the business should set aside money each month to help cover the costs should a loss occur.  Planning for the unexpected, can save a business.
  • 155. Hedging  A hedge is an investment to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in an asset.  Normally, a hedge consists of taking an offsetting position in a related security, such as a futures contract.  Eg. Virgin Atlantic’s strategy of hedging for oil prices.  Wheat growers and bread manufacturers.
  • 156. Diversification  Diversification is a risk management technique that mixes a wide variety of investments within a portfolio.  The rationale behind this technique contends that a portfolio constructed of different kinds of investments will, on average, yield higher returns and pose a lower risk than any individual investment found within the portfolio.
  • 157. Decision Tree Analysis  A decision tree is a decision support tool that uses a tree-like graph or model of decisions and their possible consequences, including chance event outcomes, resource costs, and utility.  It is one way to display an algorithm that only contains conditional control statements.
  • 158. Using Decision Trees  Can be used as visual aids to structure and solve sequential decision problems  Especially beneficial when the complexity of the problem grows
  • 159. Decision Trees  Three types of “nodes”  Decision nodes - represented by squares (□)  Chance nodes - represented by circles (Ο)  Terminal nodes - represented by triangles (optional)  Solving the tree involves pruning all but the best decisions at decision nodes, and finding expected values of all possible states of nature at chance nodes  Create the tree from left to right  Solve the tree from right to left