The Digital Agenda for Europe (DAE) 2020 calls for ubiquitous coverage of households in all EU Member States with a minimum broadband access of 30 Mbps, and subscriptions to 100 Mbps access for half of them. This report provides its readers with an inventory of NGA network coverage for each EU Member State as well as cost scenarios ' with a breakdown by technology and by population density (urban, peri-urban, rural) ' to reach the DAE targets. ' What is the current status of NGA networks in the European Union' What overlap is there between the different network architectures'' What are the possible cost scenarios for reaching the DAE by end-2020' What are the minimum and maximum costs for this' ' Which technology implies what cost for NGA deployment' ' What role is there for new copper technologies such as vectoring'> This report ships with its database providing detailed figures for each EU27 Member State
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NGA deployment costs
Published on November 2012
Report Summary
The Digital Agenda for Europe (DAE) 2020 calls for ubiquitous coverage of households in all EU Member States with a minimum
broadband access of 30 Mbps, and subscriptions to 100 Mbps access for half of them. This report provides its readers with an
inventory of NGA network coverage for each EU Member State as well as cost scenarios ' with a breakdown by technology and by
population density (urban, peri-urban, rural) ' to reach the DAE targets.
' What is the current status of NGA networks in the European Union' What overlap is there between the different network
architectures'
' What are the possible cost scenarios for reaching the DAE by end-2020' What are the minimum and maximum costs for this'
' Which technology implies what cost for NGA deployment'
' What role is there for new copper technologies such as vectoring'
> This report ships with its database providing detailed figures for each EU27 Member State
Table of Content
Content
1. Executive Summary ... 5
1.1. NGA coverage in EU27 at end 2011 6
1.2. Scenarios for the Digital Agenda. 8
1.3. Conclusions... 9
2. Methodology... 10
3. The market in 2011 ... 12
3.1. The FTTx market in 2011 12
3.2. NGA Coverage in the EU27 by the end of 2011 13
4. Scenarios... 18
4.1. Base case scenario .... 21
4.2. 'Wireless' scenario 26
4.3. Vectoring scenario 30
4.4. FTTH/B scenarios . 33
5. Conclusion: a massive investment challenge 37
6. Model assumptions.. 39
6.1. The 'wireless' model... 39
6.2. The wireline model 40
7. Public Initiatives to promote NGA ' Status .... 42
7.1. US National Broadband Plan .... 42
7.2. New Zealand Crown Fibre Holdings ... 43
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7.3. UK Superfast Broadband Plan .. 45
7.4. France: National ultra-fast broadband programme . 46Next Gen Access Networks deployment costs
Tables
Table 1: FTTx Homes Passed in the EU27, factoring in network overlap, end of 2011 ... 7
Table 2: Subscribers in EU27 at end 2011, by NGA architecture .... 12
Table 3: FTTx Homes Passed in the EU27, factoring in network overlap, end of 2011 . 15
Table 4: Objectives of national broadband plans diverging from Digital Agenda for Europe ... 19
Table 5: Base case scenario: breakdown of FTTLA and FTTH/B rollout (2011-2020), by
population density.. 23
Table 6: Base case scenario: Cost of reaching DAE goals - 30 and 100 Mbps... 25
Table 7: 'Wireless' scenario: breakdown of LTE rollout (2011-2020), by population density ... 28
Table 8: 'Wireless' scenario: Cost of reaching DAE goals - 30 and 100 Mbps .... 29
Table 9: 'Vectoring' scenario: breakdown of VDSL vectoring rollout (2011-2020), by population
density .... 31
Table 10: 'Vectoring' scenario: Cost of reaching DAE goals - 30 and 100 Mbps... 32
Table 11: Cost of FTTH/B scenarios 35
Table12: Cost modelling parameters ... 41
Figures
Figure 1: Comparison of scenario costs. 5
Figure 2: Ranking of EU27 countries by their corrected FTTx household coverage rates (estimate
of overlapping architectures), end of 2011 17
Figure 3: Digital Agenda targets. 18
Figure 4: Assumption on technologies capabilities of meeting DAE targets .... 20
Figure 5: Base case scenario: coverage by technology 21
Figure 6: Base case scenario: 2011-2020 remaining coverage, by technology .... 22
Figure 7: Base case: cost of reaching DAE targets.. 26
Figure 8: 'Wireless' scenario: coverage by technology . 27
Figure 9: 'Wireless' scenario: 2011-2020 remaining coverage, by technology 27
Figure 10: 'Wireless': cost of reaching DAE targets ... 30
Figure 11: 'Vectoring' scenario: 2011-2020 remaining coverage, by technology .... 31
Figure 12: 'Vectoring': cost of reaching DAE targets.. 33
Figure 13: Full FTTH/B: 2011-2020 remaining coverage, by technology . 34
Figure 14: 90% FTTH/B: 2011-2020 remaining coverage, by technology 34
Figure 15: Full FTTH/B cost.... 36
Figure 16: Comparison of scenarios' costs . 37
Figure17: Two level GPON technology. 40
Figure18: FTTN+VDSL architecture design.... 40
Figure 19: UFB Selected candidates 44
Figure 20: UFB Funding structure (PPP) .... 44
Figure 21: UFB Industry Overview.... 45Next Gen Access Networks deployment costs
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