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Making the Economic case for 
Investment 
Philipp Thiessen, Head of Appraisal scrutiny
Overview 
• Background 
• Existing Evidence base 
• What does all that have to do with 
Growth? 
• Practical demonstration 
• Discussion
Background 
• Cycling Delivery Plan published in October for 
consultation 
• Ambition for cycling and walking to be delivered 
through cooperation of local and central activity 
and funding. 
• Under LGF major source of funding now under 
local control 
• Want to ensure capability for making the case is 
maximised.
Background: Five Case Business Case 
The Green Book recommends that business cases are structured 
according to its best-practice Five Case Model: 
Management 
Strategic 
Economic 
Financial Commercial 
Applicable – a 
strategic fit 
Appropriate – 
optimum 
Public Value 
Attractive – to 
supply side and 
feasible 
Achievable – 
can be 
successfully 
delivered 
Affordable – within 
the budget
The Existing Evidence base 
• In support of the plan, the department recently 
published three reports on benefits of sustainable 
and active travel: 
– Value for Money assessment of the large LSTF 
schemes 
– Value for Money assessment for Cycling 
Grants 
– Claiming the Health dividend
The Existing Evidence base 
Other relevant studies include 
– Cycling Demonstration Towns 
– Sustainable Travel Demonstration Towns 
– Sustrans Linking Communities Fund 
– TfL’s Cycling Vision
The Existing Evidence base 
Typical BCR’s from these studies 
Sustainable Travel Towns 4.5:1 Decongestion benefits only 
Cycling Demonstration Towns 2.59:1 Health benefits only 
Local Sustainable Transport Fund 5.1:1 Based on 12 large schemes business 
cases 
Cycling Ambition Grants 5.5:1 Based on business cases for 12 funded 
schemes 
Linking Communities Fund 10:1 Based on eight representative schemes 
Literature Review 5.6:1 Average BCR for UK case studies, 
overall average 6.3:1 
Transport for London Cycling Vision 2.9:1 Very large programme - conservative 
BCR
What do those BCRs do for Growth? 
Benefit Cost ratios represent the quantifiable transport benefits 
per pound invested 
Time Savings 
Health 
Journey Quality 
Air Pollution 
Reliability
What do those BCRs do for Growth? 
E.g. LSTF – over 80% are time and 
operating costs for road users – from 
mode shift and decongestion – 
At least half of those are time savings 
to business – staff and goods spend 
less time stuck in traffic. 
Road safety – less time loss from 
absenteeism, less disruption from 
clear up…
What do those BCRs do for Growth? 
E.g. Cycling ambition grants – around 
60% are physical fitness benefits. 
These are the benefits of reduced 
premature mortality. 
At least 30% of the value is from 
avoiding the loss of productive output 
that occurs when employees die 
prematurely. 
Further benefits to business are 
reduced absenteeism, higher staff 
productivity, motivation and retention.
What do those BCRs do for Growth? 
Other growth impacts: 
Air quality – in areas of exceedances 
Journey Quality – more satisfied workforce – esp 
highly skilled often demand good travel facilities 
General well-being: growth is ultimately a means to the end 
of well-being – so why discount this? 
In summary: the traditional transport appraisal accounts for 
the majority of economic impacts – even if it does not 
present jobs and GVA…
Working through an example 
Based on the worked example in WebTAG A5.1 Active 
Mode Appraisal…
Conclusion 
These three papers reinforce the existing evidence that sustainable and 
active transport investment can have very high value for money. 
Local Authorities should refer to this when making their case for 
investment to local decision makers. 
• https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file 
/347894/vfm-assessment-of-lstf.pdf 
• https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file 
/348943/vfm-assessment-of-cycling-grants.pdf 
• https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file 
/371096/claiming_the_health_dividend.pdf 
• A fuller summary of the evidence is due to be published in the near 
future.

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Philipp Thiessen

  • 1. Making the Economic case for Investment Philipp Thiessen, Head of Appraisal scrutiny
  • 2. Overview • Background • Existing Evidence base • What does all that have to do with Growth? • Practical demonstration • Discussion
  • 3. Background • Cycling Delivery Plan published in October for consultation • Ambition for cycling and walking to be delivered through cooperation of local and central activity and funding. • Under LGF major source of funding now under local control • Want to ensure capability for making the case is maximised.
  • 4. Background: Five Case Business Case The Green Book recommends that business cases are structured according to its best-practice Five Case Model: Management Strategic Economic Financial Commercial Applicable – a strategic fit Appropriate – optimum Public Value Attractive – to supply side and feasible Achievable – can be successfully delivered Affordable – within the budget
  • 5. The Existing Evidence base • In support of the plan, the department recently published three reports on benefits of sustainable and active travel: – Value for Money assessment of the large LSTF schemes – Value for Money assessment for Cycling Grants – Claiming the Health dividend
  • 6. The Existing Evidence base Other relevant studies include – Cycling Demonstration Towns – Sustainable Travel Demonstration Towns – Sustrans Linking Communities Fund – TfL’s Cycling Vision
  • 7. The Existing Evidence base Typical BCR’s from these studies Sustainable Travel Towns 4.5:1 Decongestion benefits only Cycling Demonstration Towns 2.59:1 Health benefits only Local Sustainable Transport Fund 5.1:1 Based on 12 large schemes business cases Cycling Ambition Grants 5.5:1 Based on business cases for 12 funded schemes Linking Communities Fund 10:1 Based on eight representative schemes Literature Review 5.6:1 Average BCR for UK case studies, overall average 6.3:1 Transport for London Cycling Vision 2.9:1 Very large programme - conservative BCR
  • 8. What do those BCRs do for Growth? Benefit Cost ratios represent the quantifiable transport benefits per pound invested Time Savings Health Journey Quality Air Pollution Reliability
  • 9. What do those BCRs do for Growth? E.g. LSTF – over 80% are time and operating costs for road users – from mode shift and decongestion – At least half of those are time savings to business – staff and goods spend less time stuck in traffic. Road safety – less time loss from absenteeism, less disruption from clear up…
  • 10. What do those BCRs do for Growth? E.g. Cycling ambition grants – around 60% are physical fitness benefits. These are the benefits of reduced premature mortality. At least 30% of the value is from avoiding the loss of productive output that occurs when employees die prematurely. Further benefits to business are reduced absenteeism, higher staff productivity, motivation and retention.
  • 11. What do those BCRs do for Growth? Other growth impacts: Air quality – in areas of exceedances Journey Quality – more satisfied workforce – esp highly skilled often demand good travel facilities General well-being: growth is ultimately a means to the end of well-being – so why discount this? In summary: the traditional transport appraisal accounts for the majority of economic impacts – even if it does not present jobs and GVA…
  • 12. Working through an example Based on the worked example in WebTAG A5.1 Active Mode Appraisal…
  • 13. Conclusion These three papers reinforce the existing evidence that sustainable and active transport investment can have very high value for money. Local Authorities should refer to this when making their case for investment to local decision makers. • https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file /347894/vfm-assessment-of-lstf.pdf • https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file /348943/vfm-assessment-of-cycling-grants.pdf • https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file /371096/claiming_the_health_dividend.pdf • A fuller summary of the evidence is due to be published in the near future.