A possible bearish Flag formation has been created and we update our current support to 10,300. Breaking below that level may confirm that formation which could take the Index down to the 10,000 level in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Wednesday, 19 April 2017
No Stocks Covered Today
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,336.30 0.00 8.0
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,500 10,680 10,960
Support 10,300 10,200 10,000
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
A possible bearish Flag formation has
been created and we update our current
support to 10,300. Breaking below that
level may confirm that formation which
could take the Index down to the 10,000
level in the medium term.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,500
Expected Support Level: 10,300
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QSE Summary
Market Indicators 18 Apr 17 Apr %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 226.7 142.9 58.7
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 556.3 555.6 0.1
Volume (mn) 10.7 7.8 37.1
Number of Trans. 3,341 2,154 55.1
Companies Traded 40 41 -2.4
Market Breadth 20:15 18:18 –
QSE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 17,333.36 0.1 48.9
All Share Index 2,939.51 0.0 48.2
Banks 3,036.27 0.3 49.8
Industrials 3,282.88 -0.4 42.6
Transportation 2,284.87 -0.7 26.6
Real Estate 2,380.27 0.1 50.6
Insurance 4,298.53 0.4 44.8
Telecoms 1,292.29 0.1 64.0
Consumer Goods 6,419.61 0.2 53.5
Al Rayan Islamic 4,161.92 0.0 54.0
RSI 14 (Overbought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QCFS 33.00 0.0 82.2
VFQS 9.77 2.7 70.3
RSI 14 (Oversold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QNNS 73.80 -1.5 23.8
QGTS 20.90 -0.5 26.7
MERS 161.90 -0.7 27.2
QIIK 64.00 0.3 29.6
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,336.30 10,290.88 10,307.98 10,318.55 10,335.65 10,352.75 10,363.32 10,380.42 10,548.67 10,498.93 10,475.63
Total Return 17,333.36 17,257.17 17,285.86 17,303.59 17,332.27 17,360.96 17,378.69 17,407.37 17,374.75 17,140.43 17,025.81
All Share 2,939.51 2,924.40 2,928.73 2,931.41 2,935.73 2,940.06 2,942.74 2,947.06 2,947.87 2,908.52 2,896.98
Al Rayan Islamic 4,161.92 4,109.24 4,124.33 4,133.66 4,148.75 4,163.84 4,173.17 4,188.26 4,118.60 4,001.82 3,972.70
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 42.25 42.08 42.18 42.24 42.33 42.43 42.49 42.58 41.79 39.80 37.70
CBQK 30.80 30.20 30.47 30.63 30.90 31.17 31.33 31.60 31.04 30.98 33.18
DHBK 30.70 30.23 30.42 30.54 30.73 30.92 31.04 31.23 33.29 33.80 34.67
QIBK 102.00 101.07 101.33 101.50 101.77 102.03 102.20 102.47 103.07 103.61 104.40
QIIK 64.00 63.33 63.52 63.64 63.83 64.02 64.14 64.33 67.68 65.86 64.91
Insurance
QATI 70.90 69.90 70.21 70.39 70.70 71.01 71.19 71.50 72.26 73.41 73.33
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 101.40 100.53 100.88 101.09 101.43 101.78 101.99 102.33 89.72 77.48 81.38
Industrials
IQCD 110.90 110.10 110.52 110.78 111.20 111.62 111.88 112.30 113.58 114.40 110.25
QEWS 213.80 209.33 211.21 212.36 214.23 216.11 217.26 219.13 222.28 224.20 220.32
GISS 27.35 26.98 27.14 27.23 27.38 27.54 27.63 27.78 28.16 29.59 32.09
QIGD 60.10 59.37 59.75 59.98 60.37 60.75 60.98 61.37 59.96 58.51 55.16
Real Estate
BRES 34.80 34.53 34.65 34.72 34.83 34.95 35.02 35.13 36.78 35.06 34.59
UDCD 19.50 19.43 19.47 19.49 19.52 19.56 19.58 19.61 20.67 20.75 20.30
ERES 15.40 15.27 15.30 15.33 15.37 15.40 15.43 15.47 15.56 15.52 16.66
MRDS 13.99 13.77 13.84 13.89 13.96 14.03 14.08 14.15 14.12 14.02 13.85
Telecommunication
ORDS 106.00 105.67 105.82 105.91 106.07 106.22 106.31 106.47 104.68 103.12 99.49
VFQS 9.77 9.42 9.53 9.60 9.70 9.81 9.88 9.98 9.23 9.34 10.17
Transportation
QGTS 20.90 20.79 20.85 20.89 20.95 21.01 21.05 21.11 22.39 22.95 23.30
QNNS 73.80 72.20 72.93 73.37 74.10 74.83 75.27 76.00 82.68 87.35 87.91
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Mohamed Abo Daff Sahbi Kasraoui Youssef Elboghdady
Senior Research Analyst Acting Head of Trading Head of Institutional Sales & Trading
Tel: (+974) 4476 6589 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6542
Mohd.abodaff@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa youssef.elboghdady@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
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