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Mcx daily report - 16_feb
1. CapitalStars Investment Adviser: SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647
16 February 2017
MCX DAILY NEWS LETTER
Capital Stars Financial Research Pvt. Ltd.
2. High lights
Gold prices gain in Asia as Dudley views on rates shrugged off.
Gold prices gained in Asia on Thursday, shrugging off remarks by a key Fed policymaker that rates could soon
rise going by current economic signals. Gold for April delivery on the Comex division of the New York
Mercantile Exchange rose 0.34% to $1.237.25 a troy ounce, while silver traded up 0.30% to $18.017 a troy
ounce.
The Federal Reserve aims to raise U.S. interest rates soon, New York Fed President William Dudley said
Wednesday, if, as expected, fiscal policies provide stimulus. "We expect to gradually remove further
monetary policy accommodation and snug up interest rates a little bit further in the months ahead," Dudley
said. Gold’s comeback from its three-month low of $1123.50 set on Dec 1, appears to be at risk as
expectations of a March rate hike accelerate. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen in a testimony
to congress said that it would be unwise to keep interest rates lower for longer.
Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Boston Fed President Eric Rosenberg further fueled
expectations of a rate hike sooner rather later, as they both said they see at least three-rate hikes this year.
Aluminum Price Hits $1,900/mt While Premiums Hit a 3-Year High.
In February, a Chinese government document proposed that about a third of aluminum capacity in the
provinces of Shandong, Henan, Hebei and Shanxi be shut down over the winter months. If implemented,
they would be some of the most radical steps so far to tackle air quality in the country of 1 billion’s most
polluted cities.
China looks like it is taking air pollution seriously. Given that burning coal is the largest contributor to air
pollution in China, industrial metals supply could shrink this year, particularly steel and aluminum.
Environmental closures are looking increasingly likely in China this year.
Questions remain over whether the government will push through with large output cuts that will most
definitely result in layoffs. It’s clear that China doesn’t want to reduce jobs, however, the country doesn’t
really have many alternatives if it wants to combat air pollution.
Oil prices steady on OPEC cuts, but record U.S. fuel stocks weigh.
Oil prices held steady on Thursday, supported by ongoing supply cuts led by producer group OPEC, although
rising fuel inventories and crude production in the United States weighed on sentiment. The Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers including Russia have agreed to cut output
by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of 2017, and estimates suggest compliance by
OPEC is around 90 percent.
The production cuts are aimed at reining in a global fuel supply overhang that has dogged markets for over
two years. Yet despite action so far, inventories remain bloated and supplies high, especially in the United
States.
U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories soared to record highs last week as refineries cut output and gasoline
demand softened, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.
SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647,,, MCX Daily News Letter
4. PICK FOR THE DAY
MCX CRUDE OIL February Wednesday as seen in the daily chart opened at 3565
levels and day high of 3580 levels. During this period price corrected & made day low
of 3530 levels finally closed at 3551 levels. Now, there are chances of further
downward movement technically & fundamentally.
U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories soared to record highs last week as refineries cut output and
gasoline demand softened, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.
DAILY RECOMMENDATION: SELL MCX CRUDE OIL FEBRUARY AROUND 3600
LEVELS FOR TARGET OF T1 3500/T2 3450 WITH SL OF 3700 LEVELS.
SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647,,, MCX Daily News Letter
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SEBI Registration Number: INA000001647,,, MCX Daily News Letter