Hackett Associates Global Port Tracker Europe Med sea container trade outlook. Imports. Exports. North European range port market shares.

1. Outlook for Containerized
Imports and Exports
for Europe
Toc Container Supply Chain
June 25th, 2014
Ben Hackett

2. 2
Global Port Tracker: North Europe
Edition

3. 3
What is the Global Port Tracker?
 Monthly report produced by Hackett Associates
& Bremen Institute of Shipping Economics and Logistics
 Provides a 6-month & 4-quarter forecast of imports &
exports for 6 major container ports:
– Le Havre
– Antwerp
– Zeebrugge
– Rotterdam
– Bremen/Bremerhaven
– Hamburg
 Includes deep-sea forecast for North Europe & Med-
Black Sea regions

4. 4
Import Forecast for North Europe & Mediterranean
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015
Actual Forecast
'000sofTEUs
North Europe Mediterranean & Black Sea
Source: Hackett Associates/ISL Global Port Tracker

5. 5
Export Forecast for North Europe & Mediterranean
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015
Actual Forecast
'000sofTEUs
North Europe Mediterranean & Black Sea
Source: Hackett Associates/ISL Global Port Tracker

6. 6
Port Level Forecast

7. 7
Incoming Volume Forecast for North Europe
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015
Actual Forecast
'000sofTEUs
Actual
Forecast
Loaded Empty
Source: Hackett Associates/ISL Global Port Tracker

8. 8
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015
Actual Forecast
'000sofTEUs
Outgoing Volume Forecast for North Europe
Actual
Forecast
Loaded Empty
Source: Hackett Associates/ISL Global Port Tracker

9. 9
Market Share: Incoming Volumes
Loaded volumes
for 1st Quarter of
each year
7% 5% 7%
4%
5% 4%
20% 21% 20%
28% 32% 30%
13%
14%
14%
27%
24% 26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2011 2014
Hamburg
BremenBhv
Rotterdam
Antwerp
Zeebrugge
Le Havre
Source: Hackett Associates/ISL Global Port Tracker

10. 10
Market Share: Outgoing Volumes
Loaded volumes
for 1st Quarter of
each year
7% 5% 6%
5%
6% 5%
24% 26% 23%
26% 27%
25%
15%
16%
15%
23% 21%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2011 2014
Hamburg
BremenBhv
Rotterdam
Antwerp
Zeebrugge
Le Havre
Source: Hackett Associates/ISL Global Port Tracker

11. 11
Deepsea-Land Volumes by Port, 2012
Antwerp
25%
Bremen/Bremerhaven
11%
Hamburg
24%
Le Havre
9%
Rotterdam
29%
Zeebrügge
2%
Source: ISL North European Container Traffic Model, 2013
Total:
18.72 million TEUs

12. 12
Shortsea-Land Volumes by Port, 2012
Antwerp
18%
Bremen/Bremerhaven
7%
Hamburg
11%
Le Havre
3%
Rotterdam
43%
Zeebrügge
18%
Source: ISL North European Container Traffic Model, 2013
Total:
4.89 million TEUs

13. 13
Transshipment Volumes by Port, 2012
Antwerp
19%
Bremen/Bremerhaven
23%
Hamburg
24%
Le Havre
3%
Rotterdam
27%
Zeebrügge
4%
Source: ISL North European Container Traffic Model, 2013
Total:
16.15 million TEUs

14. 14
Container Traffic by Segments, 2012
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
MillionofTEUs
Deepsea
Shortsea
Transhipment
Source: ISL North European Container Traffic Model, 2013
Total:
39.75 million TEUs

15. 15
Container Traffic Share by Segments, 2012
Source: ISL North European Container Traffic Model, 2013
Total:
39.75 million TEUs
54%
33%
51%
70%
46%
23%
10%
6%
6%
6%
18%
46%
36%
62%
43%
23%
36%
31%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Transhipment
Shortsea
Deepsea

16. 16
Thank you!
Ben Hackett
Ben@HackettAssociates.com
www.HackettAssociates.com
www.GlobalPortTracker.com