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Ehud Helft | March 2011 GUIDANCE To Give or Not to Give?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ISSUE 1: To Give or not to Give 90% of companies provide some form of forward looking information Over half provide financial targets Provide ‘general’ targets
NIRI Survey Why do you provide guidance?
NIRI Survey Why do you not provide guidance?  Management philosophy Increased volatility/economic uncertainty Senior management/Board request Industry trends Senior management/Board request
NIRI Survey What financial measure do you provide guidance on?  Revenue or sales Tax rate Oper. expenses/margins EBITDA or EBIT SG&A or G&A Other, please specify Working capital
NIRI Survey What non-financial forward looking statements do you provide?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ISSUE 2: Guidance in Tough Times *Source: Houston, Lev & Tucker, 2008. “To guide or not to guide.” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],40%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ISSUE 2: Guidance in Tough Times *Source: Houston, Lev & Tucker, 2008. “To guide or not to guide.” ,[object Object],[object Object],23%
NIRI Survey Since discontinuing guidance, has there been a change in the spread of estimates? ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ISSUE 3: Quarterly Guidance or Yearly
[object Object],ISSUE 3: Quarterly Guidance or Yearly * which in Q1 subsequently raised to $61-66 million, in Q2 to $78-85 million, said it would “meet or beat” the top-end in Q3 and achieved $87 million in Q4   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Secondary Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 FY-2010 Analyst Day ,[object Object],15 x 4 = 60 -> Flat year  ,[object Object]
NIRI Survey Over what time period does your guidance refer to? ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NIRI Survey Summary Two-thirds have made recent* changes to guidance policy  No Change * Past two years
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What our US-listed Israeli clients our doing
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Our View
Summary – What Investors Want from a Company Openness Transparency Honesty Predictable Stability Clarity Simplicity Expectations LT Goals Results Communication No Surprises Responsible Consistent Performance
Thank You

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GUIDANCE

  • 1. Ehud Helft | March 2011 GUIDANCE To Give or Not to Give?
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  • 3. NIRI Survey Why do you provide guidance?
  • 4. NIRI Survey Why do you not provide guidance? Management philosophy Increased volatility/economic uncertainty Senior management/Board request Industry trends Senior management/Board request
  • 5. NIRI Survey What financial measure do you provide guidance on? Revenue or sales Tax rate Oper. expenses/margins EBITDA or EBIT SG&A or G&A Other, please specify Working capital
  • 6. NIRI Survey What non-financial forward looking statements do you provide?
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  • 16. Summary – What Investors Want from a Company Openness Transparency Honesty Predictable Stability Clarity Simplicity Expectations LT Goals Results Communication No Surprises Responsible Consistent Performance