The presentation analyzes Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) to provide a recommendation. An intrinsic valuation using a discounted cash flow model implies share prices of $69.09-$81.24, above the current price of $56.65. A relative valuation comparing ICE to competitors implies share prices of $52.04-$63.31. Based on the intrinsic and relative valuations, the presentation recommends buying ICE.

1. INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
Investment Analysis
Presented By: Group #8
Juan Pablo Blanco
Noah Deitch
Nick Guerrieri
Chris Kuba
ICE

2. ICE
Agenda
Relative Valuation
Intrinsic Valuation
Company Overview
Agenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation
Recommendation

3. ICE
Company Overview
Founded in 2000 in Atlanta, GA
Electronic trading platform
OTC energy markets
Agenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

4. DCF Overview | Assumption & Estimates
GOAL: Implement a Discounted Cash Flow analysis in order to get the intrinsic value of the firm
Enterprise Value: (Share Price x Shares Outstanding) + Market Value of Debt
Equity Value Per Share: (Enterprise Value – Market Value of Debt)/Shares Outstanding
*The team used 1Q16-3Q16 to forecast 4Q16
Forecast Period 2016* - 2025
Discount Rate/WACC 6.24%
Current Price (as of 12/04/2016) $56.65
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

5. Growth Rate 7.5%
Discount Rate/WACC 6.24%
Implied Enterprise Value $14,179,079,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Stage #1 PV of FCFs 2016-2015
Stage #1 | PV of FCFs 2016-2025
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

6. Growth Rate 2%
Discount Rate/WACC 2%
Implied Discounted Terminal Value $24,667,289,000
Projected 2025 EBITDA $5,165,578,000
Industry Average EBITDA* 11.159x
Implied Discounted Terminal Value $31,471,344,000
Stage #2 | Implied TV
Perpetuity Method
EBITDA Multiple Method
ICE
*Intercontinental Exchange FY2015 EV/EBITDA: 4.628x
Agenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

7. Total Enterprise Value $38,846,368,000
Less Market Value of Debt ($158,492,000)
Divided by Shares Outstanding 560,000,000
Implied Equity Value Per Share $69.09
Total Enterprise Value $45,650,423,000
Less Market Value of Debt ($158,492,000)
Divided by Shares Outstanding 560,000,000
Implied Equity Value Per Share $81.24
Implied Equity Value Per Share
Perpetuity Method (2%)
EBITDA Multiple Method (11.159x)
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

8. Sensitivity Analysis Matrix
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation
$69.09 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0%
4.0% $95.67 $113.34 $142.79
5.0% $77.78 $88.59 $104.80 $131.81
6.0% $65.12 $72.21 $82.13 $97.01
7.0% $55.72 $60.60 $67.11 $76.22
8.0% $48.47 $51.96 $56.45 $62.44
Terminal Growth Rate
DiscountRate

9. $56.65
Current Price
(as of 12/04/2016)
$69.09
Implied Price
Perpetuity Method
Difference: $12.44
$81.24
Implied Price
EBITDA Multiple
Method
Difference: $24.59
Current Valuation vs. Implied Intrinsic Valuation
Recommendation Based on Intrinsic Valuation: BUY
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

10. Relative Valuation Overview
Agenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation
ICE

11. ICE
Relative Valuation | EBITDA Multiples
16.88
11.97
4.628
11.159
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
CME NDAQ ICE Industry Average
EV/EBITDA 2015
CME NDAQ ICE Industry Average
Agenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

12. Relative Valuation | Forward P/E Ratio
Agenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation
ICE
24.6
15.32
22.02
20.22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
CME NDAQ ICE (Predicted) Industry Average
Forward P/E Ratio 2015

13. $56.65
Current Price
(as of 12/04/2016)
$52.04
Implied Price
P/E Ratio based on
industry average
Difference: ($4.61)
$63.31
Implied Price
P/E Ratio based on
industry leader
Difference: $6.66
Current Valuation vs. Implied Relative Valuation
Recommendation Based on Implied Relative Valuation: BUY
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation

14. Final Recommendation
Final Recommendation: BUY
ICEAgenda | Company Overview | Intrinsic Valuation | Relative Valuation | Recommendation
$56.65
$69.09
$81.24
$52.04
$63.31
30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Current Price
DCF - Perpetuity Method
DCF - EBITDA Method
Comps - P/E Industry AVG
Comps - P/E Industry Leader
Share Price Comparison