The Civil Beat poll surveyed 321 likely Democratic primary voters in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District from May 3-5, 2018, with a margin of error of +/- 5.5 percentage points. The results indicated that Donna Mercado Kim received the highest support at 26%, followed by Doug Chin at 19% and Beth Fukumoto at 11%. The poll aimed to balance results across various demographics, including gender, age, ethnicity, and education level.

1. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Democratic Primary Voters 1st Congressional District (321, Margin of Error +/- 5.5 percentage points)
Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018
1
--If you vote in the Democratic primary, which candidate are you most likely to support
for the First District Congressional seat being vacated by Colleen Hanabusa—Donna
Mercado Kim; Kaniela Ing; Beth Fukumoto; Ernie Martin; or Doug Chin? [Name order
rotated]
Kim 26%
Chin 19%
Fukumoto 11%
Martin 4%
Ing 8%
Unsure 32%
CROSSTABS
Male Female
Kim 23% 30%
Chin 18% 18%
Fukumoto 11% 12%
Martin 7% 1%
Ing 9% 8%
Unsure 33% 30%
Total 100% 100%
Under 50
50 or
older
Kim 8% 34%
Chin 8% 24%
Fukumoto 17% 9%
Martin 5% 4%
Ing 19% 3%
Unsure 43% 27%
Total 100% 100%

2. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Democratic Primary Voters 1st Congressional District (321, Margin of Error +/- 5.5 percentage points)
Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018
2
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed
Kim 23% 18% 36% 35% 36% 31%
Chin 18% 22% 9% 29% 14% 16%
Fukumoto 8% 12% 21% 6% 16%
Martin 1% 5% 6% 18%
Ing 12% 11% 3% 6%
Unsure 37% 32% 24% 6% 50% 38%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative
Kim 22% 21% 41%
Chin 26% 18% 11%
Fukumoto 13% 15% 7%
Martin 5% 4% 7%
Ing 9% 10% 4%
Unsure 26% 33% 30%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Democrat Republican Independent
Kim 25% 20% 33%
Chin 21% 13%
Fukumoto 14% 10% 4%
Martin 4% 20% 2%
Ing 8% 4%
Unsure 29% 50% 44%
Total 100% 100% 100%

3. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Democratic Primary Voters 1st Congressional District (321, Margin of Error +/- 5.5 percentage points)
Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018
3
College
Degree
No
college
Degree
Kim 21% 33%
Chin 25% 11%
Fukumoto 15% 6%
Martin 5% 4%
Ing 10% 3%
Unsure 23% 43%
Total 100% 100%
50k or
less 50-100k 100k+
Kim 25% 28% 17%
Chin 11% 23% 19%
Fukumoto 7% 5% 33%
Martin 9% 9%
Ing 14% 18% 4%
Unsure 34% 26% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100%

4. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Democratic Primary Voters 1st Congressional District (321, Margin of Error +/- 5.5 percentage points)
Fielded, May 3 – 5, 2018
4
About the Poll
Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 967 registered voters statewide, including 321
likely Democratic Party First Congressional District Primary voters. Calls were made
from May 3 – 5, 2018, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling).
Cell phones were contacted by live call-agents who asked respondents whether they
were willing to participate in a recorded survey. Respondents who gave consent were
patched through to the same recorded survey that was sent to landlines.
Results were balanced for gender, age, ancestry/ethnicity/race, county of residence,
and education level.
The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 3.2 percentage points, and for likely
Democratic First Congressional District Primary voters is +/- 5.5 percentage points.
Other sources of error, such as imperfect response rates and design effect (the effect of
weighting results based on demographics) are also common in public opinion research
and may affect the results. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger
than the margin of error of the corresponding topline result.
The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with Merriman River Group, a full-service
consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and
communications.