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Effect of macro economic factors on automobile industry
1.
2. IMPACT OF GDP ON AUTOMOBILE
INDUSTRY
Direct correlation between GDP and automotive
industry.
High growth economies requires better means of
transportations.
Future of Indian automobile industry: 12% to GDP
from current 7% and 6.5 Crore additional jobs
from current 3.2 Crore.
3. MAJOR REASONS BEHIND THE
SLOWDOWN IN THE AUTO INDUSTRY
• Dramatic default by IL&FS
• 30% percent weightage to slowdown
NBFC crisis
• Significant decrease in demand in rural areas
• 20% percent weightage to slowdown
Decline in
demand
Increased
acquisition cost
• Demand is shifting towards pre owned car due to
low cost.
• Increased availability of rental cars.
Second hand
vehicles
• high insurance cost coupled with the
introduction of GST
•10% weightage to slowdown
4. • The unemployment rate is projected to trend around 6.40 percent in
2020.
• When there is high unemployment rate, the personal disposable
income of those who do not have a income source reduces and hence,
the consumption decreases.
• This decrease in consumption affects the automobile industry
adversely as the demand for the vehicles reduces in the economy.
• People who are not able to afford necessities will not even dream to
buy a car.
5. LOAN RATE
Interest rates affect
automobile industry and
hence car loans
Rising rates avoid customers
from borrowing
Depreciate the value of
money and reduce
purchasing power
Thus, aggregate demand
falls when loan rates are
high in an economy
6. • Taxation is one of the major factor that affects
automobile industry.
• The high tax on fuel encourages consumers to shift from
private vehicles to public transport which reduces the
demand for private vehicles in the economy.
• GST rate on cars is 28% that applies to motor vehicles
including those for personal as well as commercial use
which also affects the demand of these vehicles.
• All in all, taxes have an inverse relationship with demand
of automobiles.
7. Exchange Rate
Exchange rate is the value of one nation’s currency
versus currency of another nation.
If there is a depreciation in the value of rupee it will
make exports cheaper ,and will make imports into
India more expensive.
If there is a appreciation in the value of rupee it will
make exports more expensive ,and will make imports
into India cheaper.
8. INFLATION
India being a developing economy automobiles
are considered a luxury good hence in case of
inflation the consumer behaviour changes.
Due to rising cost for manufacturers the cost of
car also goes up.
New Safety regulations inflicted on the car
industry are contributing to inflation increase
and pushing up rates of car finance.
9. Slowdown Saga BS-VI
Come April 2020, India will
upgrade to Bharat Stage
VI(BS-VI).
Most advanced emission
standard for automobile.
Industry estimate shows a
price rise of 1-3% for BS-VI
petrol vehicles and 5-10% for
diesel ones.
BS-IV Inventory pileup and
Demand uncertainty -
challenge for automakers.