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IMPACT OF GDP ON AUTOMOBILE
INDUSTRY
 Direct correlation between GDP and automotive
industry.
 High growth economies requires better means of
transportations.
 Future of Indian automobile industry: 12% to GDP
from current 7% and 6.5 Crore additional jobs
from current 3.2 Crore.
MAJOR REASONS BEHIND THE
SLOWDOWN IN THE AUTO INDUSTRY
• Dramatic default by IL&FS
• 30% percent weightage to slowdown
NBFC crisis
• Significant decrease in demand in rural areas
• 20% percent weightage to slowdown
Decline in
demand
Increased
acquisition cost
• Demand is shifting towards pre owned car due to
low cost.
• Increased availability of rental cars.
Second hand
vehicles
• high insurance cost coupled with the
introduction of GST
•10% weightage to slowdown
• The unemployment rate is projected to trend around 6.40 percent in
2020.
• When there is high unemployment rate, the personal disposable
income of those who do not have a income source reduces and hence,
the consumption decreases.
• This decrease in consumption affects the automobile industry
adversely as the demand for the vehicles reduces in the economy.
• People who are not able to afford necessities will not even dream to
buy a car.
LOAN RATE
 Interest rates affect
automobile industry and
hence car loans
 Rising rates avoid customers
from borrowing
 Depreciate the value of
money and reduce
purchasing power
 Thus, aggregate demand
falls when loan rates are
high in an economy
• Taxation is one of the major factor that affects
automobile industry.
• The high tax on fuel encourages consumers to shift from
private vehicles to public transport which reduces the
demand for private vehicles in the economy.
• GST rate on cars is 28% that applies to motor vehicles
including those for personal as well as commercial use
which also affects the demand of these vehicles.
• All in all, taxes have an inverse relationship with demand
of automobiles.
Exchange Rate
 Exchange rate is the value of one nation’s currency
versus currency of another nation.
 If there is a depreciation in the value of rupee it will
make exports cheaper ,and will make imports into
India more expensive.
 If there is a appreciation in the value of rupee it will
make exports more expensive ,and will make imports
into India cheaper.
INFLATION
 India being a developing economy automobiles
are considered a luxury good hence in case of
inflation the consumer behaviour changes.
 Due to rising cost for manufacturers the cost of
car also goes up.
 New Safety regulations inflicted on the car
industry are contributing to inflation increase
and pushing up rates of car finance.
Slowdown Saga BS-VI
 Come April 2020, India will
upgrade to Bharat Stage
VI(BS-VI).
 Most advanced emission
standard for automobile.
 Industry estimate shows a
price rise of 1-3% for BS-VI
petrol vehicles and 5-10% for
diesel ones.
 BS-IV Inventory pileup and
Demand uncertainty -
challenge for automakers.
Electric Vehicles
THANK YOU

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Effect of macro economic factors on automobile industry

  • 1.
  • 2. IMPACT OF GDP ON AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY  Direct correlation between GDP and automotive industry.  High growth economies requires better means of transportations.  Future of Indian automobile industry: 12% to GDP from current 7% and 6.5 Crore additional jobs from current 3.2 Crore.
  • 3. MAJOR REASONS BEHIND THE SLOWDOWN IN THE AUTO INDUSTRY • Dramatic default by IL&FS • 30% percent weightage to slowdown NBFC crisis • Significant decrease in demand in rural areas • 20% percent weightage to slowdown Decline in demand Increased acquisition cost • Demand is shifting towards pre owned car due to low cost. • Increased availability of rental cars. Second hand vehicles • high insurance cost coupled with the introduction of GST •10% weightage to slowdown
  • 4. • The unemployment rate is projected to trend around 6.40 percent in 2020. • When there is high unemployment rate, the personal disposable income of those who do not have a income source reduces and hence, the consumption decreases. • This decrease in consumption affects the automobile industry adversely as the demand for the vehicles reduces in the economy. • People who are not able to afford necessities will not even dream to buy a car.
  • 5. LOAN RATE  Interest rates affect automobile industry and hence car loans  Rising rates avoid customers from borrowing  Depreciate the value of money and reduce purchasing power  Thus, aggregate demand falls when loan rates are high in an economy
  • 6. • Taxation is one of the major factor that affects automobile industry. • The high tax on fuel encourages consumers to shift from private vehicles to public transport which reduces the demand for private vehicles in the economy. • GST rate on cars is 28% that applies to motor vehicles including those for personal as well as commercial use which also affects the demand of these vehicles. • All in all, taxes have an inverse relationship with demand of automobiles.
  • 7. Exchange Rate  Exchange rate is the value of one nation’s currency versus currency of another nation.  If there is a depreciation in the value of rupee it will make exports cheaper ,and will make imports into India more expensive.  If there is a appreciation in the value of rupee it will make exports more expensive ,and will make imports into India cheaper.
  • 8. INFLATION  India being a developing economy automobiles are considered a luxury good hence in case of inflation the consumer behaviour changes.  Due to rising cost for manufacturers the cost of car also goes up.  New Safety regulations inflicted on the car industry are contributing to inflation increase and pushing up rates of car finance.
  • 9. Slowdown Saga BS-VI  Come April 2020, India will upgrade to Bharat Stage VI(BS-VI).  Most advanced emission standard for automobile.  Industry estimate shows a price rise of 1-3% for BS-VI petrol vehicles and 5-10% for diesel ones.  BS-IV Inventory pileup and Demand uncertainty - challenge for automakers.