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Wireless Spectrum in 2016:
A Policy Update
Brent Skorup, Research Fellow,
Technology Policy Program
Agenda
• Spectrum Basics
• Spectrum History
• Spectrum Policy Today
• Spectrum Policy in the Future
mercatus.org
Spectrum Characteristics
• The “medium” that transmits electromagnetic waves
– Spectrum license – a right to use and a right to exclude others from a certain frequency
in a geographic area
• Scare resource
• Like real property, spectrum can be bought, sold, leased, divided, and
subdivided
• Most people deal with “MHz” every day
– FM radio dial – 88 MHz to 108 MHz
– Mobile carriers operate at bands between 700 MHz to 3500 MHz (3.5 GHz)
– Most popular Wifi “band” is 100 MHz wide at 2400 MHz (2.4 GHz)
mercatus.org
Increasing Demand for Spectrum…
• Valuable input for commercial and government users
– Broadcast television
– Wireless broadband
– GPS
– Training exercises for military
– Public safety communications
• Wireless broadband is driving most use on commercial side
mercatus.org
…But Supply is Constrained by
Physics and Policy
• A fiber optic wire has over 2000x the capacity of spectrum licensed for
US mobile carriers (Rysavy 2014)
• On average, a cell site in the US is shared by over 1000 users
– As few as three people watching 4K Netflix can consume all LTE capacity
• How do carriers increase capacity?
– Upgrade technology and radios that use existing spectrum more efficiently
– Build more towers—over 300,000 sites in US and the cost per cell site ~$550,000 (FCC
2010)
– Buy more spectrum
mercatus.org
Spectrum = Tech Innovation
• Inefficient use of spectrum is a costly national problem
– US government holds ~ 60% of “beachfront spectrum,” likely worth hundreds of billions
of dollars
– Freeing 10% of beachfront spectrum could result in $1 trillion in economic benefits
(Lenard et al. 2010)
– Economic costs from inefficient spectrum use exceed $1 trillion (Furchtgott-Roth 2013)
• More commercial spectrum = more innovation
– Lower prices and more competitors in broadband and TV
– Cheaper to test and deploy Internet of Things applications, drones, driverless cars,
virtual reality, and medical devices
mercatus.org
History
• 1927 – Radio Act creates Federal Radio Commission
– Effectively nationalizes radio spectrum
– Members of Congress concerned about broadcast radio licensees gaining vested
property rights
– All spectrum is collectively owned by the public and administered on behalf of the public
by the US government according to the “public interest”
• 1934 – Communications Act creates Federal Communications
Commission
• 1959 – Ronald Coase urged market allocation of spectrum
• 1993 – Congress permitted spectrum auctions
mercatus.org
History
• Federal spectrum is administered by the President
– Delegated to the Department of Commerce – National Telecommunications &
Information Administration (NTIA)
– But: agencies have a lot of discretion over their spectrum
• Non-federal spectrum is administered by the FCC
– Commercial
– State government
– Utilities
• Decision about whether spectrum is federal or non-federal is decided
informally by the NTIA and FCC
mercatus.org
Spectrum Policy Today
mercatus.org
AWS-3 Auction
• Concluded in January 2015.
• Bidders: AT&T, Verizon, Dish and its affiliates,
T-Mobile, others
• 50 MHz of paired spectrum sold for over $40
billion
• $7 billion+ earmarked for a nationwide public
safety network
• $20 billion+ to US Treasury for debt
repayment
mercatus.org
mercatus.org
mercatus.org
Uses of Beachfront Spectrum
• ~ 3200 MHz total,
– spanning 300 MHz to 3500 MHz
• ~ 20% for mobile broadband (580 MHz) (FCC 2014)
• ~ 10% for broadcast TV (294 MHz)
– NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, PBS and affiliates
– Around 10-15% of Americans watch broadcast TV solely
• ~ 60% has a dominant federal use (1500 MHz+) (PCAST 2012)
– ~ 18% is exclusively federal, the rest is nominally shared with non-federal users
– “effectively precludes substantial commercial use of those bands” (PCAST 2012)
– NTIA analyzing about 30% of beachfront spectrum for sharing and transfer (960 MHz)
mercatus.org
mercatus.org
mercatus.org
Valuable Federal Asset
• ~ 1 to 2% of beachfront spectrum sold for over $40 billion in 2015.
• ~ 60% is precluded from commercial use by federal users.
– About 60 agencies and departments have 240,000 spectrum assignments
– Big nine: DoD, FAA, DOJ, DHS, DOI, Ag., US Coast Guard, DOE, and Commerce
• Spectrum is underpriced for agencies—encourages overuse
– Agencies pay a $122 annual fee to NTIA for each assignment (GAO 2012)
– Fees paid to NTIA totaled about $30 million in FY 2012
– But: agencies purchase other necessary inputs at approximately market rates (vehicle
fleets, electricity, labor, gasoline, office space, etc.)
mercatus.org
Recent Spectrum Bills
• “Incentive Auction” – March 2016
– From 2012 Middle Class Tax Relief Act
– FCC pays TV broadcasters in 600 MHz band for spectrum for re-sale to carriers
• Federal Spectrum Incentive Act (Reps. Guthrie, Matsui)
– Allows agencies to receive 1% of auction proceeds for sequestration-related cuts
• Wireless Innovation Act (Sen. Rubio) – NTIA tracks opportunity costs
• Mobile Now Act (Sen. Thune, Nelson)
– Make 255 MHz available for wireless broadband by 2020 (under 6 GHz)
– Easier wireless network deployment on federal property
– Requires Commerce report about incentivizing agencies to share or relinquish spectrum
mercatus.org
Spectrum Policy in the Future
mercatus.org
Repurposing Federal Spectrum
• More clearing agencies after auction
– Auction off encumbered spectrum and force agencies to move
– CSEA (2004) allowed payments to agencies for relocation activities
– Middle Class Tax Relief Act (2012) allowed payments for planning relocation
• More commercial-federal geographic sharing
• Densifying networks
• Unlicensed dynamic spectrum sharing?
– TV White Spaces results has been discouraging
– “Legacy device problem”
• GSA for spectrum?
mercatus.org
Overlay Auctions?
• Based on proposal from FCC Commissioner Jessica Rosenworcel
• Encumbered federal spectrum is auctioned off to commercial users
– Licensee can deploy in markets where no federal operations are
– In areas where agencies operate, licensee can negotiate compensation (in-kind or
cash) for agency to cease or decrease operations
• Overlay auctions helped free about one third of mobile broadband
spectrum (encumbered commercial spectrum)
• But: Miscellaneous Receipts Act generally precludes agencies from
selling their assets
mercatus.org
Conclusion
• Spectrum Basics
• Spectrum History
• Spectrum Policy Today
• Spectrum Policy in the Future
mercatus.org
Questions?
Email:
bskorup@mercatus.gmu.edu
mercatus.org
Bridging the gap between academic ideas and real-world problems

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Wireless Spectrum in 2016: A Policy Update

  • 1. Wireless Spectrum in 2016: A Policy Update Brent Skorup, Research Fellow, Technology Policy Program
  • 2. Agenda • Spectrum Basics • Spectrum History • Spectrum Policy Today • Spectrum Policy in the Future mercatus.org
  • 3. Spectrum Characteristics • The “medium” that transmits electromagnetic waves – Spectrum license – a right to use and a right to exclude others from a certain frequency in a geographic area • Scare resource • Like real property, spectrum can be bought, sold, leased, divided, and subdivided • Most people deal with “MHz” every day – FM radio dial – 88 MHz to 108 MHz – Mobile carriers operate at bands between 700 MHz to 3500 MHz (3.5 GHz) – Most popular Wifi “band” is 100 MHz wide at 2400 MHz (2.4 GHz) mercatus.org
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Increasing Demand for Spectrum… • Valuable input for commercial and government users – Broadcast television – Wireless broadband – GPS – Training exercises for military – Public safety communications • Wireless broadband is driving most use on commercial side mercatus.org
  • 7. …But Supply is Constrained by Physics and Policy • A fiber optic wire has over 2000x the capacity of spectrum licensed for US mobile carriers (Rysavy 2014) • On average, a cell site in the US is shared by over 1000 users – As few as three people watching 4K Netflix can consume all LTE capacity • How do carriers increase capacity? – Upgrade technology and radios that use existing spectrum more efficiently – Build more towers—over 300,000 sites in US and the cost per cell site ~$550,000 (FCC 2010) – Buy more spectrum mercatus.org
  • 8. Spectrum = Tech Innovation • Inefficient use of spectrum is a costly national problem – US government holds ~ 60% of “beachfront spectrum,” likely worth hundreds of billions of dollars – Freeing 10% of beachfront spectrum could result in $1 trillion in economic benefits (Lenard et al. 2010) – Economic costs from inefficient spectrum use exceed $1 trillion (Furchtgott-Roth 2013) • More commercial spectrum = more innovation – Lower prices and more competitors in broadband and TV – Cheaper to test and deploy Internet of Things applications, drones, driverless cars, virtual reality, and medical devices mercatus.org
  • 9. History • 1927 – Radio Act creates Federal Radio Commission – Effectively nationalizes radio spectrum – Members of Congress concerned about broadcast radio licensees gaining vested property rights – All spectrum is collectively owned by the public and administered on behalf of the public by the US government according to the “public interest” • 1934 – Communications Act creates Federal Communications Commission • 1959 – Ronald Coase urged market allocation of spectrum • 1993 – Congress permitted spectrum auctions mercatus.org
  • 10. History • Federal spectrum is administered by the President – Delegated to the Department of Commerce – National Telecommunications & Information Administration (NTIA) – But: agencies have a lot of discretion over their spectrum • Non-federal spectrum is administered by the FCC – Commercial – State government – Utilities • Decision about whether spectrum is federal or non-federal is decided informally by the NTIA and FCC mercatus.org
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. AWS-3 Auction • Concluded in January 2015. • Bidders: AT&T, Verizon, Dish and its affiliates, T-Mobile, others • 50 MHz of paired spectrum sold for over $40 billion • $7 billion+ earmarked for a nationwide public safety network • $20 billion+ to US Treasury for debt repayment mercatus.org
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 21. Uses of Beachfront Spectrum • ~ 3200 MHz total, – spanning 300 MHz to 3500 MHz • ~ 20% for mobile broadband (580 MHz) (FCC 2014) • ~ 10% for broadcast TV (294 MHz) – NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, PBS and affiliates – Around 10-15% of Americans watch broadcast TV solely • ~ 60% has a dominant federal use (1500 MHz+) (PCAST 2012) – ~ 18% is exclusively federal, the rest is nominally shared with non-federal users – “effectively precludes substantial commercial use of those bands” (PCAST 2012) – NTIA analyzing about 30% of beachfront spectrum for sharing and transfer (960 MHz) mercatus.org
  • 24. Valuable Federal Asset • ~ 1 to 2% of beachfront spectrum sold for over $40 billion in 2015. • ~ 60% is precluded from commercial use by federal users. – About 60 agencies and departments have 240,000 spectrum assignments – Big nine: DoD, FAA, DOJ, DHS, DOI, Ag., US Coast Guard, DOE, and Commerce • Spectrum is underpriced for agencies—encourages overuse – Agencies pay a $122 annual fee to NTIA for each assignment (GAO 2012) – Fees paid to NTIA totaled about $30 million in FY 2012 – But: agencies purchase other necessary inputs at approximately market rates (vehicle fleets, electricity, labor, gasoline, office space, etc.) mercatus.org
  • 25. Recent Spectrum Bills • “Incentive Auction” – March 2016 – From 2012 Middle Class Tax Relief Act – FCC pays TV broadcasters in 600 MHz band for spectrum for re-sale to carriers • Federal Spectrum Incentive Act (Reps. Guthrie, Matsui) – Allows agencies to receive 1% of auction proceeds for sequestration-related cuts • Wireless Innovation Act (Sen. Rubio) – NTIA tracks opportunity costs • Mobile Now Act (Sen. Thune, Nelson) – Make 255 MHz available for wireless broadband by 2020 (under 6 GHz) – Easier wireless network deployment on federal property – Requires Commerce report about incentivizing agencies to share or relinquish spectrum mercatus.org
  • 26. Spectrum Policy in the Future mercatus.org
  • 27. Repurposing Federal Spectrum • More clearing agencies after auction – Auction off encumbered spectrum and force agencies to move – CSEA (2004) allowed payments to agencies for relocation activities – Middle Class Tax Relief Act (2012) allowed payments for planning relocation • More commercial-federal geographic sharing • Densifying networks • Unlicensed dynamic spectrum sharing? – TV White Spaces results has been discouraging – “Legacy device problem” • GSA for spectrum? mercatus.org
  • 28. Overlay Auctions? • Based on proposal from FCC Commissioner Jessica Rosenworcel • Encumbered federal spectrum is auctioned off to commercial users – Licensee can deploy in markets where no federal operations are – In areas where agencies operate, licensee can negotiate compensation (in-kind or cash) for agency to cease or decrease operations • Overlay auctions helped free about one third of mobile broadband spectrum (encumbered commercial spectrum) • But: Miscellaneous Receipts Act generally precludes agencies from selling their assets mercatus.org
  • 29. Conclusion • Spectrum Basics • Spectrum History • Spectrum Policy Today • Spectrum Policy in the Future mercatus.org
  • 31. Bridging the gap between academic ideas and real-world problems