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Women's health across the life course and across the generations - Lessons from Australia
1. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Women’s health across the
life-course and across the
generations – Lessons from
Australia
International Longevity Centre-UK
2. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Welcome
Yvonne Sonsino
Partner at Mercer, Innovation Leader Europac
3. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Women’s health across the life-
course and across the generations
Professor Julie Byles
Director, Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s
Health, School of Medicine and Public Health, The
University of Newcastle - Australia
4. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Women’s health over
the life-course and
across the
generations – Lessons
from Australia
Professor Julie Byles
Global Innovation Chair in Responsive Transitions in Health and Ageing
Head, ILC - Australia
5. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
To examine social, psychological, physical and environmental factors which
determine good health, and those which cause ill-health, in women
throughout adult life
– physical and mental health, symptoms,
diagnoses
– health service use, access and satisfaction
– health related behaviours
– social factors related to health and well-being
To contribute to development of policy and practice in
key areas for women’s health
– National Health Priority Areas
– Health Targets e.g. Continence, Quality Use of
Medicines, National Tobacco Strategy, Obesity
Taskforce, Framework for Physical Activity,
Mental Health, Abuse, Dementia, End of Life ...
Funded by the Australian
Department of Health 1996-2021
…
www.alswh.org.au
6. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
2
58 PhDs conferred
19 Masters theses
18 Honours theses
680+ peer reviewed papers
1200+ researchers worldwide
470+ active data users
100+ substudies
8 current substudies
Collaborators
Substudies
Students
Publications &
Policy 50+ reports for government
Input into major health policies
A National Research Resource
1996-2017
20+
YEARS
58000
Women
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
58 PhDs conferred
19 Masters theses
18 Honours theses
680+ peer reviewed papers
1200+ researchers worldwide
470+ active data users
100+ substudies
8 current substudies
Collaborators
Substudies
Students
Publications &
Policy 50+ reports for government
Input into major health policies
A National Research Resource
1996-2017
20+
YEARS
58000
Women
680+ peer reviewed papers
1200+ researchers worldwide
470+ active data users
Collaborators
Publications &
Policy 50+ reports for government
Input into major health policies
A National Research Resource
1996-2017
20+
YEARS
58000
Women
2
58 PhDs conferred
19 Masters theses
18 Honours theses
680+ peer reviewed papers
1200+ researchers worldwide
470+ active data users
100+ substudies
8 current substudies
Collaborators
Substudies
Students
Publications &
Policy 50+ reports for government
Input into major health policies
A National Research Resource
1996-2017
20+
YEARS
58000
Women
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
58 Ph
19 M
18 Ho
680+
1200+
470+
100+
8 curr
Collaborators
Substudies
Students
Publications &
Policy 50+ re
Input
A
1996 – 2018 …..
58 PhDs conferred
19 Masters theses
18 Honours theses
680+ peer reviewed pap
1200+ researchers world
470+ active data users
100+ substudies
8 current substudies
Collaborators
Substudies
Students
Publications &
Policy 50+ reports for governm
Input into major health p
A National Research Resour
1996-201
20+
YEARS
58000
Women
Australian Longitudin
on Women’
2
58 PhDs conferred
19 Masters theses
18 Honours theses
680+ peer reviewed papers
1200+ researchers worldwide
470+ active data users
100+ substudies
8 current substudies
Collaborators
Substudies
Students
Publications &
Policy 50+ reports for government
Input into major health policies
A National Research Resource
1996-2017
20+
YEARS
58000
Women
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
Four cohorts of women
• 1921-26
• 1946-51
• 1973-78
• 1989-95
Sampled from Medicare
National health
insurance
data base
Oversampling from
rural and remote areas
7. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
8. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
1996
1973-78
18-23
1946-51
45-50
1921-26
70-75
14247 13716 12432
Three Cohorts, over 40,000 women,
Three generations of women’s health
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health, 1996
1996
9. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
2018
1989-95
23-38
1973-78
40-45
1946-51
67-72
1921-26
92-97
Four Cohorts, over 58,000 women,
Four generations of women’s health
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health, 2018
2018
10. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
1921-26: 3 yearly Postal Surveys … 6 monthly
70-75………85-90 ………90+
Conditions/ symptoms/ procedures, Health Care
Use, medications, Health Insurance, SF-36 quality of
life, depression/anxiety, smoking alcohol, BMI, physical
activity, diet, sleep, life events, marital status, living
arrangements, housing, abuse, manage on income,
caring, support, optimism …
.. continence, memory, falls,
teeth, services, transport,
ADLs, housing,
volunteering, age
discrimination, social
activities
Surveys and data books www.alswh.org.au
11. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Have we missed anything?
Free text comments
Qualitative data – allows us to get a sense of
how women cope with their everyday, as
they age and relation to life events
Eg. Kennaugh R, Byles J, Tavener M.
Beyond widowhood: Do prior discovered
themes that describe the experiences of
older Australian widowed women persist
over time? Women and Health, 2016; 56(7):
827-42.
56% of the women
1,239,859 words
women who wrote tended to have lower
physical function, poorer general health and
lower social function than women who did
not write- except for women > 82-87, where
there were no differences.
Wide range of experiences
Consistent narrative
12. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
ALSWH offspring, linkages and other
extensions
Australian
Longitudinal
Study on
Women’s
Health
INTERnational
Collaboration for a Life
Course Approach to
reproductive health and
chronic disease Events:
Interlace (NHMRC)
DYNOPTA
Men, Women and
Ageing: MWA
(NHMRC)
MBS/PBS
Hospital data
Cancer Registry
ACAP/HACC/R
AC
Blood,
Body Mass/
bone density,
Blood Pressure
Mothers and
their Children’s
Health: MatCH
(NHMRC)
Internet surveys
and mobile apps
Substudies
Qualitative data
1989-95 – 1 yearly
1973-78 – 3 yearly
1946-51 – 3 yearly
1921-26 – 6 monthly
Future health
services use and
aged care needs
Pooled data
Linked
data
New cohortsPhysical data
Data
collection/
Further
Follow up
Projections
13. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
1996
1973-78
18-23
1946-51
45-50
1921-26
70-75
14247 13716 12432
Three Cohorts, over 40,000 women,
Three generations of women’s health
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
Baseline Survey 1996
1996
14. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Age and health-related quality of life SF36
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1973-78 1946-51 1921-26
15. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
2018
1989-95
23-38
1973-78
40-45
1946-51
67-72
1921-26
92-97
Four Cohorts, over 58,000 women,
Four generations of women’s health
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
Change in Physical Function Scores
2018
16. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Changes in SF36 PF scores (trends)
1973-78
1946-51
1921-26
Menstrual,
Contraception Fertility,
PCOS
Pregnancy,
BMI, diet, smoking
Mental Health
Menopause
Arthritis
Breast Cancer
Hypertension
Work/retirement
Chronic disease,
multimorbidity,
disability, Falls,
need for care,
bereavement,
social isolation
Social circumstances, health behaviours, health care use
17. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Deaths by April 2016
1973-78
1946-51
971 7%
1921-26
9318
75%
- 20% Coronary Heart
Disease
- 11% CVD
- 6% other heart disease
- 7% Alzheimer/Dementia
- 4% COPD
- 3% Diabetes
(all cancers 23.5 %)
118 1%
- 17% Breast Cancer
- 10% Lung Cancer
- 5% Colorectal Cancer
- 5% CVD
- 5% Ovarian Cancer
18. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Changes in Physical Function
Surveys 1-6 6MF
Vigorous
activities
Walk 1km
Climb
stairs
Carry
groceries
Walk
100m
Bath/ feed
self
9% need help with daily
tasks
34% need help with
daily tasks
17% provide care
13% provide
care
>50% drive car
~77% live in house
19% live in apartment
<35% drive car
~ 58% live in house
20% live in apartment
15% retirement village
1921-26 cohort:
Are these women
ageing well?
Successful ageing?
Healthy Ageing?
17% diabetes
70% arthritis
17% asthma
40% heart disease
70% hypertension
12% stroke
(29% dementia)
19. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
ALSWH
Survey
Participated
in the
Survey
Died
Until
Survey
Not
participated
in the survey
No need
of help
with daily
task (%)
Physical
function
score>40
(%)
No major
chronic
conditions*
(%)
Successful
ageing (%)
Survey 1
70-75
12,432 - - 9137 80.42 60.24 52.22
Survey 2 10,434 639 1,359 8958 80.24 33.40 30.54
Survey 3 8,647 1351 2,434 8696 73.72 23.32 21.14
Survey 4 7,158 2407 2,867 8754 67.66 17.27 15.28
Survey 5
5,560 3737 3,135 83.29 60.68 14.91 12.64
Survey 6
85-90
4,055 5387 2,990 77.99 52.95 11.69 9.45
*includes arthritis of any kinds, heart diseases, stroke, diabetes, asthma, and cancer (excluding
skin cancer), and the conditions are considered as enduring i.e. if Yes at one earlier survey, then
Yes for all later surveys
“Successful” Ageing S4
20. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Successful ageing and physical function (S4 79-84)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Vigorous walk >1K Climbing
several
stairs
Moderate Bending walk 1/2K Lifting Climbing
one flight of
stairs
Walk 100m Bathing
SF36 items limited a lot
Successful Not
21. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Successful ageing and ADL disability (S4 79-84)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Toilet Eating Grooming Dressing
upper body
Dressing
lower body
Bathing Walking in
house
Transfer
Difficulty on ADL
Successful Not
22. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
http://www.who.int/ageing/events/world-report-2015-launch/en/
Healthy ageing
23. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Patterns of change in physical function
(n= 5928 surviving women) )
14%
33%
38%
15%
Leigh L, Byles JE, Mishra GD.
Change in physical function
among women as they age:
Findings from the Australian
Longitudinal Study on Women’s
Health. Quality of Life Research.
2017; 26(4): 981-991.
24. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Patterns of change in physical function
(n= 5928 surviving women )
14%
33%
38%
15%
Baseline factors associated
with
POOR Physical Function
(Odds Ratio)
EDUCATION
- Higher education (OR 0.38)
62% less likely to have poor PF
EXERCISE
– Highest PA class (OR 0.04)
96% less likely to have poor PF
Low PA class (OR 0.19)
81% less likely to have poor PF
(OR 0.19)
BMI
- Overweight (OR 5.02)
- Obese (OR 26.2)
SMOKING
- Current smoker (OR 2.9)
Leigh, Byles,
Mishra 2016
25. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
BMI and Healthy Life Expectancy
Leigh L, Byles JE, Jagger C. BMI and
healthy life expectancy in old and
very old women. British Journal of
Nutrition, 2016; 116(4): 692-9.
TLE
15.75
HLE
10.63
years
TLE
12.37
HLE
8.17
years
TLE
14.66
HLE
8.08
years
TLE
15.94
HLE
9.84
years
26. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Patterns of change in physical function
(n= 5928 surviving women )
14%
33%
38%
15%
Baseline factors associated
with
POOR Physical Function (Odds
Ratio)
DISEASE
Arthritis (OR 11.1),
Stroke (OR 4.4),
Osteoporosis (OR 4.3),
Heart Disease (OR 4.9),
Diabetes (OR 3.5),
Hypertension (OR 3.2),
Bronchitis/emphysema (OR 2.4)
Asthma (OR 2.0).
COMORBIDITY OR ~ 3.0
Leigh, Byles,
Mishra 2016
27. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Multiple morbidity
1921-26 cohort
5% diabetes
41% arthritis
12% asthma
12% heart disease
3% stroke
48% hypertension
17% diabetes
70% arthritis
17% asthma
40% heart disease
12% stroke
70% hypertension
(29% dementia)
28. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
29. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
What do the women’s comments tell us
about ageing well?
Comments from random samples of women:
health rated good/very good/excellent (Good) at
Survey 1-5 (GGGGG)
health rated Good at Survey 1 but later rated
Fair/poor (Poor) (eg. GGGGP, GGGPP, GGPPP,
GPPPP).
health rated Poor at Survey 1 -5 (PPPPP)
Health rated Poor at survey 1 but later rated Good (eg.
PGGGG, PPGGG, PPPGG, PPPPG).
30. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Health – not without physical problems
Injuries – brought on by their own activities
Setbacks- likely to improve.
Conditions described as minor (even if not)
Positive outcomes of health care
Longstanding health problems.
More pessimistic about getting over events and
illnesses.
Vitality – Active and fit
Some slowing down with ageing. Slowing down
“everything is gradually wearing out” (s3)
Participation _Active Passive
Dancing, gardening, volunteer work reading
Life satisfaction and Identity
Generally satisfied with life.
Belief in themselves and proud of achievements
whether maternal, domestic or professional
Content
“Pathetic”
Not bored.
Good Health Poor Health
31. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Health Care – Active and involved Less active
Generally satisfied with health care
Trust doctors, health care systems, and therapies.
Some concern with access to health care.
Some using CAM: “I seek natural therapies”
Difficulty accessing health care.
Difficulty affording health care.
Mistrust.
Mobility and physical function – Can do Can’t do
Adapt to increasing difficulties and limitations to
physical function.
Generally still able to drive
Describe what they can’t do (rather than what they
can do or hope to do)
Talked about not being able to drive
Social
Positive relationships, supportive family, good
friends
May be caring for husband
Negative as well as positive relationships
Difficulty maintaining relationships
Carer burden / Loss of spouse.
Optimistic Less optimistic
Internal locus of control “I keep well”
“I don’t sit and wait for things to happen”
“you reap what you sew”
“hope” “grateful” ‘Lucky” “Fortunate”
“I hope I will not be around for the next survey. I
have no desire to stay alive when I can no longer
function independently” (s3)
Good Health Poor Health
32. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Impact of Ageing on Health and Aged
Care Use
- GP Visits
- Pathology Services
- Specialists visits
- Hospital admissions
- Aged Care
2018
33. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
https://www.alswh.org.au Byles et al. Major Report to Department
of Health, 2017
Increase in number of GP visits across four
cohorts
Figure 3-1. Mean annual number of GP services by women across the life course (1989-95, 1973-
78, 1946-51, 1921-26 cohorts). 1
1989-95 cohortOriginal ALSWH cohorts
18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90
Average age
0
5
10
15
20
MeanMBSclaims
1973-78 cohort 1946-51 cohort 1921-26 cohort
34. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
115
26 cohort who were in their last 12 months of life and those who were not (Figure 6-13). However, from
the age of 81, the number of GP services by women in their last 12 months of life was much higher than
for other women of the same age who were not in their last year of life. This difference became greater
with increases in age, largely due to progressively fewer services being used by surviving women at
the oldest ages.
Figure 6-13. Mean annual number of GP services by women in the 1921-26 cohort, classified
according to whether women are in the last year of life.
YesNo12 months before death
70 75 80 85 90 95
Age
0
5
10
15
20
MeanMBSclaims
1921-26 cohort
https://www.alswh.org.au Byles et al. Major Report to Department
of Health, 2017
35. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Hospital use
1936 surviving women NSW Hospital Data
Four-class LCA model representing hospital admission
profiles from 2001-2010 for surviving women from the 1921-
1926 cohort
(Dolja Gore, Harris, Kendig and Byles 2015)
17%
21%
38%
25%
Not in urban areas, widowed,
Arthritis, Heart disease, stroke, COPD,
Poor PF, More likely to die in next 2
years
Fall
Less hypertension, less UI
36. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Percentage of women who were admitted to
hospital each month: heart disease, with or
without dementia (unpublished data)
HOSPITAL USE LAST 2 YRS OF LIFE
WOMEN WITH HEART DISEASE
24 months before death death
37. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
HOSPITAL USE LAST 2 YRS OF LIFE
Percentage of women who were admitted to hospital each month: stroke,
with or without dementia.
death24 months before death
WOMEN WITH STROKE
38. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Rahman 2017
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
%OFWOMEN
YEAR
Basic HACC High-level HACC and CACP RAC Non-user Death
74-79 85-90
ALSWH Long Term Care Use 2001-11 (n=12,432)
23%
Died no
RAC
30%
RAC
Forder
et al.
2017
39. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Percentage of women in Permanent Residential Care for
each month: heart disease, with or without dementia.
death24 months before death
40. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Percentage of women in Permanent Residential Care for each month:
stroke, with or without dementia.
24 months before death death
41. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
2018
1989-95
23-38
1973-78
40-45
1946-51
67-72
1921-26
92-97
Four Cohorts, over 58,000 women,
Four generations of women’s health
Australian Longitudinal Study
on Women’s Health
Prospects for future generations
2018
42. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
18 21 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 74 77 80 83 86 89
Average age at survey
20
25
30MeanBMI
1989-95 1973-78 cohort 1946-51 cohort 1921-26 cohort
Trends in health risks:
overtime and across successive cohorts
Ow/obese 32% 20% 45% 45% 63% 47% 43%
Smoke 19% 26.5% 13% 15% 5%
Diabetes 1% <1% 3% 3% 12.5% 5% 17%
Arthritis 20% 51% 41% 70%
Smoke less .. … heavier …… more
chronic disease
43. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
… 20 years on
More diabetes, more
heart disease, more
arthritis, more
asthma, decreased
workability, more
health care use …
need for preventive
health care is greater
than ever.
Note that there are no projections for the 1921-26 cohort as they have all reached the age of
90, which is the maximum age for our analyses.
Figure 4-3: Average BMI projections from 2015 to 2035 for each cohort (1989-95, 1973-78,
1946-51, and 1921-26). The circles represent actual data from ALSWH and the lines
represent the predicted change in mean BMI for each cohort separately for the next 20
years.
4.4. Projected obesity prevalence over the next 20 years
Other studies have shown that excess burden on the healthcare system is largely associated
with obesity rather than overweight (Korda et al., 2015). Therefore, the focus of the following
analyses is on obesity and the impact of obesity on healthcare service utilisation. To forecast
the prevalence of obesity by age for each cohort over the next twenty years, a generalised
linear mixed model was fitted to the data using a log-log link function (Figure 4-4; Appendix
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Age
20
22
24
26
28
30
MeanBMI
PredictedObserved
44. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Acknowledgements
ALSWH is funded by the Australian Government Department of
Health.
We are grateful to the women who participate in ALSWH by
providing survey data.
45. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
www.alswh.org.au
46. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Discussion
47. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Women’s health across the
life-course and across the
generations – Lessons from
Australia
International Longevity Centre-UK
Editor's Notes
Healthy ageing depends on many factors, starting in early life and continuing to the last breath. Accordingly, the impact of ageing on society depends not only on the health of people who are older now, but also on the health and lifestyle choices of younger generations. Understanding the future of ageing therefore requires knowledge of life-course factors that contribute to health in older age, and of the cohort changes that will shape health and health care needs of older people in the future. The Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health (ALSWH) provides an opportunity to examine these life-course and cohort effects. Since 1996, the Study has followed three cohorts of women born 1921-26, 1946-51, 1973-78 providing information on changes in these women’s health as they age through their 20’s and 30’s, 40’s and 50’s, 70’s and 80’s and now into their 90’s - with over 2000 women from the oldest cohort (now aged 88-93 years) still completing six-monthly surveys on their wellbeing, and with ongoing linkage to data on health and aged care service use. In 2013, the Study added a new cohort of over 17000 women born 1989-95, providing insights into the health of a whole new generation. Comparisons across cohorts show hope for greater workforce participation into later life, balancing work and caregiving, and ageing well. However, the study also identifies large sub-groups with poor health behaviours, high levels of illness and disability, and growing needs for health care. The findings underscore the need to increase efforts to promote health across the life-course, and to prevent chronic disease and its consequences, and to provide appropriate health care to those in need.
Mothers and their children’s health (MaTCH) study – recruitment of all the children born to the women in the 1973-78 cohort provides opportunity to investigate how maternal health and wellbeing influence the health of all her children
CREWH21 – using linked data to examine selected aspects of women’s health - reproductive health, cardiovascular conditions, musculoskeletal problems, and mental health.
75+ assessments
Over time, the older women have demonstrated a decline in their PF.
This graph shows the physical function scores for these women. High scores mean they have little or no difficulty doing vigorous activities (such as running, lifting heavy objects, running, participating in strenuous sports); low scores mean they have a lot of physical disability.
A score above 40 means women mostly have little or no difficulty walking 1km, climbing stairs, carrying groceries.
Scores below 40means women have significant disability on most items, and may have difficulty walking 100m or with dressing or bathing.
As the women aged, their average scores on this scale declined, indicating increasing difficulty with these items of daily living.
Corresponding to these declines we also see a change in the probability that women will drive themselves – with >50% driving at the start, and <35% driving at survey 6.
We also see an increase in the percent of women who need help with daily tasks. At the start 9% of women needed help with daily tasks, and by survey 6 34% needed help.
BUT – note at the start of the study women were twice as likely to provide care as to need care; and this ratio stayed about 2:1 up until their mid 80’s. By Survey 6 they were more likey to need care than provide care.
And this graph shows what happens to a cohort of women as they age … showing the increase in the proportion of the cohort in any sort of care as they age, and the increase in the level of care needed with fewer receiving basic HACC services such as transport and home help, and more recieving more complex services such as home nursing or residential aged care.
You can also see the 40% of women who have left the cohort due to death, and so the proportion of the surviving cohort receving care is increasing rapidly as they age.
Also important is that, even though the proportion in RAC was small at any given age, around 30% were admitted to permanent RAC over the period of observation – including those who subsequently died. Around 23% of women died without being admitted to a facility. Accounting for the competing risk of death, the risk of a woman being admitted to RAC up to age 90 is about 35%.
Taking all types of care into account, the chance of a person needing care across the course of their later life is about 68% for a woman and 48% for a man.
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, 2015 & 2016
To forecast the prevalence of obesity by age for each cohort over the next 20 years, a generalised linear mixed model was fitted to the data using a log-log link function (Figure 4-4; see Appendix for details methods).
The projection model shows that the proportion of obese women will continue to increase in both the 1989-95 and 1973-78 cohorts over the next 20 years, reaching about 46 percent (see Figure 4-4). The proportion of obese women in the 1946-51 cohort is projected to peak at about 30 percent by 72 years of age and will gradually decrease until 2035. There are no projections for the 1921-26 cohort, for the reasons given previously.