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SG Banking Sector.pptx
1.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. SG Banking Sector
2.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Discussion Points Macroeconomics -Economic Slowdown in a high interest rate, high inflation environment -Failed banks in US destroyed confidence in banking system -SG banks have insignificant exposures to failed banks in US.SG banks are well-capitalised. Liquidity positions are healthy underpinned by a diversified funding base.
3.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Discussion Points Credit Environment -Loans contracting in Q4 2022 due to concerns over economic slowdown & borrowers repayment in loans. -Credit costs expected to increase due to intense competition for deposits, however NIM expected to rise due to rate hike cycle. -Non-performing loans may increase due to economic slowdown.
4.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Federal Reserve • Federal Reserve sets up a US$25 billion bank term funding programme to offer banks one year loans with collaterals valued at par. • Federal Reserve increases balance sheet to boost liquidity.
5.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Federal Reserve increases Fed Balance sheet to boost liquidity.
6.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Not a QE • It does little in creating new money that flows into the economy, as Fed is lending to banks,not buying from banks. • Bank borrows from the Fed,it is expanding its own balance sheet to increase liquidity ratio. • QE is Fed buys the security from bank,the bank has balance sheet available for renewed expansion e.g new loans.
7.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Key things to look out for in banking sector report • Net Interest Margin(NIM) • NIM growth DBS OCBC UOB NIM Growth 21% 24% 19% DBS OCBC UOB Net Interest Margin 2.11% 2.43% 2.22%
8.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Key things to look out for in banking sector report • Non-performing Loans • CET1 Ratio DBS OCBC UOB NPL 1.10% 1.20% 1.60% DBS OCBC UOB CET1 Ratio 14.6 15.2 13.3
9.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents. Key things to look out for in banking sector report • CASA Ratio • Return on Equity DBS OCBC UOB Return on Equity 15% 11% 12% DBS OCBC UOB CASA Ratio 60% 52% 48%
10.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
11.
Phillip Securities Pte
Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) Co. Reg. No. 197501035Z © PhillipCapital 2023. All Rights Reserved. For internal circulation only. Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. Phillip Securities accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.
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