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Welcome to NCMA’s
Cost and price analysis: requirements, techniques
and industry trends
January 11, 2018
12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. (Eastern)
Disclaimer
This presentation is for informational purposes only and
does not constitute legal advice. For legal advice on any
issue, you should consult with an attorney.
The views expressed by the presenters are not
necessarily those of Ernst & Young LLP or other members
of the global EY organization.
Cost and price
analysis: requirements,
techniques and industry
trends
Andy Artz, Principal, Ernst & Young LLP
Karl Fultz, Manager, Ernst & Young LLP
January 11, 2018
12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. (Eastern)
Agenda
• Defining cost and price analysis
• Certified cost or pricing data and regulatory
requirements
• Cost analysis
• Price analysis
• Common roadblocks and pitfalls
• Industry trends
5
Price analysis
• Price analysis is the process
of examining and evaluating a
proposed price without
evaluating its separate cost
elements and proposed profit.
• When required:
• When certified cost or pricing
data are not required
• Should be performed when
doing a cost analysis
Cost analysis
• Review and evaluation of
separate cost elements and
profit or fee in an offeror’s or
contractor’s proposal, as needed
to determine a fair and
reasonable price or to determine
cost realism, and the application
of judgment to determine how
well the proposed costs
represent what the cost of the
contract should be, assuming
reasonable economy and
efficiency
• When required:
• When certified cost or pricing
data is required
Defining cost and price analysis
6
Certified cost or pricing data
• “Certified Cost or Pricing Data” means any cost or
pricing data that are required to be certified pursuant
to the Truthful Cost or Pricing Data statute (formerly
Truth in Negotiations Act (TINA)).
• Certification states that to the best of certifier’s
knowledge and belief, the cost or pricing data are
accurate, complete and current as of the date of
certification.
7
Requirements for certified cost
or pricing data
• Applicable to a negotiated contract or subcontract
exceeding $750,000 (Oct 1, 2015)
• The 2018 National Defense Authorization Act increased the
threshold to $2 million.
• Applicable to negotiated modification of a contract
where aggregate pricing action is above the
threshold – even if the original contract was
competed
• When certified cost or pricing data are required,
offeror must submit:
• The certified cost or pricing data and any data other than
certified cost or pricing data required by CO to make fair
and reasonable and realism determinations
• A Certificate of Current Cost or Pricing Data
8
Exceptions to certified cost or
pricing data
• Adequate price competition
• Prices set by law or regulation
• Commercial item acquisition per definition at Federal
Acquisition Regulation (FAR) 2.101
• Written waiver has been granted by Head of Contracting
Activity
• Modifying a contract for a commercial item
• Proposals for overrun funding or interim billing price
adjustments
• The exercise of an option at the price established at
contract award or initial negotiation does not require
submission of certified cost or pricing data.
9
Data other than certified cost or
pricing data
• “Data other than certified cost or pricing data” means
pricing or cost data and judgmental information
necessary for the contracting officer to determine a
fair and reasonable price or to determine cost
realism.
• It can be data that is identical types of data as
certified cost or pricing data – but without the
certification.
• May include:
• Sales data
• Information required to explain estimating process
• Judgmental factors applied and mathematical or other
methods employed to make price estimates
• Nature and amount of any contingencies included in a
proposal
10
Cost analysis techniques
• Discussed in FAR 15.404.1(c), “Cost Analysis”
• When evaluating certified cost or pricing data:
• Reasonableness of proposed costs
• Projection of trends
• Reasonableness of parametric models
• Application of audited or negotiated rates
• Includes all cost elements
• Labor
• Material
• Overhead
• General and Administrative (G&A)
• Other (commissions, material burden, etc.)
• Evaluate profit
11
Cost analysis techniques –
Labor
• The labor element of cost will include labor hours
and labor rates.
• Estimates should be supported by a written basis of
estimate.
• A common mistake is to exclude either rates or hours
from the cost analysis.
12
Hours
• Technical analysis
• Historical experience of
supplier or contractor of
the same or similar
activities
• Learning curves and
other parametric
estimating
Rates
• Historical experience by
supplier or contractor
• May include averages or
discrete labor rates
• Industry standards
• Other published rate
information (e.g., Bureau
of Labor Statistics)
Cost analysis techniques –
Labor
13
Cost analysis techniques –
Material
• Materials are contained in the Bill of Material (BOM)
and should also be supported by a Consolidated Bill
of Material (CBOM).
• Common techniques:
• Comparison to quotes or purchase orders
• Analysis for non-recurring expenses (NRE) and scrap or
usage factors
• Should include both cost and quantity considerations
• Using historical cost and quantity curve analysis techniques
• Historical costs should be evaluated for changes in
escalation or commodity prices.
• The fair and reasonableness of quoted prices should be
considered.
14
Cost analysis techniques –
Indirect rates
• Rates might include labor overhead, manufacturing
overhead, material burden, G&A, fringe rate, etc.
• Techniques used may include a reasonable analysis,
but not full audit, of costs included in the overhead
pool to verify that only allowable costs are included.
• Comparison to Forward Pricing Rate Agreement (FPRA)
• Use of rate trends and final indirect rates agreed-to with the
government
• Detailed analysis of indirect pool accounts, data, and
calculations
• Industry trends and experience
15
Cost analysis techniques – Other
Direct Costs (ODC)
• Other Direct Costs include travel, tooling, etc.
• Each element of cost will need unique analysis.
• Actual analysis techniques used may be a function of
risk and materiality.
• Example: Travel
• Travel should have a BOE that states the
requirement/necessity for the travel, which may be
assessed by technical evaluator.
• Costs need to be supported by logistical information such as
number of days multiplied by government per diem rates for
lodging/meal in the location of travel.
16
Cost analysis techniques –
Profit
• Defense Federal Acquisition Regulation Supplement
(DFARS) 215.404-4 dictates that there are three
structured approaches to calculating profit –
• The weighted guideline method
• The modified weighted guideline
• An alternate structure approach
• A key consideration is that there is not a single
approach to profit evaluation. Any of the three may
be used and generally other methods may be used
by contractors, to extent the analysis is reasonable.
• Profit analysis typically incorporates risk, contract
type, facilities capital employed, and cost efficiency.
17
Price analysis
• Discussed in FAR 15.401-1(b) “Price Analysis”
• Price analysis is the process of examining and
evaluating a prospective price without evaluation of
the separate cost elements and profit.
• The analysis is used to determine price
reasonableness, but the process is subjective: for a
given set of information, different buyers might reach
different conclusions about price reasonableness.
18
Price analysis techniques
• Methods often involve comparison of:
• Proposed prices received in response to the solicitation
• Prior proposed prices and contract prices with current
proposed prices for the same or similar items
• Competitive published price lists, published market prices of
commodities, similar indexes, and discount or rebate
commitments
• Independent estimates
• Prices obtained through market research for the same or
similar items
• Analysis of pricing information provided by the offeror
19
Common roadblocks
and pitfalls
• Government assist audits denied or slow
• Lack of technical resources
• Inadequate or unavailable supplier data
• Monitoring of Long Term Agreements (LTAs)
• Not analyzing or addressing all cost elements
• Procurement file organization
• Documenting the procurement, decisions and
conclusions
• Ongoing monitoring and training not producing
improvements
20
Industry trends
• Increased focus on commerciality
• Use of specialists or third parties for cost analyses
• Organization of procurement departments
• Interactive training and workshops
• Procurement quality metrics
• Self assessments
• Use of templates and guides
21
Contact information
22
Andy Artz, Principal
Ernst & Young LLP
andrew.artz@ey.com
+1 703 747 1480
Karl Fultz, Manager
Ernst & Young LLP
karl.fultz@ey.com
+1 214 969 8121
SCORE No. 00124-181US
Questions
23
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Cost and Price Analysis: Requirements and Techniques

  • 1. Callers are in a Listen Only Mode The presentation audio will begin at noon. Access the teleconference line by clicking on the Event Info tab located in the upper left-hand of your screen. Use the listed Teleconference number, Access Code, and Attendee ID to sync your phone and web connection. VOIP is not recommended.
  • 2. Welcome to NCMA’s Cost and price analysis: requirements, techniques and industry trends January 11, 2018 12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. (Eastern)
  • 3. Disclaimer This presentation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. For legal advice on any issue, you should consult with an attorney. The views expressed by the presenters are not necessarily those of Ernst & Young LLP or other members of the global EY organization.
  • 4. Cost and price analysis: requirements, techniques and industry trends Andy Artz, Principal, Ernst & Young LLP Karl Fultz, Manager, Ernst & Young LLP January 11, 2018 12:00 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. (Eastern)
  • 5. Agenda • Defining cost and price analysis • Certified cost or pricing data and regulatory requirements • Cost analysis • Price analysis • Common roadblocks and pitfalls • Industry trends 5
  • 6. Price analysis • Price analysis is the process of examining and evaluating a proposed price without evaluating its separate cost elements and proposed profit. • When required: • When certified cost or pricing data are not required • Should be performed when doing a cost analysis Cost analysis • Review and evaluation of separate cost elements and profit or fee in an offeror’s or contractor’s proposal, as needed to determine a fair and reasonable price or to determine cost realism, and the application of judgment to determine how well the proposed costs represent what the cost of the contract should be, assuming reasonable economy and efficiency • When required: • When certified cost or pricing data is required Defining cost and price analysis 6
  • 7. Certified cost or pricing data • “Certified Cost or Pricing Data” means any cost or pricing data that are required to be certified pursuant to the Truthful Cost or Pricing Data statute (formerly Truth in Negotiations Act (TINA)). • Certification states that to the best of certifier’s knowledge and belief, the cost or pricing data are accurate, complete and current as of the date of certification. 7
  • 8. Requirements for certified cost or pricing data • Applicable to a negotiated contract or subcontract exceeding $750,000 (Oct 1, 2015) • The 2018 National Defense Authorization Act increased the threshold to $2 million. • Applicable to negotiated modification of a contract where aggregate pricing action is above the threshold – even if the original contract was competed • When certified cost or pricing data are required, offeror must submit: • The certified cost or pricing data and any data other than certified cost or pricing data required by CO to make fair and reasonable and realism determinations • A Certificate of Current Cost or Pricing Data 8
  • 9. Exceptions to certified cost or pricing data • Adequate price competition • Prices set by law or regulation • Commercial item acquisition per definition at Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR) 2.101 • Written waiver has been granted by Head of Contracting Activity • Modifying a contract for a commercial item • Proposals for overrun funding or interim billing price adjustments • The exercise of an option at the price established at contract award or initial negotiation does not require submission of certified cost or pricing data. 9
  • 10. Data other than certified cost or pricing data • “Data other than certified cost or pricing data” means pricing or cost data and judgmental information necessary for the contracting officer to determine a fair and reasonable price or to determine cost realism. • It can be data that is identical types of data as certified cost or pricing data – but without the certification. • May include: • Sales data • Information required to explain estimating process • Judgmental factors applied and mathematical or other methods employed to make price estimates • Nature and amount of any contingencies included in a proposal 10
  • 11. Cost analysis techniques • Discussed in FAR 15.404.1(c), “Cost Analysis” • When evaluating certified cost or pricing data: • Reasonableness of proposed costs • Projection of trends • Reasonableness of parametric models • Application of audited or negotiated rates • Includes all cost elements • Labor • Material • Overhead • General and Administrative (G&A) • Other (commissions, material burden, etc.) • Evaluate profit 11
  • 12. Cost analysis techniques – Labor • The labor element of cost will include labor hours and labor rates. • Estimates should be supported by a written basis of estimate. • A common mistake is to exclude either rates or hours from the cost analysis. 12
  • 13. Hours • Technical analysis • Historical experience of supplier or contractor of the same or similar activities • Learning curves and other parametric estimating Rates • Historical experience by supplier or contractor • May include averages or discrete labor rates • Industry standards • Other published rate information (e.g., Bureau of Labor Statistics) Cost analysis techniques – Labor 13
  • 14. Cost analysis techniques – Material • Materials are contained in the Bill of Material (BOM) and should also be supported by a Consolidated Bill of Material (CBOM). • Common techniques: • Comparison to quotes or purchase orders • Analysis for non-recurring expenses (NRE) and scrap or usage factors • Should include both cost and quantity considerations • Using historical cost and quantity curve analysis techniques • Historical costs should be evaluated for changes in escalation or commodity prices. • The fair and reasonableness of quoted prices should be considered. 14
  • 15. Cost analysis techniques – Indirect rates • Rates might include labor overhead, manufacturing overhead, material burden, G&A, fringe rate, etc. • Techniques used may include a reasonable analysis, but not full audit, of costs included in the overhead pool to verify that only allowable costs are included. • Comparison to Forward Pricing Rate Agreement (FPRA) • Use of rate trends and final indirect rates agreed-to with the government • Detailed analysis of indirect pool accounts, data, and calculations • Industry trends and experience 15
  • 16. Cost analysis techniques – Other Direct Costs (ODC) • Other Direct Costs include travel, tooling, etc. • Each element of cost will need unique analysis. • Actual analysis techniques used may be a function of risk and materiality. • Example: Travel • Travel should have a BOE that states the requirement/necessity for the travel, which may be assessed by technical evaluator. • Costs need to be supported by logistical information such as number of days multiplied by government per diem rates for lodging/meal in the location of travel. 16
  • 17. Cost analysis techniques – Profit • Defense Federal Acquisition Regulation Supplement (DFARS) 215.404-4 dictates that there are three structured approaches to calculating profit – • The weighted guideline method • The modified weighted guideline • An alternate structure approach • A key consideration is that there is not a single approach to profit evaluation. Any of the three may be used and generally other methods may be used by contractors, to extent the analysis is reasonable. • Profit analysis typically incorporates risk, contract type, facilities capital employed, and cost efficiency. 17
  • 18. Price analysis • Discussed in FAR 15.401-1(b) “Price Analysis” • Price analysis is the process of examining and evaluating a prospective price without evaluation of the separate cost elements and profit. • The analysis is used to determine price reasonableness, but the process is subjective: for a given set of information, different buyers might reach different conclusions about price reasonableness. 18
  • 19. Price analysis techniques • Methods often involve comparison of: • Proposed prices received in response to the solicitation • Prior proposed prices and contract prices with current proposed prices for the same or similar items • Competitive published price lists, published market prices of commodities, similar indexes, and discount or rebate commitments • Independent estimates • Prices obtained through market research for the same or similar items • Analysis of pricing information provided by the offeror 19
  • 20. Common roadblocks and pitfalls • Government assist audits denied or slow • Lack of technical resources • Inadequate or unavailable supplier data • Monitoring of Long Term Agreements (LTAs) • Not analyzing or addressing all cost elements • Procurement file organization • Documenting the procurement, decisions and conclusions • Ongoing monitoring and training not producing improvements 20
  • 21. Industry trends • Increased focus on commerciality • Use of specialists or third parties for cost analyses • Organization of procurement departments • Interactive training and workshops • Procurement quality metrics • Self assessments • Use of templates and guides 21
  • 22. Contact information 22 Andy Artz, Principal Ernst & Young LLP andrew.artz@ey.com +1 703 747 1480 Karl Fultz, Manager Ernst & Young LLP karl.fultz@ey.com +1 214 969 8121 SCORE No. 00124-181US
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