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E D I T O R I A L C O M M E N TA R Y
Clinical Infectious Diseases
EDITORIAL COMMENTARY  •  cid 2020:XX (XX XXXX) • 1
 
Received 25 June 2020; editorial decision 30 June 2020;
accepted 2 July 2020; published online July 6, 2020.
Correspondence: Justin Stebbing, Imperial College, ICTEM
building, Hammersmith Hospital, Du Cane Road, London, W12
0NN, UK (j.stebbing@imperial.ac.uk).
Clinical Infectious Diseases®
  2020;XX(XX):0–0
© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for
the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved.
For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa940
The Emergence of Baricitinib: A Story of Tortoises
Versus Hares
Heinz-Josef Lenz,1
Peter Richardson,2
and Justin Stebbing3
1
Division of Oncology, USC Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA, 2
BenevolentAI, London, United Kingdom, and 3
Department of
Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom
Keywords.  COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; barictinib; anti-viral; cytokine storm; trial.
Baricitinib is a once daily orally admin-
istered JAK1/2 inhibitor, which inhibits
the signaling of many cytokines and has
been approved for the treatment of mod-
erate to severe rheumatoid arthritis (RA)
based on long-term randomized dosing
against both placebo and standard of care
[1], notably tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-
alpha blockade. Its use for the treatment
of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
was originally suggested after a search of
the extensive BenevolentAI knowledge
graph for approved drugs that could be
used in this pandemic [2]. An advan-
tage of approved drugs is that they have
a known safety profile and can therefore
be rapidly approved in fast moving pan-
demics. The artificial intelligence algo-
rithms predicted that baricitinib would
inhibit severe acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection
of cells [2], (an effect later confirmed in
human liver spheroids) [3], combined
with its better-known anti-inflammatory­
properties. The doses required were pre-
dicted to be the same as used for the
treatment of RA. At these doses, inter-
leukin 6 (IL-6) levels were reduced both
in COVID19 patients as well as dose de-
pendently in RA patients in a previous
phase 2b randomized RA trial, the first
time this was shown in humans [4]. What
was more intriguing was its inhibition of
members of the numb associated kinase
family, thought in turn to translate to
reduced AP-2 mediated viral propaga-
tion early in the infectious cycle, sug-
gesting antiviral activity; this was shown
in liver spheroid models, which express
detectable albeit low levels of the ACE2
receptor.
In hospitalized patients it is anticipated
that residual virus that propagates itself
in airway epithelial tissues maintains
and amplifies the exaggerated inflam-
matory response typical of COVID-19.
Consequently, the combined potential
antiviral and anti-inflammatory effects
of this dually acting drug could be ideal
for halting the progression of the dis-
ease in hospitalized patients, when taken
for a limited duration. At the University
of Southern California now, a random-
ized placebo-controlled phase 2 study
with remdesivir with/without baricitinib
is ongoing to test the efficacy to prevent
mechanical ventilation including signifi-
cant biomarker research.
In this issue of Clinical Infectious
Diseases, Titanji et  al describe the out-
come of 15 moderate-to-critically ill
patients with COVID-19 treated with
baricitinib and hydroxychloroquine. This
therapy was associated with a reduction
in inflammatory markers including fever,
C reactive protein (CRP), improvement
of oxygen requirements, and recovery
in 12 of the 15 (80%) patients studied.
Although it is possible that the anti-
viral and anti-inflammatory effects of
hydroxychloroquine contributed to this
positive outcome, this would seem un-
likely according to the recently reported
National Institutes of Health (NIH) ran-
domized trials) [5], among many other
studies. This new paper in the journal
extends the previous published reports
of baricitinib treatment in mild-to-
moderate COVID19 patients and pro-
vides further evidence that baricitinib
could be a potential treatment for un-
well hospitalized patients with this dis-
ease, independent of severity. Indeed, in
mild-to-moderate patients, baricitinib
therapy was also associated with a re-
duction in the requirement for intensive
care unit (ICU) care when compared
with matched case controls [6, 7]. In each
series baricitinib treatment has been as-
sociated with a reduction in inflamma-
tion and recovery from the disease in the
vast majority of patients, consistent with
the present report, but we do not know
if this is simply an association or repre-
sents a causative effect of the drug. In this
new paper, 3 patients died, 2 of which
had very high plasma IL-6 levels prior
to starting baricitinib therapy consistent
with previous data that high IL-6 is a pre-
dictor of mortality in COVD19 infections
[8, 9]. These useful results retrospect-
ively justified the testing of the anti-IL6/
Downloadedfromhttps://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa940/5868032bygueston19September2020
2 • cid 2020:XX (XX XXXX) • EDITORIAL COMMENTARY
IL6R antibodies Kevzara (sarilumab) and
Actemra (tocilizumab) in severely unwell
patients, although randomized studies
are yet to show benefits.
Baricitinib treatment over prolonged
periodsinRApatientshasbeenassociated
with increased infections and thrombo-
embolism, but the short duration of treat-
ment in COVID-19 patients may mitigate
against such side effects. In this report it
is difficult to say whether one incident of
pulmonary embolism and methicillin-
resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA)
infection were due to the complications
of COVID-19 or baricitinib, but the
much larger numbers of patients in the
yet to report randomized studies should
clarify this. One would be advised to re-
main vigilant of such signals reflecting
thromboembolic or infection risk in ran-
domized controlled trials testing a var-
iety of immunomodulatory therapies in
COVID-19 patients, either alone or in
combination, especially in view of asso-
ciations between clots and SARS-CoV-2
infection [10]. Specifically, severe endo-
thelial injury associated with intracellular
SARS-CoV-2 virus and disrupted endo-
thelial cell membranes, widespread vas-
cular thrombosis with microangiopathy,
and occlusion of alveolar capillaries
including significant new vessel growth
through a mechanism of intussusceptive
angiogenesis has been described [11].
The first report of a significant reduc-
tion in COVID-19 mortality in any ran-
domized study recently came from the
RECOVERY trial in the United Kingdom
showing that low dose dexamethasone
had a significant effect in reducing mor-
tality when given with standard of care
(21.6% vs 24.6% of the patients dying
within 28  days) [12]; this effect was
greatest in ventilated patients (a 30% re-
duction in mortality) and slightly less in
those provided with noninvasive supple-
mental oxygen (a 20% reduction) [12].
It is tempting to speculate that a similar
or greater reduction in mortality could
be expected with baricitinib in random-
ized trials, especially because baricitinib
is now reported to be associated with
recovery from COVID-19 in different
series of patients. It may even be possible
to combine the baricitinib with dexa-
methasone, at least in critically ill pa-
tients, although once again it would of
course be important to assess the risk of
infection when administering these 2 po-
tent anti-inflammatory agents together.
As acknowledged by Titanji et al, and
reiterated by us, randomized trials are re-
quired for us to be certain if baricitinib
is an effective and safe therapy for
COVID-19 patients [3]. This report, and
others like it, have supported the selec-
tion of baricitinib in a number of studies
including the ACTT2 randomized trial,
where it is being tested in combination
with remdesivir, and a further placebo-
controlled phase 3 trial recently com-
menced. It is anticipated that these trials
should provide a robust estimate of the
efficacy of baricitinib in COVID-19 and
would be complementary to each other.
These initial case series warrant further
confirmation from the ongoing larger,
randomized and controlled trials. Thus
far, these data sets also validate use of arti-
ficial intelligence at a time of a biomedical
crisis, to help speed drug development.
The use of an oral medicine taken once
daily for a short duration should also
lend itself to low- and middle-income
countries.
Note
Potential conflicts of interest. P. J. R. is an em-
ployee of BenevolentAI and has received hon-
oraria for giving a lecture to Lilly with J. S. And
J. S. has sat on SABs for Vaccitech, Heat Biologics,
Eli Lilly, Replete, Alveo, Certis Oncology
Solutions, Greenmantle and BenevolentAI,
has consulted with Lansdowne partners and
Vitruvian. He sits on the Board of Directors for
BB Biotech Healthcare Trust. H.-J. L. has no re-
ported conflicts. All authors have submitted the
ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts
of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider rel-
evant to the content of the manuscript have been
disclosed.
References
1.	Taylor  PC, Keystone  EC, Van  Der  Heijde  D,
et  al. Baricitinib versus placebo or adalimumab
in rheumatoid arthritis. N Engl J Med 2017.
doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1608345.
2.	 Richardson P, Griffin I, Tucker C, et al. Baricitinib
as potential treatment for 2019-nCoV acute re-
spiratory disease. Lancet 2020; 395:e30–1.
3.	 Stebbing J, Krishnan V, de Bono S, et al. Mechanism
of baricitinib supports artificial intelligence-
predicted testing in COVID-19 patients. EMBO
Mol Med 2020. doi:10.15252/emmm.202012697.
4.	 Tanaka Y, Emoto K, Cai Z, et al. Efficacy and safety
of baricitinib in Japanese patients with active
rheumatoid arthritis receiving background metho-
trexate therapy: a 12-week, double-blind, random-
ized placebo-controlled study. J Rheumatol 2016.
doi:10.3899/jrheum.150613.
5.	Wang  Y, Liang  S, Qiu  T, et  al. Rapid systematic
review on clinical evidence of chloroquine and
hydroxychloroquine in COVID-19 critical assess-
ment and recommendation for future clinical trials.
medRxiv 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.06.01.20118901.
6.	Cantini  F, Niccoli  L, Matarrese  D, Nicastri  E,
Stobbione  P, Goletti  D. Baricitinib therapy in
COVID-19: a pilot study on safety and clinical im-
pact. J Infect 2020. doi:10.1016/j.jinf.2020.04.017.
7.	Matarrese  D, Edoardo  M, Natale  D, et  al.
Retrospective, multicenter study on the impact of
baricitinib in COVID-19 moderate pneumonia. J
Infect 2020. doi:10.1016/j.jinf.2020.06.052.
8.	 Liu T, Zhang J, Yang Y, et al. The potential role of
IL-6 in monitoring coronavirus disease 2019. SSRN
Electron J 2020. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3548761.
9.	 Ruan Q, Yang K, Wang W, Jiang L, Song J. Clinical
predictors of mortality due to COVID-19 based on
an analysis of data of 150 patients from Wuhan,
China. Intensive Care Med 2020. doi:10.1007/
s00134-020-05991-x.
10.	McGonagle  D, O’Donnell  JS, Sharif  K, Emery  P,
Bridgewood  C. Immune mechanisms of pulmo-
nary intravascular coagulopathy in COVID-19
pneumonia. Lancet Rheumatol 2020. doi:10.1016/
S2665-9913(20)30121-1.
11.	Ackermann  M, Verleden  SE, Kuehnel  M, et  al.
Pulmonary vascular endothelialitis, thrombosis,
and angiogenesis in Covid-19. N Engl J Med 2020.
doi:10.1056/nejmoa2015432.
12.	 Horby P, Lim WS, Emberson J, et al. Effect of dex-
amethasone in hospitalized patients with COVID-
19: preliminary report. medRxiv 2020. doi:10.1101
/2020.06.22.20137273.
Downloadedfromhttps://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa940/5868032bygueston19September2020

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The Emergence of Baricitinib: A Story of Tortoises Versus Hares

  • 1. E D I T O R I A L C O M M E N TA R Y Clinical Infectious Diseases EDITORIAL COMMENTARY  •  cid 2020:XX (XX XXXX) • 1   Received 25 June 2020; editorial decision 30 June 2020; accepted 2 July 2020; published online July 6, 2020. Correspondence: Justin Stebbing, Imperial College, ICTEM building, Hammersmith Hospital, Du Cane Road, London, W12 0NN, UK (j.stebbing@imperial.ac.uk). Clinical Infectious Diseases®   2020;XX(XX):0–0 © The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com. DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa940 The Emergence of Baricitinib: A Story of Tortoises Versus Hares Heinz-Josef Lenz,1 Peter Richardson,2 and Justin Stebbing3 1 Division of Oncology, USC Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA, 2 BenevolentAI, London, United Kingdom, and 3 Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom Keywords.  COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; barictinib; anti-viral; cytokine storm; trial. Baricitinib is a once daily orally admin- istered JAK1/2 inhibitor, which inhibits the signaling of many cytokines and has been approved for the treatment of mod- erate to severe rheumatoid arthritis (RA) based on long-term randomized dosing against both placebo and standard of care [1], notably tumor necrosis factor (TNF)- alpha blockade. Its use for the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was originally suggested after a search of the extensive BenevolentAI knowledge graph for approved drugs that could be used in this pandemic [2]. An advan- tage of approved drugs is that they have a known safety profile and can therefore be rapidly approved in fast moving pan- demics. The artificial intelligence algo- rithms predicted that baricitinib would inhibit severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection of cells [2], (an effect later confirmed in human liver spheroids) [3], combined with its better-known anti-inflammatory­ properties. The doses required were pre- dicted to be the same as used for the treatment of RA. At these doses, inter- leukin 6 (IL-6) levels were reduced both in COVID19 patients as well as dose de- pendently in RA patients in a previous phase 2b randomized RA trial, the first time this was shown in humans [4]. What was more intriguing was its inhibition of members of the numb associated kinase family, thought in turn to translate to reduced AP-2 mediated viral propaga- tion early in the infectious cycle, sug- gesting antiviral activity; this was shown in liver spheroid models, which express detectable albeit low levels of the ACE2 receptor. In hospitalized patients it is anticipated that residual virus that propagates itself in airway epithelial tissues maintains and amplifies the exaggerated inflam- matory response typical of COVID-19. Consequently, the combined potential antiviral and anti-inflammatory effects of this dually acting drug could be ideal for halting the progression of the dis- ease in hospitalized patients, when taken for a limited duration. At the University of Southern California now, a random- ized placebo-controlled phase 2 study with remdesivir with/without baricitinib is ongoing to test the efficacy to prevent mechanical ventilation including signifi- cant biomarker research. In this issue of Clinical Infectious Diseases, Titanji et  al describe the out- come of 15 moderate-to-critically ill patients with COVID-19 treated with baricitinib and hydroxychloroquine. This therapy was associated with a reduction in inflammatory markers including fever, C reactive protein (CRP), improvement of oxygen requirements, and recovery in 12 of the 15 (80%) patients studied. Although it is possible that the anti- viral and anti-inflammatory effects of hydroxychloroquine contributed to this positive outcome, this would seem un- likely according to the recently reported National Institutes of Health (NIH) ran- domized trials) [5], among many other studies. This new paper in the journal extends the previous published reports of baricitinib treatment in mild-to- moderate COVID19 patients and pro- vides further evidence that baricitinib could be a potential treatment for un- well hospitalized patients with this dis- ease, independent of severity. Indeed, in mild-to-moderate patients, baricitinib therapy was also associated with a re- duction in the requirement for intensive care unit (ICU) care when compared with matched case controls [6, 7]. In each series baricitinib treatment has been as- sociated with a reduction in inflamma- tion and recovery from the disease in the vast majority of patients, consistent with the present report, but we do not know if this is simply an association or repre- sents a causative effect of the drug. In this new paper, 3 patients died, 2 of which had very high plasma IL-6 levels prior to starting baricitinib therapy consistent with previous data that high IL-6 is a pre- dictor of mortality in COVD19 infections [8, 9]. These useful results retrospect- ively justified the testing of the anti-IL6/ Downloadedfromhttps://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa940/5868032bygueston19September2020
  • 2. 2 • cid 2020:XX (XX XXXX) • EDITORIAL COMMENTARY IL6R antibodies Kevzara (sarilumab) and Actemra (tocilizumab) in severely unwell patients, although randomized studies are yet to show benefits. Baricitinib treatment over prolonged periodsinRApatientshasbeenassociated with increased infections and thrombo- embolism, but the short duration of treat- ment in COVID-19 patients may mitigate against such side effects. In this report it is difficult to say whether one incident of pulmonary embolism and methicillin- resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infection were due to the complications of COVID-19 or baricitinib, but the much larger numbers of patients in the yet to report randomized studies should clarify this. One would be advised to re- main vigilant of such signals reflecting thromboembolic or infection risk in ran- domized controlled trials testing a var- iety of immunomodulatory therapies in COVID-19 patients, either alone or in combination, especially in view of asso- ciations between clots and SARS-CoV-2 infection [10]. Specifically, severe endo- thelial injury associated with intracellular SARS-CoV-2 virus and disrupted endo- thelial cell membranes, widespread vas- cular thrombosis with microangiopathy, and occlusion of alveolar capillaries including significant new vessel growth through a mechanism of intussusceptive angiogenesis has been described [11]. The first report of a significant reduc- tion in COVID-19 mortality in any ran- domized study recently came from the RECOVERY trial in the United Kingdom showing that low dose dexamethasone had a significant effect in reducing mor- tality when given with standard of care (21.6% vs 24.6% of the patients dying within 28  days) [12]; this effect was greatest in ventilated patients (a 30% re- duction in mortality) and slightly less in those provided with noninvasive supple- mental oxygen (a 20% reduction) [12]. It is tempting to speculate that a similar or greater reduction in mortality could be expected with baricitinib in random- ized trials, especially because baricitinib is now reported to be associated with recovery from COVID-19 in different series of patients. It may even be possible to combine the baricitinib with dexa- methasone, at least in critically ill pa- tients, although once again it would of course be important to assess the risk of infection when administering these 2 po- tent anti-inflammatory agents together. As acknowledged by Titanji et al, and reiterated by us, randomized trials are re- quired for us to be certain if baricitinib is an effective and safe therapy for COVID-19 patients [3]. This report, and others like it, have supported the selec- tion of baricitinib in a number of studies including the ACTT2 randomized trial, where it is being tested in combination with remdesivir, and a further placebo- controlled phase 3 trial recently com- menced. It is anticipated that these trials should provide a robust estimate of the efficacy of baricitinib in COVID-19 and would be complementary to each other. These initial case series warrant further confirmation from the ongoing larger, randomized and controlled trials. Thus far, these data sets also validate use of arti- ficial intelligence at a time of a biomedical crisis, to help speed drug development. The use of an oral medicine taken once daily for a short duration should also lend itself to low- and middle-income countries. Note Potential conflicts of interest. P. J. R. is an em- ployee of BenevolentAI and has received hon- oraria for giving a lecture to Lilly with J. S. And J. S. has sat on SABs for Vaccitech, Heat Biologics, Eli Lilly, Replete, Alveo, Certis Oncology Solutions, Greenmantle and BenevolentAI, has consulted with Lansdowne partners and Vitruvian. He sits on the Board of Directors for BB Biotech Healthcare Trust. H.-J. L. has no re- ported conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider rel- evant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed. References 1. Taylor  PC, Keystone  EC, Van  Der  Heijde  D, et  al. Baricitinib versus placebo or adalimumab in rheumatoid arthritis. N Engl J Med 2017. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1608345. 2. Richardson P, Griffin I, Tucker C, et al. Baricitinib as potential treatment for 2019-nCoV acute re- spiratory disease. Lancet 2020; 395:e30–1. 3. Stebbing J, Krishnan V, de Bono S, et al. Mechanism of baricitinib supports artificial intelligence- predicted testing in COVID-19 patients. EMBO Mol Med 2020. doi:10.15252/emmm.202012697. 4. Tanaka Y, Emoto K, Cai Z, et al. Efficacy and safety of baricitinib in Japanese patients with active rheumatoid arthritis receiving background metho- trexate therapy: a 12-week, double-blind, random- ized placebo-controlled study. J Rheumatol 2016. doi:10.3899/jrheum.150613. 5. Wang  Y, Liang  S, Qiu  T, et  al. Rapid systematic review on clinical evidence of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine in COVID-19 critical assess- ment and recommendation for future clinical trials. medRxiv 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.06.01.20118901. 6. Cantini  F, Niccoli  L, Matarrese  D, Nicastri  E, Stobbione  P, Goletti  D. Baricitinib therapy in COVID-19: a pilot study on safety and clinical im- pact. J Infect 2020. doi:10.1016/j.jinf.2020.04.017. 7. Matarrese  D, Edoardo  M, Natale  D, et  al. Retrospective, multicenter study on the impact of baricitinib in COVID-19 moderate pneumonia. J Infect 2020. doi:10.1016/j.jinf.2020.06.052. 8. Liu T, Zhang J, Yang Y, et al. The potential role of IL-6 in monitoring coronavirus disease 2019. SSRN Electron J 2020. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3548761. 9. Ruan Q, Yang K, Wang W, Jiang L, Song J. Clinical predictors of mortality due to COVID-19 based on an analysis of data of 150 patients from Wuhan, China. Intensive Care Med 2020. doi:10.1007/ s00134-020-05991-x. 10. McGonagle  D, O’Donnell  JS, Sharif  K, Emery  P, Bridgewood  C. Immune mechanisms of pulmo- nary intravascular coagulopathy in COVID-19 pneumonia. Lancet Rheumatol 2020. doi:10.1016/ S2665-9913(20)30121-1. 11. Ackermann  M, Verleden  SE, Kuehnel  M, et  al. Pulmonary vascular endothelialitis, thrombosis, and angiogenesis in Covid-19. N Engl J Med 2020. doi:10.1056/nejmoa2015432. 12. Horby P, Lim WS, Emberson J, et al. Effect of dex- amethasone in hospitalized patients with COVID- 19: preliminary report. medRxiv 2020. doi:10.1101 /2020.06.22.20137273. Downloadedfromhttps://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa940/5868032bygueston19September2020