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Jonathan D. Novotny
[TITLE PAGE]
| E-Commerce opportunities in
Frontier Markets
Jonathan D. Novotny
Compra.co.mz
ADAPT
OR
DIE
OR
SPEND LOTS
OF MONEY
& then
DIE.
| WHY do we seek for
opportunity in emerging
economies?
Emerging economies = opportunity
Game changers
Emerging economies = opportunity
Predict.
Analysing - Options
Analysing - Options
Analysing - Options
Analysing - Options
20152016
Drivers behind the Emergence of Sub-Saharan
Africa’s Emerging Markets
Analysing - Options
20152016
Inhibitors of Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
Drivers behind the Emergences of Sub-Saharan
Africa’s Emerging Markets
KENYA
SA
CHINAUAE
MOZAMBIQUE
Analysing - Options
| The BIG Question:
A. Is it better to have a larger market-
share in a smaller country?
I. Is it better to have a generic market or
niche?
II. How niche is your market going to be?
Did you ever do
anything
crazy?
| Background:
Zambia, Mozambique,
East Africa, W.Africa –
Sierra Leone, Europe, SA
& Moz.
• Missions & Social Work
• 2009 - Founded Change
the World Trust
• 2013 – Thesis on eComm
• Oct 2014 - Founded
Compra.co.mz
# If you build something meaningful, the result will
always be the same.
Attitude: “Just jump!”
| A Story
| A Story
Why?
• Pro-active market - Ready in two years.
• Start-up in eCommerce in Southern Africa.
• Booming – Mozambique was well on it’s way
to becoming the most attractive investment
destination in Africa
| A Story
Version 1.1
| The Team - 2015
| The market bottomed out;
• Political unrest,
• Kidnappings,
• Major scandals,
• War & refugees,
• Economic crises,
• Donor funds frozen,
• Human rights abuses
& assassinations,
• Major inflation,
• Cost of living sky-
rocketing .
• Some investors froze
until 2017.
• Oil & Gas
investments delayed
| Throughout history…
We learned how to build.
|We learned
about the
elements,…
Where people learned how to…
And how to protect ourselves.
Where people learned how to…
| How to survive in extreme environments.
Where people learned how to…
…jump over camels.
| We learned how to adapt
…out of necessity.
| Practical Examples of Unexpected
Events
• 2015 – Market fluctuations
• Sometimes weekly changes in prices
• Vendors unable to supply updates efficiently and us
unable to efficiently upload modifications – Resultant
unhappy clients.
• 2016 – Worsening market conditions result in
massive decline in retail.
• Vendors reducing stock.
• Price uncertainty.
| WHAT CHANGED IN 1 YEAR?
• Lower valuation
• Harder fundraising
• Harder market
• Smaller market
• More price pressure.
• Higher pressure to break-even sooner.
| What this meant for us?
• Break-even sooner – Less sexy – More basics.
• Monetise alternative business services
• Cost saving
• Exploring NEW Categories
• Innovate – How are we doing that?
| CORPORATE
| VENDOR SALES
| VENDOR
SHOPS
| Lessons - IDEOLOGY
• Merge
– with the Status quo. Compromise.
• Listen,
– Clients, suppliers & observers.
• Expect
– To be wrong.
| Lessons - PRACTICALLY
• Leverage partners.
• Handful of clients.
– Get a handful of clients before you begin.
• Don’t be afraid of adapting to local appetite,…
– Even if it is not pure ecommerce.
| EXAMPLES
| Example 1 : JUMIA & COD
• Essentially turning the platform into an
ordering service and NOT a purchasing one.
• Thereby reducing efficiency and cost-savings
but increasing sales.
Learning:
If you want to succeed, it may mean a hybrid
business and not pure ecommerce.
| Example 2: Online Liquor Retailer
• Has shop & warehouse
• Does deliveries 24 hours
• Has telephone operators telling clients
that they are the Director to gain trust
and buy-in.
| Example 3: Classifieds Engagement
MOBO Free - Classifieds in Sub-Saharan Africa
• Hired youth in schools to promote the
“Forum” feature as a way to increase
engagement on the platform, boost SEO and
grow market.
There are exceptions.
THANK YOU!
JON@COMPRA.CO.MZ
+258 84 744 5292
+27 768872701

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E-Commerce opportunities in frontier markets

  • 2. | E-Commerce opportunities in Frontier Markets Jonathan D. Novotny Compra.co.mz
  • 7. | WHY do we seek for opportunity in emerging economies?
  • 8. Emerging economies = opportunity Game changers
  • 9. Emerging economies = opportunity Predict.
  • 13. Analysing - Options 20152016 Drivers behind the Emergence of Sub-Saharan Africa’s Emerging Markets
  • 14. Analysing - Options 20152016 Inhibitors of Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 15. Drivers behind the Emergences of Sub-Saharan Africa’s Emerging Markets KENYA SA CHINAUAE MOZAMBIQUE Analysing - Options
  • 16. | The BIG Question: A. Is it better to have a larger market- share in a smaller country? I. Is it better to have a generic market or niche? II. How niche is your market going to be?
  • 17. Did you ever do anything crazy?
  • 18. | Background: Zambia, Mozambique, East Africa, W.Africa – Sierra Leone, Europe, SA & Moz. • Missions & Social Work • 2009 - Founded Change the World Trust • 2013 – Thesis on eComm • Oct 2014 - Founded Compra.co.mz # If you build something meaningful, the result will always be the same.
  • 20. | A Story Why? • Pro-active market - Ready in two years. • Start-up in eCommerce in Southern Africa. • Booming – Mozambique was well on it’s way to becoming the most attractive investment destination in Africa
  • 22. | The Team - 2015
  • 23. | The market bottomed out; • Political unrest, • Kidnappings, • Major scandals, • War & refugees, • Economic crises, • Donor funds frozen, • Human rights abuses & assassinations, • Major inflation, • Cost of living sky- rocketing . • Some investors froze until 2017. • Oil & Gas investments delayed
  • 24. | Throughout history… We learned how to build.
  • 25. |We learned about the elements,… Where people learned how to…
  • 26. And how to protect ourselves. Where people learned how to…
  • 27. | How to survive in extreme environments. Where people learned how to…
  • 29. | We learned how to adapt
  • 31. | Practical Examples of Unexpected Events • 2015 – Market fluctuations • Sometimes weekly changes in prices • Vendors unable to supply updates efficiently and us unable to efficiently upload modifications – Resultant unhappy clients. • 2016 – Worsening market conditions result in massive decline in retail. • Vendors reducing stock. • Price uncertainty.
  • 32. | WHAT CHANGED IN 1 YEAR? • Lower valuation • Harder fundraising • Harder market • Smaller market • More price pressure. • Higher pressure to break-even sooner.
  • 33. | What this meant for us? • Break-even sooner – Less sexy – More basics. • Monetise alternative business services • Cost saving • Exploring NEW Categories • Innovate – How are we doing that?
  • 37. | Lessons - IDEOLOGY • Merge – with the Status quo. Compromise. • Listen, – Clients, suppliers & observers. • Expect – To be wrong.
  • 38. | Lessons - PRACTICALLY • Leverage partners. • Handful of clients. – Get a handful of clients before you begin. • Don’t be afraid of adapting to local appetite,… – Even if it is not pure ecommerce.
  • 40. | Example 1 : JUMIA & COD • Essentially turning the platform into an ordering service and NOT a purchasing one. • Thereby reducing efficiency and cost-savings but increasing sales. Learning: If you want to succeed, it may mean a hybrid business and not pure ecommerce.
  • 41. | Example 2: Online Liquor Retailer • Has shop & warehouse • Does deliveries 24 hours • Has telephone operators telling clients that they are the Director to gain trust and buy-in.
  • 42. | Example 3: Classifieds Engagement MOBO Free - Classifieds in Sub-Saharan Africa • Hired youth in schools to promote the “Forum” feature as a way to increase engagement on the platform, boost SEO and grow market.
  • 44. THANK YOU! JON@COMPRA.CO.MZ +258 84 744 5292 +27 768872701