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CANADIAN TELCO REGULATION, COMPETITION AND M&A
[object Object],Telecommunications Act,  1993
WIRELESS SUBSCRIBERS PER 100 INHABITANTS
AGENDA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Global Trends
1. Global Trends Source:  An Investment Banking Perspective on Communications Sector M&A , Lehman Brothers (2007) # TELECOM DEALS VALUE % of TOTAL M&A VALUE 1998 1,100 $360 billion 14.3% 1999 1,500 $849 billion 26.5% 2000 2,000 $620 billion 18.3% 2005 1,100 $330 billion 12.2% 2006 1,200 $295 billion 8.3% 2007 900 $224 billion 6.5%
2. Regulatory Impacts ENTERPRISE VALUE (Oct. 2007)
2. Regulatory Impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Regulatory Impacts ,[object Object]
2. Regulatory Impacts Source:  An Investment Banking Perspective on Communications Sector M&A , Lehman Brothers (2007) COUNTRY/REGION EV/2007 EBITDA 2007-2009 EBITDA CAGR CURRENT DEBT/EBITDA US 7.2x 7.8% 1.5x Japan 5.0x 2.0% 0.9X China 7.8x 5.3% 0.9x India 16.9x 30.4% 1.6x Europe 6.5x 2.4% 2.1x Canada 8.2x 7.6% 1.9x
2. Regulatory Impacts Source: Forbes online Company P/E (12 months normalized) AT&T  11.9x Verizon 14.0x Telus 7.3x BCE 8.4x
3. Future for Canadian Telecom ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]

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Canadian Telecom.M&A

  • 1. CANADIAN TELCO REGULATION, COMPETITION AND M&A
  • 2.
  • 3. WIRELESS SUBSCRIBERS PER 100 INHABITANTS
  • 4.
  • 6. 1. Global Trends Source: An Investment Banking Perspective on Communications Sector M&A , Lehman Brothers (2007) # TELECOM DEALS VALUE % of TOTAL M&A VALUE 1998 1,100 $360 billion 14.3% 1999 1,500 $849 billion 26.5% 2000 2,000 $620 billion 18.3% 2005 1,100 $330 billion 12.2% 2006 1,200 $295 billion 8.3% 2007 900 $224 billion 6.5%
  • 7. 2. Regulatory Impacts ENTERPRISE VALUE (Oct. 2007)
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. 2. Regulatory Impacts Source: An Investment Banking Perspective on Communications Sector M&A , Lehman Brothers (2007) COUNTRY/REGION EV/2007 EBITDA 2007-2009 EBITDA CAGR CURRENT DEBT/EBITDA US 7.2x 7.8% 1.5x Japan 5.0x 2.0% 0.9X China 7.8x 5.3% 0.9x India 16.9x 30.4% 1.6x Europe 6.5x 2.4% 2.1x Canada 8.2x 7.6% 1.9x
  • 11. 2. Regulatory Impacts Source: Forbes online Company P/E (12 months normalized) AT&T 11.9x Verizon 14.0x Telus 7.3x BCE 8.4x
  • 12.
  • 13.