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                Production,
           Economic Growth
                  and Trade




                                                                                    “
We live in a consumer world. Everywhere you look people are purchasing and
consuming things. Everything from plastic wrap to baseballs, from artichokes to cellular
phones, gets produced, traded, and consumed. Whether an economy is a capitalistic mar-
ket economy as in the United States, a capitalist marketplace with a strong touch




                                                                                                                                  “
of socialism as in many European countries, or a predominately communist
economy as is true of many of China’s markets, goods and services must
                                                                                      The ideas of economics and political philosophers,
change hands. Several centuries ago, individuals produced most of what
they consumed. Today, most of us produce little of what we consume.
                                                                                     both when they are right and when they are wrong,
Instead we work at specialized jobs, and then use our wages to purchase the
goods we need. And purchase we do.                                                          are right and when they are wrong, are more
     Though newspapers frequently report consumption excesses—and
                                                                                     powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed, the
these excesses occur in rich and poor countries around the globe—we
should not let these excesses obscure the fact that consumption is a great           world is ruled by little else. I am sure that the power
driver of economic growth. In many respects, consumption is simply a way
                                                                                                  of vested interests isvastly exaggerated
for people to better themselves, to make their lives less of a drudgery or to
enrich their lives. Farmers in poor countries move from a precarious exis-
                                                                                        compared to the gradual encroachment of ideas.
tence as subsistence farmers to producers of cash crops—keeping enough to
live on but generating a surplus to sell—in order to obtain those consump-                                          —John Maynard Keynes
tion goods that better their lives.
     Another great driver of economic growth is technological change. In
1950, only a small minority of households had television sets. Today, nearly every home has
at least one color television set, and the average home has nearly three! In response to the
resulting change in demand for programming, channels have multiplied; programming
choices are almost limitless. But what brought about these changes in the first place?
                                                                                                                                       27
28                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     29
                   Chapter 2                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Production, Economic Growth and Trade


                                                          Technological advances from 1950 through the present day have led to cheaper, higher perfor-                            BASIC ECONOMIC QUESTIONS AND PRODUCTION
                                                          mance television sets. This has allowed more families to afford, not just one TV, but flat screen
     After studying this
                                                          HDTVs with huge screens and theater quality surround sound that are a fraction of the weight
     chapter you should                                                                                                                                                           Regardless of the country, its circumstances, or its precise economic structure, every econ-
                                                          and size of older sets. New devices permit viewers to record and watch programs at their leisure.                       omy must answer three basic questions.
     be able to:
                                                               Technological advances have similarly led to a telecommunications industry that sim-
                                                          ply was not dreamed of fifty years ago. In 1950, long distance phone calls were placed with
     Describe the three basic questions
                                                                                                                                                                                  Basic Economic Questions
                                                          the assistance of live operators, every minute costing the average consumer several hours’
     that must be answered for any
                                                          worth of pay. Today, fiber-optic cables allow thousands of calls to be made on one cable,
     economy.
                                                                                                                                                                                  The three basic economic questions that each society must answer are:
                                                          thus drastically reducing the cost of telephone service. Cell phones, meanwhile, have
     Describe production and the
                                                          become business necessities because of their convenience and productivity. The globe is                                      What goods and services are to be produced?
                                                                                                                                                                                   I
     factors that go into producing
                                                          shrinking as communications bring us closer together.                                                                        How are these goods and services to be produced?
     various goods and services.                                                                                                                                                   I
                                                               Another factor reducing the size of the world is airline travel. Fifty years ago, few peo-
                                                                                                                                                                                       Who will receive these goods and services?
                                                                                                                                                                                   I
     Describe the opportunity cost an                     ple flew cross-country or overseas. Jets were nonexistent, tickets were expensive—the
     economy incurs to increase the                       equivalent of a month’s wages to fly coast to coast—and flights took forever. Today, because                            The response an economy makes to the first question—What to produce?—depends on the
     production of one product.                           of technological change, jet aircraft can whisk us across the country or overseas at a price                            goods and services a society wants. In a communist state, the government will decide what
                                                          well within the budgets of most Americans.
     Use a production possibilities                                                                                                                                               a society wants, but in a capitalist economy consumers are allowed to signal what products
                                                               A further driver of economic growth—trade—is less obvious. Yet its effect is clear.
     frontier (PPF) or curve to analyze                                                                                                                                           they want by way of their demands for specific commodities. In the next chapter, we will
                                                          Nearly every country engages in commercial trade with other countries to expand the
     the limits of production.                                                                                                                                                    investigate how the consumer demand for individual products is determined and how
                                                          opportunities for consumption and production by its people. As products are consumed,                                   markets meet these demands. For now, we will assume that consumers, individually and as
     Describe economic growth and the                     new products must be produced, so increased consumption in one country can spur eco-                                    a society, are able to decide on the mix of goods and services they most want, and that pro-
     impacts of expanding resources                       nomic growth in another. Given the ability of global trade to open economic doors and                                   ducers supply these items at acceptable prices.
     through increasing human                             raise incomes, it is vital for growth in developing nations.                                                                 Once we know what goods a society wants, the next question its economic system
     resources, capital accumulation,                          In the previous chapter we noted that a reduction in America’s growth rate of only 1                               must answer is how these goods and services are to be produced. In the end, this problem
     and technological improvements.                      percentage point each year since 1930 would have significant consequences today. Figure 1                               comes down to the simple question of how labor, capital, and land should be combined to
                                                          shows real (adjusted for inflation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) since 1930 and real
     Describe the concepts of absolute                                                                                                                                            produce the desired products. If a society demands a huge amount of corn, say, we can
                                                          GDP if the rate of growth was just 1 percentage point less. As the graph shows, real GDP
     and comparative advantage and                                                                                                                                                expect its utilization of land, labor, and capital will be different from a society that demands
                                                          would be roughly half today. One important point to get from the graph is that the 1 per-
     explain what they tell us about the                                                                                                                                          digital equipment. But even an economy devoted to corn production could be organized in
                                                          centage point reduction had minimal impact for the first 20 years or so, but the impact
     gains from trade when countries                                                                                                                                              different ways, perhaps relying on extensive use of human labor, or perhaps relying on
                                                          widens as time marches forward. Policies that affect economic growth today and in the
     specialize in certain products.                                                                                                                                              automated capital equipment.
                                                          future have their biggest impact several generations later.                                                                  Once an economy has determined what goods and services to produce and how to
     Describe the practical constraints
                                                               This chapter will give you a framework for understanding economic growth. It pro-                                  produce them, it is faced with the distribution question: Who will get the resulting prod-
     on free trade and how some
                                                          vides a simple model for thinking about production, and then applies this model to                                      ucts? Distribution refers to the way an economy allocates the goods and services it produces
     industries might be affected.                                                      Figure 3
                                                          economiesElasticity of so you will know how to think about economic growth and its determi-
                                                                       at large Demand and Total Revenue                                                                          to consumers. In a capitalist economy, most products are distributed through private mar-
                                                          nants. It then goes on to analyze international trade as a special case of economic growth.                             kets. In a socialist economy, many goods are produced in state-owned facilities.
                                                          By the time you finish this chapter, you should understand the importance of economic                                   Theoretically, governments in socialist economies use tax monies to subsidize producers,
                                                          growth and what drives it. To start, we turn to an examination of the three basic questions                             to consumers. In a capitalist economy, most products are distributed through private
                                                          that every economy, no matter how it is organized, must solve.                                                                                                                                                             P r o d u c t i o n : the process of converting
                                                                                                                                                                                  maron their efficiency and the quality of their products.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     resources (factors of production) -- land,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     labor, capital, and entrepreneurial ability -
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     - into goods and services.
                                               Panel A                                                                                                                            Resources, Production and Efficiency
                                                                                                                                         Panel B
                       Total Revenue and Relatively Inelastic Demand                                             Total Revenue and Relatively Elastic Demand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     R e s o u r c e s : Productive resources
                                                                                                                                                                                  Having answered the three basic economic questions, let’s take a look at the production
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     include land (land and natural resources),
                                                                                                                                                                                  process. Production involves turning resources into products and services that people want.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     labor (mental and physical talents of peo-
                                                                                                                                                                                  Let’s begin our discussion of this process by examining the scarce resources used to pro-          ple), capital (manufactured products used
               5                                                                                         5                                                                        duce goods and services.
                              Revenue Gained                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         to produce other products), and entre-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     preneurial ability (the combining of the
                                                                                                                       Revenue Gained
                                                              b
                                                                                                                                                                                  Land                                                                                               other factors to produce products and
                                                                                                         4
               4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     assume the risk of the business).
                                                                                                                            b                                                     For economists, the term land includes both land in the usual sense, but it also includes all
                                                                                                                                                                                  other natural resources that are used in production. Natural resources like mineral
               3                                                                                         3                                                                                                                                                                           L a n d : Includes natural resources such as
                                                                                                 Price
       Price




                                                                                                                                                                                  deposits, oil and natural gas, and water are all included by economists in the definition of       mineral deposits, oil, natural gas, water
                                                                                                                                                               c
                                                                       c                                                        a
                                                                  a                                                                                                                                                                                                                  and land in the usual sense of the word.
                                                                                                                                                                                  land. Economists refer to the payment to land as rents.
               2                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     The payment to land as a resource is
                                                                                                                                                                          D
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     called rents.
                                                                            D
                                                                                                                                                                                  Labor
               1                                                                                         1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     L a b o r : Includes the mental and physical
                                                                                                                                                                   Revenue Lost   Labor as a factor of production includes both the mental and physical talents of people. Few
                                              Revenue Lost
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     talents of individuals that are used to pro-
                                                                                                                                                                                  goods and services can be produced without labor resources. Improvement to labor capabili-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     duce products and services. Labor is
                                                                                                                                                                                  ties from training, education, and apprenticeship programs, typically called human capital, all
                                                                                                             0   100       200      300   400    500     600
               0        100      200      300       400       500     600                                                                                                                                                                                                            paid wages.
                                                                                                                                                                                  add to labor’s productivity and ultimately to a higher standard of living. Labor is paid wages.
                                                                                                                             Quantity
                                   Quantity
32                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           33
            Chapter 2                                                                                                                                                                                                                Production, Economic Growth and Trade


                                                ing 2,000 microcomputers and 4,000 jackets. Clearly some resources are not being used—
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          CASE STUDY
                                                                                                                                                   Application Issue: Increasing Opportunity Costs
                                                unemployment exists. When fully employed, the economy’s resources could produce more
                                                of both goods (point d).
                                                                                                                                                   I n m o s t c a s e s , land, labor, and capital cannot easily be shifted from producing one
                                                      Because the PPF represents a maximum output, the economy could not produce 4,000
                                                microcomputers and still produce 10,000 leather jackets. This situation, shown by point h,         good or service to another. You cannot take a semi-truck and use it to plow a farm field, even
                                                lies to the right of the PPF and hence outside the realm of possibility. Anything to the right
                                                                                                                                                   though the semi and a top-notch tractor cost about the same money. The fact is that some
                                                of the PPF is impossible for our economy to attain; all points along the curve represent full
                                                                                                                                                   resources are suited to specific sorts of production, just as some people seem to be better
                                                employment.
                                                                                                                                                   suited to performing one activity over another. Some people have a talent for music or art,
                                                Opportunity Cost                                                                                   and they would be miserable—and inefficient—working as accountants or computer pro-
                                                Whenever a country reallocates resources to change production patterns, it does so at a            grammers. Some people find they are more comfortable working outside, while others require
                                                price. This price is called opportunity cost. Opportunity cost is the price an economy or an
                                                                                                                                                   the amenities of an environmentally controlled, ergonomically correct office.
                                                individual must pay, measured in units of one product, to increase its production (or con-
                                                                                                                                                       Thus, a more realistic production possibilities frontier is shown in Figure 3. This PPF
                                                sumption) of another product. In moving from point b to point e in Figure 2, microcom-
                                                puter production increases by 3,000 units, from 1,000 units to 4,000 units. In contrast, our       curve is bowed out from the origin since opportunity costs rise as more factors are used to
                                                country must forego producing 6,000 leather jackets because production falls from 10,000           produce increasing quantities of one product. Let us consider why this is so.
Pro d u c t i o n : the process of converting   jackets to 4,000 jackets. Giving up 6,000 jackets for 3,000 more computers represents an
                                                                                                                                                       Let’s begin at a point where the economy’s resources are strictly devoted to leather jack-
resources (factors of production) -- land,      opportunity cost of 6000 jackets, or of 2 jackets for each microcomputer.
labor, capital, and entrepreneurial ability -                                                                                                      et production (point a). Now assume that society decides to produce 3,200 microcomputers.
                                                      Opportunity cost thus represents the trade-off required when an economy wants to
- into goods and services.
                                                increase its production of any single product. Governments must choose between guns and            This will require a move from point a to point b. As we can see, 2,000 leather jackets must be
                                                butter, or between military spending and social spending. Since there are limits to what tax-
Re s o u rc e s : Productive resources                                                                                                             given up to get the added 3,200 microcomputers. This means the opportunity cost of 1 micro-
include land (land and natural resources),      payers are willing to pay, spending choices are necessary. Think of opportunity costs as
                                                                                                                                                   computer will be .625 leather jackets (2,000 ÷ 3,200 = 0.625). This is a low opportunity cost,
labor (mental and physical talents of peo-      what you or the economy must give up to have more of a product or service.
ple), capital (manufactured products used                                                                                                          because those resources that are better suited to producing microcomputers will be the first
                                                      When the electric light bulb was invented, it not only created a new industry (some-
to produce other products), and entre-
                                                one had to produce light bulbs), but it also revolutionized other industries. Factories could      ones shifted into this industry, resulting in rapidly increasing returns from specialization.
preneurial ability (the combining of the
                                                stay open longer since they no longer had to rely on the sun for light. Workers could see
other factors to produce products and                                                                                                                  But what happens when this society decides to produce an additional 2,000 computers,
assume the risk of the business).               better, thus improving the quality of their work. The result was that resources operated
                                                                                                                                                   or moves from point b to point c on the graph? As Figure 3 illustrates, each additional com-
                                                more efficiently throughout the entire economy.
                                                                                                                                                   puter costs 2 leather jackets since producing 2,000 more computers requires the society to
                                                      The modern day equivalent to the light bulb might be the cellular phone. Widespread
                                                use of these devices enables people all across the world to produce goods and services more        sacrifice 4,000 leather jackets. Thus, the opportunity cost of computers has more than tripled
                                                efficiently. Insurance agents can file claims instantly from disaster sites, deals can be closed   due to diminishing returns on the computer side, which arise from the unsuitability of these
                                                while one is stuck in traffic, and communications have been revolutionized. Thus, this new
                                                                                                                                                   new resources as more resources are shifted to microcomputers.
                                                technology has ultimately expanded time, the most finite of our resources. A similar argu-
                                                                                                                                                   To describe what has happened in plain terms, when the economy was producing 12,000
                                                ment could be made for the internet. It has profoundly changed how many products are
                                                bought, sold, and delivered, and has expanded communications and the flow of information.          leather jackets, all its resources went into jacket production. Those members of the labor
                                                                                                                                                   force who are engineers and electronic assemblers were probably not well suited to produc-
                                                Expanding Resources
                                                                                                                                                   ing jackets. As the economy backed off of jackets to start producing microcomputers, the
                                                The production possibilities frontier represents the constraints on an economy at a specific
                                                                                                                                                   opportunity cost of computers was low, since the resources first shifted, including workers,
                                                time. But economies are constantly changing, and so are PPFs. Capital and labor are the prin-
                                                                                                                                                   were likely to be the ones most suited to computer production and least suited to jacket man-
                                                cipal resources that can be changed through government action. Land and entrepreneurial
                                                talent are important factors of production, but neither is easy to change by government poli-      ufacture. Eventually, however, as computers became the dominant product, manufacturing
                                                cies. The government can make owning a business easier or more profitable by reducing reg-         more computers required shifting leather workers to the computer industry. Employing these
                                                ulations, or by offering low-interest loans or favorable tax treatment to small businesses.
                                                                                                                                                   less suitable resources drives up the opportunity costs of computers.
                                                However, it is difficult to turn people into risk-takers through government policy.

                                                Increasing Labor and Human Capital A clear increase in population, the number of
                                                households, or the size of the labor force will shift the PPF outward, as shown in Figure 4.
                                                                                                                                                   training fit into this category. Improving human capital means people are more productive,
                                                With added labor, the production possibilities available to the economy expand from PPF0
                                                                                                                                                   resulting in higher wages, a higher standard of living, and an expanded PPF for society.
                                                to PPF1. Such a labor increase can be caused by higher birthrates, increased immigration,
                                                or an increased willingness of people to enter the labor force. This last type of increase has
                                                                                                                                                   Capital Accumulation Increasing the capital used throughout the economy, usually
                                                occurred over the past several decades as more women have entered the labor force on a
                                                                                                                                                   brought about by investment, would similarly shift the PPF outward as shown in Figure 4.
                                                permanent basis. America’s high immigration (legal and illegal) fuels our strong rate of
                                                                                                                                                   Additional capital makes each unit of labor more productive and thus results in higher pos-
                                                economic growth.
                                                                                                                                                   sible production throughout the economy. Adding robotics and computer controlled
                                                    Rather than simply increasing the number of people working, however, the labor factor
                                                                                                                                                   machines to production lines, for instance, means each unit of labor produces many more
                                                can also be increased by improving workers’ skills. Economists refer to this as investment in
                                                                                                                                                   units of output.
                                                human capital. Activities such as education, on-the-job training, and other professional
36                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          37
     Chapter 2                                                                                                                                                                                                      Production, Economic Growth and Trade


                                                                                                                                    ical improvements as we have been discussing in this chapter. It then looked at some ben-
                                            Karl Marx (1818–1883)                                                                   efits from good government policies that stimulate growth, and finally examined the indus-
                                                                                                                                    try and individual firm level for clues to the microeconomic sources of growth. Some of
                                                                                                                                    the findings include:
                                                                                                                                          A one percentage point increase in business investment as a percent
                                                                                                                                     I
                                                                           nomics in the Road to Serfdom is, if anything, more
                                           All societies have to
                                                                                                                                          of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would lead to an increase in per
                                                                           widely read today than it was in 1940, the year of
                                           answer the three basic
                                                                                                                                          capita GDP of 1.3 percent.
                                                                           publication. Hayek attributed failures in socialism to
                                           economic questions. The
                                                                                                                                          An additional one-year increase in average education levels
                                                                                                                                     I
                                                                           an inefficient use of knowledge and information.
                                           1974 Nobel-prize winners
                                                                                                                                          increases per capita GDP by 4 to 7 percent.
                                                                           Central planners, in his view, were no match for the
                                           Friedrich von Hayek and
                                                                                                                                          A 0.1 percentage point increase in research and development as a
                                                                           pricing mechanism as a means of communicating
                                           Gunnar Myrdal proposed                                                                    I

                                                                                                                                          percent of GDP increases per capita GDP by 1.2 percent.
                                                                           information. The pricing system evolved sponta-
                                           very different answers.
                                                                           neously from the interplay of individuals with limited
                                           Karl Marx was the fore-                                                                        Reducing both the level and variability of inflation by one percent-
                                                                                                                                     I
                                                                           and particular information. A decentralized system
                                           most advocate of free                                                                          age point leads to an increase in per capita GDP of 2.3 percent.
                                                                           with competition and price freedom, therefore, was
                                           markets and classical eco-
                                                                                                                                          A 1 percentage point increase in the tax burden as a percent of GDP
                                                                                                                                     I
                                                                           the most efficient and socially beneficial way to
                                           nomics during the heyday
                                                                                                                                          leads to a 0.3 percent reduction in per capita GDP.
                                                                           organize an economy. He also saw markets as
                 of the Keynesian revolution. Born in 1899, Hayek
                                                                                                                                          An increase in trade exposure ( a combined measure of imports
                                                                                                                                     I
                                                                           advancing human liberty and freedom.
                 was the son of a botanist. After serving in World
                                                                                                                                          and exports as a percent of GDP) of 10 percentage points increas-
                                                                                In contrast to Hayek, Swedish economist and
                 War I, he studied law and political science at the
                                                                                                                                          es per capita GDP by 4 percent.
                                                                           sociologist Gunnar Myrdal argued for a different
                 University of Vienna, later joining a group of young
                                                                           way to organize an economy. He advocated a more
                 academics in a private seminar conducted by the
                                                                           active role for government. Myrdal established his
                 eminent economist Ludwig von Mises. From 1932
                                                                                                                                    The Gains from Trade
                                                                           reputation with the 1944 publication of his book on
                 until his death in 1992, Hayek taught at several
                                                                           race relations in the United States, An American
                 schools including the London School of Economics                                                                   To see how specialization and trade can benefit both trading partners, even when one has
                                                                           Dilemma. Considered a classic of social scientific
                 and the University of Chicago.                                                                                     the ability to produce more of both goods than the other, assume each country is at first
                                                                           literature, the work has been compared to Alexis de
                        Hayek’s early work was primarily concerned                                                                  (before trade) operating at point a in Figure 7. At this point, both countries are producing
                                                                           Tocqueville’s Democracy in America. Myrdal’s criti-
                 with business cycles. Hayek argued that economic                                                                   and consuming only their own output; the U.S. produces and consumes 20 million barrels
                                                                           cisms of the doctrine of “separate but equal” had a
                 booms could lead to financial conditions in which                                                                  of oil and 20 million computer chips, Mexico 5 million barrels of oil and 2 million com-
                                                                           major influence on the 1954 Supreme Court ruling
                 investment exceeded savings, resulting in a mis-                                                                   puter chips. Table 1 summarizes these initial conditions. When the United States signed the
                                                                           in “Brown v. Board of Education,” which outlawed
                 match between consumption and output and, con-                                                                     North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico, many people experienced
                                                                           segregation in public schools.
                 sequently, an economic contraction while a balance                                                                 what we have just been discussing. Some American jobs went south to Mexico because of
                                                                                Born in Sweden in 1898, Myrdal received his
                 between the two was being achieved. Hayek                                                                          low production costs. By opening up more markets for American products, however,
                                                                           degree in law and economics in 1927 from Stfor the
                 viewed this “concertina effect” as the primary                                                                     NAFTA did stimulate economic growth, such that retrained workers may end up with new
                                                                           Twentieth Century Fund, which led to the book,
                 explanation for business cycles. He was one of the                                                                 and better jobs.
                                                                           Asian Drama: An inquiry into the Poverty of Nations
                 few economists of his era to predict the Great
                                                                           and the Challenge of World Poverty, where he
                 Depression.
                                                                           advocated a major role for government in directing
                     After the mid-1930s, Hayek focused on cri-                                                                     TABLE 1          Initial Consumption-Production Pattern
                                                                           economies. Myrdal died in 1987.
                 tiques of socialism and centralist economic plan-
                                                                                                                                                             U.S.                   Mexico                  Total
                 ning. His impassioned defense of libertarian eco-

                                                                                                                                    Oil                      20                        5                     25
                                                                                                                                    Chips                    20                        2                     22

                                     As you can see, there are many ways to stimulate economic growth. A society can
                                expand its output by using more resources, perhaps encouraging more people to enter the
                                                                                                                                         Economic growth in the United States has slowed over the second half of the twentieth
                                work force or raising educational levels of workers. The government can encourage people
                                                                                                                                    century, but our standard of living has nonetheless risen dramatically. Expansion of our sug-
                                to invest more, as opposed to devoting their earnings to immediate consumption. The pub-
                                                                                                                                    gests. Women have entered the work force in droves, immigration has expanded, and tech-
                                lic sector can spur technological advances by providing incentives to private firms to do
                                                                                                                                    nd consuming only their own output; the U.S. produces and consumes 20 million barrels
                                research and development or underwrite research investments of its own.
                                                                                                                                    of oil and 20 million computer chips, Mexico 5 million barrels of oil and 2 million com-
                                                                                                                                    puter chips. Table 1 summarizes these initial conditions. When the United States signed the
                                Estimating the Sources of Economic Growth                                                           nology has advanced by leaps and bounds, thus spurring the production of more goods and
                                                                                                                                    services. Expanding global trade has opened up new markets for our products and increased
                                But just how important are each of these factors? A recent study by the Organization for
                                                                                                                                    imports from areas with lower production costs. These developments have contributed to
                                Economic Co-operation and Development focused on what has been driving economic
                                                                                                                                    nology has advanced by leaps and bounds, thus spurring the production of more goods and
                                growth in 21 nations over the last several decades. The study first looked at contribution to
                                                                                                                                    America’s economic growth and improved the economic welfare of its people.
                                economic growth from the macroeconomic perspective of added resources and technolog-

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Text Design

  • 1. 2 Production, Economic Growth and Trade “ We live in a consumer world. Everywhere you look people are purchasing and consuming things. Everything from plastic wrap to baseballs, from artichokes to cellular phones, gets produced, traded, and consumed. Whether an economy is a capitalistic mar- ket economy as in the United States, a capitalist marketplace with a strong touch “ of socialism as in many European countries, or a predominately communist economy as is true of many of China’s markets, goods and services must The ideas of economics and political philosophers, change hands. Several centuries ago, individuals produced most of what they consumed. Today, most of us produce little of what we consume. both when they are right and when they are wrong, Instead we work at specialized jobs, and then use our wages to purchase the goods we need. And purchase we do. are right and when they are wrong, are more Though newspapers frequently report consumption excesses—and powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed, the these excesses occur in rich and poor countries around the globe—we should not let these excesses obscure the fact that consumption is a great world is ruled by little else. I am sure that the power driver of economic growth. In many respects, consumption is simply a way of vested interests isvastly exaggerated for people to better themselves, to make their lives less of a drudgery or to enrich their lives. Farmers in poor countries move from a precarious exis- compared to the gradual encroachment of ideas. tence as subsistence farmers to producers of cash crops—keeping enough to live on but generating a surplus to sell—in order to obtain those consump- —John Maynard Keynes tion goods that better their lives. Another great driver of economic growth is technological change. In 1950, only a small minority of households had television sets. Today, nearly every home has at least one color television set, and the average home has nearly three! In response to the resulting change in demand for programming, channels have multiplied; programming choices are almost limitless. But what brought about these changes in the first place? 27
  • 2. 28 29 Chapter 2 Production, Economic Growth and Trade Technological advances from 1950 through the present day have led to cheaper, higher perfor- BASIC ECONOMIC QUESTIONS AND PRODUCTION mance television sets. This has allowed more families to afford, not just one TV, but flat screen After studying this HDTVs with huge screens and theater quality surround sound that are a fraction of the weight chapter you should Regardless of the country, its circumstances, or its precise economic structure, every econ- and size of older sets. New devices permit viewers to record and watch programs at their leisure. omy must answer three basic questions. be able to: Technological advances have similarly led to a telecommunications industry that sim- ply was not dreamed of fifty years ago. In 1950, long distance phone calls were placed with Describe the three basic questions Basic Economic Questions the assistance of live operators, every minute costing the average consumer several hours’ that must be answered for any worth of pay. Today, fiber-optic cables allow thousands of calls to be made on one cable, economy. The three basic economic questions that each society must answer are: thus drastically reducing the cost of telephone service. Cell phones, meanwhile, have Describe production and the become business necessities because of their convenience and productivity. The globe is What goods and services are to be produced? I factors that go into producing shrinking as communications bring us closer together. How are these goods and services to be produced? various goods and services. I Another factor reducing the size of the world is airline travel. Fifty years ago, few peo- Who will receive these goods and services? I Describe the opportunity cost an ple flew cross-country or overseas. Jets were nonexistent, tickets were expensive—the economy incurs to increase the equivalent of a month’s wages to fly coast to coast—and flights took forever. Today, because The response an economy makes to the first question—What to produce?—depends on the production of one product. of technological change, jet aircraft can whisk us across the country or overseas at a price goods and services a society wants. In a communist state, the government will decide what well within the budgets of most Americans. Use a production possibilities a society wants, but in a capitalist economy consumers are allowed to signal what products A further driver of economic growth—trade—is less obvious. Yet its effect is clear. frontier (PPF) or curve to analyze they want by way of their demands for specific commodities. In the next chapter, we will Nearly every country engages in commercial trade with other countries to expand the the limits of production. investigate how the consumer demand for individual products is determined and how opportunities for consumption and production by its people. As products are consumed, markets meet these demands. For now, we will assume that consumers, individually and as Describe economic growth and the new products must be produced, so increased consumption in one country can spur eco- a society, are able to decide on the mix of goods and services they most want, and that pro- impacts of expanding resources nomic growth in another. Given the ability of global trade to open economic doors and ducers supply these items at acceptable prices. through increasing human raise incomes, it is vital for growth in developing nations. Once we know what goods a society wants, the next question its economic system resources, capital accumulation, In the previous chapter we noted that a reduction in America’s growth rate of only 1 must answer is how these goods and services are to be produced. In the end, this problem and technological improvements. percentage point each year since 1930 would have significant consequences today. Figure 1 comes down to the simple question of how labor, capital, and land should be combined to shows real (adjusted for inflation) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) since 1930 and real Describe the concepts of absolute produce the desired products. If a society demands a huge amount of corn, say, we can GDP if the rate of growth was just 1 percentage point less. As the graph shows, real GDP and comparative advantage and expect its utilization of land, labor, and capital will be different from a society that demands would be roughly half today. One important point to get from the graph is that the 1 per- explain what they tell us about the digital equipment. But even an economy devoted to corn production could be organized in centage point reduction had minimal impact for the first 20 years or so, but the impact gains from trade when countries different ways, perhaps relying on extensive use of human labor, or perhaps relying on widens as time marches forward. Policies that affect economic growth today and in the specialize in certain products. automated capital equipment. future have their biggest impact several generations later. Once an economy has determined what goods and services to produce and how to Describe the practical constraints This chapter will give you a framework for understanding economic growth. It pro- produce them, it is faced with the distribution question: Who will get the resulting prod- on free trade and how some vides a simple model for thinking about production, and then applies this model to ucts? Distribution refers to the way an economy allocates the goods and services it produces industries might be affected. Figure 3 economiesElasticity of so you will know how to think about economic growth and its determi- at large Demand and Total Revenue to consumers. In a capitalist economy, most products are distributed through private mar- nants. It then goes on to analyze international trade as a special case of economic growth. kets. In a socialist economy, many goods are produced in state-owned facilities. By the time you finish this chapter, you should understand the importance of economic Theoretically, governments in socialist economies use tax monies to subsidize producers, growth and what drives it. To start, we turn to an examination of the three basic questions to consumers. In a capitalist economy, most products are distributed through private that every economy, no matter how it is organized, must solve. P r o d u c t i o n : the process of converting maron their efficiency and the quality of their products. resources (factors of production) -- land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurial ability - - into goods and services. Panel A Resources, Production and Efficiency Panel B Total Revenue and Relatively Inelastic Demand Total Revenue and Relatively Elastic Demand R e s o u r c e s : Productive resources Having answered the three basic economic questions, let’s take a look at the production include land (land and natural resources), process. Production involves turning resources into products and services that people want. labor (mental and physical talents of peo- Let’s begin our discussion of this process by examining the scarce resources used to pro- ple), capital (manufactured products used 5 5 duce goods and services. Revenue Gained to produce other products), and entre- preneurial ability (the combining of the Revenue Gained b Land other factors to produce products and 4 4 assume the risk of the business). b For economists, the term land includes both land in the usual sense, but it also includes all other natural resources that are used in production. Natural resources like mineral 3 3 L a n d : Includes natural resources such as Price Price deposits, oil and natural gas, and water are all included by economists in the definition of mineral deposits, oil, natural gas, water c c a a and land in the usual sense of the word. land. Economists refer to the payment to land as rents. 2 2 The payment to land as a resource is D called rents. D Labor 1 1 L a b o r : Includes the mental and physical Revenue Lost Labor as a factor of production includes both the mental and physical talents of people. Few Revenue Lost talents of individuals that are used to pro- goods and services can be produced without labor resources. Improvement to labor capabili- duce products and services. Labor is ties from training, education, and apprenticeship programs, typically called human capital, all 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 paid wages. add to labor’s productivity and ultimately to a higher standard of living. Labor is paid wages. Quantity Quantity
  • 3. 32 33 Chapter 2 Production, Economic Growth and Trade ing 2,000 microcomputers and 4,000 jackets. Clearly some resources are not being used— CASE STUDY Application Issue: Increasing Opportunity Costs unemployment exists. When fully employed, the economy’s resources could produce more of both goods (point d). I n m o s t c a s e s , land, labor, and capital cannot easily be shifted from producing one Because the PPF represents a maximum output, the economy could not produce 4,000 microcomputers and still produce 10,000 leather jackets. This situation, shown by point h, good or service to another. You cannot take a semi-truck and use it to plow a farm field, even lies to the right of the PPF and hence outside the realm of possibility. Anything to the right though the semi and a top-notch tractor cost about the same money. The fact is that some of the PPF is impossible for our economy to attain; all points along the curve represent full resources are suited to specific sorts of production, just as some people seem to be better employment. suited to performing one activity over another. Some people have a talent for music or art, Opportunity Cost and they would be miserable—and inefficient—working as accountants or computer pro- Whenever a country reallocates resources to change production patterns, it does so at a grammers. Some people find they are more comfortable working outside, while others require price. This price is called opportunity cost. Opportunity cost is the price an economy or an the amenities of an environmentally controlled, ergonomically correct office. individual must pay, measured in units of one product, to increase its production (or con- Thus, a more realistic production possibilities frontier is shown in Figure 3. This PPF sumption) of another product. In moving from point b to point e in Figure 2, microcom- puter production increases by 3,000 units, from 1,000 units to 4,000 units. In contrast, our curve is bowed out from the origin since opportunity costs rise as more factors are used to country must forego producing 6,000 leather jackets because production falls from 10,000 produce increasing quantities of one product. Let us consider why this is so. Pro d u c t i o n : the process of converting jackets to 4,000 jackets. Giving up 6,000 jackets for 3,000 more computers represents an Let’s begin at a point where the economy’s resources are strictly devoted to leather jack- resources (factors of production) -- land, opportunity cost of 6000 jackets, or of 2 jackets for each microcomputer. labor, capital, and entrepreneurial ability - et production (point a). Now assume that society decides to produce 3,200 microcomputers. Opportunity cost thus represents the trade-off required when an economy wants to - into goods and services. increase its production of any single product. Governments must choose between guns and This will require a move from point a to point b. As we can see, 2,000 leather jackets must be butter, or between military spending and social spending. Since there are limits to what tax- Re s o u rc e s : Productive resources given up to get the added 3,200 microcomputers. This means the opportunity cost of 1 micro- include land (land and natural resources), payers are willing to pay, spending choices are necessary. Think of opportunity costs as computer will be .625 leather jackets (2,000 ÷ 3,200 = 0.625). This is a low opportunity cost, labor (mental and physical talents of peo- what you or the economy must give up to have more of a product or service. ple), capital (manufactured products used because those resources that are better suited to producing microcomputers will be the first When the electric light bulb was invented, it not only created a new industry (some- to produce other products), and entre- one had to produce light bulbs), but it also revolutionized other industries. Factories could ones shifted into this industry, resulting in rapidly increasing returns from specialization. preneurial ability (the combining of the stay open longer since they no longer had to rely on the sun for light. Workers could see other factors to produce products and But what happens when this society decides to produce an additional 2,000 computers, assume the risk of the business). better, thus improving the quality of their work. The result was that resources operated or moves from point b to point c on the graph? As Figure 3 illustrates, each additional com- more efficiently throughout the entire economy. puter costs 2 leather jackets since producing 2,000 more computers requires the society to The modern day equivalent to the light bulb might be the cellular phone. Widespread use of these devices enables people all across the world to produce goods and services more sacrifice 4,000 leather jackets. Thus, the opportunity cost of computers has more than tripled efficiently. Insurance agents can file claims instantly from disaster sites, deals can be closed due to diminishing returns on the computer side, which arise from the unsuitability of these while one is stuck in traffic, and communications have been revolutionized. Thus, this new new resources as more resources are shifted to microcomputers. technology has ultimately expanded time, the most finite of our resources. A similar argu- To describe what has happened in plain terms, when the economy was producing 12,000 ment could be made for the internet. It has profoundly changed how many products are bought, sold, and delivered, and has expanded communications and the flow of information. leather jackets, all its resources went into jacket production. Those members of the labor force who are engineers and electronic assemblers were probably not well suited to produc- Expanding Resources ing jackets. As the economy backed off of jackets to start producing microcomputers, the The production possibilities frontier represents the constraints on an economy at a specific opportunity cost of computers was low, since the resources first shifted, including workers, time. But economies are constantly changing, and so are PPFs. Capital and labor are the prin- were likely to be the ones most suited to computer production and least suited to jacket man- cipal resources that can be changed through government action. Land and entrepreneurial talent are important factors of production, but neither is easy to change by government poli- ufacture. Eventually, however, as computers became the dominant product, manufacturing cies. The government can make owning a business easier or more profitable by reducing reg- more computers required shifting leather workers to the computer industry. Employing these ulations, or by offering low-interest loans or favorable tax treatment to small businesses. less suitable resources drives up the opportunity costs of computers. However, it is difficult to turn people into risk-takers through government policy. Increasing Labor and Human Capital A clear increase in population, the number of households, or the size of the labor force will shift the PPF outward, as shown in Figure 4. training fit into this category. Improving human capital means people are more productive, With added labor, the production possibilities available to the economy expand from PPF0 resulting in higher wages, a higher standard of living, and an expanded PPF for society. to PPF1. Such a labor increase can be caused by higher birthrates, increased immigration, or an increased willingness of people to enter the labor force. This last type of increase has Capital Accumulation Increasing the capital used throughout the economy, usually occurred over the past several decades as more women have entered the labor force on a brought about by investment, would similarly shift the PPF outward as shown in Figure 4. permanent basis. America’s high immigration (legal and illegal) fuels our strong rate of Additional capital makes each unit of labor more productive and thus results in higher pos- economic growth. sible production throughout the economy. Adding robotics and computer controlled Rather than simply increasing the number of people working, however, the labor factor machines to production lines, for instance, means each unit of labor produces many more can also be increased by improving workers’ skills. Economists refer to this as investment in units of output. human capital. Activities such as education, on-the-job training, and other professional
  • 4. 36 37 Chapter 2 Production, Economic Growth and Trade ical improvements as we have been discussing in this chapter. It then looked at some ben- Karl Marx (1818–1883) efits from good government policies that stimulate growth, and finally examined the indus- try and individual firm level for clues to the microeconomic sources of growth. Some of the findings include: A one percentage point increase in business investment as a percent I nomics in the Road to Serfdom is, if anything, more All societies have to of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would lead to an increase in per widely read today than it was in 1940, the year of answer the three basic capita GDP of 1.3 percent. publication. Hayek attributed failures in socialism to economic questions. The An additional one-year increase in average education levels I an inefficient use of knowledge and information. 1974 Nobel-prize winners increases per capita GDP by 4 to 7 percent. Central planners, in his view, were no match for the Friedrich von Hayek and A 0.1 percentage point increase in research and development as a pricing mechanism as a means of communicating Gunnar Myrdal proposed I percent of GDP increases per capita GDP by 1.2 percent. information. The pricing system evolved sponta- very different answers. neously from the interplay of individuals with limited Karl Marx was the fore- Reducing both the level and variability of inflation by one percent- I and particular information. A decentralized system most advocate of free age point leads to an increase in per capita GDP of 2.3 percent. with competition and price freedom, therefore, was markets and classical eco- A 1 percentage point increase in the tax burden as a percent of GDP I the most efficient and socially beneficial way to nomics during the heyday leads to a 0.3 percent reduction in per capita GDP. organize an economy. He also saw markets as of the Keynesian revolution. Born in 1899, Hayek An increase in trade exposure ( a combined measure of imports I advancing human liberty and freedom. was the son of a botanist. After serving in World and exports as a percent of GDP) of 10 percentage points increas- In contrast to Hayek, Swedish economist and War I, he studied law and political science at the es per capita GDP by 4 percent. sociologist Gunnar Myrdal argued for a different University of Vienna, later joining a group of young way to organize an economy. He advocated a more academics in a private seminar conducted by the active role for government. Myrdal established his eminent economist Ludwig von Mises. From 1932 The Gains from Trade reputation with the 1944 publication of his book on until his death in 1992, Hayek taught at several race relations in the United States, An American schools including the London School of Economics To see how specialization and trade can benefit both trading partners, even when one has Dilemma. Considered a classic of social scientific and the University of Chicago. the ability to produce more of both goods than the other, assume each country is at first literature, the work has been compared to Alexis de Hayek’s early work was primarily concerned (before trade) operating at point a in Figure 7. At this point, both countries are producing Tocqueville’s Democracy in America. Myrdal’s criti- with business cycles. Hayek argued that economic and consuming only their own output; the U.S. produces and consumes 20 million barrels cisms of the doctrine of “separate but equal” had a booms could lead to financial conditions in which of oil and 20 million computer chips, Mexico 5 million barrels of oil and 2 million com- major influence on the 1954 Supreme Court ruling investment exceeded savings, resulting in a mis- puter chips. Table 1 summarizes these initial conditions. When the United States signed the in “Brown v. Board of Education,” which outlawed match between consumption and output and, con- North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico, many people experienced segregation in public schools. sequently, an economic contraction while a balance what we have just been discussing. Some American jobs went south to Mexico because of Born in Sweden in 1898, Myrdal received his between the two was being achieved. Hayek low production costs. By opening up more markets for American products, however, degree in law and economics in 1927 from Stfor the viewed this “concertina effect” as the primary NAFTA did stimulate economic growth, such that retrained workers may end up with new Twentieth Century Fund, which led to the book, explanation for business cycles. He was one of the and better jobs. Asian Drama: An inquiry into the Poverty of Nations few economists of his era to predict the Great and the Challenge of World Poverty, where he Depression. advocated a major role for government in directing After the mid-1930s, Hayek focused on cri- TABLE 1 Initial Consumption-Production Pattern economies. Myrdal died in 1987. tiques of socialism and centralist economic plan- U.S. Mexico Total ning. His impassioned defense of libertarian eco- Oil 20 5 25 Chips 20 2 22 As you can see, there are many ways to stimulate economic growth. A society can expand its output by using more resources, perhaps encouraging more people to enter the Economic growth in the United States has slowed over the second half of the twentieth work force or raising educational levels of workers. The government can encourage people century, but our standard of living has nonetheless risen dramatically. Expansion of our sug- to invest more, as opposed to devoting their earnings to immediate consumption. The pub- gests. Women have entered the work force in droves, immigration has expanded, and tech- lic sector can spur technological advances by providing incentives to private firms to do nd consuming only their own output; the U.S. produces and consumes 20 million barrels research and development or underwrite research investments of its own. of oil and 20 million computer chips, Mexico 5 million barrels of oil and 2 million com- puter chips. Table 1 summarizes these initial conditions. When the United States signed the Estimating the Sources of Economic Growth nology has advanced by leaps and bounds, thus spurring the production of more goods and services. Expanding global trade has opened up new markets for our products and increased But just how important are each of these factors? A recent study by the Organization for imports from areas with lower production costs. These developments have contributed to Economic Co-operation and Development focused on what has been driving economic nology has advanced by leaps and bounds, thus spurring the production of more goods and growth in 21 nations over the last several decades. The study first looked at contribution to America’s economic growth and improved the economic welfare of its people. economic growth from the macroeconomic perspective of added resources and technolog-