Cash America International recently spun off its e-commerce division Enova, focusing on its core pawn lending business. The spin-off unlocks value by allowing Cash America to minimize regulatory risk from consumer lending and focus on its stable pawn revenues. Future growth will depend on acquisitions to expand its pawn shop locations as pawn lending lacks extensive growth opportunities. The analyst rates Cash America as "Market Outperform" with a 12-month target price of $33 per share based on discounted cash flow and relative valuation models.
1.
CASH AMERICA
INTERNATIONAL INC.
CSH/NYSE
Continuing Coverage:
Cash America Goes Through the Big D
Investment Rating: Market Outperform
Enova spin‐off unlocks value
Pawn business provides stable revenues
De‐emphasis of consumer loans will decrease regulatory risk and
short‐term revenue
Future growth depends on acquisitions
Our 12‐month target price is $33.00.
Company Quick View:
Cash America is more than just a pawn in the financial services game. Cash
America is the largest pawn operator in the U.S. The Company has 863 retail
lending locations in 21 states under the names Cash America Pawn, SuperPawn,
Cash America Payday Advance and Cashland. The Company recently completed
spinning‐off its e‐commerce division, Enova, which offers consumer loans in 34
states in the U.S. as well as in the U.K., Australia, Canada, Brazil, and China.
Analysts: Investment Research Manager:
Awesta Nawabi Xi Luo
Kaixi Ye
Kelly Kidwell
Zhe Liu
November 20, 2014
PRICE: $ 25.08 S&P 500: 2,052.75 DJIA: 17,719.00 RUSSELL 2000: 1,170.75
Valuation
EPS*
P/E
CFPS
P/CFPS
* Excluding non‐recurring ite
2013 A
$ 4.97
5.0x
$ 18.99
1.3x
ems
2014 E
$ 3.85
6.5x
$ 16.70
1.5x
2015 E
$ 5.98
4.2x
$ 7.94
3.2x
Market Capitalization Stock Data
Equity Market Cap (MM): $ 725 52‐Week Range: $24.56 ‐ $25.21
Enterprise Value (MM): $ 1,301 12‐Month Stock Performance: 47.22%
Shares Outstanding (MM): 28.89 Dividend Yield: 0.30%
Estimated Float (MM): 28.17 Book Value Per Share: $ 38.99
6‐Mo. Avg. Daily Volume: 483,234 Beta: 0.94
The BURKENROAD REPORTS are produced solely as a part of an educational program of Tulane University's
Freeman School of Business. The reports are not investment advice and you should not and may not rely on
them in making any investment decision. You should consult an investment professional and/or conduct your
own primary research regarding any potential investment.
Wall Street's Farm Team
BURKENROADREPORTS
3. Cash America International (CSH) BURKENROAD REPORTS (www.burkenroad.org) November 20, 2014
3
Table 1: Historical Burkenroad Ratings and Prices
Date Rating Price*
10/26/2012 Market Outperform $52.00
11/07/2013 Market Outperform $50.00
*Price at time of report date and prior to Enova spin‐off
INVESTMENT THESIS
We rate Cash America as Market Outperform and project a one‐year share price target of
$33.00. In determining our projections, we took into consideration the Company’s revenue
potential in pawn services and the abstraction of its e‐commerce segment, Enova.
Enova spin‐off unlocks value
Until recently, Cash America was comprised of two distinct business segments. The Company’s
retail services segment generates steady revenue in a low regulatory risk environment. The
Company’s e‐commerce segment, Enova, on the other hand, is experiencing rapid growth in a
high regulatory risk environment. Additionally, the success of each segment depends on
different criteria. In pawn lending, economic conditions affect revenue. In consumer lending,
profitability is dependent on analytics, collections, and regulatory compliance.
The major differences in the two segments prompted the Company to propose a tax‐free spin‐
off of Enova. On October 22, 2014, the Company’s Board of Directors approved the spin‐off.
Then, on November 13, 2014, the Company distributed 80% of Enova’s shares to current Cash
America shareholders. A separation allows Cash America to focus on its pawn business and
reduce its risk profile.
Pawn business provides stable revenues
The pawn business provides Cash America with stable earnings. The Company’s pawn segment
generates nearly one billion dollars in revenue per year. Although the pawn segment is
experiencing much slower growth in comparison to the Company’s consumer loan segment,
Cash America’s pawn‐related net revenue is increasing due to higher pawn loan fees and
service charges, and due to higher gross profit on retail sales. In comparison to the prior year
quarter, the Company’s pawn‐related net revenue for the third quarter of 2014 increased by
$9.2 million to $126.1 million. Same‐store pawn loan balances also increased by 2.1% in third
quarter 2014 compared to the prior year quarter.
De‐emphasis of consumer loans will decrease regulatory risk and short‐term revenue
Cash America is strategically minimizing its exposure to regulatory risk. Regulatory risk is stable
in pawn lending but uncertain in consumer lending. In addition to separating its e‐commerce
consumer loan segment, the Company plans to deemphasize unsecured consumer loans
offered in its storefront locations. Recently the Company discontinued short‐term consumer
lending in 160 of its retail services locations. In the fourth quarter of 2014, the Company plans
to end short‐term consumer lending in an additional 146 locations.
12. Cash America International (CSH) BURKENROAD REPORTS (www.burkenroad.org) November 20, 2014
12
Table 2: Peer Analysis
Company
Ticker
Symbol
Market
Cap ($)
P/E P/BV
EV/
EBITDA
Debt/
Equity
(%)
Div.
Yield
(%)
ROE
(%)
Cash America
International, Inc.
CSH 727.95M 7.13x 0.64x 3.94x 62.14 0.60 9.51
EZCORP, Inc. EZPW 587.01M 7.01x 0.67x 6.71x 40.29 0 5.42
First Cash Financial
Services, Inc.
FCFS 1.66B 20.60x 3.83x 12.84x 50.56 0 20.57
World Acceptance
Corporation
WRLD 693.02M 7.80x 2.36x 6.20x 190.63 0 32.73
Source: Yahoo Finance November 21, 2014
EZCORP, Inc. (EZPW/NASDAQ)
EZCORP, Inc. has 495 pawn locations in the U.S, as well as locations in Mexico. The company
brokers pawn loans using consumer merchandise as collateral, which it sells in its retail
segment when a customer defaults on a loan. The company’s retail segment also offers
buy/sell consignment services in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. EZCORP also operates an online
loan segment in the U.S. and United Kingdom (U.K.) and offers other small‐scale financial
services. Although EZCORP operates very similarly to Cash America, it is less than half the size
of Cash America and has a much lower return on equity (ROE). Further, the company’s revenue
growth is steadily declining and only grew by 1.8% in 2013. Also, the company has a much
smaller market capitalization than Cash America. However, the company recently announced a
new executive team, so their growth strategy may change.
First Cash Financial Services, Inc. (FCFS/NASDAQ)
First Cash Financial Services, Inc. is an international pawn shop operator with 316 locations in
12 U.S. states and 667 locations in Mexico. First Cash Financial Services has the largest market
capitalization of $1.59 billion. In 2013, the company had revenue growth of 12%, a
considerable increase in comparison to Cash America which had a slight decrease in revenue
growth of 0.2%. Although it is important to note that Cash America generates nearly twice the
revenue as First Cash Financial Services.
First Cash Financial Services has a pawn‐focused business model with over 93% of its revenue
generated from pawn‐related activities. The company’s growth strategy involves new store
openings and acquisitions. In 2014, the company opened five new stores in the U.S. and 24 in
Mexico, and First Cash acquired ten stores in the U.S. and 47 in Mexico.
World Acceptance Corporation (WRLD/NASDAQ)
World Acceptance Corporation offers short and medium‐term consumer installment loans to
individuals with limited access to banks and other related credit sources. World Acceptance
Corp. operates 1,271 offices in 14 states in the U.S. and in Mexico and has approximately
956,000 customers.
23. Cash America International (CSH) BURKENROAD REPORTS (www.burkenroad.org) November 20, 2014
23
ANOTHER WAY TO LOOK AT IT
ALTMAN Z‐SCORE
One measure of a company’s likelihood of bankruptcy is the Altman Z‐score. Developed by
Edward Altman in 1967, the Altman Z‐score is based on five financial ratios: working capital
to total assets, retained earnings to total assets, earnings before interest and tax to total
assets, market value of equity to total liabilities, and sales to total assets. The Altman Z‐score
gives insight on a company’s financial strength. Scores above 3.0 indicate low risk for
bankruptcy while scores below 1.8 indicate high risk for bankruptcy.
Table 7 shows Cash America’s Z‐score for the past five years. In 2013, the Company’s Z‐score
was 3.04 indicating Cash America is safe from bankruptcy. However, 2013 represented the
Company’s lowest Z‐score since 2009. The decrease in Z‐score is attributed to a growth in the
Company’s total assets. An increase in goodwill from acquisitions contributed to the increase
in Cash America’s total assets.
Table 7: Cash America’s Historical Z‐Scores
Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Z‐Score 3.37 3.51 3.61 3.38 3.04
Source: Cash America 10K filings
25. Cash America International (CSH) BURKENROAD REPORTS (www.burkenroad.org) November 20, 2014
25
WWBD?
What Would Ben (Graham) Do?
Ben Graham was one of the first investors to use financial analysis to successfully invest in
stocks. As a value investor, Graham searched for stocks of companies he believed to be
undervalued. Graham used a series of hurdles to identify value stocks. Graham’s first four
hurdles assess a stock’s potential reward, and the second four hurdles measure a stock’s risk.
Graham considered stocks that passed four of the eight hurdles as attractive investments.
Cash America passes five of the eight hurdles making it an attractive buy. The Company’s
earnings to price yield exceeds twice the yield on a 10‐year Treasury; its stock price is less
than 150% of book value; its total debt is less than book value; it has a high current ratio of 6.6
and earnings growth of 10% over the past five years. Cash America falls short on three
indicators with a low price to earnings ratio, a high dividend yield, and stability in growth of
earnings. In 2012, the Company’s growth in earnings declined by 20%. A complete Ben
Graham analysis is provided in the following table.
Figure 9: Ben Graham Analysis
26. Cash America International (CSH) BURKENROAD REPORTS (www.burkenroad.org) November 20, 2014
26
Earnings per share (ttm) 3.60$ Price: 25.05$
Earnings to Price Yield 14.36%
10 Year Treasury (2X) 5.56%
P/E ratio as of 2009 5.0
P/E ratio as of 2010 4.6
P/E ratio as of 2011 5.0
P/E ratio as of 2012 5.3
P/E ratio as of 2013 3.7
Current P/E Ratio 7.0
Dividends per share (ttm) 0.14$ Price: 25.05$
Dividend Yield 0.56%
1/2 Yield on 10 Year Treasury 1.39%
Stock Price 25.05$
Book Value per share as of 9/30/14 38.99$
150% of book Value per share as of 9/30/14 58.49$
Interest‐bearing debt as of 9/30/14 700,043$
Book value as of 9/30/14 1,126,533$
Current assets as of 9/30/14 1,076,140$
Current liabilities as of 9/30/14 162,021$
Current ratio as of 9/30/14 6.6
EPS for year ended 2013 4.66$
EPS for year ended 2012 3.42$
EPS for year ended 2011 4.25$
EPS for year ended 2010 3.67$
EPS for year ended 2009 3.17$
EPS for year ended 2013 4.66$ 36%
EPS for year ended 2012 3.42$ ‐20%
EPS for year ended 2011 4.25$ 16%
EPS for year ended 2010 3.67$ 16%
EPS for year ended 2009 3.17$
Stock price data as of November 20, 2014
No
Hurdle # 3: A Dividend Yield of 1/2 the Yield on 10 Year Treasury
No
Hurdle # 4: A Stock Price less than 1.5 BV
Yes
Hurdle # 5: Total Debt less than Book Value
Yes
Hurdle # 6: Current Ratio of Two or More
Yes
Hurdle # 7: Earnings Growth of 7% or Higher over past 5 years
Yes
Hurdle # 8: Stability in Growth of Earnings
No
CASH AMERICA INTERNATIONAL INC. (CSH)
Ben Graham Analysis
Hurdle # 1: An Earnings to Price Yield of 2X the Yield on 10 Year Treasury
Yes
Hurdle # 2: A P/E Ratio Down to 1/2 of the Stocks Highest in 5 Yrs
36. To receive complete reports on any of the companies we follow, contact:
Peter Ricchiuti, Founder & Director of Research
Tulane University
Freeman School of Business
BURKENROAD REPORTS
Phone: (504) 862-8489
Fax: (504) 865-5430
E-mail: Peter.Ricchiuti@Tulane.edu
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