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European Commission Workshop ...
   Competitiveness Week, Brussels 17-20sep12
           Embedded Systems and Advanced Computing – 18sep12
           10 Minutes + Brief Q’s
           Intervention to include Commentary on the EC’s Draft Strategy Document (11sep12)

   Invited Intervention (See Presentation) - Specific Points to Include ...
           Cross-Cutting Businesses have Fragmented Markets – By Definition!
           Let Business chose its own Market Opportunities (The EC should only point-out where (public) money is likely to be spent)
           Patents ≠ Intellectual Asset management ≠ IP ≠ Intellectual Property
           Market ≠ Market (Societal Challenges ≠ Business Opportunities for eg:ARM)
           Beware: Local Skills Availability can be offset Internationally (Business will not fail through lack of EU skills)
           Open Software is not a direct Business opportunity in itself; but may still be justified to develop a market (A Platform).
           Platforms are not all the same: ARM CPU, Boolean Logic, CMOS, DVD, C++, html, FTP, GSM, USB, Automotive chassis, GPS,
            Apple’s 32 pin interface, Spanners, ECLIPSE, Linaro, Standards (Proprietary and Open).
           Economics is a Social Science: Economists come from various Social backgrounds. Equations indicate Relationships, but are
            generally not Commutative ... Don’t trust nested equations.
           To judge the value of support; you must understand how Economic Contributions are made! (See “Income Approach”).
           Is funding getting to the Right/Best Targets? (Eric Schutz, Artemis: “When we have the money; they show up!”)
           SME Participation in EU Projects can be very bad (for them); SME Emergence is a good within a Project.
           Europe is 5% of the world population (25% of the world economy), so in a level playing field we would expect that 95% of
            ‘anything’ to be supplied by the ROW! Even 75% would indicate a significantly bias in ‘our’ favour!!
           Europe is not Uniform, so we should not try and achieve the same things in each country (do what you are best at).
           FP8 should support the EU end of International Collaborations which will benefit Europe.



    1
2v3




Prof. Ian Phillips
 Principal Staff Eng’r,
       ARM Ltd
ian.phillips@arm.com

  Visiting Prof. at ...




Contribution to Industry
     Award 2008



                           European Commission Workshop
                               Competitiveness Week
                                 Brussels 18sep12



      2
Electronic Systems Underpin 21C Society
 Visibly ...
       Cameras, Tablets, TVs, Printers, Readers, Navigators, Audio, Phones, ...
       Personal and Loved ...
                    ... But not VITAL


 Invisibly ...
       Banking, Medical, Energy, Security, Transport, Logistics, Robotics,
          Communications, ...
         Impersonal, Invisible and Unapreciated ...
                   ... Yet are VITAL to our Society and Economy


 We are heavily dependent on them today ...
                    ... and will be increasingly so tomorrow.


  3
Electronic Systems Products are Complex
 The Alloy of Many Advanced Technologies, Methods & Tools

 Their Entire Life-Cycles are Global today ...
      Research to Recycle (Through: Design, Reproduction, Installation, Maintenance, Use, etc).
      Significant Employment-Based Economic Contributions1 to all Nations
         Involved in the life-cycle


 We have not lost control to the East and USA ...
      Nobody ‘owns’ the entire life-cycle or value-cycle of even one ES Product;
         so don’t waste effort trying to achieve it!
        More realistic to achieve a balance of dependency;
         where they need our contributions as much as we need theirs!


                                                              1: See “The Income Approach” to GDP Computation

 4
Changing More Than We Realise...
                               10nm
                                                                                              X
Approximate Process Geometry




                               100nm



                               1um
                                       Transistors/Chip (M)




                                                                                                            Transistor/PM (K)
                               10um



                               100um




                                                                                                  ITRS’99



                                                              ...   x More Functionality In-a-Chip in 20 yrs!

                    5
Societal Challenges ...
 Are Just Indicators of where Governments intend to spend ...
         Urbanisation (Smart Cities)      Food/Water
         Health (eHealth)                 Ageing Society
         Transport                        Sustainability
         Energy (Smart Grid)              E-Inclusion
         Security                         Economics
         Environment                      Etc.
 Whilst ...
         Electronic Systems will be fundamental to whatever
          solutions are implemented to Societies Challenges ...
         They will not be the Best Businesses Opportunities ...
            ... Nor create the Biggest Direct Economic value to Europe.
 However ...
         Objective ought to be that European Electronic Systems Community’s Technologies
          and Capabilities# are exploitable in Europe’s Societal Challenge markets ...
            ... But in much greater ‘quantity’ in wider Global Markets
                                                                          # More diverse than nano-electronics


  6
ES and AC Draft Strategy Document
 Proposed Four-Pronged Strategy: Basically good ...
      To Reinforce Europe's lead industrial position in Embedded Systems
         Yes BUT...
          Europe does not lead across all of ES; though we do in significant (Cross-Cutting) parts.
          Need to be much more focused about support initiatives.
      To Support Road-Map Based Research and Innovation
         Yes BUT...
          Technology Roadmaps, not Application Roadmaps; and from ETP’s and LEITs ... not JTIs.
          Research establishes Science/Technology not Product.
      To Extend R&D towards I&De (Innovation & Deployment)
         Handle With Care ...
          I&De are Business Issues and should be justified as such. Undue Governments influence
            leads to non-viable business, and a growing dependency culture (and bill).
          Damaging vital longer-term R&D by diverting money/attention away from it.
      To Support SMEs
         Like ...
          SME Role clarified to: ‘Utilise and/or Mature Novel Technologies’
          And provide this into the Electronic Systems life-cycle (Through; Service, Licence, Acquisition)
          Limitation to growth is not (just) money. Greater is Management Experience and Skill Access

 7
Conclusions:
 Electronic Systems Permeate our lives today ...
        Visibly and Invisibly, they have enabled the improved services and exciting new
         products in our lives! (AC, IT and ICT are included in this)
        They are the product of Global Endeavour at all levels in their life-cycles
     ... Making significant Direct and Indirect contrib’n to the European Economy
 Europe’s strengths are ‘islands’ throughout ES life-cycles ...
        Nobody (Nation, Region or Company) ‘hold’ entire ES life-cycles today; and European
         Enterprises deliver value (and prosperity) in the Life-Cycles of many ES Products.
        Darwinian Evolution has transformed Traditional Businesses into smaller, optimised,
         competitive, operations; better suited to their business in the new globalised order.
        Societal Challenges are just Signposts; they are not the only, nor the biggest market
         opportunities for European ES businesses.
        Globalisation offers many specialist business opportunities for Europe ; and the
         technical, legal and physical mechanisms to deliver them into global life-cycles.
     ... Help us achieve global pre-eminence in what we are (or can be) good at
         ... Don’t try to change us into something will never be preeminent at.

 8

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Intervention: Embedded Systems and Advanced Computing

  • 1. European Commission Workshop ...  Competitiveness Week, Brussels 17-20sep12  Embedded Systems and Advanced Computing – 18sep12  10 Minutes + Brief Q’s  Intervention to include Commentary on the EC’s Draft Strategy Document (11sep12)  Invited Intervention (See Presentation) - Specific Points to Include ...  Cross-Cutting Businesses have Fragmented Markets – By Definition!  Let Business chose its own Market Opportunities (The EC should only point-out where (public) money is likely to be spent)  Patents ≠ Intellectual Asset management ≠ IP ≠ Intellectual Property  Market ≠ Market (Societal Challenges ≠ Business Opportunities for eg:ARM)  Beware: Local Skills Availability can be offset Internationally (Business will not fail through lack of EU skills)  Open Software is not a direct Business opportunity in itself; but may still be justified to develop a market (A Platform).  Platforms are not all the same: ARM CPU, Boolean Logic, CMOS, DVD, C++, html, FTP, GSM, USB, Automotive chassis, GPS, Apple’s 32 pin interface, Spanners, ECLIPSE, Linaro, Standards (Proprietary and Open).  Economics is a Social Science: Economists come from various Social backgrounds. Equations indicate Relationships, but are generally not Commutative ... Don’t trust nested equations.  To judge the value of support; you must understand how Economic Contributions are made! (See “Income Approach”).  Is funding getting to the Right/Best Targets? (Eric Schutz, Artemis: “When we have the money; they show up!”)  SME Participation in EU Projects can be very bad (for them); SME Emergence is a good within a Project.  Europe is 5% of the world population (25% of the world economy), so in a level playing field we would expect that 95% of ‘anything’ to be supplied by the ROW! Even 75% would indicate a significantly bias in ‘our’ favour!!  Europe is not Uniform, so we should not try and achieve the same things in each country (do what you are best at).  FP8 should support the EU end of International Collaborations which will benefit Europe. 1
  • 2. 2v3 Prof. Ian Phillips Principal Staff Eng’r, ARM Ltd ian.phillips@arm.com Visiting Prof. at ... Contribution to Industry Award 2008 European Commission Workshop Competitiveness Week Brussels 18sep12 2
  • 3. Electronic Systems Underpin 21C Society  Visibly ...  Cameras, Tablets, TVs, Printers, Readers, Navigators, Audio, Phones, ...  Personal and Loved ... ... But not VITAL  Invisibly ...  Banking, Medical, Energy, Security, Transport, Logistics, Robotics, Communications, ...  Impersonal, Invisible and Unapreciated ... ... Yet are VITAL to our Society and Economy  We are heavily dependent on them today ... ... and will be increasingly so tomorrow. 3
  • 4. Electronic Systems Products are Complex  The Alloy of Many Advanced Technologies, Methods & Tools  Their Entire Life-Cycles are Global today ...  Research to Recycle (Through: Design, Reproduction, Installation, Maintenance, Use, etc).  Significant Employment-Based Economic Contributions1 to all Nations Involved in the life-cycle  We have not lost control to the East and USA ...  Nobody ‘owns’ the entire life-cycle or value-cycle of even one ES Product; so don’t waste effort trying to achieve it!  More realistic to achieve a balance of dependency; where they need our contributions as much as we need theirs! 1: See “The Income Approach” to GDP Computation 4
  • 5. Changing More Than We Realise... 10nm X Approximate Process Geometry 100nm 1um Transistors/Chip (M) Transistor/PM (K) 10um 100um ITRS’99 ... x More Functionality In-a-Chip in 20 yrs! 5
  • 6. Societal Challenges ...  Are Just Indicators of where Governments intend to spend ...  Urbanisation (Smart Cities)  Food/Water  Health (eHealth)  Ageing Society  Transport  Sustainability  Energy (Smart Grid)  E-Inclusion  Security  Economics  Environment  Etc.  Whilst ...  Electronic Systems will be fundamental to whatever solutions are implemented to Societies Challenges ...  They will not be the Best Businesses Opportunities ... ... Nor create the Biggest Direct Economic value to Europe.  However ...  Objective ought to be that European Electronic Systems Community’s Technologies and Capabilities# are exploitable in Europe’s Societal Challenge markets ... ... But in much greater ‘quantity’ in wider Global Markets # More diverse than nano-electronics 6
  • 7. ES and AC Draft Strategy Document  Proposed Four-Pronged Strategy: Basically good ...  To Reinforce Europe's lead industrial position in Embedded Systems Yes BUT...  Europe does not lead across all of ES; though we do in significant (Cross-Cutting) parts.  Need to be much more focused about support initiatives.  To Support Road-Map Based Research and Innovation Yes BUT...  Technology Roadmaps, not Application Roadmaps; and from ETP’s and LEITs ... not JTIs.  Research establishes Science/Technology not Product.  To Extend R&D towards I&De (Innovation & Deployment) Handle With Care ...  I&De are Business Issues and should be justified as such. Undue Governments influence leads to non-viable business, and a growing dependency culture (and bill).  Damaging vital longer-term R&D by diverting money/attention away from it.  To Support SMEs Like ...  SME Role clarified to: ‘Utilise and/or Mature Novel Technologies’  And provide this into the Electronic Systems life-cycle (Through; Service, Licence, Acquisition)  Limitation to growth is not (just) money. Greater is Management Experience and Skill Access 7
  • 8. Conclusions:  Electronic Systems Permeate our lives today ...  Visibly and Invisibly, they have enabled the improved services and exciting new products in our lives! (AC, IT and ICT are included in this)  They are the product of Global Endeavour at all levels in their life-cycles ... Making significant Direct and Indirect contrib’n to the European Economy  Europe’s strengths are ‘islands’ throughout ES life-cycles ...  Nobody (Nation, Region or Company) ‘hold’ entire ES life-cycles today; and European Enterprises deliver value (and prosperity) in the Life-Cycles of many ES Products.  Darwinian Evolution has transformed Traditional Businesses into smaller, optimised, competitive, operations; better suited to their business in the new globalised order.  Societal Challenges are just Signposts; they are not the only, nor the biggest market opportunities for European ES businesses.  Globalisation offers many specialist business opportunities for Europe ; and the technical, legal and physical mechanisms to deliver them into global life-cycles. ... Help us achieve global pre-eminence in what we are (or can be) good at ... Don’t try to change us into something will never be preeminent at. 8