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2INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
3INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
• Robust financial performance
› 19% organic growth in headline earnings & headline earnings per share
› Continued improvement in credit metrics
› Early adoption of IFRS 9
• Strategic positioning of operating divisions
› Occupy leading market positions
› Highly defensive businesses
› Experienced & skilled management teams
› Platforms to develop new products & expand into new markets
• Deployment of capital
› Conservative & liquid balance sheet in a challenging South African economy
› Reinvesting into organic capital deployment opportunities within existing divisions
› Acquisitions search continues, expected within existing divisions & skills set
› Vertical integration: establishment of autobody repair facility & dealership
› Expansion into new adjacent markets: launch of Zebra Cabs, a point-to-point
metered taxi business
HIGHLIGHTS
4INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
5INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ENVIRONMENT
MACRO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
• Macro- & socio-economic challenges continue to constrain growth in South Africa
› Political: political instability & potential sovereign rating downgrade
› Social: persistent low employment levels with little or no real wage growth; continued protest action
& social unrest
› Economic: currency related inflation; drought-related food inflation; increased interest rates,
higher electricity & fuel costs
• Consumer & SME sector of economy remains vulnerable
› Household debt-to-disposable income ratio remains at elevated levels with debt-service costs increasing
CAPITAL MARKETS
• Local funding market characterised by:
› Constrained liquidity
› Issuers paying a premium to access reduced local funding pools
• SA Taxi has enjoyed uninterrupted access to debt capital markets
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
• SARB proposal for authenticated collections to replace existing NAEDO/AEDO
• DTI proposals re caps on credit life insurance pricing & NCR’s regulations re affordability
assessments, prescription, caps on interest rates & fees
› SA Taxi: unaffected by these changes or proposals
› Risk services: regulations not conducive to credit extension & in medium term may impact volume of
matters handed over. TCRS continues to expand into non-NCA regulated adjacent markets, including
public sector, telecommunications & insurance sectors
ENVIRONMENT
6INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ENVIRONMENT
Defensive positioning enables Transaction Capital to grow earnings despite
a challenging & low growth South African economic environment
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
• Minibus taxi infrastructure remains the dominant form of public transport
• Commuters’ use of taxis remains consistently high as spend on transport
is non-discretionary
• Taxi operator not over-indebted
• Demand for vehicles & finance to replace ageing national minibus taxi
fleet exceeds supply
RISK SERVICES (TCRS)
• Adverse environment stimulates demand from new and existing clients
for collection & related credit risk management services
• Increased number of non-performing portfolios available to acquire
ENVIRONMENT
7INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
8INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
CEO: Terry Kier
Group tenure: 9 years
Vertically integrated provider of finance, insurance & other related
products using credit assessment, collections & capital
management competencies. Operational competencies include
vehicle & spare parts procurement (Taximart), direct vehicle sales
(SA Taxi Direct), vehicle refurbishment (Taximart), insurance
(SA Taxi Protect) & telematics. SA Taxi also applies these
competencies to finance bakkies (SA Bakkie) & point-to-point
metered taxis (Zebra Cabs) as income-producing assets for SMEs
TRANSACTION CAPITAL GROUP
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2016
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
1. Headline earnings attributable to the business, including minority interest
TRANSACTION CAPITAL LIMITED – CEO: David Hurwitz, group tenure: 11 years | employees: 3 822 | headline earnings: R210m
HEADLINE EARNINGS R120m ¹ (▲21%)
GROSS LOANS & ADVANCES R6 688m (▲12%)
EMPLOYEES 734
RISK SERVICES
CEO: David McAlpin
Group tenure: 8 years
A technology led, data analytics driven provider of customer
management & capital solutions, enabling our clients to effectively
manage their customers through their lifecycle
HEADLINE EARNINGS R70m (▲15%)
PRINCIPAL REVENUE ▲9% AGENCY REVENUE▲6%
EMPLOYEES 3 066
9INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
TRANSACTION CAPITAL’S
ASSET-BACKED LENDING DIVISION
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
SA Taxi
is an asset-backed lender that
utilises its proprietary data
& vertically integrated specialist
capabilities to extend
developmental credit for
income generating vehicles,
insurance & allied services
to the underserved &
emerging SME market
Generating in-depth client
insight via granular
telematics, credit, vehicle &
other data to enable precise
& informed credit origination
& collection decisioning
A unique blend of vehicle
procurement, sales,
repossession &
refurbishment capabilities,
with comprehensive
insurance competencies &
debt & equity capital
management skill
Business support to SMEs
that may not otherwise
have access to credit from
traditional banks, thereby
facilitating SME growth
Deepening our clients’
access to financial services
Predominantly minibus taxis
but also leveraging existing
competencies in adjacent
markets including bakkies
used by SMEs & metered
point-to-point taxis
Assisting our SME clients to
maximise cash flow & protect
their income producing
vehicles thus improving their
ability to succeed
10INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
MINIBUS TAXIS ARE THE DOMINANT MODE
OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Source: National Land Transport Strategic Framework 2015 | Passenger statistics from Arrive Alive & StatsSA
noting individuals can take more than one mode of transport | SABOA website
• The majority of commuters who utilise public transport are heavily
reliant on minibus taxis
• Usage of minibus taxis has been consistently high throughout the
industry’s existence & shows no sign of slowing
• Minibus taxi transport is a non-discretionary expense for the majority
of the nation’s commuters
RAIL BUS MINIBUS
commuter trips
daily
2 million
network nationwide
~3 180km
commuter trips
daily
9 million
registered buses
~19 000
commuter trips
daily
>15 million
minibus taxis
~200 000
25% 28%
32%
34%
17%
Up to R500 R501-R1 000 R1 001-R2 000 R2 001-R3 000 >R3 000
Walk Minibus Bus Train Car Other
Modesoftransport
With over 50% of the South African population earning under R3 000
monthly, walking & minibus taxis are their main modes of transport
Monthly income bracket
The public transport system remains the dominant mode of transport in SA
& 66% of those who utilise public transport choose to use minibus taxis
66%
13%21%
Public
transport
choices
Minibus taxi
Train
Bus
40%
38%
21% 1%
Share of
transport
choices
Public
transport
Car
Walk
Other
11INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
DAILY COMMUTERS RELY ON MINIBUS TAXIS
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Source: SA Taxi telematics data as at 1 April 2016 | National Land Transport Strategic Framework 2015
Minibus taxis service rail & bus nodes
Major train nodes Major bus nodes SA Taxi network
12INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
“The minibus taxi industry is today the most critical pillar of our public transport sector”
Arrive Alive
13INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
DEMANDS FOR VEHICLES
EXCEEDS THE CURRENT SUPPLY
• Estimated fleet of >200 000 minibus taxis in South Africa, with ~70 000 to 80 000 financed
• ~135 000 (68%) are old & unsafe vehicles that need to be replaced
• Ageing fleet & recapitalisation drives higher demand for vehicles & consequently a need for finance
› Per the National Land Transport Act a minibus taxi must be scrapped after 7 years
› Natural churn in the market as a result of high usage
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Source: Arrive Alive | National Land Transport Strategic Framework 2015 | Department of Transport Minister Dipuo Peters address
at National Council of Provinces | Transport budget vote NCOP 2015/16 | Engineering News
• Improved credit performance as SA Taxi
can be selective on credit risk
• Improved recoveries as asset retains
value due to demand exceeding supply
• Liquid market for high quality &
affordable SA Taxi pre-owned vehicles
Vehicle type
New vehicle sales
per month
SA Taxi’s
market share
Toyota Sesfikile ~720 37%
Nissan NV350 ~200 18%
Chinese manufactured ~100 0%
Mercedes Sprinter ~70 22%
New minibus taxi sales in South Africa
Toyota is the most prevalent vehicle type in the minibus taxi industry,
followed by Nissan
14INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
SA TAXI PROVIDES BUSINESS SUPPORT TO SMES
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
1. StatsSA National household travel survey 2013
2. SA Taxi’s best estimate through our engagement with the industry & extrapolation of internal data
3. Desktop Research & Taxi Operator Interviews – Step 2015
DEEPENING ACCESS TO DEVELOPMENTAL CREDIT, & FINANCING UNDER-SERVED & EMERGING SMES
WHO WOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN OUTSIDE THE FORMAL ECONOMY
IN SOUTH AFRICA
minibus taxis account for ¹
~ 200’000
of all household trips ¹
69%
taxis financed ²
70’000-80’000
taxis insured ²
80’000-90’000
metered taxis ³
~ 17’000
OUR PORTFOLIO
currently financed
R6.7 billion
unique clients owning 25 591 vehicles
21 479
currently insured
23 800
of financed national taxi fleet
1 in 3
Black owned SMEs
100%
women
20%
RESULTING IN
commuter trips daily ¹,²
>15 million
new Toyota sales for Toyota Sesfikile
minibus taxi originated by SA Taxi
37%
safer minibus taxis on our roads
in 2015, new & pre-owned
>6 000
SMEs created through
the refurbishment & financing
of pre-owned vehicles in 2015
>1 900
15INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
Proprietary telematics data and analytics
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
DISTINCTIVE COMPETENCIES
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Proven & diversified funding structures whereby allocated equity is geared with local and international debt, to achieve risk-adjusted returns
Ability to procure, repossess, refurbish & sell new & pre-owned vehicles including: Toyota minibus, Hilux & Corolla, Nissan minibus & Mercedes Benz long-distance minibus
Proprietary telematics data used throughout the value chain provides critical insights for business decisions
• Origination: Data applied into credit vetting process to better understand credit risk & route profitability
• Collections: Data informs how collections agents interact with the taxi operator
• Insurance: Historical data is used to accurately price the insurance risk & live data is applied to identify no movement which may indicate an insurance claim
• Repossessions: Live location data aids the repossession process
ENABLING
SMEs
SERVICING
SMEs
MANAGING THE RETURNS
FROM SMEs
FINANCIAL
SERVICES
VEHICLE
EQUITY
ALLOCATION
& DEBT RAISING
CREDIT
UNDERWRITING
& ORIGINATION
INSURANCE COLLECTIONS REPOSSESSION
VEHICLE SUPPLY
& SALES
REPAIRS
& MAINTENANCE
SERVICE
REFURBISH RESALE
16INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
DISTINCTIVE COMPETENCIES
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Approved route vs. route actually travelled Distance travelled on an hourly basis
FINANCE SA TAXI PROTECT SA TAXI DIRECT
TAXIMART PROPRIETARY TELEMATICS DATA USED THROUGHOUT THE VALUE CHAIN
17INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
VALUECHAIN
EQUITY ALLOCATION
& DEBT RAISING
VEHICLE SUPPLY
& SALES
CREDIT UNDERWRITING
& ORIGINATION
INSURANCE
COLLECTIONS &
REPOSSESSION
REPAIRS, MAINTENANCE &
REFURBISHMENT
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
LOOKING FORWARD
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Leading market position
encompassing the entire value chain
within the minibus taxi industry
FIXED ROUTE
(MINIBUS TAXI)
POINT-TO-POINT
(METERED TAXI)
SME
(BAKKIE)
LEVERAGE EXISTING CAPABILITIES IN ADJACENT UNDER-SERVED MARKET SEGMENTS
Apply existing capabilities
& develop associated
competencies
Further develop
bakkie offering to SMEs,
building on successful pilot


Equity capital allocated

Toyota minibus, Nissan minibus &
Mercedes long-distance minibus
Toyota Corolla
customised metered taxi
Toyota
Hilux bakkie
  
Intention to increase & enhance
non-financed insurance portfolio
 
  
Established dedicated refurbishment & auto body repair facility
SA Taxi’s dealership established to procure & sell new & pre owned vehicles including:
Intention to increase proportion of vehicles procured & sold, & loans originated directly via SA Taxi’s dealership
Proprietarytelematicsdataandanalytics
18INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
TRANSACTION CAPITAL’S
RISK SERVICES DIVISION
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
… is a technology-led,
data analytics driven provider of
customer management &
capital solutions,
enabling our clients
to effectively manage their customers
through their lifecycle
An efficient platform driving superior
performance & facilitating scale via
cutting edge IT systems & processesGenerating in-depth insight to
enable precise & informed
internal & external decisioning
Improving our clients’ ability
to originate, manage &
collect from their customers
Assisting clients to optimise
their balance sheet by
accelerating cash flow through
structured capital solutions
Working with large consumer credit
providers across multiple industries
as well as SMEs
Assisting our clients to maximise
their customer lifetime value
19INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
A GROWING NON-PERFORMING LOANS MARKET
IN SOUTH AFRICA
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
1. R81bn comprises credit monitored by the NCR. Transaction Capital Risk Services industry solutions also include
SMEs, education, insurance, Public Sector, telecommunications & SOEs & Utilities
2. Source: NCR
34
33
31
36
43
61
69
81
76
103
105
89
78
67
63
59
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
MBD target market
Mortgages & vehicle finance
NON-PERFORMING LOAN MARKET
SIZE & GROWTH (Rbn)2
2008 - 2015 CAGR: 13%
2008 - 2015 CAGR: -4%
› 162 BOOKS PURCHASED since 1999
› We rank 1st or 2nd
by our clients in 78% of 240 MANDATES (▲33%)
on panels where we are represented
78%1st or 2nd
FACE VALUE OF
DEBT SERVICED
R81bn¹
Customer
Management
Solutions
R15bn
Capital Solutions R16bn
Other
fragmented
participants in
addressable market
Non-performingloanvalue
20INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
IN SOUTH AFRICA
there are 35 million ADULTS [aged 15-65]
TRANSACTION CAPITAL RISK SERVICES
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
Source: StatsSA, NCR,
Accountancy SA February 2016, Internal data
ENSURES A HEALTHY SOUTH AFRICAN CONSUMER CREDIT ENVIRONMENT
24million
ACTIVE CREDIT CONSUMERS
10million
NON-PERFORMING CREDIT CONSUMERS
86%OF SOUTH AFRICANS
borrowed money between 2013 and 2014
2014South Africans were
the biggest borrowers in the world,
World Bank report
OUR PORTFOLIO
UNIQUE MBD CUSTOMERS
4.4million
1in 8SOUTH AFRICAN ADULTS
1in 5CREDIT-ACTIVE PEOPLE
1in 2NON-PERFORMING CREDIT CONSUMERS
RESULTING IN
COLLECTION AGENTS
2 700
4.2million
VOICE INTERACTIONS
each month
715 000PAYMENTS
received each month
>11million
South Africans described as “OVER-INDEBTED”
(it was 5 million in 2013)
21INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ORIGINATE
Identifying & winning new customers
using data analytics
MANAGE
Enabling payment processes
& customer management
COLLECT
Solving our clients’ impaired debt problem
through collections & capital solutions
RISK SERVICES
PRODUCT SOLUTIONS
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT LIFECYCLE
CLIENTENGAGEMENTMODEL
CUSTOMERMANAGEMENT
SOLUTIONS
CAPITAL
SOLUTIONS
Lead generation & customer acquisition
• Lead generation
• Predictive & prescriptive modelling
• Segmentation modelling
• Systems (Smart & FICO)
• Analytics
Payment & account management
• Customer retention, profitability,
predictive & prescriptive modelling
• Systems (Smart & FICO)
• Analytics
• Payment processing
• Receivables management
Collection services
• Systems (Smart & FICO)
• Analytics
• Early stage rehabilitation
• Late stage collections
• Legal recoveries
• B2B collections
Working capital financing
• Invoice discounting
• Trade financing
• Property financing
Debt purchasing
• Spot book acquisition
• Structural outsourcing
• Forward flow agreements
BUSINESS PROCESS OUTSOURCING SOLUTIONS
1 2 3
22INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
RISK SERVICES
MARKET SEGMENTS
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
ORIGINATE
Identifying & winning new customers
using data analytics
MANAGE
Enabling payment processes
& customer management
COLLECT
Solving our clients’ impaired debt problem
through collections & capital solutions
CUSTOMERMANAGEMENT
SOLUTIONS
CAPITAL
SOLUTIONS
Payment & account management Collection services
Working capital financing Debt purchasing
58%
3%
13%
26%
Credit retail
Public sector & SOEs
Banking
Telcos
SMEs
Specialist lending
Education
Insurance
43%
8%
13%
6% 23%
7%
59%
6%
18%
9%
6%
100% 30%
32%
12%
5%
16%
5%
Lead generation & customer acquisition
Insurance
Credit retail Credit retail Credit retail
SMEs
Credit retail
Banking Banking
Banking
Banking
Telcos
Public
sector
Public sector
Public
sector
Specialised
lending
Specialised
lending
Specialised
lending
Telcos
Insurance
SMEs
Education
Insurance
CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT LIFECYCLE
1 2 3
BUSINESS PROCESS OUTSOURCING SOLUTIONS
Telcos
Insurance
Telcos
CLIENTENGAGEMENTMODEL
Revenue splits by industry as at 31 March 2016
23INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
CREDIT
RETAIL
Provide
broader
service offering
to achieve
deeper vertical
integration
into client’s
collection
process
BANKING
Increase
penetration
into Tier I
banking
clients
SPECIALIST
LENDING
Provide
broader
service offering
to achieve
deeper vertical
integration
into client’s
collection
process
PUBLIC
SECTOR,
SOEs
Cautiously
expand
services to
provincial
& national
government
institutions
& SOEs
TELCOS
Expand
into this
market
segment
INSURANCE
Expand
into this
market
segment
SMEs
Augment
offering to
include
credit risk
& credit
insurance
solutions.
Expand
client base
nationally
RISK SERVICES
LOOKING FORWARD
STRATEGY & PROSPECTS
VALUECHAIN
LEVERAGE EXISTING CAPABILITIES ACROSS
CONSUMER & SME MARKET SEGMENTS
ORIGINATE
MANAGE
COLLECT
CONSUMER
Continued investment into new technology & analytics
Offer specialised solutions in book buying & outsourcing
24INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
25INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
FINANCIAL REVIEW
HEADLINE EARNINGS
PER SHARE
▲20% TO
37.0 cents
HEADLINE EARNINGS
▲19% TO
R210 million
CREDIT LOSS RATIO
IMPROVED TO
3.2%
FROM
3.9%
NON-PERFORMING
LOAN RATIO
IMPROVED TO
17.0%
FROM
17.9%
RETURN ON
AVERAGE ASSETS
▲ TO
4.2%
FROM
3.9%
RETURN ON
AVERAGE EQUITY
▲ TO
15.9%
FROM
15.0%
INTERIM DIVIDEND
FOR THE HALF YEAR
OF
12 cents
PER SHARE
▲20%
DIVIDEND COVER
OF
3.1 times
FOR THE HALF YEAR
Numbers reported for the half year ended 31 March 2016 are reported on a IFRS 9 basis and are compared to pro forma IFRS 9 numbers reported for the half year ended 31 March 2015
26INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
FINANCIAL POSITION
GROUP
• Conservative growth in gross loans & advances
from R6.5bn to R7.1bn ▲11%
› Origination strategies remained conservative
targeting improved credit quality, new
product lines including Nissan minibus and
Toyota Corolla (Zebra)
• Equity R2.7bn ▲11%
› Position remains robust despite IFRS 9
equity charge
• NAV per share 477.2 cps ▲12%
• Capital adequacy▲ to 42.8% from 41.3%
› 29.3% Equity
› 13.5% Subordinated debt
› Will normalise with deployment of excess
capital into organic or acquisitive
opportunities
› Uninterrupted access to debt capital markets
• Gearing level decreased marginally from 3.7
times to 3.6 times
FINANCIAL REVIEW
8989
9840
9097
9826
6149
7056
6447
7143
499.7
544.7
426.4
477.2
2864
3131
2457
2739
53.2
45.4
41.3
42.8
3.1 3.2
3.7 3.6
2014
IAS 39
2015
IAS 39
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
2016
IFRS 9
Total assets (Rm) Gross loans and advances (Rm)
Net asset value per share (cents) Equity (Rm)
Capital adequacy ratio (%) Gearing (times)
27INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
GROUP
• HEPS ▲20% from 30.9cps to 37.0cps
• Headline earnings▲19% from R176m
to R210m
› Net interest income ▲7% driven by:
– Gross loans and advances ▲11%
– NIM ▼ to 12.3%, from 12.9%
» Slight increase in cost of borrowing
» Change in product mix in TCRS
› Improved credit metrics
• Return on assets ▲ to 4.2% from 3.9%
• Return on equity ▲ to 15.9% from 15.0%
› Increase in earnings
› Includes the effect of low returns earned
on excess capital
› Most appropriate benchmark for group
ROE is that of the underlying
divisional metrics
• Quality of earnings remains high
FINANCIAL REVIEW
1198
1354
1308
1417
25.5
31.1
30.9
37.0
148
177
176
210
3.2
3.7 3.9 4.2
13.1
11.9
12.9
12.3
9.4
13.0
15.0
15.9
61.9 62.3
65.2
63.1
2014
IAS 39
2015
IAS 39
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
2016
IFRS 9
Total income (Rm) HEPS (cents)
Headline earnings (Rm) Return on assets (%)
Net interest margin (%) Return on equity (%)
Cost-to-income (%)
28INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
PORTFOLIO MIX
• Contribution
› Asset-backed lending increased marginally
to 56%
› Risk services contribution decreased
marginally from 34% to 33%
› Corporate support contribution of 11%
– management of un-deployed capital,
largely driven by increase in interest
rates since 1 October 2015
– cost savings as a result of simplified
group office structure as well as higher
recoveries from subsidiaries
• The future portfolio mix will shift as a result of
the constitution of the new risk services division
& will also be dependent on the nature of any
future acquisitions and organic growth
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Headline earnings
Rm Growth Contribution
2016
IFRS 9
2015
IFRS 9
2014
IAS 39 2016 2015 2016 2015 2014
Asset-backed lending¹ 118 98 74 20% 32% 56% 56% 50%
Risk services 70 61 51 15% 20% 33% 34% 34%
GEO 22 17 23 29% -26% 11% 10% 16%
Total 210 176 148 19% 19% 100% 100% 100%
Cents per share 37.0 30.9 25.5 20% 21%
Asset-backed lending Risk services GEO
56%33%
11%
2016
IFRS 9 55%34%
11%
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
1. Excluding non-controlling interest
29INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
PERFORMANCE
• Headline earnings attributable to the division
▲23% to R118m
• Net interest margin decreased marginally from
11.1% to 11.0%
› Funding costs increased slightly to 10.4% from
10.3%
• Non-interest revenue ▲ 33% to R150m
› Normalisation of cost recoveries from the
insurance cell
› Comprehensive insurance
– 81% of financed clients insured by SA Taxi
– 3 299 non-financed minibus taxis also insured
› Direct sales of new and refurbished vehicles
• Credit loss ratio improved from 4.1% to 3.4%
› Continued strong collections in early CD states
› Underpinned by rising vehicle prices
› Efficiency of procurement, repair and resale
operations of Taximart
• Cost-to-income ratio increased marginally from
47.7% to 48.4%
• Effective tax rate increased from 9.3% to 20.0%
› Impact of insurance cost recoveries
FINANCIAL REVIEW
670
788
742
855
74
97
96
118
11.4 11.5 11.1 11.0
41.8
43.2
47.7 48.4
9.7 10.3 10.3 10.4
2014
IAS 39
2015
IAS 39
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
2016
IFRS 9
Total income (Rm)
Headline earnings attributable to the group (Rm)
Net interest margin (%)
Cost-to-income (%)
Average cost of borrowing (%)
30INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
ASSET-BACKED LENDING
CREDIT
• Gross loans & advances ▲12% to R6.7bn
› Number of loans ▲3%
› Credit granting criteria remain conservative
• Non-performing loan ratio improved to 18.0%
from 19.3%
• Credit-loss ratio ▼ from 4.1% to 3.4%
› Continued strong collection performance
› Enhanced via analytics applied to telematics
data
› Improved quality of Taximart vehicles
› Increased vehicle recovery values
› Entry-level vehicles now carried at a fair
value of R90m (HY15: R152m), account for
<1.5% of portfolio
› Target credit-loss ratio below 4%
• Provision coverage at 3.2x after tax credit loss
ratio
› Early stage collection improvement
› Increased recovery values (194 pre-owned
vehicles sold in April)
FINANCIAL REVIEW
23612
24931
24931
25591
5783
6576
5967
66885.6
5.1
9.3
7.85.9 5.4
4.1
3.4
30.4
26.0
19.3
18.019.5
20.6
48.3
43.3
2014
IAS 39
2015
IAS 39
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
2016
IFRS 9
Number of loans Gross loans and advances (Rm)
Provision coverage (%) Credit loss ratio (%)
Non-performing loan ratio (%) Non-performing loan coverage (%)
31INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Repo
IMPAIRMENT STAGE
IAS 39 Provisions IFRS 9 Provisions
EARLY ADOPTION OF IFRS 9
EXPECTED VS. INCURRED LOSS
IFRS 9 ADOPTION AND INCOME STATEMENT ILLUSTRATION
PROVISIONS
ADOPTION
ULTIMATE LOSS
REMAINS UNCHANGED
FINANCIAL REVIEW
32INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
SA TAXI FACILITATES FINANCIAL INCLUSION
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Source: The World Bank Group, South Africa economic update, Focus on financial inclusion
Note: * = Based on an assumption that an individual with an Empirica score of under 640 would unlikely be able to obtain traditional access to credit including thin file customers
Distribution graph of SA Taxi’s book’s Empirica score excludes thin file customers
SA TAXI’S IMPACT ON FINANCIAL INCLUSION FOR THE HALF YEAR 2016
Proportion of customer base
previously classified as financially excluded*
90%
Loans originated
(6 005 in FY2015)
3 382
Gross loans and advances
R6.7bn
596
598
604
603
602
32% 31%
27%
18% 18%
2012 2013 2014 2015 1H2016
Median Empirica score NPL %
• SA Taxi fills a critical funding gap, providing credit to entrepreneurs who
would otherwise be excluded from the formal economy given their credit
profiles. A large proportion of the South African population, approximately
12 million individuals, are classified as unbanked and have limited access
to capital. Low credit-rated individuals are less likely to service their loans
consistently, and hence are excluded by many commercial financial
institutions. As illustrated, SA Taxi has successfully extended credit to
individuals who fall outside of the requirements of traditional credit
providers. Assuming that individuals with an Empirica score of under 640
are unlikely to obtain credit from a traditional credit providers this means
that 90% of the individuals that SA Taxi finances would be unable to get
finance from a commercial institution
• SA Taxi’s continually improving credit-loss and non-performing loan ratios
in light of a consistent customer credit score are evidence of SA Taxi’s
thorough and informed understanding of the actual risk of these
underserved individuals. This twinned with SA Taxi’s extensive
experience, proprietary data, vertical integration and all encompassing
business offering has resulted in sustainable, responsible and successful
lending and small business development
0%
4%
8%
12%
450 500 550 600 650 700 750
SA TAXI PROVIDES ESSENTIAL FINANCIAL SERVICES TO UNDERSERVED SMALL BUSINESSES
Empirica score
Proportionofcustomerbase
Score below which
traditional banks are highly
unlikely to offer finance
33INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
TRANSACTION CAPITAL
RISK SERVICES (TCRS)
• Headline earnings▲15% to R70m
• Agency revenue ▲6%
› Increased focus on profitability of mandates
eliminating non-profitable legacy mandates
• Principal revenue ▲9%
› Solid result given conservative approach to
book buying
› Purchased book debts ▲9% to R571m
› 159 principal books in total, 3 new distressed
debt portfolios acquired during the first 6
months of the financial year for R41m
• Cost-to-income ratio improved to 81.5%
from 82.4% due to effective cost management
› Continued investment into new technologies
& analytics may yield further efficiencies
• Services EBITDA ▲15% to R97m
• Rand Trust performing well but remains vigilant
on the book quality as opposed to growth given
the challenging SA macro environment
• Principa is facing a difficult macro environment
FINANCIAL REVIEW
74
84
84
97
561
604
523
571
51
61
61
70
83.9 82.4 82.4 81.5
48
50 50 51
2014
IAS 39
2015
IAS 39
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
2016
IFRS 9
Services EBITDA (MBD and Principa) (Rm)
Purchased book debts (Rm)
Headline earnings (Rm)
Cost-to-income (%)
Principal % collections revenue
34INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
• SA Taxi accessed the local debt capital
markets via its various structures
› Cumulatively raising R1.3bn
› Strategy remains innovative and continue
to pursue multiple tactics to diversify
funding base
• 11 institutions invested R1.4bn of debt capital
› Asset-backed lending: R1.3bn
› Risk services: R0.1bn
• Cost of borrowing increased from 10.8%
to 11.0%
• Capital adequacy ▲ to 42.8% from 41.3%
› Equity and debt capital position remains
robust
› Well positioned to take advantage of
organic growth opportunities
› Will normalise with deployment of
excess capital into organic or acquisitive
opportunities
• Interim dividend for the half year ▲20%
to 12cps
FINANCIAL REVIEW
636
918
918
1251
363
47
47
92
53.2
45.4
41.3
42.8
10.3
10.8 10.8
11.0
6.0
10.0 10.0
12.0
2014
IAS 39
2015
IAS 39
Pro forma 2015
IFRS 9
2016
IFRS 9
Risk services debt issued (Rm) Asset-backed lending debt issued (Rm)
Capital adequacy ratio (%) Average cost of borrowing (%)
Interim dividend per share (cents)
35INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
FUNDING PHILOSOPHY
• Wholesale funding model proves to be robust
› “Positive liquidity mismatch” between
asset & liability cash flows
› Adequate liquidity to meet operational and
capital investment funding requirements
whilst maintaining healthy financial
covenants
› No exposure to overnight debt instruments
& limited exposure to 12-month instruments
› Direct relationships with debt capital markets
› Diversification by debt investor, funding
structure & credit rating
› Ring-fenced funding structures per individual
asset class
› Targeted capital adequacy levels per
asset class
FINANCIAL REVIEW
0-6 months 6-12 months 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years 4-5 years 5+ years
Assets Liabilities Cumulative
Positive liquidity mismatch
Diversification by
funding structure
Diversification by
funder category
37%
44%
19%
Structured finance
On-balance sheet
Rated listed securitisation
24%
38%
12%
14%
12%
Life companies
Specialised asset managers and debt funds
Banks
Traditional asset managers
DFIs
36INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
SHAREHOLDING
31 MARCH 2016
FINANCIAL REVIEW
47%
10%
10%
26%
7%
Directors of Transaction Capital and its subsidiaries & their associates
Old Mutual Investment Group South Africa Proprietary Limited
Allan Gray
Remaining institutional shareholders
Retail investors
37INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
38INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
INVESTMENT CASE
TRANSACTION CAPITAL IS
CONCLUSION
…invested in market-leading
companies
• Divisions are of scale holding leading positions in the markets they serve.
• Scalable business platforms which can be leveraged for profitable growth.
…in attractive market segments
• Taxi finance market is under-served, with the ongoing replacement of national taxi fleet stimulating demand for finance.
• Risk services division is the largest participant in a growing & fragmented market, with current economic environment
stimulating demand for its services.
…that are well positioned
for growth
• Highly defensive businesses positioned to withstand difficult economic conditions.
• Organic growth through innovating solutions deeper into existing market segments & leveraging capabilities
to enter adjacent markets.
• Focused acquisition strategy & strong balance sheet.
…led by experienced & skilled
management teams
• Proven entrepreneurial, technical, financial & risk management skills.
• Successful devolution of responsibility to divisional executives & management.
• Continued group-wide investment in executive education, expertise & experience.
…with specialised competencies
in finance & technology
• Superior data, leading-edge technology & analytics capabilities differentiate offerings & mitigate risk.
• Robust processes & skilled people enable effective capital & credit-risk management.
…& a track record of delivering
superior earnings growth & returns
• Highly cash generative businesses that have delivered predictable returns over a period of time.
• Well capitalised balance sheet appropriately geared to generate acceptable risk adjusted returns.
…underpinned by sound
governance practices
• Experienced, diverse, independent directors at group & subsidiary level.
• Institutionalised governance, regulatory & risk management practices.
39INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
40INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
DISCLAIMER
This presentation may contain certain "forward-looking statements" regarding beliefs or
expectations of the TC Group, its directors and other members of its senior management about the
TC Group's financial condition, results of operations, cash flow, strategy and business and the
transactions described in this presentation. Forward-looking statements include statements
concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying
assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The words
"believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intend", "estimate", "forecast", "project", "will", "may", "should" and
similar expressions identify forward-looking statements but are not the exclusive means of
identifying such statements. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future
performance. Rather, they are based on current views and assumptions and involve known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of the TC
Group and are difficult to predict, that may cause the actual results, performance, achievements or
developments of the TC Group or the industries in which it operates to differ materially from any
future results, performance, achievements or developments expressed by or implied from the
forward-looking statements. Each member of the TC Group expressly disclaims any obligation or
undertaking to provide or disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements
contained in this announcement.
QUESTIONS

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Tcp 1 h16_results presentation_final-3

  • 1.
  • 2. 2INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
  • 3. 3INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS • Robust financial performance › 19% organic growth in headline earnings & headline earnings per share › Continued improvement in credit metrics › Early adoption of IFRS 9 • Strategic positioning of operating divisions › Occupy leading market positions › Highly defensive businesses › Experienced & skilled management teams › Platforms to develop new products & expand into new markets • Deployment of capital › Conservative & liquid balance sheet in a challenging South African economy › Reinvesting into organic capital deployment opportunities within existing divisions › Acquisitions search continues, expected within existing divisions & skills set › Vertical integration: establishment of autobody repair facility & dealership › Expansion into new adjacent markets: launch of Zebra Cabs, a point-to-point metered taxi business HIGHLIGHTS
  • 4. 4INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
  • 5. 5INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ENVIRONMENT MACRO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT • Macro- & socio-economic challenges continue to constrain growth in South Africa › Political: political instability & potential sovereign rating downgrade › Social: persistent low employment levels with little or no real wage growth; continued protest action & social unrest › Economic: currency related inflation; drought-related food inflation; increased interest rates, higher electricity & fuel costs • Consumer & SME sector of economy remains vulnerable › Household debt-to-disposable income ratio remains at elevated levels with debt-service costs increasing CAPITAL MARKETS • Local funding market characterised by: › Constrained liquidity › Issuers paying a premium to access reduced local funding pools • SA Taxi has enjoyed uninterrupted access to debt capital markets REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT • SARB proposal for authenticated collections to replace existing NAEDO/AEDO • DTI proposals re caps on credit life insurance pricing & NCR’s regulations re affordability assessments, prescription, caps on interest rates & fees › SA Taxi: unaffected by these changes or proposals › Risk services: regulations not conducive to credit extension & in medium term may impact volume of matters handed over. TCRS continues to expand into non-NCA regulated adjacent markets, including public sector, telecommunications & insurance sectors ENVIRONMENT
  • 6. 6INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ENVIRONMENT Defensive positioning enables Transaction Capital to grow earnings despite a challenging & low growth South African economic environment ASSET-BACKED LENDING • Minibus taxi infrastructure remains the dominant form of public transport • Commuters’ use of taxis remains consistently high as spend on transport is non-discretionary • Taxi operator not over-indebted • Demand for vehicles & finance to replace ageing national minibus taxi fleet exceeds supply RISK SERVICES (TCRS) • Adverse environment stimulates demand from new and existing clients for collection & related credit risk management services • Increased number of non-performing portfolios available to acquire ENVIRONMENT
  • 7. 7INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
  • 8. 8INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ASSET-BACKED LENDING CEO: Terry Kier Group tenure: 9 years Vertically integrated provider of finance, insurance & other related products using credit assessment, collections & capital management competencies. Operational competencies include vehicle & spare parts procurement (Taximart), direct vehicle sales (SA Taxi Direct), vehicle refurbishment (Taximart), insurance (SA Taxi Protect) & telematics. SA Taxi also applies these competencies to finance bakkies (SA Bakkie) & point-to-point metered taxis (Zebra Cabs) as income-producing assets for SMEs TRANSACTION CAPITAL GROUP FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2016 STRATEGY & PROSPECTS 1. Headline earnings attributable to the business, including minority interest TRANSACTION CAPITAL LIMITED – CEO: David Hurwitz, group tenure: 11 years | employees: 3 822 | headline earnings: R210m HEADLINE EARNINGS R120m ¹ (▲21%) GROSS LOANS & ADVANCES R6 688m (▲12%) EMPLOYEES 734 RISK SERVICES CEO: David McAlpin Group tenure: 8 years A technology led, data analytics driven provider of customer management & capital solutions, enabling our clients to effectively manage their customers through their lifecycle HEADLINE EARNINGS R70m (▲15%) PRINCIPAL REVENUE ▲9% AGENCY REVENUE▲6% EMPLOYEES 3 066
  • 9. 9INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 TRANSACTION CAPITAL’S ASSET-BACKED LENDING DIVISION STRATEGY & PROSPECTS SA Taxi is an asset-backed lender that utilises its proprietary data & vertically integrated specialist capabilities to extend developmental credit for income generating vehicles, insurance & allied services to the underserved & emerging SME market Generating in-depth client insight via granular telematics, credit, vehicle & other data to enable precise & informed credit origination & collection decisioning A unique blend of vehicle procurement, sales, repossession & refurbishment capabilities, with comprehensive insurance competencies & debt & equity capital management skill Business support to SMEs that may not otherwise have access to credit from traditional banks, thereby facilitating SME growth Deepening our clients’ access to financial services Predominantly minibus taxis but also leveraging existing competencies in adjacent markets including bakkies used by SMEs & metered point-to-point taxis Assisting our SME clients to maximise cash flow & protect their income producing vehicles thus improving their ability to succeed
  • 10. 10INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 MINIBUS TAXIS ARE THE DOMINANT MODE OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Source: National Land Transport Strategic Framework 2015 | Passenger statistics from Arrive Alive & StatsSA noting individuals can take more than one mode of transport | SABOA website • The majority of commuters who utilise public transport are heavily reliant on minibus taxis • Usage of minibus taxis has been consistently high throughout the industry’s existence & shows no sign of slowing • Minibus taxi transport is a non-discretionary expense for the majority of the nation’s commuters RAIL BUS MINIBUS commuter trips daily 2 million network nationwide ~3 180km commuter trips daily 9 million registered buses ~19 000 commuter trips daily >15 million minibus taxis ~200 000 25% 28% 32% 34% 17% Up to R500 R501-R1 000 R1 001-R2 000 R2 001-R3 000 >R3 000 Walk Minibus Bus Train Car Other Modesoftransport With over 50% of the South African population earning under R3 000 monthly, walking & minibus taxis are their main modes of transport Monthly income bracket The public transport system remains the dominant mode of transport in SA & 66% of those who utilise public transport choose to use minibus taxis 66% 13%21% Public transport choices Minibus taxi Train Bus 40% 38% 21% 1% Share of transport choices Public transport Car Walk Other
  • 11. 11INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 DAILY COMMUTERS RELY ON MINIBUS TAXIS STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Source: SA Taxi telematics data as at 1 April 2016 | National Land Transport Strategic Framework 2015 Minibus taxis service rail & bus nodes Major train nodes Major bus nodes SA Taxi network
  • 12. 12INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016STRATEGY & PROSPECTS “The minibus taxi industry is today the most critical pillar of our public transport sector” Arrive Alive
  • 13. 13INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 DEMANDS FOR VEHICLES EXCEEDS THE CURRENT SUPPLY • Estimated fleet of >200 000 minibus taxis in South Africa, with ~70 000 to 80 000 financed • ~135 000 (68%) are old & unsafe vehicles that need to be replaced • Ageing fleet & recapitalisation drives higher demand for vehicles & consequently a need for finance › Per the National Land Transport Act a minibus taxi must be scrapped after 7 years › Natural churn in the market as a result of high usage STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Source: Arrive Alive | National Land Transport Strategic Framework 2015 | Department of Transport Minister Dipuo Peters address at National Council of Provinces | Transport budget vote NCOP 2015/16 | Engineering News • Improved credit performance as SA Taxi can be selective on credit risk • Improved recoveries as asset retains value due to demand exceeding supply • Liquid market for high quality & affordable SA Taxi pre-owned vehicles Vehicle type New vehicle sales per month SA Taxi’s market share Toyota Sesfikile ~720 37% Nissan NV350 ~200 18% Chinese manufactured ~100 0% Mercedes Sprinter ~70 22% New minibus taxi sales in South Africa Toyota is the most prevalent vehicle type in the minibus taxi industry, followed by Nissan
  • 14. 14INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 SA TAXI PROVIDES BUSINESS SUPPORT TO SMES STRATEGY & PROSPECTS 1. StatsSA National household travel survey 2013 2. SA Taxi’s best estimate through our engagement with the industry & extrapolation of internal data 3. Desktop Research & Taxi Operator Interviews – Step 2015 DEEPENING ACCESS TO DEVELOPMENTAL CREDIT, & FINANCING UNDER-SERVED & EMERGING SMES WHO WOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN OUTSIDE THE FORMAL ECONOMY IN SOUTH AFRICA minibus taxis account for ¹ ~ 200’000 of all household trips ¹ 69% taxis financed ² 70’000-80’000 taxis insured ² 80’000-90’000 metered taxis ³ ~ 17’000 OUR PORTFOLIO currently financed R6.7 billion unique clients owning 25 591 vehicles 21 479 currently insured 23 800 of financed national taxi fleet 1 in 3 Black owned SMEs 100% women 20% RESULTING IN commuter trips daily ¹,² >15 million new Toyota sales for Toyota Sesfikile minibus taxi originated by SA Taxi 37% safer minibus taxis on our roads in 2015, new & pre-owned >6 000 SMEs created through the refurbishment & financing of pre-owned vehicles in 2015 >1 900
  • 15. 15INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 Proprietary telematics data and analytics ASSET-BACKED LENDING DISTINCTIVE COMPETENCIES STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Proven & diversified funding structures whereby allocated equity is geared with local and international debt, to achieve risk-adjusted returns Ability to procure, repossess, refurbish & sell new & pre-owned vehicles including: Toyota minibus, Hilux & Corolla, Nissan minibus & Mercedes Benz long-distance minibus Proprietary telematics data used throughout the value chain provides critical insights for business decisions • Origination: Data applied into credit vetting process to better understand credit risk & route profitability • Collections: Data informs how collections agents interact with the taxi operator • Insurance: Historical data is used to accurately price the insurance risk & live data is applied to identify no movement which may indicate an insurance claim • Repossessions: Live location data aids the repossession process ENABLING SMEs SERVICING SMEs MANAGING THE RETURNS FROM SMEs FINANCIAL SERVICES VEHICLE EQUITY ALLOCATION & DEBT RAISING CREDIT UNDERWRITING & ORIGINATION INSURANCE COLLECTIONS REPOSSESSION VEHICLE SUPPLY & SALES REPAIRS & MAINTENANCE SERVICE REFURBISH RESALE
  • 16. 16INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ASSET-BACKED LENDING DISTINCTIVE COMPETENCIES STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Approved route vs. route actually travelled Distance travelled on an hourly basis FINANCE SA TAXI PROTECT SA TAXI DIRECT TAXIMART PROPRIETARY TELEMATICS DATA USED THROUGHOUT THE VALUE CHAIN
  • 17. 17INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 VALUECHAIN EQUITY ALLOCATION & DEBT RAISING VEHICLE SUPPLY & SALES CREDIT UNDERWRITING & ORIGINATION INSURANCE COLLECTIONS & REPOSSESSION REPAIRS, MAINTENANCE & REFURBISHMENT ASSET-BACKED LENDING LOOKING FORWARD STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Leading market position encompassing the entire value chain within the minibus taxi industry FIXED ROUTE (MINIBUS TAXI) POINT-TO-POINT (METERED TAXI) SME (BAKKIE) LEVERAGE EXISTING CAPABILITIES IN ADJACENT UNDER-SERVED MARKET SEGMENTS Apply existing capabilities & develop associated competencies Further develop bakkie offering to SMEs, building on successful pilot   Equity capital allocated  Toyota minibus, Nissan minibus & Mercedes long-distance minibus Toyota Corolla customised metered taxi Toyota Hilux bakkie    Intention to increase & enhance non-financed insurance portfolio      Established dedicated refurbishment & auto body repair facility SA Taxi’s dealership established to procure & sell new & pre owned vehicles including: Intention to increase proportion of vehicles procured & sold, & loans originated directly via SA Taxi’s dealership Proprietarytelematicsdataandanalytics
  • 18. 18INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 TRANSACTION CAPITAL’S RISK SERVICES DIVISION STRATEGY & PROSPECTS … is a technology-led, data analytics driven provider of customer management & capital solutions, enabling our clients to effectively manage their customers through their lifecycle An efficient platform driving superior performance & facilitating scale via cutting edge IT systems & processesGenerating in-depth insight to enable precise & informed internal & external decisioning Improving our clients’ ability to originate, manage & collect from their customers Assisting clients to optimise their balance sheet by accelerating cash flow through structured capital solutions Working with large consumer credit providers across multiple industries as well as SMEs Assisting our clients to maximise their customer lifetime value
  • 19. 19INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 A GROWING NON-PERFORMING LOANS MARKET IN SOUTH AFRICA STRATEGY & PROSPECTS 1. R81bn comprises credit monitored by the NCR. Transaction Capital Risk Services industry solutions also include SMEs, education, insurance, Public Sector, telecommunications & SOEs & Utilities 2. Source: NCR 34 33 31 36 43 61 69 81 76 103 105 89 78 67 63 59 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 MBD target market Mortgages & vehicle finance NON-PERFORMING LOAN MARKET SIZE & GROWTH (Rbn)2 2008 - 2015 CAGR: 13% 2008 - 2015 CAGR: -4% › 162 BOOKS PURCHASED since 1999 › We rank 1st or 2nd by our clients in 78% of 240 MANDATES (▲33%) on panels where we are represented 78%1st or 2nd FACE VALUE OF DEBT SERVICED R81bn¹ Customer Management Solutions R15bn Capital Solutions R16bn Other fragmented participants in addressable market Non-performingloanvalue
  • 20. 20INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 IN SOUTH AFRICA there are 35 million ADULTS [aged 15-65] TRANSACTION CAPITAL RISK SERVICES STRATEGY & PROSPECTS Source: StatsSA, NCR, Accountancy SA February 2016, Internal data ENSURES A HEALTHY SOUTH AFRICAN CONSUMER CREDIT ENVIRONMENT 24million ACTIVE CREDIT CONSUMERS 10million NON-PERFORMING CREDIT CONSUMERS 86%OF SOUTH AFRICANS borrowed money between 2013 and 2014 2014South Africans were the biggest borrowers in the world, World Bank report OUR PORTFOLIO UNIQUE MBD CUSTOMERS 4.4million 1in 8SOUTH AFRICAN ADULTS 1in 5CREDIT-ACTIVE PEOPLE 1in 2NON-PERFORMING CREDIT CONSUMERS RESULTING IN COLLECTION AGENTS 2 700 4.2million VOICE INTERACTIONS each month 715 000PAYMENTS received each month >11million South Africans described as “OVER-INDEBTED” (it was 5 million in 2013)
  • 21. 21INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ORIGINATE Identifying & winning new customers using data analytics MANAGE Enabling payment processes & customer management COLLECT Solving our clients’ impaired debt problem through collections & capital solutions RISK SERVICES PRODUCT SOLUTIONS STRATEGY & PROSPECTS CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT LIFECYCLE CLIENTENGAGEMENTMODEL CUSTOMERMANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS CAPITAL SOLUTIONS Lead generation & customer acquisition • Lead generation • Predictive & prescriptive modelling • Segmentation modelling • Systems (Smart & FICO) • Analytics Payment & account management • Customer retention, profitability, predictive & prescriptive modelling • Systems (Smart & FICO) • Analytics • Payment processing • Receivables management Collection services • Systems (Smart & FICO) • Analytics • Early stage rehabilitation • Late stage collections • Legal recoveries • B2B collections Working capital financing • Invoice discounting • Trade financing • Property financing Debt purchasing • Spot book acquisition • Structural outsourcing • Forward flow agreements BUSINESS PROCESS OUTSOURCING SOLUTIONS 1 2 3
  • 22. 22INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 RISK SERVICES MARKET SEGMENTS STRATEGY & PROSPECTS ORIGINATE Identifying & winning new customers using data analytics MANAGE Enabling payment processes & customer management COLLECT Solving our clients’ impaired debt problem through collections & capital solutions CUSTOMERMANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS CAPITAL SOLUTIONS Payment & account management Collection services Working capital financing Debt purchasing 58% 3% 13% 26% Credit retail Public sector & SOEs Banking Telcos SMEs Specialist lending Education Insurance 43% 8% 13% 6% 23% 7% 59% 6% 18% 9% 6% 100% 30% 32% 12% 5% 16% 5% Lead generation & customer acquisition Insurance Credit retail Credit retail Credit retail SMEs Credit retail Banking Banking Banking Banking Telcos Public sector Public sector Public sector Specialised lending Specialised lending Specialised lending Telcos Insurance SMEs Education Insurance CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT LIFECYCLE 1 2 3 BUSINESS PROCESS OUTSOURCING SOLUTIONS Telcos Insurance Telcos CLIENTENGAGEMENTMODEL Revenue splits by industry as at 31 March 2016
  • 23. 23INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 CREDIT RETAIL Provide broader service offering to achieve deeper vertical integration into client’s collection process BANKING Increase penetration into Tier I banking clients SPECIALIST LENDING Provide broader service offering to achieve deeper vertical integration into client’s collection process PUBLIC SECTOR, SOEs Cautiously expand services to provincial & national government institutions & SOEs TELCOS Expand into this market segment INSURANCE Expand into this market segment SMEs Augment offering to include credit risk & credit insurance solutions. Expand client base nationally RISK SERVICES LOOKING FORWARD STRATEGY & PROSPECTS VALUECHAIN LEVERAGE EXISTING CAPABILITIES ACROSS CONSUMER & SME MARKET SEGMENTS ORIGINATE MANAGE COLLECT CONSUMER Continued investment into new technology & analytics Offer specialised solutions in book buying & outsourcing
  • 24. 24INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
  • 25. 25INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FINANCIAL REVIEW HEADLINE EARNINGS PER SHARE ▲20% TO 37.0 cents HEADLINE EARNINGS ▲19% TO R210 million CREDIT LOSS RATIO IMPROVED TO 3.2% FROM 3.9% NON-PERFORMING LOAN RATIO IMPROVED TO 17.0% FROM 17.9% RETURN ON AVERAGE ASSETS ▲ TO 4.2% FROM 3.9% RETURN ON AVERAGE EQUITY ▲ TO 15.9% FROM 15.0% INTERIM DIVIDEND FOR THE HALF YEAR OF 12 cents PER SHARE ▲20% DIVIDEND COVER OF 3.1 times FOR THE HALF YEAR Numbers reported for the half year ended 31 March 2016 are reported on a IFRS 9 basis and are compared to pro forma IFRS 9 numbers reported for the half year ended 31 March 2015
  • 26. 26INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 FINANCIAL POSITION GROUP • Conservative growth in gross loans & advances from R6.5bn to R7.1bn ▲11% › Origination strategies remained conservative targeting improved credit quality, new product lines including Nissan minibus and Toyota Corolla (Zebra) • Equity R2.7bn ▲11% › Position remains robust despite IFRS 9 equity charge • NAV per share 477.2 cps ▲12% • Capital adequacy▲ to 42.8% from 41.3% › 29.3% Equity › 13.5% Subordinated debt › Will normalise with deployment of excess capital into organic or acquisitive opportunities › Uninterrupted access to debt capital markets • Gearing level decreased marginally from 3.7 times to 3.6 times FINANCIAL REVIEW 8989 9840 9097 9826 6149 7056 6447 7143 499.7 544.7 426.4 477.2 2864 3131 2457 2739 53.2 45.4 41.3 42.8 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.6 2014 IAS 39 2015 IAS 39 Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 2016 IFRS 9 Total assets (Rm) Gross loans and advances (Rm) Net asset value per share (cents) Equity (Rm) Capital adequacy ratio (%) Gearing (times)
  • 27. 27INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE GROUP • HEPS ▲20% from 30.9cps to 37.0cps • Headline earnings▲19% from R176m to R210m › Net interest income ▲7% driven by: – Gross loans and advances ▲11% – NIM ▼ to 12.3%, from 12.9% » Slight increase in cost of borrowing » Change in product mix in TCRS › Improved credit metrics • Return on assets ▲ to 4.2% from 3.9% • Return on equity ▲ to 15.9% from 15.0% › Increase in earnings › Includes the effect of low returns earned on excess capital › Most appropriate benchmark for group ROE is that of the underlying divisional metrics • Quality of earnings remains high FINANCIAL REVIEW 1198 1354 1308 1417 25.5 31.1 30.9 37.0 148 177 176 210 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.2 13.1 11.9 12.9 12.3 9.4 13.0 15.0 15.9 61.9 62.3 65.2 63.1 2014 IAS 39 2015 IAS 39 Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 2016 IFRS 9 Total income (Rm) HEPS (cents) Headline earnings (Rm) Return on assets (%) Net interest margin (%) Return on equity (%) Cost-to-income (%)
  • 28. 28INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 PORTFOLIO MIX • Contribution › Asset-backed lending increased marginally to 56% › Risk services contribution decreased marginally from 34% to 33% › Corporate support contribution of 11% – management of un-deployed capital, largely driven by increase in interest rates since 1 October 2015 – cost savings as a result of simplified group office structure as well as higher recoveries from subsidiaries • The future portfolio mix will shift as a result of the constitution of the new risk services division & will also be dependent on the nature of any future acquisitions and organic growth FINANCIAL REVIEW Headline earnings Rm Growth Contribution 2016 IFRS 9 2015 IFRS 9 2014 IAS 39 2016 2015 2016 2015 2014 Asset-backed lending¹ 118 98 74 20% 32% 56% 56% 50% Risk services 70 61 51 15% 20% 33% 34% 34% GEO 22 17 23 29% -26% 11% 10% 16% Total 210 176 148 19% 19% 100% 100% 100% Cents per share 37.0 30.9 25.5 20% 21% Asset-backed lending Risk services GEO 56%33% 11% 2016 IFRS 9 55%34% 11% Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 1. Excluding non-controlling interest
  • 29. 29INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ASSET-BACKED LENDING PERFORMANCE • Headline earnings attributable to the division ▲23% to R118m • Net interest margin decreased marginally from 11.1% to 11.0% › Funding costs increased slightly to 10.4% from 10.3% • Non-interest revenue ▲ 33% to R150m › Normalisation of cost recoveries from the insurance cell › Comprehensive insurance – 81% of financed clients insured by SA Taxi – 3 299 non-financed minibus taxis also insured › Direct sales of new and refurbished vehicles • Credit loss ratio improved from 4.1% to 3.4% › Continued strong collections in early CD states › Underpinned by rising vehicle prices › Efficiency of procurement, repair and resale operations of Taximart • Cost-to-income ratio increased marginally from 47.7% to 48.4% • Effective tax rate increased from 9.3% to 20.0% › Impact of insurance cost recoveries FINANCIAL REVIEW 670 788 742 855 74 97 96 118 11.4 11.5 11.1 11.0 41.8 43.2 47.7 48.4 9.7 10.3 10.3 10.4 2014 IAS 39 2015 IAS 39 Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 2016 IFRS 9 Total income (Rm) Headline earnings attributable to the group (Rm) Net interest margin (%) Cost-to-income (%) Average cost of borrowing (%)
  • 30. 30INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 ASSET-BACKED LENDING CREDIT • Gross loans & advances ▲12% to R6.7bn › Number of loans ▲3% › Credit granting criteria remain conservative • Non-performing loan ratio improved to 18.0% from 19.3% • Credit-loss ratio ▼ from 4.1% to 3.4% › Continued strong collection performance › Enhanced via analytics applied to telematics data › Improved quality of Taximart vehicles › Increased vehicle recovery values › Entry-level vehicles now carried at a fair value of R90m (HY15: R152m), account for <1.5% of portfolio › Target credit-loss ratio below 4% • Provision coverage at 3.2x after tax credit loss ratio › Early stage collection improvement › Increased recovery values (194 pre-owned vehicles sold in April) FINANCIAL REVIEW 23612 24931 24931 25591 5783 6576 5967 66885.6 5.1 9.3 7.85.9 5.4 4.1 3.4 30.4 26.0 19.3 18.019.5 20.6 48.3 43.3 2014 IAS 39 2015 IAS 39 Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 2016 IFRS 9 Number of loans Gross loans and advances (Rm) Provision coverage (%) Credit loss ratio (%) Non-performing loan ratio (%) Non-performing loan coverage (%)
  • 31. 31INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Repo IMPAIRMENT STAGE IAS 39 Provisions IFRS 9 Provisions EARLY ADOPTION OF IFRS 9 EXPECTED VS. INCURRED LOSS IFRS 9 ADOPTION AND INCOME STATEMENT ILLUSTRATION PROVISIONS ADOPTION ULTIMATE LOSS REMAINS UNCHANGED FINANCIAL REVIEW
  • 32. 32INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 SA TAXI FACILITATES FINANCIAL INCLUSION FINANCIAL REVIEW Source: The World Bank Group, South Africa economic update, Focus on financial inclusion Note: * = Based on an assumption that an individual with an Empirica score of under 640 would unlikely be able to obtain traditional access to credit including thin file customers Distribution graph of SA Taxi’s book’s Empirica score excludes thin file customers SA TAXI’S IMPACT ON FINANCIAL INCLUSION FOR THE HALF YEAR 2016 Proportion of customer base previously classified as financially excluded* 90% Loans originated (6 005 in FY2015) 3 382 Gross loans and advances R6.7bn 596 598 604 603 602 32% 31% 27% 18% 18% 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H2016 Median Empirica score NPL % • SA Taxi fills a critical funding gap, providing credit to entrepreneurs who would otherwise be excluded from the formal economy given their credit profiles. A large proportion of the South African population, approximately 12 million individuals, are classified as unbanked and have limited access to capital. Low credit-rated individuals are less likely to service their loans consistently, and hence are excluded by many commercial financial institutions. As illustrated, SA Taxi has successfully extended credit to individuals who fall outside of the requirements of traditional credit providers. Assuming that individuals with an Empirica score of under 640 are unlikely to obtain credit from a traditional credit providers this means that 90% of the individuals that SA Taxi finances would be unable to get finance from a commercial institution • SA Taxi’s continually improving credit-loss and non-performing loan ratios in light of a consistent customer credit score are evidence of SA Taxi’s thorough and informed understanding of the actual risk of these underserved individuals. This twinned with SA Taxi’s extensive experience, proprietary data, vertical integration and all encompassing business offering has resulted in sustainable, responsible and successful lending and small business development 0% 4% 8% 12% 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 SA TAXI PROVIDES ESSENTIAL FINANCIAL SERVICES TO UNDERSERVED SMALL BUSINESSES Empirica score Proportionofcustomerbase Score below which traditional banks are highly unlikely to offer finance
  • 33. 33INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 TRANSACTION CAPITAL RISK SERVICES (TCRS) • Headline earnings▲15% to R70m • Agency revenue ▲6% › Increased focus on profitability of mandates eliminating non-profitable legacy mandates • Principal revenue ▲9% › Solid result given conservative approach to book buying › Purchased book debts ▲9% to R571m › 159 principal books in total, 3 new distressed debt portfolios acquired during the first 6 months of the financial year for R41m • Cost-to-income ratio improved to 81.5% from 82.4% due to effective cost management › Continued investment into new technologies & analytics may yield further efficiencies • Services EBITDA ▲15% to R97m • Rand Trust performing well but remains vigilant on the book quality as opposed to growth given the challenging SA macro environment • Principa is facing a difficult macro environment FINANCIAL REVIEW 74 84 84 97 561 604 523 571 51 61 61 70 83.9 82.4 82.4 81.5 48 50 50 51 2014 IAS 39 2015 IAS 39 Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 2016 IFRS 9 Services EBITDA (MBD and Principa) (Rm) Purchased book debts (Rm) Headline earnings (Rm) Cost-to-income (%) Principal % collections revenue
  • 34. 34INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT • SA Taxi accessed the local debt capital markets via its various structures › Cumulatively raising R1.3bn › Strategy remains innovative and continue to pursue multiple tactics to diversify funding base • 11 institutions invested R1.4bn of debt capital › Asset-backed lending: R1.3bn › Risk services: R0.1bn • Cost of borrowing increased from 10.8% to 11.0% • Capital adequacy ▲ to 42.8% from 41.3% › Equity and debt capital position remains robust › Well positioned to take advantage of organic growth opportunities › Will normalise with deployment of excess capital into organic or acquisitive opportunities • Interim dividend for the half year ▲20% to 12cps FINANCIAL REVIEW 636 918 918 1251 363 47 47 92 53.2 45.4 41.3 42.8 10.3 10.8 10.8 11.0 6.0 10.0 10.0 12.0 2014 IAS 39 2015 IAS 39 Pro forma 2015 IFRS 9 2016 IFRS 9 Risk services debt issued (Rm) Asset-backed lending debt issued (Rm) Capital adequacy ratio (%) Average cost of borrowing (%) Interim dividend per share (cents)
  • 35. 35INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 FUNDING PHILOSOPHY • Wholesale funding model proves to be robust › “Positive liquidity mismatch” between asset & liability cash flows › Adequate liquidity to meet operational and capital investment funding requirements whilst maintaining healthy financial covenants › No exposure to overnight debt instruments & limited exposure to 12-month instruments › Direct relationships with debt capital markets › Diversification by debt investor, funding structure & credit rating › Ring-fenced funding structures per individual asset class › Targeted capital adequacy levels per asset class FINANCIAL REVIEW 0-6 months 6-12 months 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years 4-5 years 5+ years Assets Liabilities Cumulative Positive liquidity mismatch Diversification by funding structure Diversification by funder category 37% 44% 19% Structured finance On-balance sheet Rated listed securitisation 24% 38% 12% 14% 12% Life companies Specialised asset managers and debt funds Banks Traditional asset managers DFIs
  • 36. 36INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 SHAREHOLDING 31 MARCH 2016 FINANCIAL REVIEW 47% 10% 10% 26% 7% Directors of Transaction Capital and its subsidiaries & their associates Old Mutual Investment Group South Africa Proprietary Limited Allan Gray Remaining institutional shareholders Retail investors
  • 37. 37INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
  • 38. 38INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 INVESTMENT CASE TRANSACTION CAPITAL IS CONCLUSION …invested in market-leading companies • Divisions are of scale holding leading positions in the markets they serve. • Scalable business platforms which can be leveraged for profitable growth. …in attractive market segments • Taxi finance market is under-served, with the ongoing replacement of national taxi fleet stimulating demand for finance. • Risk services division is the largest participant in a growing & fragmented market, with current economic environment stimulating demand for its services. …that are well positioned for growth • Highly defensive businesses positioned to withstand difficult economic conditions. • Organic growth through innovating solutions deeper into existing market segments & leveraging capabilities to enter adjacent markets. • Focused acquisition strategy & strong balance sheet. …led by experienced & skilled management teams • Proven entrepreneurial, technical, financial & risk management skills. • Successful devolution of responsibility to divisional executives & management. • Continued group-wide investment in executive education, expertise & experience. …with specialised competencies in finance & technology • Superior data, leading-edge technology & analytics capabilities differentiate offerings & mitigate risk. • Robust processes & skilled people enable effective capital & credit-risk management. …& a track record of delivering superior earnings growth & returns • Highly cash generative businesses that have delivered predictable returns over a period of time. • Well capitalised balance sheet appropriately geared to generate acceptable risk adjusted returns. …underpinned by sound governance practices • Experienced, diverse, independent directors at group & subsidiary level. • Institutionalised governance, regulatory & risk management practices.
  • 39. 39INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016
  • 40. 40INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 31 MARCH 2016 DISCLAIMER This presentation may contain certain "forward-looking statements" regarding beliefs or expectations of the TC Group, its directors and other members of its senior management about the TC Group's financial condition, results of operations, cash flow, strategy and business and the transactions described in this presentation. Forward-looking statements include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The words "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intend", "estimate", "forecast", "project", "will", "may", "should" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Rather, they are based on current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of the TC Group and are difficult to predict, that may cause the actual results, performance, achievements or developments of the TC Group or the industries in which it operates to differ materially from any future results, performance, achievements or developments expressed by or implied from the forward-looking statements. Each member of the TC Group expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to provide or disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement. QUESTIONS