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Continued residential
market correction
from 2014
General sentiment
being influenced
by major
announcements,
economic events
and new regulations
as investors, vendors,
developers, tenants
and tourists keep a
close eye on key
economic indicators
such as oil prices,
currency exchange
rates, interest rates,
market launches and
infrastructural projects
SALES
Dubai investor
buys 125 villas
near race course
ICD Brookfield
Place launched
Central Park
in DIFC
Phase 1 of Dubai
Design District
completed
Restrained
demand
Sluggish investor
sentiment
Slow economic
activity
Dubai inflation hits
4.2% close
to 5 year peak
Indian investors
top list of expatriate
investors in Dubai
as total transactions
cross AED 64 billion
Oil prices continue
to hover around
$50 mark
AED 64 billion in
value from 11,603
transactions
TOURISM OFFICE
Omniyat completes
The Binary in
Business Bay
Dubai World
Trade Centre
status changed
to Free Zone
OFFICE
Phase II of Etihad
Rail on track
40% completed of
Phase 1 of Dubai
Canal project
DAFZA to add
36 warehouses
in Al Qusais and
other facilities near
terminal 3 to meet
growing demand
Sheikh Mohammed
issues Law No (5)
of 2015 on lost
and abandoned
properties in
Dubai and
Law No (10)
of 2015 setting
up Aviation City
INFRASTRUCTURE
Dubai Water Canal
project- Phase II
33% complete
Dubai Metro: 7 new
stations announced
Unilever launches
AED 1 billion project
at Dubai Industrial City
INFRASTRUCTURE
Safa Park to get
lagoon, man-made
beach
Dubai Metro
Red Line
extension to
Expo 2020
site to be ready
by 2019
INFRASTRUCTURE
Dubai World
Central renamed
as Dubai South
Safe haven Dubai
continues to draw
property investors
from the subcontinent
NEWS
Balanced budget
announced to
support real estate
sector in Dubai
UAE firms delaying
IPO plans due to
weak markets
ECONOMY
ECONOMY
Low oil prices
push GCC
to consider VAT
UAE removes
fuel subsidy
as oil prices drop
Global stocks
fall further
after China
devalues Yuan
The Euro falls
to seven-week
low against
Dollar
ECONOMY
Emirati economy
minister: GDP to
grow more than 35%
to AED1.6 trillion
ECONOMYLEGAL
New Dubai Law
No (22) of 2015
to foster
public-private
partnerships
for infrastructure
funding
LEGAL
MARKET
SENTIMENT
Investors adopting
a wait-and-see approach
MARKET SENTIMENT Increased off-plan
demand due
to attractive
payment plans
MARKET
SENTIMENT
REVIEW 2015REVIEW 2015 OUTLOOK 2016OUTLOOK 2016
To look out for:
The impact of
the rise of federal
interest rates
Geo-political
situation
Effect of lifting of
sanctions on Iran
ECONOMY
Nakheel
launches
The Golden Mile
Galleria Mall
Apple opens
first retail store
in the Middle
East, at Mall
of the Emirates
RETAIL
Continued safe haven,
residential market
expected to stabilise
Rise in inquiries for
ready properties in prime
areas, anticipating capital
appreciation, and higher
rental yields in
mid-affordable areas
Competitive payment
plans from developers
Transaction volumes
to increase
Residential rents to soften
marginally, less than 3%-5%
Continued growth in the
prime retail sector
Pressure on hospitality rates
Increased interest for
sub-prime office space
OUTLOOK
Major hotels
expected:
Four Seasons
Hotel–DIFC
Gate Village Area
Rixos the Walk,
JBR
dusitD2
Tecom Dubai
Palm Jumeirah:
The Palm
Resort and Spa
+10k keys to be
added in 2016
HOSPITALITY
Museum of the
Future launched
Dubai officially
world’s busiest
airport for
international
passengers
Russian tourists to
Dubai drop by half
as Rouble continues
to fall
Dubai Parks & Resorts
begins work On
DreamWorks Zone
10 hotels announced
to add 3.8k keys
INFRASTRUCTURE
Major development
of CBD roads on
the cards
The Dubai Tram
has transported
3.7 million
passengers
in just a year
INFRASTRUCTURE
Completion of Phase 1
of Dubai Water Canal
and Emirates Roads
master plan
TOURISM
Dubai Parks &
Resorts begins
leasing retail,
dining units
in Riverland
Mid-market
hotels gain
momentum
in Dubai
24 hotels
announced to add
7.2k keys
Dubai Airports
to expand
Al Maktoum
International Airport
Russian tourist
spending in UAE
plummets amid weak
Rouble and declining
oil prices
SALES
Dubai’s biggest
residential
property deal:
AED 93 million
for Emirates
Hills villa
Expats buying
Dubai property
for first 9 months
of 2015:
Indians
AED 13 billion,
Britons
AED 7 billion,
Pakistanis
AED 5 billion
REVIEW
3k units
construction
delayed
+5k units
launched
from 18 off plan
residential
projects
Q-Line by Al Mazaya,
Maple Townhouses
by Emaar,
Glitz 3 by Danube
Al Khail Avenue,
Wasl Hub, and Golden
Mile retail space
Town Square
by Nshama
Union Oasis
launched by RTA
+22k units from
4 off plan projects
RESIDENTIAL
LAUNCHES
TRANSACTIONS
9 Months of 2015
saw AED 186 Billion
in value from 33,907
transactions
TRANSACTIONS
SALES
British buyer pays
AED 70 million
for off-plan
Palm Jumeirah Villa
‘Twist’ in Dubai
tower gets investor
to pay AED 25 million
for unit
AED 57 billion
in value from
10,907 transactions
RETAIL
City Centre
Me’aisem in IMPZ
Mall of Emirates
extension opens
RESIDENTIAL
8k units
construction delayed
+5k units launched
from 18 off plan projects
TRANSACTIONS
AED 65 billion
in value from
11,397 transactions
TRANSACTIONS
Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Q1/H1H1 H2H2
VPI 100
PRICE
-0.8%
-2.8%
+1.2%
+5.5%
AED 1,01186%
OCC
RENT
ADR
VPI 98
PRICE
-5.5%
-0.9%
-0.2%
-2.9%
AED 76475%
OCC
RENT
ADR
VPI 98
PRICE
-5.6%
-5.2%
-1.6%
-7.4%
AED 61669%
OCC
RENT
ADR
VPI 98*
PRICE*
+1.4%
+0.6%
-1.0%
-5.0%
*estimated
AED 1,00081%
OCC*
RENT*
ADR*
RESIDENTIAL OFFICE HOTEL
RESIDENTIAL
With general
construction
slowdown,
many of the
expected
units for 2016
may face
significant delays
Expected new
additions:
Dubai Sustainable
City and Akoya
in Dubailand,
Mirdif Tulip,
The Address
Residence
Fountain Views
in Downtown,
Warsan Village,
Jebel Ali Hills
HOTEL
+1.6k keys
14 hotels announced
to add 6.4k keys
489,000 units 8,460,000 sq m GLA 103,000 keys
Unveiling of
Meydan One,
a 3.67 million sq m
development,
launched by
Mohammed Bin
Rashid
Burj2020 District
launched by DMCC,
The Villages by
Dubai South,
Jebel Ali Gardens
by Nakheel,
Creekside 18
by Emaar,
1/JBR by
Dubai Properties
RETAIL
Key new additions
expected:
The Pointe by Nakheel
Meraas Parks and
Resorts-Riverland
Festival City Expansion,
The Ribbon at Motor City
by Union Properties
LEISURE
Notable openings:
Legoland
Bollywood
Motiongate Dubai
IMG Worlds of
Adventure
Dubai Safari Park
Dubai Frame
TOURISM
Dubai sets new
7.2 million
pax record
191,047 hotel
rooms under
contract in
the region
Work starts on
AED 29 million
project at
Motiongate Dubai
RETAIL
Dragon City retail
expansion by Nakheel
Ibn Battuta Mall
launches new
retail extension
Opening of
Palazzo Versace-
Culture Village,
and St. Regis-
Habtoor City
Nakheel and RIU
Hotels & Resorts
discuss
development of
4-star, all inclusive
resort, to be
located on
Deira Islands
HOSPITALITY
OUTLOOK
2016
OUTLOOK
2016
OUTLOOK
2016
OUTLOOK
2016
REVIEW 2015 - OUTLOOK 2016
ValuStrat is the Middle East’s leading provider of
Advisory, Valuation,Research,DueDiligenceandDivestment
services across a diverse range of industry sectors. We
have offices in Dubai, Doha, Jeddah & Riyadh and offer
comprehensive professional advisory throughout the
MENA region. ValuStrat is an RICS Regulated Firm.
ValuStrat’s dedicated research department provides
informed market commentary, bespoke research reports
and Management Information Systems. We now have
available: Dubai Residential Market Report a regular
in-depth 100+ page subscription report containing citywide
analysis of 26 freehold districts, including the ValuStrat
Price Index, transaction volumes, service charges, price
to rent ratios and net yields.
For more information visit us at www.valustrat.com
or contact us at Dubai@valustrat.com

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Review15Outlook16

  • 1. Continued residential market correction from 2014 General sentiment being influenced by major announcements, economic events and new regulations as investors, vendors, developers, tenants and tourists keep a close eye on key economic indicators such as oil prices, currency exchange rates, interest rates, market launches and infrastructural projects SALES Dubai investor buys 125 villas near race course ICD Brookfield Place launched Central Park in DIFC Phase 1 of Dubai Design District completed Restrained demand Sluggish investor sentiment Slow economic activity Dubai inflation hits 4.2% close to 5 year peak Indian investors top list of expatriate investors in Dubai as total transactions cross AED 64 billion Oil prices continue to hover around $50 mark AED 64 billion in value from 11,603 transactions TOURISM OFFICE Omniyat completes The Binary in Business Bay Dubai World Trade Centre status changed to Free Zone OFFICE Phase II of Etihad Rail on track 40% completed of Phase 1 of Dubai Canal project DAFZA to add 36 warehouses in Al Qusais and other facilities near terminal 3 to meet growing demand Sheikh Mohammed issues Law No (5) of 2015 on lost and abandoned properties in Dubai and Law No (10) of 2015 setting up Aviation City INFRASTRUCTURE Dubai Water Canal project- Phase II 33% complete Dubai Metro: 7 new stations announced Unilever launches AED 1 billion project at Dubai Industrial City INFRASTRUCTURE Safa Park to get lagoon, man-made beach Dubai Metro Red Line extension to Expo 2020 site to be ready by 2019 INFRASTRUCTURE Dubai World Central renamed as Dubai South Safe haven Dubai continues to draw property investors from the subcontinent NEWS Balanced budget announced to support real estate sector in Dubai UAE firms delaying IPO plans due to weak markets ECONOMY ECONOMY Low oil prices push GCC to consider VAT UAE removes fuel subsidy as oil prices drop Global stocks fall further after China devalues Yuan The Euro falls to seven-week low against Dollar ECONOMY Emirati economy minister: GDP to grow more than 35% to AED1.6 trillion ECONOMYLEGAL New Dubai Law No (22) of 2015 to foster public-private partnerships for infrastructure funding LEGAL MARKET SENTIMENT Investors adopting a wait-and-see approach MARKET SENTIMENT Increased off-plan demand due to attractive payment plans MARKET SENTIMENT REVIEW 2015REVIEW 2015 OUTLOOK 2016OUTLOOK 2016 To look out for: The impact of the rise of federal interest rates Geo-political situation Effect of lifting of sanctions on Iran ECONOMY Nakheel launches The Golden Mile Galleria Mall Apple opens first retail store in the Middle East, at Mall of the Emirates RETAIL Continued safe haven, residential market expected to stabilise Rise in inquiries for ready properties in prime areas, anticipating capital appreciation, and higher rental yields in mid-affordable areas Competitive payment plans from developers Transaction volumes to increase Residential rents to soften marginally, less than 3%-5% Continued growth in the prime retail sector Pressure on hospitality rates Increased interest for sub-prime office space OUTLOOK Major hotels expected: Four Seasons Hotel–DIFC Gate Village Area Rixos the Walk, JBR dusitD2 Tecom Dubai Palm Jumeirah: The Palm Resort and Spa +10k keys to be added in 2016 HOSPITALITY Museum of the Future launched Dubai officially world’s busiest airport for international passengers Russian tourists to Dubai drop by half as Rouble continues to fall Dubai Parks & Resorts begins work On DreamWorks Zone 10 hotels announced to add 3.8k keys INFRASTRUCTURE Major development of CBD roads on the cards The Dubai Tram has transported 3.7 million passengers in just a year INFRASTRUCTURE Completion of Phase 1 of Dubai Water Canal and Emirates Roads master plan TOURISM Dubai Parks & Resorts begins leasing retail, dining units in Riverland Mid-market hotels gain momentum in Dubai 24 hotels announced to add 7.2k keys Dubai Airports to expand Al Maktoum International Airport Russian tourist spending in UAE plummets amid weak Rouble and declining oil prices SALES Dubai’s biggest residential property deal: AED 93 million for Emirates Hills villa Expats buying Dubai property for first 9 months of 2015: Indians AED 13 billion, Britons AED 7 billion, Pakistanis AED 5 billion REVIEW 3k units construction delayed +5k units launched from 18 off plan residential projects Q-Line by Al Mazaya, Maple Townhouses by Emaar, Glitz 3 by Danube Al Khail Avenue, Wasl Hub, and Golden Mile retail space Town Square by Nshama Union Oasis launched by RTA +22k units from 4 off plan projects RESIDENTIAL LAUNCHES TRANSACTIONS 9 Months of 2015 saw AED 186 Billion in value from 33,907 transactions TRANSACTIONS SALES British buyer pays AED 70 million for off-plan Palm Jumeirah Villa ‘Twist’ in Dubai tower gets investor to pay AED 25 million for unit AED 57 billion in value from 10,907 transactions RETAIL City Centre Me’aisem in IMPZ Mall of Emirates extension opens RESIDENTIAL 8k units construction delayed +5k units launched from 18 off plan projects TRANSACTIONS AED 65 billion in value from 11,397 transactions TRANSACTIONS Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 Q4Q4 Q1/H1H1 H2H2 VPI 100 PRICE -0.8% -2.8% +1.2% +5.5% AED 1,01186% OCC RENT ADR VPI 98 PRICE -5.5% -0.9% -0.2% -2.9% AED 76475% OCC RENT ADR VPI 98 PRICE -5.6% -5.2% -1.6% -7.4% AED 61669% OCC RENT ADR VPI 98* PRICE* +1.4% +0.6% -1.0% -5.0% *estimated AED 1,00081% OCC* RENT* ADR* RESIDENTIAL OFFICE HOTEL RESIDENTIAL With general construction slowdown, many of the expected units for 2016 may face significant delays Expected new additions: Dubai Sustainable City and Akoya in Dubailand, Mirdif Tulip, The Address Residence Fountain Views in Downtown, Warsan Village, Jebel Ali Hills HOTEL +1.6k keys 14 hotels announced to add 6.4k keys 489,000 units 8,460,000 sq m GLA 103,000 keys Unveiling of Meydan One, a 3.67 million sq m development, launched by Mohammed Bin Rashid Burj2020 District launched by DMCC, The Villages by Dubai South, Jebel Ali Gardens by Nakheel, Creekside 18 by Emaar, 1/JBR by Dubai Properties RETAIL Key new additions expected: The Pointe by Nakheel Meraas Parks and Resorts-Riverland Festival City Expansion, The Ribbon at Motor City by Union Properties LEISURE Notable openings: Legoland Bollywood Motiongate Dubai IMG Worlds of Adventure Dubai Safari Park Dubai Frame TOURISM Dubai sets new 7.2 million pax record 191,047 hotel rooms under contract in the region Work starts on AED 29 million project at Motiongate Dubai RETAIL Dragon City retail expansion by Nakheel Ibn Battuta Mall launches new retail extension Opening of Palazzo Versace- Culture Village, and St. Regis- Habtoor City Nakheel and RIU Hotels & Resorts discuss development of 4-star, all inclusive resort, to be located on Deira Islands HOSPITALITY OUTLOOK 2016 OUTLOOK 2016 OUTLOOK 2016 OUTLOOK 2016
  • 2. REVIEW 2015 - OUTLOOK 2016 ValuStrat is the Middle East’s leading provider of Advisory, Valuation,Research,DueDiligenceandDivestment services across a diverse range of industry sectors. We have offices in Dubai, Doha, Jeddah & Riyadh and offer comprehensive professional advisory throughout the MENA region. ValuStrat is an RICS Regulated Firm. ValuStrat’s dedicated research department provides informed market commentary, bespoke research reports and Management Information Systems. We now have available: Dubai Residential Market Report a regular in-depth 100+ page subscription report containing citywide analysis of 26 freehold districts, including the ValuStrat Price Index, transaction volumes, service charges, price to rent ratios and net yields. For more information visit us at www.valustrat.com or contact us at Dubai@valustrat.com