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RADIO FORMAT REGULATION:
HAIL THE GUYS IN SUITS WITH
CHARTS
by
GRANT GODDARD

www.grantgoddard.co.uk
February 2005
The newly created Governance Unit at the BBC has the challenging task over
the coming months of writing ā€œservice licencesā€ for each of the Corporationā€™s
broadcast operations. Acting on behalf of the BBC Governors, the Unit will
then analyse and monitor each channelā€™s output to ensure that it remains
within the terms of its particular licence and that it performs satisfactorily
against an agreed set of objectives. If this sounds like an in-house mini-Ofcom,
then that is exactly what the BBC is creating in the run-up to Charter renewal,
as the Governors and management unite to resist calls for the BBC to be
brought under Ofcomā€™s full regulatory powers. In its effort to convince us of its
public accountability, BBC stations will inevitably be swamped by ā€œguys in suits
with charts and pages of numbers,ā€ as broadcaster Garrison Keillor described
the ā€œinflux of commercial peopleā€ he witnessed at US public radio.
In addition to having to define its national analogue and digital services, the
BBC is faced with the daunting task of creating licences for each of its forty
local radio stations. The task is made harder because it would be difficult to
apply a template across the whole forty, when stations serve audiences as
diverse as BBC Londonā€™s multi-ethnic catchment area of ten million, and BBC
Radio Guernseyā€™s fifty thousand rural island dwellers. Each licence will need to
incorporate a requirement to satisfy ā€œlocalismā€, reflecting factors such as the
ethnic mix, demographic characteristics, occupations, poverty levels and
interests of the population within each stationā€™s catchment area. These
indicators are the bedrock of what makes one area of the country different
from another, and what should make ā€œlocal radioā€ a complementary alternative
to national services in a given area.
Any notion that such strict licensing of its own services is merely a publicity
stunt was dispelled by BBC chairman Michael Gradeā€™s recent comment that
channel controllers could be fired for not delivering on the obligations
contained in their service licence. The precise shape of these licences has not
yet been revealed, but each is expected to run to several pages and include
specific quantifiable targets rather than the kind of woolly statements that have
previously appeared in the BBC Annual Report. To achieve these objectives,
the BBC has hired a team of analysts and advisers, many from outside the
BBC, to staff the Governance Unit.
The commercial radio lobby has long been arguing the case for just such
ā€œservice licencesā€ to be imposed upon the BBC. Commercial stations claim that
the ability of the BBC to launch new radio services and adjust the format of
existing stations without recourse to a regulator has given them a competitive
advantage over the commercial sector, whose station formats are prescribed
and regulated by Ofcom. Now that the BBC is committed to regulating the
formats of existing services through ā€œservice licencesā€, and regulating the
launch of new services through a ā€œpublic value testā€, its sudden enthusiasm for
self-regulation creates a glaring paradox. If the BBC follows through its
intentions, its radio stationsā€™ formats will become considerably more tightly
regulated than those of commercial stations.
In its early days, commercial radio had been closely regulated by the
Independent Broadcasting Authority, which required franchisees to complete
Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts
Ā©2005 Grant Goddard

page 2
and submit large volumes of paperwork during the 1970s and 1980s. There
was no need to regulate station formats because each area had only one
commercial station (except London, which had two). In the 1990s, its
successor The Radio Authority started to licence additional stations in each
market and required each competing station to adopt a different ā€œpromise of
performanceā€ that outlined its format. But the Authorityā€™s avowed strategy of
ā€œlight touchā€ regulation meant that it executed no active programme of
monitoring or analysing station outputs. As the Competition Commission noted
with a degree of surprise, ā€œin ensuring compliance with station formats and its
codes, the Radio Authority adopts a more reactive than proactive approach.ā€
While the BBCā€™s ā€œservice licencesā€ will run to several pages, most commercial
stationsā€™ equivalent ā€œformatsā€ barely fill one page, and are notorious for their
imprecise language and lack of analytical content. This has created a raft of
anomalies that put the whole ethos of format regulation into question. As
Londonā€™s jazz fans are acutely aware, Jazz FM has never played
predominantly jazz music for the last decade, simply because its licence has
never required it to play only jazz. Fans of Tony Bennett might be surprised to
learn that Londonā€™s Magic FM is licensed as an ā€œeasy listeningā€ station.
Birminghamā€™s black population might be astonished to learn that Galaxy FM is
not a dance music station, but is licensed ā€œprimarily for listeners of African or
Afro-Caribbean origin.ā€
Critics of The Radio Authority accused it of interpreting ā€œlight touchā€ regulation
as ā€œwilful ignorance,ā€ and of deliberately not tackling thorny issues such as
effective format regulation with its licensees. A bemused Competition
Commission admitted that it ā€œreceived conflicting evidence on how strictly such
formats were appliedā€ by the Radio Authority. Lacking an ongoing programme
of economic analysis or content analysis of station outputs, the Authority
stumbled along without any of the ā€œguys in suits with charts and pages of
numbersā€ that a modern-day regulator requires. Because the Authority viewed
format regulation as a legally required adjunct to the licensing process, rather
than as a necessary economic function to maximise public utility, Ofcom has
inherited a regime where too many competing stations have been allowed to
move too close to each otherā€™s format.
On each occasion the Authority bowed to pressure from an individual station
lobbying to make its format more ā€œmainstreamā€, it failed to understand that
every decision reduced the long-term profitability of the industry as a whole,
and the total benefit consumers derive from it. This is one of the underlying
reasons why listening to commercial radio has fallen so substantially in recent
years. The stations themselves bear no blame for this outcome, because any
owner will want to maximise the return to shareholders by targeting its product
at the largest number of consumers. It is the responsibility of the regulator to
recognise that it owes its very existence to societyā€™s collective need to balance
economic expedience with public benefit in a market where broadcast
frequencies are finite and limited.
Every new recruit to radio regulation should be made to study and take a test
on a 28-page essay written by American economist Peter Steiner with the
Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts
Ā©2005 Grant Goddard

page 3
scary title ā€œProgram Patterns And Preferences, And The Workability Of
Competition In Radio Broadcasting.ā€ Despite having been presented to a
conference in 1951, Steinerā€™s paper has not devalued with time. It explains
precisely the behaviour of radio stations all wanting to stake out the same
middle ground in a common market where their number is limited. Re-reading
this essay now is a wake-up call to understanding why our existing system of
format regulation has proved unsuccessful in correcting market failures.
Empirical evidence abounds as to the nature of these format market failures. In
one randomly selected week, Music Control data shows that London stations
Capital FM and Kiss FM shared the same most played record and half of each
otherā€™s most twenty played songs. In the same week, in Manchester, the
identical song was the most played record on both Key 103 and Galaxy 102,
while half of the twenty most-played songs on Key 103 also featured in Galaxy
102ā€™s fifty most played songs. In the same week, in Birmingham, the four mostplayed songs on Galaxy 102.2 were amongst the twenty most played songs on
BRMB, while nine of the twenty most played songs on BRMB were also in
Heart 100.7ā€™s twenty most played songs. Comparison of data four years apart
shows some stations moving considerably closer to each otherā€™s music format
over time.
Correction of these market failures requires that Ofcom start a process of
revising the fundamental components of the ā€œformatā€ licences it has inherited
from the Radio Authority. The emphasis must be switched to the measurement
of delivered outputs and the tight definition of a target audience that interlocks
each station with its commercial competitors, rather than simple prescription of
how many rock songs are to be played in a breakfast show. It is essential that
new, more detailed format documents provide stations with the flexibility to
adjust their programming to changing consumer tastes, but also be specific
enough to ensure that commercial competitors in a market differentiate their
content sufficiently to extend the choice available to citizen-consumers. There
will inevitably be resistance from stations to any change of their ā€œformatā€ (even
at re-licensing time), but Ofcomā€™s intention should not be to change a stationā€™s
format, rather to define it in more precise terminology that befits a 21st century
regulator.
Alongside this re-definition of ā€œformatsā€, Ofcom should apply considerably more
analysis on an ongoing basis to station outputs, both to ensure compliance
and to better understand market forces. Like the BBC, Ofcom might require a
team of smart suits and clipboards armed with the analytical skills that the
Radio Authority never acquired. In the US, economic theories such as Peter
Alexanderā€™s work on measuring product variety and Joel Waldfogelā€™s work
analysing radio programming variety are already de rigueur tools of the
Federal Communications Commission.
Now that the BBC has accepted the need for regulation of its services (even if
this is self-regulation), the spotlight must switch back to the commercial radio
sector to keep up its part of the bargain. If the playing field is meant to be level,
commercial radio ā€œservice licencesā€ should be as rigorous as the BBCā€™s. This is
not regulation merely for regulationā€™s sake. In an imperfect market such as
Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts
Ā©2005 Grant Goddard

page 4
broadcasting, regulatory intervention is a necessary fact. If you ignore the
economics, you experience market failure in the long run. This is a large part of
the reason why local commercial radioā€™s market share has fallen to its lowest
level since 1993, despite a doubling of the number of stations.

[First published in 'The Radio Magazine', #677, 30 March 2005, pp.10-11]

Grant Goddard is a media analyst / radio specialist / radio consultant with thirty years of
experience in the broadcasting industry, having held senior management and consultancy
roles within the commercial media sector in the United Kingdom, Europe and Asia. Details at
http://www.grantgoddard.co.uk

Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts
Ā©2005 Grant Goddard

page 5

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'Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts' by Grant Goddard

  • 1. RADIO FORMAT REGULATION: HAIL THE GUYS IN SUITS WITH CHARTS by GRANT GODDARD www.grantgoddard.co.uk February 2005
  • 2. The newly created Governance Unit at the BBC has the challenging task over the coming months of writing ā€œservice licencesā€ for each of the Corporationā€™s broadcast operations. Acting on behalf of the BBC Governors, the Unit will then analyse and monitor each channelā€™s output to ensure that it remains within the terms of its particular licence and that it performs satisfactorily against an agreed set of objectives. If this sounds like an in-house mini-Ofcom, then that is exactly what the BBC is creating in the run-up to Charter renewal, as the Governors and management unite to resist calls for the BBC to be brought under Ofcomā€™s full regulatory powers. In its effort to convince us of its public accountability, BBC stations will inevitably be swamped by ā€œguys in suits with charts and pages of numbers,ā€ as broadcaster Garrison Keillor described the ā€œinflux of commercial peopleā€ he witnessed at US public radio. In addition to having to define its national analogue and digital services, the BBC is faced with the daunting task of creating licences for each of its forty local radio stations. The task is made harder because it would be difficult to apply a template across the whole forty, when stations serve audiences as diverse as BBC Londonā€™s multi-ethnic catchment area of ten million, and BBC Radio Guernseyā€™s fifty thousand rural island dwellers. Each licence will need to incorporate a requirement to satisfy ā€œlocalismā€, reflecting factors such as the ethnic mix, demographic characteristics, occupations, poverty levels and interests of the population within each stationā€™s catchment area. These indicators are the bedrock of what makes one area of the country different from another, and what should make ā€œlocal radioā€ a complementary alternative to national services in a given area. Any notion that such strict licensing of its own services is merely a publicity stunt was dispelled by BBC chairman Michael Gradeā€™s recent comment that channel controllers could be fired for not delivering on the obligations contained in their service licence. The precise shape of these licences has not yet been revealed, but each is expected to run to several pages and include specific quantifiable targets rather than the kind of woolly statements that have previously appeared in the BBC Annual Report. To achieve these objectives, the BBC has hired a team of analysts and advisers, many from outside the BBC, to staff the Governance Unit. The commercial radio lobby has long been arguing the case for just such ā€œservice licencesā€ to be imposed upon the BBC. Commercial stations claim that the ability of the BBC to launch new radio services and adjust the format of existing stations without recourse to a regulator has given them a competitive advantage over the commercial sector, whose station formats are prescribed and regulated by Ofcom. Now that the BBC is committed to regulating the formats of existing services through ā€œservice licencesā€, and regulating the launch of new services through a ā€œpublic value testā€, its sudden enthusiasm for self-regulation creates a glaring paradox. If the BBC follows through its intentions, its radio stationsā€™ formats will become considerably more tightly regulated than those of commercial stations. In its early days, commercial radio had been closely regulated by the Independent Broadcasting Authority, which required franchisees to complete Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts Ā©2005 Grant Goddard page 2
  • 3. and submit large volumes of paperwork during the 1970s and 1980s. There was no need to regulate station formats because each area had only one commercial station (except London, which had two). In the 1990s, its successor The Radio Authority started to licence additional stations in each market and required each competing station to adopt a different ā€œpromise of performanceā€ that outlined its format. But the Authorityā€™s avowed strategy of ā€œlight touchā€ regulation meant that it executed no active programme of monitoring or analysing station outputs. As the Competition Commission noted with a degree of surprise, ā€œin ensuring compliance with station formats and its codes, the Radio Authority adopts a more reactive than proactive approach.ā€ While the BBCā€™s ā€œservice licencesā€ will run to several pages, most commercial stationsā€™ equivalent ā€œformatsā€ barely fill one page, and are notorious for their imprecise language and lack of analytical content. This has created a raft of anomalies that put the whole ethos of format regulation into question. As Londonā€™s jazz fans are acutely aware, Jazz FM has never played predominantly jazz music for the last decade, simply because its licence has never required it to play only jazz. Fans of Tony Bennett might be surprised to learn that Londonā€™s Magic FM is licensed as an ā€œeasy listeningā€ station. Birminghamā€™s black population might be astonished to learn that Galaxy FM is not a dance music station, but is licensed ā€œprimarily for listeners of African or Afro-Caribbean origin.ā€ Critics of The Radio Authority accused it of interpreting ā€œlight touchā€ regulation as ā€œwilful ignorance,ā€ and of deliberately not tackling thorny issues such as effective format regulation with its licensees. A bemused Competition Commission admitted that it ā€œreceived conflicting evidence on how strictly such formats were appliedā€ by the Radio Authority. Lacking an ongoing programme of economic analysis or content analysis of station outputs, the Authority stumbled along without any of the ā€œguys in suits with charts and pages of numbersā€ that a modern-day regulator requires. Because the Authority viewed format regulation as a legally required adjunct to the licensing process, rather than as a necessary economic function to maximise public utility, Ofcom has inherited a regime where too many competing stations have been allowed to move too close to each otherā€™s format. On each occasion the Authority bowed to pressure from an individual station lobbying to make its format more ā€œmainstreamā€, it failed to understand that every decision reduced the long-term profitability of the industry as a whole, and the total benefit consumers derive from it. This is one of the underlying reasons why listening to commercial radio has fallen so substantially in recent years. The stations themselves bear no blame for this outcome, because any owner will want to maximise the return to shareholders by targeting its product at the largest number of consumers. It is the responsibility of the regulator to recognise that it owes its very existence to societyā€™s collective need to balance economic expedience with public benefit in a market where broadcast frequencies are finite and limited. Every new recruit to radio regulation should be made to study and take a test on a 28-page essay written by American economist Peter Steiner with the Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts Ā©2005 Grant Goddard page 3
  • 4. scary title ā€œProgram Patterns And Preferences, And The Workability Of Competition In Radio Broadcasting.ā€ Despite having been presented to a conference in 1951, Steinerā€™s paper has not devalued with time. It explains precisely the behaviour of radio stations all wanting to stake out the same middle ground in a common market where their number is limited. Re-reading this essay now is a wake-up call to understanding why our existing system of format regulation has proved unsuccessful in correcting market failures. Empirical evidence abounds as to the nature of these format market failures. In one randomly selected week, Music Control data shows that London stations Capital FM and Kiss FM shared the same most played record and half of each otherā€™s most twenty played songs. In the same week, in Manchester, the identical song was the most played record on both Key 103 and Galaxy 102, while half of the twenty most-played songs on Key 103 also featured in Galaxy 102ā€™s fifty most played songs. In the same week, in Birmingham, the four mostplayed songs on Galaxy 102.2 were amongst the twenty most played songs on BRMB, while nine of the twenty most played songs on BRMB were also in Heart 100.7ā€™s twenty most played songs. Comparison of data four years apart shows some stations moving considerably closer to each otherā€™s music format over time. Correction of these market failures requires that Ofcom start a process of revising the fundamental components of the ā€œformatā€ licences it has inherited from the Radio Authority. The emphasis must be switched to the measurement of delivered outputs and the tight definition of a target audience that interlocks each station with its commercial competitors, rather than simple prescription of how many rock songs are to be played in a breakfast show. It is essential that new, more detailed format documents provide stations with the flexibility to adjust their programming to changing consumer tastes, but also be specific enough to ensure that commercial competitors in a market differentiate their content sufficiently to extend the choice available to citizen-consumers. There will inevitably be resistance from stations to any change of their ā€œformatā€ (even at re-licensing time), but Ofcomā€™s intention should not be to change a stationā€™s format, rather to define it in more precise terminology that befits a 21st century regulator. Alongside this re-definition of ā€œformatsā€, Ofcom should apply considerably more analysis on an ongoing basis to station outputs, both to ensure compliance and to better understand market forces. Like the BBC, Ofcom might require a team of smart suits and clipboards armed with the analytical skills that the Radio Authority never acquired. In the US, economic theories such as Peter Alexanderā€™s work on measuring product variety and Joel Waldfogelā€™s work analysing radio programming variety are already de rigueur tools of the Federal Communications Commission. Now that the BBC has accepted the need for regulation of its services (even if this is self-regulation), the spotlight must switch back to the commercial radio sector to keep up its part of the bargain. If the playing field is meant to be level, commercial radio ā€œservice licencesā€ should be as rigorous as the BBCā€™s. This is not regulation merely for regulationā€™s sake. In an imperfect market such as Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts Ā©2005 Grant Goddard page 4
  • 5. broadcasting, regulatory intervention is a necessary fact. If you ignore the economics, you experience market failure in the long run. This is a large part of the reason why local commercial radioā€™s market share has fallen to its lowest level since 1993, despite a doubling of the number of stations. [First published in 'The Radio Magazine', #677, 30 March 2005, pp.10-11] Grant Goddard is a media analyst / radio specialist / radio consultant with thirty years of experience in the broadcasting industry, having held senior management and consultancy roles within the commercial media sector in the United Kingdom, Europe and Asia. Details at http://www.grantgoddard.co.uk Radio Format Regulation: Hail The Guys In Suits With Charts Ā©2005 Grant Goddard page 5