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Smoking and health

   Dr. Ashok Kumar Kapoor
MBBS, MD (Med.), DM (Car.), F.Card (Germany), FCCP (US),
                    Chairman
Getwell Medical Center & Curewell Diagnostic Center,
                www.getwelluae.com
Smoking as nicotine dependence
• Nicotine the driving force

• As with other drugs, complex interplay
  between pharmacology, learning
  mechanisms, social and economic
  influences in determining patterns of
  use

                http://www.getwelluae.com
The major health consequences of
            smoking

• Cancer
  – lung
  – mouth, larynx, throat, oesophagus
  – bladder, cervix, kidney, pancreas
• COPD
• Coronary heart disease
• Stroke
• Peripheral vascular disease
• Pregnancy and birth complications
                                   http://www.getwelluae.com
Mortality associated with smoking
• At least 320 deaths every day from smoking in
  the UK, 120,000 per year
• 1/5 all deaths across all ages
• 1/4 all deaths in age group 35-64 years
• 1 in 2 lifetime risk for smokers
• 7.5 years average loss of life expectancy
• Over half of the difference in risk of death in
  middle age between professional and unskilled
  men
• 4 million deaths worldwide              http://www.getwelluae.com
Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco
Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions)
                                                                                                                520
                                        500
                                                                                                        Trend

                                        400



                                        300

                                                                                                220
                                        200



                                        100                                  70


                                            0
                                                1950         1975           2000                 2025           2050

                                                                                Year
                                                                    http://www.getwelluae.com
Source: Peto et al
Smoking is highly addictive
• At least 70% of smokers want to give up
• Less than half succeed before age 65
• 40% of heart attack smokers relapse while still
  in hospital within 2 days of intensive care
• 50% of patients with laryngectomies try
  smoking again
• 50% of patients with lung removed for lung
  cancer smoke again
• More than half of heroin and cocaine users and
  alcoholics rate smoking harder to quit
                                      http://www.getwelluae.com
Addiction




            http://www.getwelluae.com
Starting point - the cigarette
“The cigarette should be conceived not as a
product but as a package. The product is
nicotine. Think of the cigarette pack as a
storage container for a day’s supply of
nicotine….Think of the cigarette as the
dispenser for a dose unit of nicotine…..Smoke
is beyond question the most optimised vehicle
of nicotine and the cigarette the most
optimised dispenser of smoke”.

William Dunn, Philip Morris, 1972
                   http://www.getwelluae.com
Schematic Diagram
                                                of Arterial vs Venous
                                 40                Nicotine Levels



Nicotine Concentration (ng/ml)
                                 35

                                 30            Arterial

                                 25

                                 20
                                                 Venous
                                 15

                                 10

                                 5

                                 0
                                 -10   0     10     20   30   40   50   60    70
                                                    Time (mins)
                                       c i ga r e tte
                                                                             http://www.getwelluae.com
                                       smoked
Nicotine Addiction in Britain
     Royal College of Physicians Feb 2000


Central conclusion: smoking is best
understood as nicotine seeking
behaviour
• “Nicotine delivered rapidly to the brain in
  cigarette smoke should be recognised as a
  powerfully addictive drug on a par with
  heroin and cocaine, and tobacco products
  should be recognised as nicotine delivery
  systems.”        http://www.getwelluae.com
Rating IV nicotine and cocaine:
          Jones et al (1999)

• Compared 3 doses of cocaine and
  nicotine given IV double-blind + saline
  placebo
• Nicotine ‘high’ and ‘rush’ rated stronger
  than cocaine, also ‘jittery’
• Nicotine frequently misidentified as
  cocaine, and, at highest dose, an opiate
                http://www.getwelluae.com
Prevalence of regular drug use:
                                  adults aged 16-64, GB 1993-1994

Cigarette smoking %                                                             32

Drinking above
                                                                 22
recommended limits

Marijuana                     2

Tranquillizers
                          0
sleeping pills

Amphetamines              0


Opiates                   0


Cocaine                0

Psychedelics           0
hallucinogens
                      0                 10                 20             30         40


Regular drug user = every day for 2 weeks or more in past 12 months
                                     http://www.getwelluae.com
OPCS Psychiatric Morbidity Survey: Meltzer et al 1995             Base n=9792
Neurotic disorder % by drinking habits
                                             GB 1993-1994
                      45

                      40

                      35
Neurotic disorder %




                      30

                      25

                      20

                      15

                      10

                      5

                      0
                           Abstainer Occasional    Light   Moderate Fairly heavy   Heavy    Very heavy


                                                  Alcohol drinking habits
                                                                                     http://www.getwelluae.com
Neurotic disorder % by smoking habits
                                               GB 1993-1994
                      45

                      40

                      35
Neurotic disorder %




                      30

                      25

                      20

                      15

                      10

                      5

                      0
                           Never smoker Ex   3-4       5-6         7-8     9-10   11-12   13-14
                                                   Tobacco dependence score
                                               http://www.getwelluae.com
Nicotine as a drug of dependence
 • Blood nicotine from cigarettes, snuff
   (oral and nasal) and cigars very similar

 • IV nicotine suppresses smoking

 • Nicotine intakes from different brands of
   cigarette very similar

                 http://www.getwelluae.com
Nicotine as a drug of dependence

 • Nicotine withdrawal syndrome

 • Effect of nicotine replacement on
   successful quitting



               http://www.getwelluae.com
Self-assertion . . .
“To account for the fact that the beginning
smoker will tolerate the unpleasantness
we must invoke a psychosocial motive.
Smoking a cigarette for the beginner is a
symbolic act. The smoker is telling his
world, 'This is the kind of person I am.'
Surely there are variants of this theme, 'I
am no longer my mother's child,' 'I am
tough,' 'I am not a square.' Whatever the
individual intent, the act of smoking
remains a symbolic declaration of
personal identity . . .” Philip Morris (Bates no. 1003287836)
                                                  http://www.getwelluae.com
. . . and addiction


“ . . . As the force from the
  psychosocial symbolism subsides,
  the pharmacological effect takes
  over to sustain the habit . . .”


            Philip Morris 1969 document (Bates no. 1003287836)

               http://www.getwelluae.com
Addiction -




              http://www.getwelluae.com
Factors favouring study of smoking as
  compared with other drug taking
             behaviours
 • High prevalence
 • Legal
 • Little stigma, so self-reports largely
   accurate
 • Unlike alcohol, excellent biomarker
   of intake available
                                  http://www.getwelluae.com
Cotinine as a biomarker of nicotine
                 intake
• Main nicotine metabolite (70-80%
  converted)
• Half-life 16-20 hours
• Measurable in saliva, blood or urine
• Quantitative measure of nicotine intake:
  10ng/ml cotinine in blood ~ 1mg nicotine
  daily
                  http://www.getwelluae.com
Brief dependence scale

1. How soon after waking do you smoke your
   first cigarette of the day?
  Less than     Between       Between      Between       Between    Longer
  5 minutes     5 and 15      15 and 30     30 min.      1 and 2     than 2
               minutes       minutes      and 1 hr      hours       hours




2. How easy or difficult would you find it to go
   without smoking for a whole day?
       Very easy            Fairly easy      Fairly difficult   Very difficult




3. How many cigarettes do you usually smoke
   each day?
              1-10               11-20            21-30              31+




                           http://www.getwelluae.com
DISTRIBUTION OF TIME TO FIRST CIGARETTE
                                                IN SMOKERS IN PRIMARY CARE

                                 30
                                                                   "How soon after waking do you smoke
                                                                   your first cigarette of the day?"
                                 25




        Percentage of smokers
                                 20

                                 15

                                 10

                                  5

                                  0
                                      Less than        5-15        15-30         30 min          1 to 2      More than
                                      5 minutes       minutes     minutes        to 1 hr         hours        2 hours




                                450

                                400
Saliva cotinine (ng/ml)




                                350

                                300

                                250

                                200

                                150
                                                                                Mean + 95% CI
                                100                                                     -



                                 50
                                          Less than      5-15      15-30      30 min        1 to 2   More than
                                          5 minutes     minutes   minutes     to 1 hr       hours     2 hours
                                           n=260        n=322      n=205      n=214         n=182         n=307

                                                         TIME TO FIRST CIGARETTE OF THE DAY                              http://www.getwelluae.com
SALIVA COTININE BY DEPENDENCE IN
                                    SMOKERS IN PRIMARY CARE
                          550
Saliva cotinine (ng/ml)


                          440



                          330



                          220



                          110
                                                                                     Mean + 95% CI


                           0
                                  0    1      2    3    4     5     6     7     8      9     10      11
                          N=    130   108    96   99   120   149   136   143   160    108    73      38

                                            DEPENDENCE SCALE SCORE                    http://www.getwelluae.com
3

                           2
Plasma cotinine (ng/ml)




                          1



                          0 .5




                                                                          Geometri c mean ± 95%CI


                          0
                                 0   1 -4   5 -9   1 0 -1 4   1 5 -1 9   2 0 -2 4   2 5 -2 9    30+

                                     P ar tner 's daily cigar ette consum ption
                                                                                    http://www.getwelluae.com
PASSIVE SMOKING: COTININE IN ADULTS
                                         BY PARTNER'S CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION
                          2.5

                                       Health Survey for England
Plasma cotinine (ng/ml)


                                               1994 &1996
                          2.0



                          1.5



                          1.0



                          0.5
                                                                                Geometric mean + 95%CI

                          0.0
                                  0        1-4     5-9       10-14      15-19     20-24   25-29   30+
                                             Partner's daily cigarette consumption
                                                   http://www.getwelluae.com
                          n=    8328      234     231        259        155       294      60     79
CIGARETTE SMOKING 1972-1998:
                                   GB: General Household Survey

               60

               50                   Men
% prevalence




               40

               30          Women

               20

               10

               0
                    1972   1976      1980         1984            1988   1992   1996
                                      http://www.getwelluae.com
Disadvantage and Smoking

• A whole range of indicators of
  disadvantage predict who smokes

• Cigarette smoking prevalence tightly
  linked to deprivation, mainly because of
  low rates of quitting in disadvantaged
  groups

                http://www.getwelluae.com
Indicators of socio-economic
                 status
•   Occupational class
•   Educational level
•   Housing tenure
•   Car ownership
•   Unemployment
•   Living in crowded accommodation
•   Single parenthood
•   Divorced or separated
                             http://www.getwelluae.com
Disadvantage and smoking

• Poor people are:
  – More likely to take up smoking
  – Less likely to quit
  – More heavily exposed to other people’s
    smoke
  – Become more nicotine dependent
  – Much more likely to die prematurely
    from smoking
               http://www.getwelluae.com
CIGARETTE SMOKING BY DEPRIVATION
                          IN GREAT BRITAIN: GHS 1973 & 1998
               80


               70


               60
% prevalence




               50
                                                                                       1973

               40
                                                                                       1998

               30


               20


               10


                0
                        0       1       2       3       4         5
               Most affluent                                  Poorest
                               DEPRIVATION SCORE
                                                                  http://www.getwelluae.com
SMOKING CESSATION BY DEPRIVATION
                    IN GREAT BRITAIN: GHS 1973 & 1998
         80


         70


         60


         50
% quit




                                                                                 1973

         40
                                                                                 1998

         30


         20


         10


          0
                  0      1       2       3       4          5
         Most affluent                                  Poorest
                          DEPR IVATION SCORE
                                                            http://www.getwelluae.com
Plasma cotinine by deprivation
                                in adult smokers: HSE 1993-1996

                          350
Plasma cotinine (ng/ml)




                          300
                                                                                    1993

                                                                                    1994
                          250
                                                                                    1996


                          200




                                   0     1     2     3       4
                                         DEPRIVATION SCORE
                                                                 http://www.getwelluae.com
Some implications of nicotine addiction for
       cessation and harm reduction

• Ineffective
     • cutting down
     • switching to cigars or a pipe
     • switching to low tar


• Effective
     • Nicotine replacement products
                    http://www.getwelluae.com
Predicted and actual nicotine intakes per cigarette
                                        smoked by nominal nicotine yield of usual brand
Nicotine intake per cigarette (mg)


                                     1.6      Health Survey for England 1998
                                     1.4
                                     1.2
                                     1.0
                                     0.8
                                     0.6
                                     0.4
                                     0.2

                                             0 - .1    .1-   .2-       .4-      .5-      .6-   .7-   .8-   .9-   1.0 +

                                                              Cigarette nicotine yield (mg)

                                           Predicted
                                                                   http://www.getwelluae.com
Predicted and actual nicotine intakes per cigarette
                                        smoked by nominal nicotine yield of usual brand
Nicotine intake per cigarette (mg)


                                     1.6      Health Survey for England 1998
                                     1.4
                                     1.2
                                     1.0
                                     0.8
                                     0.6
                                     0.4
                                     0.2

                                             0 - .1   .1-   .2-       .4-     .5-      .6-    .7-   .8-   .9-   1.0 +

                                                              Cigarette nicotine yield (mg)

                                           Actual             Predicted
                                                                  http://www.getwelluae.com
One year success rates by intensity of
   intervention:

• Unaided quit attempt …………………...…..….1-2%

• Brief GP advice ……………………………...……5%

• Brief GP advice + NRT ……………………….…10%

• Intensive clinic support ………………………...15%

• Intensive clinic support + NRT……………..20-30%
                  http://www.getwelluae.com
Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco
Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions)
                                                                                                                520
                                        500
                                                                                                        Trend

                                        400



                                        300

                                                                                                220
                                        200



                                        100                                  70


                                            0
                                                1950         1975           2000                 2025           2050

                                                                                Year
                                                                    http://www.getwelluae.com
Source: Peto et al
Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco
Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions)
                                                                                                                520
                                        500                                                                      500
                                                                                                        Trend
                                                                                                             If smoking
                                                                                                            uptake halves
                                        400
                                                                                                             by 2020

                                        300

                                                                                                220
                                        200



                                        100                                  70


                                            0
                                                1950         1975           2000                 2025           2050

                                                                                Year
                                                                    http://www.getwelluae.com
Source: Peto et al
Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco
Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions)
                                                                                                                520
                                        500                                                                      500
                                                                                                        Trend
                                                                                                             If smoking
                                                                                                            uptake halves
                                        400
                                                                                                             by 2020

                                        300                                                                       340
                                                                                                220      If adult smoking
                                        200                                                                halves by 2020
                                                                                                  190
                                        100                                  70


                                            0
                                                1950         1975           2000                 2025           2050

                                                                                Year
                                                                    http://www.getwelluae.com
Source: Peto et al
Conclusions
• Nicotine’s legal status and lack of
  adverse effects on performance have
  hampered recognition of its status as a
  drug of dependence
• Nicotine is pharmacologically a hard
  drug, on a par with heroin and cocaine
• Cigarette smoking is by far the biggest
  problem of drug dependence
               http://www.getwelluae.com

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Smoking and health

  • 1. Smoking and health Dr. Ashok Kumar Kapoor MBBS, MD (Med.), DM (Car.), F.Card (Germany), FCCP (US), Chairman Getwell Medical Center & Curewell Diagnostic Center, www.getwelluae.com
  • 2. Smoking as nicotine dependence • Nicotine the driving force • As with other drugs, complex interplay between pharmacology, learning mechanisms, social and economic influences in determining patterns of use http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 3. The major health consequences of smoking • Cancer – lung – mouth, larynx, throat, oesophagus – bladder, cervix, kidney, pancreas • COPD • Coronary heart disease • Stroke • Peripheral vascular disease • Pregnancy and birth complications http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 4. Mortality associated with smoking • At least 320 deaths every day from smoking in the UK, 120,000 per year • 1/5 all deaths across all ages • 1/4 all deaths in age group 35-64 years • 1 in 2 lifetime risk for smokers • 7.5 years average loss of life expectancy • Over half of the difference in risk of death in middle age between professional and unskilled men • 4 million deaths worldwide http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 5. Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions) 520 500 Trend 400 300 220 200 100 70 0 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 Year http://www.getwelluae.com Source: Peto et al
  • 6. Smoking is highly addictive • At least 70% of smokers want to give up • Less than half succeed before age 65 • 40% of heart attack smokers relapse while still in hospital within 2 days of intensive care • 50% of patients with laryngectomies try smoking again • 50% of patients with lung removed for lung cancer smoke again • More than half of heroin and cocaine users and alcoholics rate smoking harder to quit http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 7. Addiction http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 8. Starting point - the cigarette “The cigarette should be conceived not as a product but as a package. The product is nicotine. Think of the cigarette pack as a storage container for a day’s supply of nicotine….Think of the cigarette as the dispenser for a dose unit of nicotine…..Smoke is beyond question the most optimised vehicle of nicotine and the cigarette the most optimised dispenser of smoke”. William Dunn, Philip Morris, 1972 http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 9. Schematic Diagram of Arterial vs Venous 40 Nicotine Levels Nicotine Concentration (ng/ml) 35 30 Arterial 25 20 Venous 15 10 5 0 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Time (mins) c i ga r e tte http://www.getwelluae.com smoked
  • 10. Nicotine Addiction in Britain Royal College of Physicians Feb 2000 Central conclusion: smoking is best understood as nicotine seeking behaviour • “Nicotine delivered rapidly to the brain in cigarette smoke should be recognised as a powerfully addictive drug on a par with heroin and cocaine, and tobacco products should be recognised as nicotine delivery systems.” http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 11. Rating IV nicotine and cocaine: Jones et al (1999) • Compared 3 doses of cocaine and nicotine given IV double-blind + saline placebo • Nicotine ‘high’ and ‘rush’ rated stronger than cocaine, also ‘jittery’ • Nicotine frequently misidentified as cocaine, and, at highest dose, an opiate http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 12. Prevalence of regular drug use: adults aged 16-64, GB 1993-1994 Cigarette smoking % 32 Drinking above 22 recommended limits Marijuana 2 Tranquillizers 0 sleeping pills Amphetamines 0 Opiates 0 Cocaine 0 Psychedelics 0 hallucinogens 0 10 20 30 40 Regular drug user = every day for 2 weeks or more in past 12 months http://www.getwelluae.com OPCS Psychiatric Morbidity Survey: Meltzer et al 1995 Base n=9792
  • 13. Neurotic disorder % by drinking habits GB 1993-1994 45 40 35 Neurotic disorder % 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Abstainer Occasional Light Moderate Fairly heavy Heavy Very heavy Alcohol drinking habits http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 14. Neurotic disorder % by smoking habits GB 1993-1994 45 40 35 Neurotic disorder % 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Never smoker Ex 3-4 5-6 7-8 9-10 11-12 13-14 Tobacco dependence score http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 15. Nicotine as a drug of dependence • Blood nicotine from cigarettes, snuff (oral and nasal) and cigars very similar • IV nicotine suppresses smoking • Nicotine intakes from different brands of cigarette very similar http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 16. Nicotine as a drug of dependence • Nicotine withdrawal syndrome • Effect of nicotine replacement on successful quitting http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 17. Self-assertion . . . “To account for the fact that the beginning smoker will tolerate the unpleasantness we must invoke a psychosocial motive. Smoking a cigarette for the beginner is a symbolic act. The smoker is telling his world, 'This is the kind of person I am.' Surely there are variants of this theme, 'I am no longer my mother's child,' 'I am tough,' 'I am not a square.' Whatever the individual intent, the act of smoking remains a symbolic declaration of personal identity . . .” Philip Morris (Bates no. 1003287836) http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 18. . . . and addiction “ . . . As the force from the psychosocial symbolism subsides, the pharmacological effect takes over to sustain the habit . . .” Philip Morris 1969 document (Bates no. 1003287836) http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 19. Addiction - http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 20. Factors favouring study of smoking as compared with other drug taking behaviours • High prevalence • Legal • Little stigma, so self-reports largely accurate • Unlike alcohol, excellent biomarker of intake available http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 21. Cotinine as a biomarker of nicotine intake • Main nicotine metabolite (70-80% converted) • Half-life 16-20 hours • Measurable in saliva, blood or urine • Quantitative measure of nicotine intake: 10ng/ml cotinine in blood ~ 1mg nicotine daily http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 22. Brief dependence scale 1. How soon after waking do you smoke your first cigarette of the day? Less than Between Between Between Between Longer 5 minutes 5 and 15 15 and 30 30 min. 1 and 2 than 2 minutes minutes and 1 hr hours hours 2. How easy or difficult would you find it to go without smoking for a whole day? Very easy Fairly easy Fairly difficult Very difficult 3. How many cigarettes do you usually smoke each day? 1-10 11-20 21-30 31+ http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 23. DISTRIBUTION OF TIME TO FIRST CIGARETTE IN SMOKERS IN PRIMARY CARE 30 "How soon after waking do you smoke your first cigarette of the day?" 25 Percentage of smokers 20 15 10 5 0 Less than 5-15 15-30 30 min 1 to 2 More than 5 minutes minutes minutes to 1 hr hours 2 hours 450 400 Saliva cotinine (ng/ml) 350 300 250 200 150 Mean + 95% CI 100 - 50 Less than 5-15 15-30 30 min 1 to 2 More than 5 minutes minutes minutes to 1 hr hours 2 hours n=260 n=322 n=205 n=214 n=182 n=307 TIME TO FIRST CIGARETTE OF THE DAY http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 24. SALIVA COTININE BY DEPENDENCE IN SMOKERS IN PRIMARY CARE 550 Saliva cotinine (ng/ml) 440 330 220 110 Mean + 95% CI 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 N= 130 108 96 99 120 149 136 143 160 108 73 38 DEPENDENCE SCALE SCORE http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 25. 3 2 Plasma cotinine (ng/ml) 1 0 .5 Geometri c mean ± 95%CI 0 0 1 -4 5 -9 1 0 -1 4 1 5 -1 9 2 0 -2 4 2 5 -2 9 30+ P ar tner 's daily cigar ette consum ption http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 26. PASSIVE SMOKING: COTININE IN ADULTS BY PARTNER'S CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION 2.5 Health Survey for England Plasma cotinine (ng/ml) 1994 &1996 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Geometric mean + 95%CI 0.0 0 1-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30+ Partner's daily cigarette consumption http://www.getwelluae.com n= 8328 234 231 259 155 294 60 79
  • 27. CIGARETTE SMOKING 1972-1998: GB: General Household Survey 60 50 Men % prevalence 40 30 Women 20 10 0 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 28. Disadvantage and Smoking • A whole range of indicators of disadvantage predict who smokes • Cigarette smoking prevalence tightly linked to deprivation, mainly because of low rates of quitting in disadvantaged groups http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 29. Indicators of socio-economic status • Occupational class • Educational level • Housing tenure • Car ownership • Unemployment • Living in crowded accommodation • Single parenthood • Divorced or separated http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 30. Disadvantage and smoking • Poor people are: – More likely to take up smoking – Less likely to quit – More heavily exposed to other people’s smoke – Become more nicotine dependent – Much more likely to die prematurely from smoking http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 31. CIGARETTE SMOKING BY DEPRIVATION IN GREAT BRITAIN: GHS 1973 & 1998 80 70 60 % prevalence 50 1973 40 1998 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Most affluent Poorest DEPRIVATION SCORE http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 32. SMOKING CESSATION BY DEPRIVATION IN GREAT BRITAIN: GHS 1973 & 1998 80 70 60 50 % quit 1973 40 1998 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Most affluent Poorest DEPR IVATION SCORE http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 33. Plasma cotinine by deprivation in adult smokers: HSE 1993-1996 350 Plasma cotinine (ng/ml) 300 1993 1994 250 1996 200 0 1 2 3 4 DEPRIVATION SCORE http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 34. Some implications of nicotine addiction for cessation and harm reduction • Ineffective • cutting down • switching to cigars or a pipe • switching to low tar • Effective • Nicotine replacement products http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 35. Predicted and actual nicotine intakes per cigarette smoked by nominal nicotine yield of usual brand Nicotine intake per cigarette (mg) 1.6 Health Survey for England 1998 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 - .1 .1- .2- .4- .5- .6- .7- .8- .9- 1.0 + Cigarette nicotine yield (mg) Predicted http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 36. Predicted and actual nicotine intakes per cigarette smoked by nominal nicotine yield of usual brand Nicotine intake per cigarette (mg) 1.6 Health Survey for England 1998 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 - .1 .1- .2- .4- .5- .6- .7- .8- .9- 1.0 + Cigarette nicotine yield (mg) Actual Predicted http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 37. One year success rates by intensity of intervention: • Unaided quit attempt …………………...…..….1-2% • Brief GP advice ……………………………...……5% • Brief GP advice + NRT ……………………….…10% • Intensive clinic support ………………………...15% • Intensive clinic support + NRT……………..20-30% http://www.getwelluae.com
  • 38. Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions) 520 500 Trend 400 300 220 200 100 70 0 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 Year http://www.getwelluae.com Source: Peto et al
  • 39. Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions) 520 500 500 Trend If smoking uptake halves 400 by 2020 300 220 200 100 70 0 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 Year http://www.getwelluae.com Source: Peto et al
  • 40. Scenarios for future deaths from tobacco Cumulative deaths from tobacco (millions) 520 500 500 Trend If smoking uptake halves 400 by 2020 300 340 220 If adult smoking 200 halves by 2020 190 100 70 0 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 Year http://www.getwelluae.com Source: Peto et al
  • 41. Conclusions • Nicotine’s legal status and lack of adverse effects on performance have hampered recognition of its status as a drug of dependence • Nicotine is pharmacologically a hard drug, on a par with heroin and cocaine • Cigarette smoking is by far the biggest problem of drug dependence http://www.getwelluae.com

Editor's Notes

  1. And here is a quadraplegic who has had all four limbs amputated as a result of smoking induced Beurger’s disease – a type of peripheral vascular disease exclusively brought to you by the tobacco industry - but who still continued to smoke with the aid of this crude device, rigged up for him by ‘friends’. Maybe he had a particularly efficient CYP2A6 gene: research has shown that a defect in this gene, which results in a defective ability to clear the body of nicotine, is associated with a greater chance of not smoking, and among smokers with a lower consumption.
  2. This is how that same document continues. The tobacco companies have become experts on the psychosocial aspects of growing up: so much of their business is bound up in understanding how to motivate children to start smoking. Their researchers wrote: “ To account for the fact that the beginning smoker will tolerate the unpleasantness we must invoke a psychosocial motive. Smoking a cigarette for the beginner is a symbolic act. The smoker is telling his world, 'This is the kind of person I am.' Surely there are variants of this theme, 'I am no longer my mother's child,' 'I am tough,' 'I am not a square.' Whatever the individual intent, the act of smoking remains a symbolic declaration of personal identity . . .”
  3. And they understand that young smokers soon get hooked by the nicotine: “ . . . As the force from the psychosocial symbolism subsides, the pharmacological effect takes over to sustain the habit . . .”
  4. The industry, however, depended for its defence – in law suits and in public debate generally – on the contention that smoking was a free choice made by adults. A US Tobacco Institute paper in 1980 said “We can’t defend continued smoking as ‘free choice’ if the person was ‘addicted’.” They therefore lied about addiction . . . __________ TI quote: Minnesota trial exhibit 14,303.