1. DEVELOPING A CORPORATE
ACQUISITION STRATEGY
Case studies, Concepts, and Debatable Ideas
Kenny Ong
CNI Holdings Berhad
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2. 1. M&A Trends
2. Rationale for M&As
3. Strategies, Structure, and Optimizing Value in
M&As
4. Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls
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3. • How to fail without trying
The Roadmap to Failure
by Fred Wiersema and Mike Treacy
Before we start…
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4. The Roadmap to Failure
Fred Wiersema and Mike TreacyPerformanc
e
Time
Clear
Sailing
Today’s
performance
Ad-hoc Tactics
Denial & Defense
Doom
Projections
Overdue
Failure
The Moment of
Truth
X
Performance
Freefall
Tomorrow’s
actual
performance
Downpresure of
Unclear Strategy
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5. Denial and Defense
• “It’s not really good value our competitor is
offering, because it doesn’t include a lot of our
features.” - ABC vs Air Asia
• “It’s good value but not in our preferred
customer market.” - ABC vs Toyota
• “Sure they’re hurting us, but with their unfair
advantage, what can we do?” – ABC vs MILO
• “The rules we are playing by have always
worked before” – AMEX vs VISA
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6. The Roadmap to Failure
Fred Wiersema and Mike TreacyPerformanc
e
Time
Clear
Sailing
Today’s
performance
Ad-hoc Tactics
Denial & Defense
Doom
Projections
Overdue
Failure
The Moment of
Truth
X
Performance
Freefall
Tomorrow’s
actual
performance
Downpresure of
Unclear Strategy
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7. Ad Hoc Tactics
• Selectively hold discounts to hold business that has
started to go elsewhere
• Introduce new promotions, terms, conditions, and offers to
confuse and cloud the market
• Beef up customer service by adding people to fix mess-
ups and quicken delayed shipments
• Delay capital investments and adjust accounting methods
to portray quarterly financial results more favorably
• Introduce “new and improved” products that are new in
form, but not in substantive ways that are of consequence
to purchasers
• Merge, Acquire, Joint Venture and Ally out of desperation
or without proper considerations
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8. The Roadmap to Failure
Fred Wiersema and Mike TreacyPerformanc
e
Time
Clear
Sailing
Today’s
performance
Ad-hoc Tactics
Denial & Defense
Doom
Projections
Overdue
Failure
The Moment of
Truth
X
Performance
Freefall
Tomorrow’s
actual
performance
Downpresure of
Unclear Strategy
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9. “What is the moral of
the story?”
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10. What is the Business
Model?
USP
Market
Discipline
Profit Model
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12. Intro: Market Discipline
"They are the most innovative"
"Constantly renewing and creative"
"Always on the leading edge"
"A great deal!"
Excellent/attractive price
Minimal acquisition cost and
hassle
Lowest overall cost of
ownership
"A no-hassles firm"
Convenience and speed
Reliable product and
service
"Exactly what I need"
Customized products
Personalized communications
"They're very responsive"
Preferential service and
flexibility
Recommends what I need
"I'm very loyal to them"
Helps us to be a success
Product
Leadership
Operational
Excellence
Customer
Intimacy
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13. Operational Excellence
(low cost producer)
Ref: The Discipline of Market Leaders, Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995
Product Leadership
(best product)
Customer Intimacy
(best total solution)
Strategy: Disciplines,
Priorities, and KPIs
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14. The McPlaybook*
Make it easy to eat
• 50% drive-thru
• Meals held in one
hand
Make it easy to prepare
• High Turnover
• Tasks simple to learn
& repeat
Make it quick
• “Fast Food”
• Tests new products
for Cooking Times
Make what customers want
• Prowls market for new
products
• Monitored field tests
*Adapted from: Businessweek , Februrary 5th
2007
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15. Operational
Excellence
• Competitive price
• Error free,
reliable
• Fast (on
demand)
• Simple
• Responsive
• Consistent
information for
all
• Transactional
• 'Once and Done'
Operational
Excellence
• Competitive price
• Error free,
reliable
• Fast (on
demand)
• Simple
• Responsive
• Consistent
information for
all
• Transactional
• 'Once and Done'
Customer Intimacy
• Management by
Fact
• Easy to do
business with
• Have it your way
(customization)
• Market segments
of one
• Proactive,
flexible
• Relationship and
consultative
selling
• Cross selling
Customer Intimacy
• Management by
Fact
• Easy to do
business with
• Have it your way
(customization)
• Market segments
of one
• Proactive,
flexible
• Relationship and
consultative
selling
• Cross selling
Product Leadership
• New, state of the
art products or
services
• Risk takers
• Meet volatile
customer needs
• Fast concept-to-
counter
• Never satisfied -
obsolete own and
competitors'
products
• Learning
organization
Product Leadership
• New, state of the
art products or
services
• Risk takers
• Meet volatile
customer needs
• Fast concept-to-
counter
• Never satisfied -
obsolete own and
competitors'
products
• Learning
organization
Strategy: Disciplines,
Priorities, and KPIs
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16. Operational Excellence
(low cost producer)
Ref: The Discipline of Market Leaders, Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995
Product Leadership
(best product)
Customer Intimacy
(best total solution)
Strategy: Value Disciplines
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17. Operational Excellence
(low cost producer)
Ref: The Discipline of Market Leaders, Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995
Product Leadership
(best product)
Customer Intimacy
(best total solution)
Strategy: Value Disciplines
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18. Sample KPIs for Each
Discipline
Operational
Excellence
• Price
• Selection
• Convenience
• Zero Defects
• Growth
Operational
Excellence
• Price
• Selection
• Convenience
• Zero Defects
• Growth
Customer Intimacy
• Customer
Knowledge
• Solutions Offered
• Penetration
• Customer Data
• Customer-success
focus
Customer Intimacy
• Customer
Knowledge
• Solutions Offered
• Penetration
• Customer Data
• Customer-success
focus
Product
Leadership
• Marketing
• Functionality
• # of Successes
• # of Failures
• Learn from key
users
• Interdisciplinary
teams
• Pipeline
Product
Leadership
• Marketing
• Functionality
• # of Successes
• # of Failures
• Learn from key
users
• Interdisciplinary
teams
• Pipeline
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20. M&A Trends
1. Booming Demand
2. Supply/Demand shift to
remote, unstable
locations
3. Demand shift in Asia
4. Middle East ‘cheap’
energy = diversification
5. Natural resources
depleting fast
6. Massive capital required
8. Supply security
9. Scarcity of Talent
10.Global labor market
11.New, low cost players
12.Niche companies in new
technologies*
13.Private Equity
14.Restructuring
undervalued
Conglomerates
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21. M&A Trends
21.Alternative Industries –
growth, fragmented*
22.Low R&D, demand for
new technologies
23.Credit Crunch
24.Foreign entities
25.Political instabilities
26.De-regularization,
Unbundling
15.Record profits, High
Prices
16.Antitrust Regulations
17.Cross-border
Regulations
18.Traditional MNC
consolidation
19.Competition for Assets
20.Rise of Sovereign Funds
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22. Biggest Trend
“Earnings Per Share growth expectations
are way above what companies can
achieve in most territories from organic
growth alone”
John McConomy, US Power and Utilities Transaction Services Leader,
PricewaterhouseCoopers
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25. Strategies for Growth
1.Base Retention
2.Share Gain
3.Positioning4.Adjacent Market
5.New Business
GROWTH
“Double-Digit Growth”, Michael Treacy
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26. Rationale for M&As: Growth
Expansion
1.Consolidate
2.Geographic
3.Distribution
4.Compensate
Transformative
1.Portfolio
refocus
2.Diversification
Easier Toughe
r
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30. Rationale for M&As: Cross
Sectors
Traditional
AlternativeIncremental
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31. Rationale for M&As: Cross
Sectors
Traditional Utility
Alternative
Energy
Incremental
Technology
New Delivery, New Sources,
Existing Resources
Oil, Gas,
Electricity, Coal
Biomass, Nuclear,
Ethanol, Wind, Solar
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Example:
Energy Sector
32. Possible ‘Outside’ Acquirers
or Investors
Institutional
Fund Managers
Corporations
Sovereign Funds
VCs
NGOs
Non-Profit Org
Financial (Loans)
JV Partners
M&A
Social VCs
Holding Co.
Gov. VCs
Supply Chain
Gov. Partnership
Competitors
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33. Why do ‘Outsiders’ Acquire
or Invest?
1. Return/Profit
2. Risk Management/
Hedging
3. Tax-benefits
4. CSR/Image
5. Diversify revenue
6. Counter-cyclical
balance
7. Support ‘Mission’
8. Exclusive rights
8. Contractual
obligation
9. National Agenda
10.Control Supply
Chain
11.R&D portfolio
12.Control Management
13.Alternative Cash
Flow
14.M&A
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35. Strategies for Growth
1.Base Retention
2.Share Gain
3.Positioning4.Adjacent Market
5.New Business
GROWTH
“Double-Digit Growth”, Michael Treacy
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36. How Markets determine
Growth Strategies (1)
• Growth Rate
Growth
Rate
Strategy Why?
Fast 1. Market
Positioning
2. Share Gain
3. Base
Retention
•Maintain market share in strategic
segments
•Prepare for market decline
•Competitors focus too much on
getting new customers
Flat 1. Base
Retention
2. Share Gain
(Acquisitions)
•Lose customers slower than
competitors
•Create scale economics, squeeze
costs
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37. • Churn Rate
Churn
Rate
Strategy Why?
Low 1. Share Gain
(Acquisitions)
2. Adjacent
Markets
•Buying customer base is
cheaper than own efforts
•New products, old customers
strategy
High 1. Base
Retention
2. Share Gain
3. Adjacent
Market
•Lose customers slower than
competitors
•Customers are always open to
the best value and offer
•Desperate to gain revenue
How Markets determine
Growth Strategies (2)
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38. How Markets determine
Growth Strategies (3)
Fast Growth,
Low Churn
1.Market Positioning
2.Share Gain (M&A)
3.Base Retention
4.Adjacent Markets (M&A)
•Example: Energy Sector
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40. Buying Market Share:
Acquisition strategy
Integration
Operating
Model
Price
Premium
Buying
Market
Share
Net Cost per
Customer <
Direct Acquire
No evidence of
previous company
One Kingdom
Pre-integration Blueprint
Slow Trigger, Fast Bullet
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41. Buying Market Share: Side
notes on Funding
Preferable OK, but not preferred
1. Cash from Earnings
2. Cash from
Borrowings
1. Cash from Stock sale
2. Issue more stock
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*Adapted from Warren Buffet’s acquisition strategies
42. Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent
Markets
Adjacent Market = Important Similarities and
Large Differences in:
1. Cost Structure
2. Competitors
3. Customers
4. Critical Capabilities
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43. Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent
Markets
Traditional
AlternativeIncremental
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44. Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent
Markets
Traditional Utility
Alternative
Energy
Incremental
Technology
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Example:
Energy Sector
46. • Is it a promising market?
– Best when market is new and not stable
– You must time your entry carefully
– Entrenched companies usually delay
embracing new technology or process
• Can you win in this market?
– Must be built on advantages that are tangible,
practical and easily implemented
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent
Markets
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47. • Can you match the Standards of
Competition in this Market?
–You do have to meet the quality level that is
common in the market
–Three Standards:- Technology,
Relationships, Business-model
–You must have 80 percent of the capabilities
you need to match competitor’s Standards
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent
Markets
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48. • Make or Buy?
1. It is easier to meet the standards of
competition if you buy an existing player
2. Adjacent acquisitions must remain as a
separate enterprise
3. Integrate Management Control (systems,
technology)
4. Inter-transfer of management talent,
knowledge and capability are important
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent
Markets
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49. Strategy 5: Acquire new
Business
• No core advantage to bring in
• Investors mind-set vs. Managers mind-set
• Value unlocking via operational
improvements
• Invest in Management/Leadership
• Premium = Combined value > stand alone
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50. Revenue Growth
Base
Retention
Share Gain Positioning Adjacent
Market
New
Business
Operational
Excellence
Product
Leadership
Customer
Intimacy
Competencies Information
Systems
Motivation,
empowerment,
alignment
Financial
Learning & Growth
Internal
Process
Customers
Investment
Strategy
Productivity Market Value
Linking BSC to M&A
Strategy
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52. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Overcapacity Product/
Market
Consolidation
Transformation/
Convergence
Roll-up Acquire
products/
market
Strategic
Growth Bet
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
53. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Overcapacity
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
•Reduce industry
capacity
•Control Pricing
•Similar Product
Offerings
•Pay for Cost synergies
54. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Roll-up
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
•Transfer Core Strength
to target
•Pay for lower operating
cost of target
•Increase revenue thru
broad strength
55. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Product/
Market
Consolidation
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
•Economies of
Scale
•Consolidate
back office
•Expand Market
presence
•Pay for Growth,
Channels
56. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Acquire
products/
market
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
•Expand market
offering
•Expand
Geographic
reach
•Pay for Growth,
Channels
•Revenue
synergies
57. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Transformation/
Convergence
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
•Transform Industry
•Create new Value
Proposition
•Pay for New Markets,
New Capabilities
58. Types of M&A Deals vs.
Considerations
Strategic
Growth Bet
Size
(Relative)
Share Gain
(Expansion)
Adjacent
(Transformative)
New Business
(Transformative)
Small
Large
Adapted: “Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
•Skill transfer into new
business
•Pay for High Risk
options, ability to act in
new market space
59. Three-Stage Process for
Evaluating M&A deals
1. Strategy Approval
2. Approval-to-
Negotiate
3. Deal Approval
1. Business Dev +
Business Unit
2. Worth of Target?
3. Attractiveness of Target
vs. Others
4. Target compatible with
Strategy?
5. Support from Acquirer?
6. Integration possibilities?
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
60. Three-Stage Process for
Evaluating M&A deals
1. Strategy Approval
2. Approval-to-
Negotiate
3. Deal Approval
1. Price range
2. Initial Due Diligence
3. Vision for incorporation
4. Key Synergies
5. Nonbinding Term
Sheet/LOI
6. Negotiation Roadmap
7. Process to Close
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
61. Three-Stage Process for
Evaluating M&A deals
1. Strategy Approval
2. Approval-to-
Negotiate
3. Deal Approval
1. Answering Key
Questions
2. Debating Valuations
3. Aiming for Integration
4. Dealing with Execution
Risks
“Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
62. Considerations, Risks and
Pitfalls
1. Global footprint vs. Local Presence
2. Anti-trust and Regulatory permissions
3. M&A Accounting Standards
4. ‘Fair Value’ definition in financial reporting =
‘Exit’ price
5. Acquirer and Target having different Risk
Tolerances
6. Public (or Public-hopeful) companies need to
consider EPS after acquisition
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63. Considerations, Risks and
Pitfalls
7. Synergies and Improvements need to realized
as quickly and efficiently as possible
8. Combined Management capability to deliver
improved performance
9. First 100 days post-acquisition blueprint
10.Culture management
11.Staff Poaching from Competitors (and non-
competitors)
12.Customer Poaching from Competitors
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64. Consideration: Alternative
Deals to M&A
“When companies are unwilling to sell or
acquisition premiums are too high,
alliances are the next best thing to a
merger. In other cases, they are actually
preferable to M&A”
David Hernst, Principal, McKinsey’s Washington, DC
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65. Consideration: Alternative
Deals to M&A
Joint
Venture
Unite business units
Problem with shared ownership
New Product Lines
Cost Reductions
Share risk, Share Cost in new markets, R&D
Buy-out clause
Alliances
Reduce non-core or commoditizing parts
Outsourcing, Offshoring
Help supplier gain Scale
Enter Complementary business
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66. End Note for M&A
“Go where the money is...
then marry for love”
F. Scott Fitzgerald, Author
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67. Thank You.
soft copy of slides:
www.totallyunrelatedrandomanddebatable.
blogspot.com
Editor's Notes
Intro: “How to fail without trying”
Why this intro? -
Moral 1: The Right Business Strategy comes first, not M&As to boost the busines. If the Business Model is wrong, the M&A will be wrong no matter how.
Good M&As cannot correct a Bad business model!
Example: Google
USP – Search, Free!
Profit Model – Ad revenue
MKt Discipline – Operational Excellence
Example: Air Asia
USP – Budget
Profit Model – Lowest Cost, Maximum Seats
Mkt Discipline – Operational Excellence
How do I choose which Mamak stall I want to go to?
For Food (best maggi goreng, teh ice)
For Convenience (near office, lights to read, el fresco, parking)
For Service (pre-order Teh Tarik, fast ordering and serving, pleasant & courteous)
It is very hard to find a Mamak stall that has all the features. I am also not interested in all the features also.
I will choose the Mamak stall depending on the Experience I would like to have at that particular moment in time.
How does the Customer define “Great Experience”? - It depends on their own perceptions.
Problem is…this differs depending on the Customer!
If you are very good in something that the Customer does not value, it will not improve the Experience.
To Excel – Must be a Leader in ONE of the disciplines but the other two must be at least at industry standard
Example of successful customer loyalty strategy focusing on Operational Excellence and Product Leadership while maintaining market standard on Customer Service without indulging in it
Refer to Handout 1: Value Disciplines
OPTION 1
OPTION 2
But…. I cannot tell you which path CNI has taken!
Niche companies in new technologies*: petroleum, biotechnology, clean fuel
Growth in Alternative Energy*: Ethanol Blending, Wind
2 and 3 are ‘Expansion’
4 and 5 are ‘Transformative’
Each Investor type has a different ‘interest’ in the company they are investing in
**View Next slide for their possible motives..
Example of Risk Management/Hedging – Abu Dhabi Fund, Temasek
Example of Exclusive Rights and R&D Portfolio – Microsoft buying stake into Facebook (widgets, web 2.0, internet Ads, SaaS, Cloud Computing), Microsoft also will sell Internet ads for Facebook, combined fight to Google, exchange for the opportunity to broker ad placements to non-English language versions that are anticipated to be introduced in the coming months, Microsoft the exclusive provider of standard banner advertising on Facebook using Microsoft’s digital advertising solutions and the Microsoft® adCenter platform.