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National Adaptation Forum - Heat, Floods and Diseases - Integrating climate change with human health - 050917
1. Heat, Floods, and Diseases – Integrating climate change
with human health
National Adaptation Forum, Tuesday, May 9, 2017, 2:50PM – 4:20PM
Be Weather Aware and
Health Prepared!
Breathe
Healthy Today!
Eric Klos, Founder and CEO, HEALTHeWeather
2. Health
• Environmental Factors - A Determinant of
Health Long Neglected
• Causal Relationship Most Obvious for
Allergies and Asthma
• Asthma Extremely Prevalent and Very Costly
to Health Care System
• Flare-Up -> ER Visit -> Hospital Stay ->10
Deaths Every Day
• These Costly Incidences of Medical Care Are
Preventable – The Goal is to Prevent Flare-
Ups/Attacks
3. Climate
• Climate Change Variability (Over Several
Years) – Requires Adaptive Capacity
• Climate Variability (Year over Year – Shows
Trend)
• Weather and Environmental Exposure
Variability (Daily, Monthly, and Seasonally) –
Individual Susceptibility to Variability
• Weather (especially heat) is a contributing
factor in the overall risk associated with
poor air quality and pollen presence.
Weather Aware means Health Prepared
“The Collider is an innovation center for market-driven,
climate solutions, located in downtown ‘Climate City’ –
Asheville, North Carolina, also home of NOAA’s National
Centers for Environmental Information.”
4. Technology
• Big Data (Wearable Sensors on
Horizon)
• Artificial Intelligence
• Mobile Technology
• Measure Exposures To Determine Risk
and Manage/Control Conditions
• Public Health -> Personalized Health
5. Understand
Evaluate
Adapt
The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United
States, A Scientific Assessment, a major report of the National
Climate Assessment process
DailyBreath focuses on the impacts that endanger allergy and
asthma sufferers by affecting ‘the air we breathe’ and the
‘weather we experience.’
1) DailyBreath will make people aware of weather and
environmental exposures that impact their health condition.
2) The app will help them understand/learn their individual
susceptibility to these exposures.
3) The app will help appropriately prepare for encountering
these exposure in their daily activity.
6. Approach
A Health-Context Weather Forecast and the DailyBreath Risk Index
for Allergy and Asthma Sufferers
• Study-based evidence for the correlation of specific weather and
environmental exposures with allergy suffering and/or asthma
attacks
• The risk index is generated based on specific trigger thresholds
being met by near real-time weather and environmental
conditions.
• Each risk index number is displayed with a set of recommended
preventative actions that are generated based on the specific
weather and/or environmental exposure impacts.
• The evidence includes seminal studies older than 10 years, but
preferably we use citations from within the last 10 years.
7. DailyBreath
Risk Index
• Represents not exposure vulnerability based on severity, but
estimated risk of breathing difficulty as a result of a
convergence of weather and environmental exposures
• Categories: AIR (Air Quality and Pollen), TEMP/HUMIDITY,
OUTLOOK (Cloud Cover %, UV Index, BP), WINDS
• The level of risk is estimated based on these exposure
thresholds being met
• Flare-Up tracking of time, location, and weather and
environmental exposure data will allow us to personalize the
risk index based on individual susceptibility
“CASE Consultants International experts in epidemiology, public health,
and climate science supported evidence-based research, threshold
identification, and development of the DailyBreath Risk Index.
8. A Data Gap
• Unfortunately, we do have a gap in our ability to
determine the severity of pollen exposure to support
allergy and asthma sufferers.
• We do not have a national pollen monitoring
network instead relying on partial aggregation of a
nominal number of local pollen monitoring stations.
• The only national source of pollen data is a predictive
evaluation based on a combination of historical data
and pollen monitoring station data where available.
9. A Call for Data
• An effort is underway with support from the
states and the CDC to develop a plan for a
national pollen monitoring network.
• As pollen counts, season lengthens, and pollen
intensity increases, pollen’s impacts on allergic
asthma will increase.
• We must develop this infrastructure to support
alerts and notifications for those most affected
by pollen allergies.
10. Vision,
Mission, and
Contact Info
• Our vision is to end daily suffering that
often arises from the weather and our
environment.
• Our mission is to empower people to
control the negative health outcomes
triggered by the weather and their
surroundings.
• Eric J. Klos, Founder and CEO
HEALTHeWeather
eric@healtheweather.com
703-403-9618