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Special report-06-september 2018-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
Global markets at a glance
The Nasdaq fell more than 1 percent on Wednesday,
dented by technology stocks after Facebook Inc and Twitter
Inc executives defended their companies before sceptical
U.S. lawmakers.
Adding to pressure on technology stocks, the Justice
Department later said it would meet with state attorneys
general to discuss worries that social media platforms were
"intentionally stifling the free exchange of ideas." Facebook
and Twitter were not specifically named.
Twitter shares dropped 6.1 percent. Facebook shares fell
2.3 percent, contributing heavily to both the Nasdaq's and
the S&P 500's declines. The Dow, however, eked out a
slight gain.
Global equities remained under pressure with stocks in Asia
down for the sixth straight day on Thursday amid fragile
investor confidence in the wake of turmoil in emerging
markets and anxiety about a major escalation in the US-
China trade conflict.MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan eased 0.26 percent to hit its lowest
since mid-August. Japan's Nikkei slipped 0.58 percent while
Australian shares fell 0.95 percent.Investors were focussed
on the Sino-US trade war with a public consultation period
in the United States ending Thursday on additional USD
200 billion of US tariffs on Chinese goods.
Previous day Roundup
The Nifty50 after opening lower extended losses as the day
progressed after the rupee hit record low of 71.96 a dollar
intraday. But as the rupee showed smart recovery from
day's low, the index managed to trim losses in the last hour
of trade to close above 11,450 levels on Wednesday.
The Nifty50 hold on to its crucial support placed at 11,400
levels and made a bearish candle which looked like a
‘Hammer’ like pattern on daily charts.
The Nifty50 opened at 11,514.85 and managed to hit an
intraday high of 11,542.65 amid volatility in the initial few
minutes of trade, followed by gradual fall which dragged
the index below 11,400. The index hit an intraday low of
11,393.85 but started recouping some of the losses in last
hour of trade and closed 43.30 points lower at 11,477. It
recovered 83 points from day's low.The short covering or
value buying seen in the last hour of trade may continue in
the coming session but that may not sustain for long as
short term structure of the market is still weak
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[0.80],
Consumption[-48.00pts],Bank[-54.70pts],Auto
[34.30pts],FinService[-61.95pts],Fmcg[-273.80pts],Media[-
29.10pts],Pharma[97.85pts],IT[-8.80pts],Metal
[37.60pts],Realty[-3.00 pts], Pvt Bank[-31.30pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25,974.99 +0.09
S&P500 2,887.75 -0.02
NASDAQ 7,526.00 -0.08
FTSE100 7,383.28 -1.01
NIKKEI 22,473.52 -0.48
HANG SENG 27,096.60 -0.54
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Yes Bank 343.80 9.75 2.92
Vedanta 229.45 4.65 2.07
Hindalco 239.95 4.85 2.06
Wipro 318.85 5.50 1.76
Tata Motors 266.50 4.55 1.74
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Bharti Infratel 271.35 -12.70 -4.47
Idea Cellular 47.90 -1.50 -3.04
HUL 1,611.70 -39.50 -2.39
Zee Entertain 482.45 -10.70 -2.17
Titan Company 863.90 -17.00 -1.93
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
APLLTD 602.95 35.75 5.93
BANKBEES 2799.37 -7.37 -0.26
CANTABIL 159.15 -5.75 -3.61
CENTEXT 8.25 -0.05 -0.61
ELECTROSL 12.1 0.6 4.96
GANGOTRI 2.8 0.1 3.57
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 11477.00 -43.30 -0.38
SENSEX 38018.31 -139.61 -0.37
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
A2ZINFRA 19.2 0 0
ACCELYA 991.8 -2.4 -0.24
AGLSL 78.5 -1.55 -1.97
AKZOINDIA 1715.8 4.2 0.24
ALCHEM 5.15 0.05 0.97
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
DELTACORP [CASH]
From the daily chart it is clear that the particular script has
a support level around 252-253 from where it has shown a
reversal.Today the traders can get a gain by buying on
breakout around the levels of 262.90-263 for the targets
of 267–273 with stoploss below 259.
MACRO NEWS
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening for the
broader index in India, a rise of 30.5 points or 0.27
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,534-
level on the Singaporean Exchange.
US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that
the United States was not yet ready to come to an
agreement over trade disputes with China but he said
talks would continue. “We’ve done very well in
negotiations with China but we’re not prepared to
make the deal that they’d like to make,” Trump told
reporters at the White House without elaborating on
the details.
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said the two Koreas
should further their efforts to realise the
denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula, as he met
with South Korean special envoys on Wednesday,
state media KCNA said on Thursday.Kim added the
two Koreas should keep advancing their joint ties that
have neared a state of peace and reconciliation, and
discussed with South Korean envoys the Pyongyang
inter-Korean summit planned for September - coming
to a satisfactory agreement.
After hitting fresh lows of 71.97 per US dollar, the
Indian rupee on Wednesday, managed to recover over
20 paise to close at 71.75 per US dollar. The currency
hit a fresh record low of 71.97 intraday on the back of
a surge in crude oil prices along with sharp rise in the
US dollar as well.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. SBIN [FUTURE ]
From the daily chart it is clear that the particular script has a
support level around 297 from where it has show some
bounce back and closed with a spinning top candle since the
the market is showing negative trend the trader should wait
for the stock price to sustain at its support level so we advice
you to buy sbin around its level of 299-300 for the targets of
302-305 with stoploss below 297.
2. WIPRO [FUTURE]
The particular script has rebounded from its support level of
308 by showing a indecision candle and resumed its upward
movement Today it can show this movement since IT sector
is also showing strength so we advice you to buy wipro
future around the levels of 320-322 for the targets of 326-
330 with stoploss below 317.
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 28,000 2.6 2,74,703 11,99,000
NIFTY CE 11,600 87.5 1,76,743 32,14,050
NIFTY CE 11,700 51.5 1,58,181 28,81,650
ADANIENT CE 220 0.05 13,968 37,12,000
ADANIENT CE 225 0.05 9,926 24,16,000
ADANIENT CE 230 0.05 9,603 37,56,000
ADANIENT CE 215 0.05 8,349 21,88,000
RELIANCE CE 1,300 11.15 6,877 36,79,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 11,500 128.85 1,74,577 37,77,900
BANKNIFTY PE 26,800 3.65 1,65,825 1,90,440
NIFTY PE 11,400 92.05 1,51,163 39,17,100
ADANIENT PE 200 0.05 8,989 31,68,000
ADANIENT PE 210 0.05 6,205 36,96,000
RELIANCE PE 1,200 17.7 6,132 13,69,000
ADANIENT PE 205 0.05 6,095 17,24,000
TATASTEEL PE 580 11.8 4,508 7,04,504
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 35204 3338.02 39441 3673.71 231677 20162.95 -335.6852
INDEX OPTIONS 1197624 124841.88 1198386 125228.88 721757 64761.03 -387.0048
STOCK FUTURES 211275 15218.57 224323 15801.59 1116591 84562.67 -583.0214
STOCK OPTIONS 141967 10825.45 143204 10865.79 93744 7135.24 -40.3407
-1346.0521
STOCKS IN NEWS
Alembic Pharmaceuticals: The meeting of the board
of directors of the company is scheduled on
September 10 to consider the proposal for issue of
non-convertible debentures on private placement
basis
Bombay Burmah Trading approved appointment of
Dibakar Chatterjee as CEO w.e.f. Sept 5
NIFTY FUTURE
Yesterday nifty future broke its crucial resistance level of
11500 and moved towards its next support level of
11445 but after 2:30pm it showed some bounce back
from the current level and closed above 11500, today it
may show sideways movement so sell on rise would be
good strategy so we advice you to sell around the levels
of 11540-550 for the targets 11500-450 with stoploss
above 11600.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 11619.00 11547.00 11470.00 11398.00 11321.00
BANKNIFTY 27709.00 27542.00 27339.00 27172.00 26969.00
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
COMEX Gold futures started the week on a positive note.
The metal remained broadly supported amid continued
stress on the global trade front. US President Donald
Trump's weekend threats to leave Canada out of the new
North American Free Trade Agreement weighed on stocks.
The US stock market was closed on Monday for the Labor
Day holiday. COMEX Gold has recovered from an 18 month
low recently and the prices have moved up the critical
$1200 per ounce now. The yellow metal is currently quoting
at $1205 per ounce, flat on the day. Large speculators
trimmed their bearish net positions in the Gold futures
markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of
Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures
Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. The non-commercial
futures contracts of Gold futures, traded by large
speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -
3,063 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday
August 28th. This was a weekly gain of 5,647 contracts
. The non-commercial futures contracts of WTI Crude Oil
futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds,
totaled a net position of 550,313 contracts in the data
reported through Tuesday August 28th. This was a weekly
rise of 11,528 contracts. Speculative positions had declined
for three straight weeks.
The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders
engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled
a net position of -585,826 contracts on the week. This was a
weekly fall of -6,982 contracts.
London Metal Trade copper exchanged level at $5,976 a
ton, having prior slipped to $5,952.50, its weakest since
Aug. 23. Copper on Friday fell 1.5 percent to require the
month to month drop in Eminent to 5.2 percent. It was the
greatest month to month drop in two years and the third
month to month decay in a push. Indian Copper was trading
at Rs 417 per kg, down 1.6%. The prices of Copper tested a
high of Rs 424.45 per kg, and a low of Rs 416.6 per kg.
Nickel sank to its most reduced in more than seven months
this week, weighed down by stresses almost China's
economy, heightening exchange pressures and frail steel
prices. Manufacturing action in China, the world's greatest
shopper of mechanical metals, developed final month at its
slowest rate in more than a year, with trade orders
contracting for a fifth month and managers cutting more
staff, the Caixin/Markit Purchase Managers' Record
appeared. China's fabricating action developed at the
slowest pace in more than a year in August, with send out
orders contracting for a fifth month and bosses cutting
more staff, a private study appeared on Monday.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD OCT FUT ABOVE 30400 TGT 30500 30700 SL
BELOW 30300
SELL GOLD OCT FUT BELOW 30300 TGT 30200 30000 SL
ABOVE 30400
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER SEP FUT ABOVE 37200 TGT 37100 37400 SL
BELOW 36700
SELL SILVER SEP FUT BELOW 36900 TGT 36700 36400 SL
ABOVE 37100
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1624.5 -1.01
Castor Seed 4670 -0.55
Chana 3887 -0.38
Coriander 4898 2.06
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1739 0.43
Guar Seed 10 MT 4365 0.46
Jeera 19200 -0.6
Mustardseed 4026 -0.35
Soy Bean 3235 -2.32
Turmeric 6656 -0.98
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM OCT FUT ABOVE 9770 TGT 9820 9870 SL
BELOW 9720
SELL GUARGUM OCT FUT BELOW 9430 TARGET 9380-9340
SL 9470.
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA SEP FUT ABOVE 4820 TGT 4870 4920 SL
BELOW 4770
SELL DHANIYA SEP FUT BELOW 4640 TARGET 4600-4570 SL
4670
Pepper price in India extended their recent upmove
following the havoc caused by the flood in Kerala- the
primary domestic supplying state. In HCMC Viet Nam, local
price of black pepper also increased marginally as global
pepper markets watched the developments in India. Indian
Rupee is also tumbling to fresh lows in recent weeks and
that is also bound to feed into global pepper export quotes.
As per government notification, Indian sugar mills can sell
20 lakh metric tonnes of the sweetener in the open market
in September 2018, the Government said.In a notification
issued, the food ministry has allocated sugar quota for sale
to each of 524 mills in the country.The sugar mills who have
exported sugar under Minimum Indicative Export Quota
(MIEQ), allocated vide Order No. 1(4)/2018-1 dated
09.05.2018, either directly or by way of trading export
quota to third parties may also sell/dispatch additional
quantity of sugar equivalent to actual export during 2017-
18 sugar season till August ,2018 or their MIEQ, whichever
is less, excluding the additional quantity of sugar already
sold in the month of August 2018 on this account, in
addition to the quantity of white/ refined sugar specified
for domestic sale/despatch as indicated incolumn 4 of the
table. Third party under this clause shall be eligible only for
the quantity exported by it against its own quota.
In the previous month the Govt. allocated quota to 524
mills in the country to sell 17.50 lakh metric tonnes of the
sweetener.The government had announced creation of 3
million tonnes of buffer stock and stock holding limit on
sugar mills in a bid to improve liquidity of cash-starved
millers and enabling them to clear cane arrears of around
Rs.20,000 crores. Recently, the deadline of MIEQ has also
been extended till 31st December 2018.As per latest update
from United States Department of Agriculture (USDA),
Mexico cotton production for MY 2018/19 is 1.59 million
bales, 9 percent lower that the USDA official estimation.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.1857 Yen 63.9200
Euro 82.4919 GBP 91.4603
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY USDINR ABOVE 72.80 TGT 73.30 73.80 SL BELOW 72.40
SELL USDINR BELOW 71.00 TGT 70.70 70.40 SL ABOVE 71.30
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR ABOVE 92.70 TGT 93.00 93.30 SL BELOW 92.40
SELL GBPINR BELOW 91.50 TGT 91.20 90.90 SL ABOVE 91.80
The dollar was holding steady near one-month lows
against a currency basket on Thursday as markets awaited
trade developments, while the pound remained firm after
rallying in the previous session as fears over a no-deal
Brexit eased. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the
greenback’s strength against a basket of six major
currencies, was at 94.45 by 03:57 AM ET (07:57 GMT), not
far from Tuesday’s one-month lows of 94.34.
Market sentiment continued to be supported by hopes
that Canada will join the new trade agreement between
the U.S. and Mexico aimed at overhauling the North
American Free Trade Agreement ahead of a Friday
deadline.But the new trade deal did little to indicate how
a trade spat between the U.S. and China will play out after
talks last week ended with little progress and both
countries slapped fresh reciprocal tariffs on
imports.Sterling was steady after rising above the 1.30
level against the dollar for the first time in three weeks on
Wednesday after European Union negotiator Michel
Barnier said the bloc was prepared to offer Britain a
partnership after Brexit.GBP/USD was at 1.3028 after
gaining 1.23% in the previous session, its largest one-day
percentage gain since March 21.The pound was also
stronger against the euro, with EUR/GBP edging down to
0.8982 after ending the previous session with a loss of
1.09%.
The Indian rupee collapsed to lifetime closing lows against
the dollar following heavy month-end dollar demand from
importers and foreign capital outflows. The domestic
currency, having traded comfortably below the Rs 70/$
mark since late last week, slipped to an intra day low of
70.65 today before closing the day at 70.57, logging its
biggest single-day drop since August 13.
Consistent dollar demand from banks and importers,
mainly oil refiners, following higher crude oil prices, kept
the rupee under pressure. Yesterday, the local currency
had bounced back in a tepid fashion from the record
closing low, gaining 6 paise to end at 70.10 against the US
currency.
Meanwhile, the dollar rose against a basket of major
currencies after touching a four-week low overnight as
optimism over the U.S.-Mexico trade deal gave way to
caution ahead of a deadline in the China-U.S. trade
dispute.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
05/09/18 NCDEX DHANIYA SEP BUY 4700 4730 4760 4670 TARGET HIT
05/09/18 NCDEX DHANIYA SEP SELL 4640 4600-4570 4670 NOT EXECUTED
05/09/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
OCT BUY 9770 9820 9870 9720 NOT EXECUTED
05/09/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
OCT SELL 9500 9470-9440 9550 TARGET HIT
05/09/18 MCX GOLD OCT BUY 30300 30400 30600 30200 TARGET HIT
05/09/18 MCX GOLD OCT SELL 30150 30050 29850 30250 NOT EXECUTED
05/09/18 MCX SILVER SEP BUY 36700 36900 37200 36500 TARGET HIT
05/09/18 MCX SILVER SEP SELL 36500 36300 36000 36700 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
05/09/18 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10610-10620 10550-10500 10670 TARGET HIT
05/09/18 ONGC FUTURE BUY 171-172 175-178 169 IN PROFIT
05/09/18 TECHM FUTURE SELL 772-775 780-790 765 SL TRIGGERED
05/09/18 BAJAJELEC CASH BUY 545-546 555–565 538 SL TRIGGERED
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
6-Sep-2018
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or
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Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, SEPT. 3
Labor Day holiday
None scheduled
TUESDAY, SEPT. 4
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI final Aug. 54.5
10 am ISM manufacturing index Aug. 58.1%
10 am Construction spending July -1.1%
Varies
WEDNESDA
Y, SEPT. 5
WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 5
WEDNESD
AY, SEPT.
5
WEDNESDAY, SEPT.
5
WEDNESDAY,
SEPT. 5
WEDNESDAY
, SEPT. 5
8:30 am Trade deficit July -$46.3bln
THURSDAY, SEPT. 6
8:15 am ADP employment Aug. 219,000
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 9/1 --
8:30 am Productivity Q2 2.9%
8:30 am Unit labor costs Q2 -0.9%
9:45 am
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing index Aug. 55.7%
10 am Factory orders July