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Principles of Lymphoma Epidemiology



              Paolo Boffetta
Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY
Worldwide Incidence of NHL in 2008 - Men
Worldwide Incidence of NHL in 2008 - Women
NHL Incidence Rate in Los Angeles, by ethnic
                                      group, 1998-2002

               20
Age stand. rate/100,000




               15


               10


                          5


                          0
                              Black   Chinese   Japanese     Filipino   Korean   Hispanic    Non-
                                                                                  White     Hispanic
                                                                                             White
                                                           Men    Women
The increasing incidence of NHL during
  the second half of the 20th century

   10

                        Men
    8                   Women

    6


    4


    2
                                                                 Denmark
    0
    45

         50

              55

                   60

                         65

                              70

                                   75

                                        80

                                             85

                                                  90

                                                       95

                                                            00
   19

         19

              19

                   19

                        19

                              19

                                   19

                                        19

                                             19

                                                  19

                                                       19

                                                            20
Trends of age-adjusted incidence rates of NHL in females
                                           65+ years, SEER 9 Regions, 1973-2003



               50
                                                                                                                                                                         DLBCL

               40                                                                                                                                                        Marginal
                                                                                                                                                                         Zone
AAIR/100,000




               30                                                                                                                                                        Follicular


               20                                                                                                                                                        CLL/SLL

                                                                                                                                                                         Mantle cell
               10

                                                                                                                                                                         Burkitt's
                 0
                             5                 9                 3                 7                 1                 5                 9                 3             Lymphoplas
                        97                97                98                98                99                99                99                00
                      -1                -1                -1                -1                -1                -1                -1                -2                   macytic
                 73                76                80                84                88                92                96                00
               19                19                19                19                19                19                19                20                          T cell/NK




                                                                                                                                                               Morton, et al., 2006
Established causes of NHL
• EBV infection (Burkitt)
• Severe immunodeficiency (acquired or
  inherited)
• Severe immunostimulation
• Chemotherapy
NHL risk in organ transplant recipients

Study              Country   Org      N      Obs   RR
Hoover 1992        US         K      6297    54    18
Kinlen 1979        UK         K      3823    34    60
Opeiz 1993         US, Eur    K      45141   155   16
Adami 2003         Sweden     K      5004    27    4
Whiterspoon 1989   US         BM     2264    16    350
Opeiz 1993         US, Eur    H      7643    162   67
Adami 2003         Sweden    non-K   927     18    37
NHL risk in RA patients

Study                 Country    N      Obs   RR
Silman 1988           UK        404      6    7.3
Gridley 1993          Sweden    11683   36    1.9
Gridley 1994*         USA       906     19    13
Mellemkjaer 1996      Denmark   20699   85    2.4



 * Felty syndrome patients
NHL risk after chemotherapy for HD
 Study                  N      O    RR
 Kaldor 1987          28462   24    3.0
 Tucker 1988           1507    9    18
 Henry-Amar 1992      12411   106   32
 van Leeuwen 1994      1939   NA    21
 Swerdlow 1997         1039    3    4.6


         Excess mainly in first 5 years
Risk also in HD patients without chemotherapy
Suspected causes of NHL
• Genetic factors
   – candidate genes
   – GWAS
• Infections
   – HCV
• Sunlight
• Hair dyes
• Agricultural-related factors
   – pesticides, animal viruses
• Occupational exposures
   – school teachers, meat workers
• Diet, obesity
Pooled analysis of 14 polymorphisms
     in 10 immunological genes




                           Rothman et al., 2006
GWAS of NHL


• Stage 1 3-stage
  GWAS




                    FL SNP at 6p21.32 (MHC region)


                                   Conde et al., 2010
Risk of NHL associated to HCV
Table 2. Risk estimates for Non-Hodgkin lymphoma associated withConsortium
      Results from InterLymph HCV by study
                                              Prevalence
                                                                                              †
                     Control Case Control                  Case         OR (95% CI)
                          n        n      n     %      n     %
Connecticut             534       463     5    0.94    8     1.73      2.08 (0.65-6.64)
                                                                                              ‡
Italy                   504       225    45 8.93 44 19.56              2.67 (1.66-4.31)
                                                                                              ‡
NCI                     684       813    14 2.05 32          3.94      1.89 (0.99-3.61)
                                                                                              ‡
NSW                     518       587     2    0.39    3     0.51      1.15 (0.19-7.00)
UCSF                   1,544      554    57 3.69 23          4.15      1.24 (0.75-2.05)
                                                                                              ‡
Epilymph Europe        1,788 1,346 41 2.29 43                3.19      1.44 (0.93-2.24)
Canada                  697       796     5    0.72 19       2.39      3.28 (1.20-8.98)
                                                                                              §
    Pooled data        6,269 4,785 169 2.7 172 3.59                    1.74 (1.39-2.19)
†
  OR and 95% CI were estimated using unconditional logistic regression models, adjusted for age, sex and race
‡
  Adjusted for study center or geographic region of data collection
§
  Joint fixed-effects logistic regression model; also adjusted for study cente

                                                                        Resultados preliminares

                                                       de Sanjose et al., 2008
        Courtesy of Silvia de Sanjose, Institut Català d' Oncologia, IDIBELL
Other infections suspected to cause NHL

•   H. pylori   gastric MALT and DLBCL
•   B. burgdorferi    cutaneous MALT
•   C. jejuni   small intestine MALT
•   HHV-8     PEL
•   SV40      DLBCL
UV radiation and NHL risk
•Ecological analyses showing a positive association between UV
exposure/skin cancer and NHL


           OR (95% CI)

                                •InterLymph-based pooled analysis
                                • 8 case-control studies
                                • 8200 cases, 9700 controls
                                • RR for high vs. low quartile of UV
                                exposure distribution 0.87 (95% CI
                                0.71, 1.05)

  0.1          1.0       10.0
               OR




                                                     Kricker et al., 2008
Tobacco smoking and NHL risk
 InterLymph pooled analysis




                         Morton et al., 2005
Risk of NHL among farmers
• Meta-analysis of 43 studies
  – overall RR 1.06 (95% CI 1.02-1.11)
  – higher for men, US studies and case-
    control studies
  – heterogeneity of risk estimates
Risk of NHL among teachers
• Meta-analysis of 17 studies
  – overall RR 1.18 (95% CI 1.13-1.29)
  – dominated by a record linkage study from
    US
  – limited heterogeneity of risk estimates
Risk of NHL attributable to selected factors

    Risk factor                   RR     Exp %   PAR %
    MHC SNP (FL only)             1.95    12      10
    TNF SNP                       1.19    26       5
    Chemotherapy - HD             10      0.1     0.1
    Chemotherapy - testis/ovary   2.0     0.5     0.3
    Farmers                       1.05     5      0.3
    Dry cleaners                  1.4      1      0.4
    Meat workers                  1.3     0.5     0.1
    Teachers                      1.2      5       1
    Hair dyes                     1.07    37       3
    Smoking                       1.07    30       2
    HCV infection                 1.7      5       3
Epidemiology of NHL
                 Challenges
• Complex geographic and temporal
  patterns
  – epidemiology of NHL subtypes
• Limited understanding of causes
  – small proportion of cases explained
• Need to integrate biological, clinical and
  epidemiological research
Epidemiology of NHL
                Opportunities
• Insights into mechanisms of
  carcinogenesis
  – role of immunocompetence in human cancer
  – development of new therapies
• Fostering international collaboration
  – access to well-annotated series
Acknowledgments

• InterLymph
  – Anne Kricker, Wendy Cozen, Nat
    Rothman, Christine Skibola, Lindsay
    Morton, Trisha Hartge
• Epilymph
  – Silvia de Sanjose, Gigi Cocco, Alexandra
    Nieters, Marc Maynadie
• Other groups
  – Hans-Olov Adami, Anders Ekbom

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LLA 2011 - P. Boffetta - Principles of lymphoma epidemiology

  • 1. Principles of Lymphoma Epidemiology Paolo Boffetta Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY
  • 2. Worldwide Incidence of NHL in 2008 - Men
  • 3. Worldwide Incidence of NHL in 2008 - Women
  • 4. NHL Incidence Rate in Los Angeles, by ethnic group, 1998-2002 20 Age stand. rate/100,000 15 10 5 0 Black Chinese Japanese Filipino Korean Hispanic Non- White Hispanic White Men Women
  • 5. The increasing incidence of NHL during the second half of the 20th century 10 Men 8 Women 6 4 2 Denmark 0 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20
  • 6. Trends of age-adjusted incidence rates of NHL in females 65+ years, SEER 9 Regions, 1973-2003 50 DLBCL 40 Marginal Zone AAIR/100,000 30 Follicular 20 CLL/SLL Mantle cell 10 Burkitt's 0 5 9 3 7 1 5 9 3 Lymphoplas 97 97 98 98 99 99 99 00 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 macytic 73 76 80 84 88 92 96 00 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 T cell/NK Morton, et al., 2006
  • 7. Established causes of NHL • EBV infection (Burkitt) • Severe immunodeficiency (acquired or inherited) • Severe immunostimulation • Chemotherapy
  • 8. NHL risk in organ transplant recipients Study Country Org N Obs RR Hoover 1992 US K 6297 54 18 Kinlen 1979 UK K 3823 34 60 Opeiz 1993 US, Eur K 45141 155 16 Adami 2003 Sweden K 5004 27 4 Whiterspoon 1989 US BM 2264 16 350 Opeiz 1993 US, Eur H 7643 162 67 Adami 2003 Sweden non-K 927 18 37
  • 9. NHL risk in RA patients Study Country N Obs RR Silman 1988 UK 404 6 7.3 Gridley 1993 Sweden 11683 36 1.9 Gridley 1994* USA 906 19 13 Mellemkjaer 1996 Denmark 20699 85 2.4 * Felty syndrome patients
  • 10. NHL risk after chemotherapy for HD Study N O RR Kaldor 1987 28462 24 3.0 Tucker 1988 1507 9 18 Henry-Amar 1992 12411 106 32 van Leeuwen 1994 1939 NA 21 Swerdlow 1997 1039 3 4.6 Excess mainly in first 5 years Risk also in HD patients without chemotherapy
  • 11. Suspected causes of NHL • Genetic factors – candidate genes – GWAS • Infections – HCV • Sunlight • Hair dyes • Agricultural-related factors – pesticides, animal viruses • Occupational exposures – school teachers, meat workers • Diet, obesity
  • 12. Pooled analysis of 14 polymorphisms in 10 immunological genes Rothman et al., 2006
  • 13. GWAS of NHL • Stage 1 3-stage GWAS FL SNP at 6p21.32 (MHC region) Conde et al., 2010
  • 14. Risk of NHL associated to HCV Table 2. Risk estimates for Non-Hodgkin lymphoma associated withConsortium Results from InterLymph HCV by study Prevalence † Control Case Control Case OR (95% CI) n n n % n % Connecticut 534 463 5 0.94 8 1.73 2.08 (0.65-6.64) ‡ Italy 504 225 45 8.93 44 19.56 2.67 (1.66-4.31) ‡ NCI 684 813 14 2.05 32 3.94 1.89 (0.99-3.61) ‡ NSW 518 587 2 0.39 3 0.51 1.15 (0.19-7.00) UCSF 1,544 554 57 3.69 23 4.15 1.24 (0.75-2.05) ‡ Epilymph Europe 1,788 1,346 41 2.29 43 3.19 1.44 (0.93-2.24) Canada 697 796 5 0.72 19 2.39 3.28 (1.20-8.98) § Pooled data 6,269 4,785 169 2.7 172 3.59 1.74 (1.39-2.19) † OR and 95% CI were estimated using unconditional logistic regression models, adjusted for age, sex and race ‡ Adjusted for study center or geographic region of data collection § Joint fixed-effects logistic regression model; also adjusted for study cente Resultados preliminares de Sanjose et al., 2008 Courtesy of Silvia de Sanjose, Institut Català d' Oncologia, IDIBELL
  • 15. Other infections suspected to cause NHL • H. pylori gastric MALT and DLBCL • B. burgdorferi cutaneous MALT • C. jejuni small intestine MALT • HHV-8 PEL • SV40 DLBCL
  • 16. UV radiation and NHL risk •Ecological analyses showing a positive association between UV exposure/skin cancer and NHL OR (95% CI) •InterLymph-based pooled analysis • 8 case-control studies • 8200 cases, 9700 controls • RR for high vs. low quartile of UV exposure distribution 0.87 (95% CI 0.71, 1.05) 0.1 1.0 10.0 OR Kricker et al., 2008
  • 17. Tobacco smoking and NHL risk InterLymph pooled analysis Morton et al., 2005
  • 18. Risk of NHL among farmers • Meta-analysis of 43 studies – overall RR 1.06 (95% CI 1.02-1.11) – higher for men, US studies and case- control studies – heterogeneity of risk estimates
  • 19. Risk of NHL among teachers • Meta-analysis of 17 studies – overall RR 1.18 (95% CI 1.13-1.29) – dominated by a record linkage study from US – limited heterogeneity of risk estimates
  • 20. Risk of NHL attributable to selected factors Risk factor RR Exp % PAR % MHC SNP (FL only) 1.95 12 10 TNF SNP 1.19 26 5 Chemotherapy - HD 10 0.1 0.1 Chemotherapy - testis/ovary 2.0 0.5 0.3 Farmers 1.05 5 0.3 Dry cleaners 1.4 1 0.4 Meat workers 1.3 0.5 0.1 Teachers 1.2 5 1 Hair dyes 1.07 37 3 Smoking 1.07 30 2 HCV infection 1.7 5 3
  • 21.
  • 22. Epidemiology of NHL Challenges • Complex geographic and temporal patterns – epidemiology of NHL subtypes • Limited understanding of causes – small proportion of cases explained • Need to integrate biological, clinical and epidemiological research
  • 23. Epidemiology of NHL Opportunities • Insights into mechanisms of carcinogenesis – role of immunocompetence in human cancer – development of new therapies • Fostering international collaboration – access to well-annotated series
  • 24. Acknowledgments • InterLymph – Anne Kricker, Wendy Cozen, Nat Rothman, Christine Skibola, Lindsay Morton, Trisha Hartge • Epilymph – Silvia de Sanjose, Gigi Cocco, Alexandra Nieters, Marc Maynadie • Other groups – Hans-Olov Adami, Anders Ekbom