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Epidemiology of childhood malnutrition; A case study
on Kwashiorkor at KDH in 6-60m Inpatients
Leonard Wafula
Introduction
• 1st described by Jamaican pediatrician, Cecily Williams (1933)
• The origin isn’t clear; a number of theories have been fronted
Etiology of Kwashiorkor
Free radical damage theory (Golden, 1988)
• Kwashiorkor outcome is determined by extrinsic factors leading to
free radical formation & intrinsic factors which may impair the
bodies ability to safely dispose/scavenge free radicals.
• The net result is damage of the membrane and leakage of the fluids
in the cells, leading to edema
• Socioeconomic factors: mother’s education, wealth standing,
child birth weight etc.
• Disease burden >social capital
• Political factors
• Environmental factors
Factors influencing Kwashiorkor prevalence
Objectives
• To assess the prevalence and distribution of severe acute
malnutrition; annually, by age group and severity
• To establish the epidemiological characteristics of Kwashiorkor
• To compare annual case fatality ratios by MUAC, WHZ,
kwashiorkor vs. overall fatality ratio
• To assess the predictability of death in Inpatients by MUAC, age,
sex, kwashiorkor, residence, and year
Males, 55
Out, 35
Malnut, 23.4
death, 5.4 Yes, 6.4
Yes, 9.3
0
25
50
75
100
Sex DSS Malnut Outcome Oedema Wasting
percentage General characteristics of Inpatients
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
numberofcases Annual Severe acute malnutrition level by severity
severe moderate
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54
prevalence
age(months)
Severe Acute Malnutrition prevalence by age and severity
severe moderate
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54
prevalence
age group(m)
Kwashiorkor and Wasting prevalence by age
Kwash Wasting
Inpatient Kwashiorkor proportions by residence and sex of patient
DSS Sex
In Out Female Male
Proportion (%) 4.33 9.97 7.12 5.87
Diff. proportion -5.6 1.26
p-value(diff) <0.001 <0.001
• Kwashiorkor prevalence decreases with increase in age
• Proportion of Kwashiorkor in DSS is significantly lower than outside the DSS
• Females have a higher Kwashiorkor proportion than male inpatients
Multivariable Odds ratio for Kwashiorkor in Inpatients
Factor Category Odds p-value
Sex Male 0.91 (0.83-1.00) 0.049
MUAC 12.5-13.5 2.49 (2.16-2.87) <0.01
11.5-12.5 6.70 (5.84 -7.67) <0.01
<11.5 16.86 (14.91-19.06) <0.01
Residence Out 1.80 (1.64-1.97) <0.01
Age(M) 12-18 2.95 (2.47-3.54)
18-24 6.56 (5.52-7.81)
24-30 8.80 (7.35-10.54)
30-36 8.42 (6.88-10.30) <0.01
36-42 9.56 (7.74-11.79)
42-48 9.01 (7.16-11.35)
48-54 7.29 (5.63-9.45)
54-60 8.18 (6.20-10.78)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
<-1 <-2 <-3
12.5-13.5 11.5-12.5 <11.5
Mortality odds ratios by MUAC and WHZ
WHZ
MUAC
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
Case fatality ratios by Severe Acute Malnutrition factor
Overall Kwash Muac<11.5
ttest, p=0.85
R2=0.3231, p=0.031
Severe Moderate At risk
Kilifi(MUAC) 10.1 (8.9-11.4) 3.1 (2.6-3.6) 1.5 (1.3-1.8)
Overall(WHZ)* 9.4 (5.3-16.8) 3.0 (2.0-4.5) 1.5 (1.2-1.9)
* Ghana, Senegal, Guinea Bissau, the Philippines, India, Nepal, Bangladesh, Pakistan,
*Robert et al- Maternal and child undernutrition: global and regional exposures and
health consequences, the Lancet 2008
Comparison of Mortality odds by S.A.M severity in Kilifi and
8 other countries
Odds ratios of Inpatient deaths by Multivariable analysis cont’n
Model 1 Model 2
Factor Category 95% Conf. P-value 95% Conf. P-value
interval interval
12.5-13.5 1.7 (1.4-2.0) <0.01 1.5 (1.3-1.8) <0.01
MUAC 11.5-12.5 3.4 (2.9-4.0) <0.01 2.9 (2.4-3.4) <0.01
<11.5 10.3 (9.0-11.7) <0.01 7.8 (6.8-9.0) <0.01
Sex Male 1.1 (1.0-1.2) 0.211 1.1 (1.0-1.2) 0.140
Age <2yrs (base)
2-5yrs 1.5 (1.3-1.7) <0.01 1.5(1.3-1.7) <0.01
Residence Out-DSS 1.8 (1.6-2.0) <0.01 1.7 (1.6-1.9) <0.01
Kwashiorkor 2.3 (2.0-2.6) <0.01
Year 0.98 (0.96-0.99) 0.002
Conclusions
• Kilifi is typical of other severe acute malnutrition case areas in
the developing countries; by prevalence and rate of reduction in
severe acute malnutrition
• Kwashiorkor, and by extension severe acute malnutrition, is
highly prevalent in early stages of life- before 2yrs.
• Kwashiorkor is higher in females and Out -DSS than males and
In-DSS respectively
• MUAC, residence, age, year of admission, and presence of
edema all significantly predict death in children 6-60m
Acknowledgement
The J.A.B Group
• Dr Jay Berkley- Supervisor
• Dr Abdisalan Noor
• Dr Greg Fegan
• Martha Mwangome
• Naomi Waithira (in absentia)
• Ken Mwai
• Moses Ngari
• Robert Mutai
• CTF + Archives family
• John Ojal
• Caesar Olima
• James Mburu
• ICT and KEMRI wazee groups
Training department
• Dr Sam Kinyanjui
• Liz Murabu
• Edna Pendo
• 2013 Interns

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final presentation

  • 1. Epidemiology of childhood malnutrition; A case study on Kwashiorkor at KDH in 6-60m Inpatients Leonard Wafula
  • 3. • 1st described by Jamaican pediatrician, Cecily Williams (1933) • The origin isn’t clear; a number of theories have been fronted Etiology of Kwashiorkor Free radical damage theory (Golden, 1988) • Kwashiorkor outcome is determined by extrinsic factors leading to free radical formation & intrinsic factors which may impair the bodies ability to safely dispose/scavenge free radicals. • The net result is damage of the membrane and leakage of the fluids in the cells, leading to edema
  • 4. • Socioeconomic factors: mother’s education, wealth standing, child birth weight etc. • Disease burden >social capital • Political factors • Environmental factors Factors influencing Kwashiorkor prevalence
  • 5. Objectives • To assess the prevalence and distribution of severe acute malnutrition; annually, by age group and severity • To establish the epidemiological characteristics of Kwashiorkor • To compare annual case fatality ratios by MUAC, WHZ, kwashiorkor vs. overall fatality ratio • To assess the predictability of death in Inpatients by MUAC, age, sex, kwashiorkor, residence, and year
  • 6. Males, 55 Out, 35 Malnut, 23.4 death, 5.4 Yes, 6.4 Yes, 9.3 0 25 50 75 100 Sex DSS Malnut Outcome Oedema Wasting percentage General characteristics of Inpatients
  • 7. 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 numberofcases Annual Severe acute malnutrition level by severity severe moderate
  • 8. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 prevalence age(months) Severe Acute Malnutrition prevalence by age and severity severe moderate
  • 9. 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 prevalence age group(m) Kwashiorkor and Wasting prevalence by age Kwash Wasting
  • 10. Inpatient Kwashiorkor proportions by residence and sex of patient DSS Sex In Out Female Male Proportion (%) 4.33 9.97 7.12 5.87 Diff. proportion -5.6 1.26 p-value(diff) <0.001 <0.001 • Kwashiorkor prevalence decreases with increase in age • Proportion of Kwashiorkor in DSS is significantly lower than outside the DSS • Females have a higher Kwashiorkor proportion than male inpatients
  • 11. Multivariable Odds ratio for Kwashiorkor in Inpatients Factor Category Odds p-value Sex Male 0.91 (0.83-1.00) 0.049 MUAC 12.5-13.5 2.49 (2.16-2.87) <0.01 11.5-12.5 6.70 (5.84 -7.67) <0.01 <11.5 16.86 (14.91-19.06) <0.01 Residence Out 1.80 (1.64-1.97) <0.01 Age(M) 12-18 2.95 (2.47-3.54) 18-24 6.56 (5.52-7.81) 24-30 8.80 (7.35-10.54) 30-36 8.42 (6.88-10.30) <0.01 36-42 9.56 (7.74-11.79) 42-48 9.01 (7.16-11.35) 48-54 7.29 (5.63-9.45) 54-60 8.18 (6.20-10.78)
  • 12. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 <-1 <-2 <-3 12.5-13.5 11.5-12.5 <11.5 Mortality odds ratios by MUAC and WHZ WHZ MUAC
  • 13. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Case fatality ratios by Severe Acute Malnutrition factor Overall Kwash Muac<11.5 ttest, p=0.85 R2=0.3231, p=0.031
  • 14. Severe Moderate At risk Kilifi(MUAC) 10.1 (8.9-11.4) 3.1 (2.6-3.6) 1.5 (1.3-1.8) Overall(WHZ)* 9.4 (5.3-16.8) 3.0 (2.0-4.5) 1.5 (1.2-1.9) * Ghana, Senegal, Guinea Bissau, the Philippines, India, Nepal, Bangladesh, Pakistan, *Robert et al- Maternal and child undernutrition: global and regional exposures and health consequences, the Lancet 2008 Comparison of Mortality odds by S.A.M severity in Kilifi and 8 other countries
  • 15. Odds ratios of Inpatient deaths by Multivariable analysis cont’n Model 1 Model 2 Factor Category 95% Conf. P-value 95% Conf. P-value interval interval 12.5-13.5 1.7 (1.4-2.0) <0.01 1.5 (1.3-1.8) <0.01 MUAC 11.5-12.5 3.4 (2.9-4.0) <0.01 2.9 (2.4-3.4) <0.01 <11.5 10.3 (9.0-11.7) <0.01 7.8 (6.8-9.0) <0.01 Sex Male 1.1 (1.0-1.2) 0.211 1.1 (1.0-1.2) 0.140 Age <2yrs (base) 2-5yrs 1.5 (1.3-1.7) <0.01 1.5(1.3-1.7) <0.01 Residence Out-DSS 1.8 (1.6-2.0) <0.01 1.7 (1.6-1.9) <0.01 Kwashiorkor 2.3 (2.0-2.6) <0.01 Year 0.98 (0.96-0.99) 0.002
  • 16. Conclusions • Kilifi is typical of other severe acute malnutrition case areas in the developing countries; by prevalence and rate of reduction in severe acute malnutrition • Kwashiorkor, and by extension severe acute malnutrition, is highly prevalent in early stages of life- before 2yrs. • Kwashiorkor is higher in females and Out -DSS than males and In-DSS respectively • MUAC, residence, age, year of admission, and presence of edema all significantly predict death in children 6-60m
  • 17. Acknowledgement The J.A.B Group • Dr Jay Berkley- Supervisor • Dr Abdisalan Noor • Dr Greg Fegan • Martha Mwangome • Naomi Waithira (in absentia) • Ken Mwai • Moses Ngari • Robert Mutai • CTF + Archives family • John Ojal • Caesar Olima • James Mburu • ICT and KEMRI wazee groups Training department • Dr Sam Kinyanjui • Liz Murabu • Edna Pendo • 2013 Interns