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Healthcare and Funding General Practice
The Republic of Ireland Faculty of the Royal College of General Practitioners
Winter Meeting December 2017
William Behan
twitter@DrWilliamBehan
slideshare DrWilliamBehan
The Triple Aim
• Enhancing patient experience
• Improving population health
• Reducing costs
W Behan December 2017
Quadruple Aim: Care of the Patient Requires Care of
the Provider
The Triple Aim
• Enhancing patient experience
• Improving population health
• Reducing costs
• Burnout is associated with lower patient satisfaction,
reduced health outcomes and it may increase costs
• Burnout thus imperils the Triple Aim
W Behan December 2017
International Evidence Supporting GP Provided Primary Care
2012 Barbara Starfields SESPAS Report
Adding one more one primary care physician per 10,000 population REDUCES
• Death rates from 2% to 6%, particularly reducing health inequality
• Inpatient admissions by 6%
• Outpatient visits by 5%
• Emergency room visits by 10% and
• Surgeries by over 7%
BMJ 2014 Review 48 studies:
• Seeing the same GP each time can reduce emergency department
attendance BMJ 2014;349:g4847
W Behan December 2017
• 2007-11 Rhode Island increased primary care spending
from 5.4% to 8.0%: 2.6% change in total spending = 18%
reduction in total spending: 7-fold return on
investment. (some cost transfer)
• Commonwealth Fund 6-fold
• Oregon 2016: Every $1 spend in P.C. = $13 savings
(€240m/3 years and increasing year on year)
International Evidence Supporting Value of Primary Care
2015 Irish Health Spend on 24/7 Clinical GP: €734m/€19.9b = 3.7%
UK Health Spend on 12/24 General Practice: £10b/£144b = 7%
W Behan December 2017
100%
73%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
RelativePreventable
AdmissionRate
10 or more GPs 3 to 9 GPs 1 or 2 GPs
Smaller US Primary Care Physician Practices Have Lower
Rates of Preventable Hospital Admissions
Survey of 1,045 primary care practices found that:
W Behan December 2017
Accessibility of general practice care in Ireland
What proportion of all patients cannot see a GP/get medical care
due to cost?
• 2006 EJGP: 26% “had a medical problem in the previous year but
had not consulted the doctor because of cost”
• EU-SILC 2003-2015: <4% (2.6% in 2015) “Needed a medical
examination or treatment but did not receive it in the last 12
months”
• Growing Up in Ireland: 0.2% “Of 3.9% who required but did not
receive medical attention only 0.2% stated it was because they
“Couldn’t afford to pay””
W Behan December 2017
Perceived and reported access to the general practitioner: An
international comparison of universal access and mixed
private/public systems
K Galway, A Murphy, A Kelly, A Gilliland, AW Murphy, D O'Reilly, T O’Dowd, C O'Neill, E Shryane, K Steel, G Bury
Ir Med J. 2007 Jun;100(6):494-7
How quickly do you get to see
a PARTICULAR doctor? n (%)
Country NI ROI
Same day 12.7% 40.1%
Next day 18.4% 32.5%
2 working days 19.0% 13.6%
3+ working days 45.0% 8.1%
Health and Social Services for Older People
HeSSOP II 2004 (Aged 65+; n=1,000)
25% were with their GPs for between ten and nineteen years
41% were with their GP for more than twenty years
Why is Primary Care/General Practice Such Good Value?
2009 Annals of Family Medicine editorial;
• ‘The Paradox of Primary Care/General Practice’:
primary care provides better overall patient outcomes
and at lower costs compared to specialty care
W Behan December 2017
CONCEPT OF HIGH vs LOW VALUE/HARMFUL HEALTHCARE
• Marc Jamoulle: Quaternary Prevention 1986
• Too Much Medicine Campaign (BMJ)
• Choosing Wisely (AIBM Foundation)
• Less is More (JAMA Int Med)
• General health checks don’t work Editorial:
BMJ 2014;348:g3680
• UK National Screening Committee Recommendations
• Inverse Benefit Law
Why is Primary Care/General Practice Such Good Value?
W Behan December 2017
Marc Jamoulle: Quaternary Prevention 1986
Combine Narrative and Evidence Based Medicine
W Behan ICGP October 2017
Difference between GP and hospital care
• “The role of the GP is to tolerate uncertainty, explore
probability and marginalise danger.
Specialists aim to reduce uncertainty, explore
possibility & marginalise error.” (Marinker)
• Disease specialist vs holistic generalist perspective
“(Partialist vs Totalist”)
• Longitudinal relationship between GP and patient
results in reduced asymmetry of information and
alignment of goals
W Behan December 2017
Difference between General Practice & Primary Care
• True teams (Prof Michael West)
• Arnsteins Ladder of Engagement
• Patient Centred > System Centred
• Accessibility to senior(decision making), holistic
clinician
W Behan December 2017
Individual Performance
Malcolm Gladwell: Satisfying work
• Should there be a relationship between the added value an
individual brings to an enterprise and remuneration?
• Autonomy, Mastery and Purpose (Personal Satisfaction)
– Dan Pink: The puzzle of motivation
• Rewards only work in a narrow band of circumstances
• If/Then Rewards often destroy creativity
• Secret to high performance is to tap into a persons
intrinsic drive
W Behan December 2017
Value of Lollipops
(a.) If Then
(b.) If
(c.) If
Then (b.) is better value than (a.)
Then (c.) is better value than (a.)
W Behan December 2017
2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Immunisation Costs/Value
• 10% of population considered high risk expected to provide 90%
deaths
• Public Immunisation Clinic €34/vaccine
• General Practice est. €8.50/vaccine administered to mostly high risk
• Economic benefits of reducing Influenza in community not
considered for this analysis
Similar Reduction
in Community Deaths
GP
Vaccinating 1 high risk
patient @ €8.50
HSE
Vaccinating 100 low risk
patients @ €3,400
Basic Terminology
• Price
• Cost
• Value
• Opportunity Cost
(€ Inputs)
(Outputs)
Outcomes
Cost
• Fixed/Variable.
• Health Sector, Patient & Family, Society, Productivity Losses
= € given/expected for goods/services
= resources consumed a/w supplying a service
= (Total)
Benefit given up in order to take
another course of action
=
Health Outcomes that matter to a Patients Condition
Total Costs of delivering the Outcomes
Cycle of
Care
Value
Prof Michael Porter/Robert Kaplan
How do we define value?
=
Total
Health
Value
=
Total Health outcomes that matter to Patients
Total Patient, Environmental
Costs of delivering those Outcomes
Health System &
Surrogate Outcomes
W Behan December 2017
Concepts generally considered when paying for health
Is it a standard business?
• Role of a business is to maximise profit
• Income – Expenditure = Profit
How services are paid for
Who pays
Purchaser, supplier, user of service influences on activity
Moral Hazards
Monopoly/Monopsony issues
W Behan December 2017
Concepts generally NOT considered when paying
for health
Cognitive vs Procedural Care
Total Outcomes. Including indirect costs/benefits
(Very complex)
• What surrogate outcomes could be considered?
• Creeping administrative burden
W Behan December 2017
OECD (2017), Health spending (indicator). doi: 10.1787/8643de7e-en (Accessed on 24 November 2017)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Western Europe & Similar Economies Health (+ some social) Spend % GDP
(Not % GNP)
Australia Austria Belgium Canada Denmark Finland France
Germany Greece Italy Japan Netherlands New Zealand Norway
Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States Ireland
W Behan December 2017
5.58
10.51
7.76
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Western Europe & Similar Economies Health (+ some social) Spend % GDP
(Not % GNP)
Australia Austria Belgium Canada Denmark Finland France
Germany Greece Ireland Italy Japan Netherlands New Zealand
Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States
W Behan December 2017
W Behan December 2017
2,978,940
2,579,372
1,152,321
1,709,323
2,540
450,906
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Payments(€,000’s)
Population
GP Payments vs Patient Population
Mid-Year Private Patients Mid-Year GMS
Mid-Year GPVC HSE Doctors’ Fees and Allowances (€000s)
Social Welfare/H.Ins/GPTraining/OOH CSO HBS OOP Doctors Fees (€000s)
W Behan December 2017
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 09-'14
Department of Health Figures
(€millions)
-20.0 -38.0 -84.7 -84.7 -104.7 -121.7 -454.0
True Figures (€millions) -50.5 -75.4 -142.3 -162.4 -197.4 -219.8 -969.5
-1200.0
-1000.0
-800.0
-600.0
-400.0
-200.0
0.0
€millions
Official and Real Figures: Annual and Cumulative Fee
Cuts to Irish General Practice 2009 - 2014
Department of Health Figures (€millions) True Figures (€millions)
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
€0
€5,000
€10,000
€15,000
€20,000
€25,000
GP€as%TotalHealthBudget
OECDTotalHealthExpenditure(millions)
Irish Total and GP Health Expenditure 2005-2016
Total Health Expenditure (€000's) OECD Current + Capital
Total GP Expenditure as % Total Health Expenditure
W Behan December 2017
27817
24,069
33,856
34,193
43,891
26,697
37,329
46,920
57,555
58,128
74,615
63,459
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
€
GP Secretarial subsidy (per year) — 3 or
more years' experience IN 2008
Salary CLERICAL OFFICER GRADE III -
YEAR 3 IN 2008
Salary GRADE IV (CLERICAL) YEAR 3 IN
2008
Salary Grade 3 year 3 in 2008 -> Grade 4
in 2013
Total Cost: CLERICAL OFFICER GRADE III -
YEAR 3 IN 2008
Total Cost: GRADE IV (CLERICAL) YEAR 3
IN 2008
Total Cost: CLERICAL OFFICER GRADE III -
YEAR 3 IN 2008,PROMOTED IN 2013
ROI Faculty RCGP Winter Meeting
W Behan December 2017
Effect of cuts on Pre-Tax, Post Pension Income
General Practitioners vs. HSE Admin Staff c Increments and Promotions
TOTAL COST
A Pay Mid point of pay range using formula above
B Direct Salary Cost Pay + Employers PRSI
C Total Salary Cost B + Imputed pensions cost (typically
25% of A)
D Total Staff Cost C + 40% of A in respect of ‘overheads’
Pension Levy February 2009
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Changes in Resourcing of Irish Health Service Staff
(2015 VdeG Slide)
Pay and Pensions per HSE staff member
Pay & Pension per HSE Manager/Administrator
GMS Payments per patient
OECD Calculation GP Income (2013 & '14 Incorporate FEMPI 2013)
W Behan December 2017
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# 2012## 2013 2014 2015
Austria Belgium Canada France Germany
Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom Ireland
Lower earning self-employed GPs are forced into employee status by Revenue
Self-employed GPs cannot get assistants/locums: Working more hours
# Change in Irish methodology of calculating GP income
## 2nd Change in Irish methodology of calculating Irish GP income
OECD Self-Employed GPs Income per Average Wage
W Behan December 2017
€-
€20,000
€40,000
€60,000
€80,000
€100,000
€120,000
€140,000
€160,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Axis Title
Comparison of GP Personal Income vs HSE Lower
Management Incomes 2008-2017
OECD Self Employed GP Pre-Pension OECD Self Employed GP Post-Pension/Income protection
LOCAL HEALTH OFFICE MANAGER (HSE) HSE Grade 8
HSE Grade 8 promoted to LHO Manager in 2012
W Behan December 2017
€33
€36
€43 €43
€51
€46
€49 €49
€70
€28
€26
€21
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
€0
€10
€20
€30
€40
€50
€60
€70
€80
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Standard GP Private Fees/CSO HBS Average Dr OOP Fees
Indecon
GPIT
ESRI (Nolan et al.)
ESRI (Layte et al.)
NCA
Laya
Whatclinic.com
Irish Independent
EHO
CSO HBS mode
Linear (CSO HBS mode)
W Behan December 2017
1.11
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
GRC ESP ITA EU28 EA19 GBR AUT BEL FRA NLD IRL USA FIN
PPPvsEU28 Purchasing Power Parity vs EU28
Ireland and Select Countries
0%
10%
20%
30%
40% 2014 or latest (↗) 2010 2007
Percentage reduction of market income inequality due to taxes
and transfers, 2007 – 2014
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
2014 or latest year (↗) 2010 2007
Gini coefficient of disposable income inequality in 2014 (Ireland 2015), 2010
and 2007, total population
1500
1700
1900
2100
2300
2500
2700
2900
3100
3300
3500
2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
General Practitioner Population
(WB NEGPTS 2014 Keynote)
PCRS Indecon/ESRI 2003 TCA 2009 Report
OECD IMC WTE Indecon 2002 - IMC 2012
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 & 11 12 & 13 14-16 17-49 50+
EstimatedConsultations
Recorded Consultations
Comparison of true attendance to recollected
attendance
Est. GP consultations Recorded GP consultations Recorded GP + Nurse consultations
16 Surgeries; 873 Adults
Medical Card 57.7%; GPVC 10.1%
A Grace, W Behan, P Smyth.
HSE Trinity GPTS 2016
W Behan December 2017
45.0
46.0
47.0
48.0
49.0
50.0
51.0
52.0
53.0
54.0
55.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 & 11 12 & 13 14-16 17-49 50+
EstimatedConsultations
Recorded Consultations
Comparison of true attendance to recollected
attendance
Est. GP consultations Recorded GP consultations Recorded GP + Nurse consultations
W Behan December 2017
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 & 11 12 & 13 14-16 17-49 50+
EstimatedConsultations
Recorded Consultations
Comparison of true attendance to recollected
attendance
Est. GP consultations Recorded GP consultations Recorded GP + Nurse consultations
Estimated visits to the GP: 4.1 per year
Actual GP visits: 5.4
Practice Nurse estimated visits: 1.2
Actual Practice Nurse visits: 1.6
Actual GP + Nurse: 5.7
W Behan December 2017
W Behan RCGP-Ire
December 2017
W Behan December 2017

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Republic of Ireland Faculty RCGP Winter meeting December 2017 William Behan

  • 1. Healthcare and Funding General Practice The Republic of Ireland Faculty of the Royal College of General Practitioners Winter Meeting December 2017 William Behan twitter@DrWilliamBehan slideshare DrWilliamBehan
  • 2. The Triple Aim • Enhancing patient experience • Improving population health • Reducing costs W Behan December 2017
  • 3. Quadruple Aim: Care of the Patient Requires Care of the Provider The Triple Aim • Enhancing patient experience • Improving population health • Reducing costs • Burnout is associated with lower patient satisfaction, reduced health outcomes and it may increase costs • Burnout thus imperils the Triple Aim W Behan December 2017
  • 4. International Evidence Supporting GP Provided Primary Care 2012 Barbara Starfields SESPAS Report Adding one more one primary care physician per 10,000 population REDUCES • Death rates from 2% to 6%, particularly reducing health inequality • Inpatient admissions by 6% • Outpatient visits by 5% • Emergency room visits by 10% and • Surgeries by over 7% BMJ 2014 Review 48 studies: • Seeing the same GP each time can reduce emergency department attendance BMJ 2014;349:g4847 W Behan December 2017
  • 5. • 2007-11 Rhode Island increased primary care spending from 5.4% to 8.0%: 2.6% change in total spending = 18% reduction in total spending: 7-fold return on investment. (some cost transfer) • Commonwealth Fund 6-fold • Oregon 2016: Every $1 spend in P.C. = $13 savings (€240m/3 years and increasing year on year) International Evidence Supporting Value of Primary Care 2015 Irish Health Spend on 24/7 Clinical GP: €734m/€19.9b = 3.7% UK Health Spend on 12/24 General Practice: £10b/£144b = 7% W Behan December 2017
  • 6. 100% 73% 67% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% RelativePreventable AdmissionRate 10 or more GPs 3 to 9 GPs 1 or 2 GPs Smaller US Primary Care Physician Practices Have Lower Rates of Preventable Hospital Admissions Survey of 1,045 primary care practices found that: W Behan December 2017
  • 7. Accessibility of general practice care in Ireland What proportion of all patients cannot see a GP/get medical care due to cost? • 2006 EJGP: 26% “had a medical problem in the previous year but had not consulted the doctor because of cost” • EU-SILC 2003-2015: <4% (2.6% in 2015) “Needed a medical examination or treatment but did not receive it in the last 12 months” • Growing Up in Ireland: 0.2% “Of 3.9% who required but did not receive medical attention only 0.2% stated it was because they “Couldn’t afford to pay”” W Behan December 2017
  • 8. Perceived and reported access to the general practitioner: An international comparison of universal access and mixed private/public systems K Galway, A Murphy, A Kelly, A Gilliland, AW Murphy, D O'Reilly, T O’Dowd, C O'Neill, E Shryane, K Steel, G Bury Ir Med J. 2007 Jun;100(6):494-7 How quickly do you get to see a PARTICULAR doctor? n (%) Country NI ROI Same day 12.7% 40.1% Next day 18.4% 32.5% 2 working days 19.0% 13.6% 3+ working days 45.0% 8.1% Health and Social Services for Older People HeSSOP II 2004 (Aged 65+; n=1,000) 25% were with their GPs for between ten and nineteen years 41% were with their GP for more than twenty years
  • 9. Why is Primary Care/General Practice Such Good Value? 2009 Annals of Family Medicine editorial; • ‘The Paradox of Primary Care/General Practice’: primary care provides better overall patient outcomes and at lower costs compared to specialty care W Behan December 2017
  • 10. CONCEPT OF HIGH vs LOW VALUE/HARMFUL HEALTHCARE • Marc Jamoulle: Quaternary Prevention 1986 • Too Much Medicine Campaign (BMJ) • Choosing Wisely (AIBM Foundation) • Less is More (JAMA Int Med) • General health checks don’t work Editorial: BMJ 2014;348:g3680 • UK National Screening Committee Recommendations • Inverse Benefit Law Why is Primary Care/General Practice Such Good Value? W Behan December 2017
  • 11.
  • 12. Marc Jamoulle: Quaternary Prevention 1986 Combine Narrative and Evidence Based Medicine W Behan ICGP October 2017
  • 13. Difference between GP and hospital care • “The role of the GP is to tolerate uncertainty, explore probability and marginalise danger. Specialists aim to reduce uncertainty, explore possibility & marginalise error.” (Marinker) • Disease specialist vs holistic generalist perspective “(Partialist vs Totalist”) • Longitudinal relationship between GP and patient results in reduced asymmetry of information and alignment of goals W Behan December 2017
  • 14. Difference between General Practice & Primary Care • True teams (Prof Michael West) • Arnsteins Ladder of Engagement • Patient Centred > System Centred • Accessibility to senior(decision making), holistic clinician W Behan December 2017
  • 15. Individual Performance Malcolm Gladwell: Satisfying work • Should there be a relationship between the added value an individual brings to an enterprise and remuneration? • Autonomy, Mastery and Purpose (Personal Satisfaction) – Dan Pink: The puzzle of motivation • Rewards only work in a narrow band of circumstances • If/Then Rewards often destroy creativity • Secret to high performance is to tap into a persons intrinsic drive W Behan December 2017
  • 16. Value of Lollipops (a.) If Then (b.) If (c.) If Then (b.) is better value than (a.) Then (c.) is better value than (a.) W Behan December 2017
  • 17. 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Immunisation Costs/Value • 10% of population considered high risk expected to provide 90% deaths • Public Immunisation Clinic €34/vaccine • General Practice est. €8.50/vaccine administered to mostly high risk • Economic benefits of reducing Influenza in community not considered for this analysis Similar Reduction in Community Deaths GP Vaccinating 1 high risk patient @ €8.50 HSE Vaccinating 100 low risk patients @ €3,400
  • 18. Basic Terminology • Price • Cost • Value • Opportunity Cost (€ Inputs) (Outputs) Outcomes Cost • Fixed/Variable. • Health Sector, Patient & Family, Society, Productivity Losses = € given/expected for goods/services = resources consumed a/w supplying a service = (Total) Benefit given up in order to take another course of action =
  • 19. Health Outcomes that matter to a Patients Condition Total Costs of delivering the Outcomes Cycle of Care Value Prof Michael Porter/Robert Kaplan How do we define value? = Total Health Value = Total Health outcomes that matter to Patients Total Patient, Environmental Costs of delivering those Outcomes Health System & Surrogate Outcomes W Behan December 2017
  • 20. Concepts generally considered when paying for health Is it a standard business? • Role of a business is to maximise profit • Income – Expenditure = Profit How services are paid for Who pays Purchaser, supplier, user of service influences on activity Moral Hazards Monopoly/Monopsony issues W Behan December 2017
  • 21. Concepts generally NOT considered when paying for health Cognitive vs Procedural Care Total Outcomes. Including indirect costs/benefits (Very complex) • What surrogate outcomes could be considered? • Creeping administrative burden W Behan December 2017
  • 22. OECD (2017), Health spending (indicator). doi: 10.1787/8643de7e-en (Accessed on 24 November 2017)
  • 23. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Western Europe & Similar Economies Health (+ some social) Spend % GDP (Not % GNP) Australia Austria Belgium Canada Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Italy Japan Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States Ireland W Behan December 2017
  • 24. 5.58 10.51 7.76 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Western Europe & Similar Economies Health (+ some social) Spend % GDP (Not % GNP) Australia Austria Belgium Canada Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Japan Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States W Behan December 2017
  • 26. 2,978,940 2,579,372 1,152,321 1,709,323 2,540 450,906 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 5,000,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Payments(€,000’s) Population GP Payments vs Patient Population Mid-Year Private Patients Mid-Year GMS Mid-Year GPVC HSE Doctors’ Fees and Allowances (€000s) Social Welfare/H.Ins/GPTraining/OOH CSO HBS OOP Doctors Fees (€000s) W Behan December 2017
  • 27. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 09-'14 Department of Health Figures (€millions) -20.0 -38.0 -84.7 -84.7 -104.7 -121.7 -454.0 True Figures (€millions) -50.5 -75.4 -142.3 -162.4 -197.4 -219.8 -969.5 -1200.0 -1000.0 -800.0 -600.0 -400.0 -200.0 0.0 €millions Official and Real Figures: Annual and Cumulative Fee Cuts to Irish General Practice 2009 - 2014 Department of Health Figures (€millions) True Figures (€millions)
  • 28. 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% €0 €5,000 €10,000 €15,000 €20,000 €25,000 GP€as%TotalHealthBudget OECDTotalHealthExpenditure(millions) Irish Total and GP Health Expenditure 2005-2016 Total Health Expenditure (€000's) OECD Current + Capital Total GP Expenditure as % Total Health Expenditure W Behan December 2017
  • 29. 27817 24,069 33,856 34,193 43,891 26,697 37,329 46,920 57,555 58,128 74,615 63,459 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 € GP Secretarial subsidy (per year) — 3 or more years' experience IN 2008 Salary CLERICAL OFFICER GRADE III - YEAR 3 IN 2008 Salary GRADE IV (CLERICAL) YEAR 3 IN 2008 Salary Grade 3 year 3 in 2008 -> Grade 4 in 2013 Total Cost: CLERICAL OFFICER GRADE III - YEAR 3 IN 2008 Total Cost: GRADE IV (CLERICAL) YEAR 3 IN 2008 Total Cost: CLERICAL OFFICER GRADE III - YEAR 3 IN 2008,PROMOTED IN 2013 ROI Faculty RCGP Winter Meeting W Behan December 2017 Effect of cuts on Pre-Tax, Post Pension Income General Practitioners vs. HSE Admin Staff c Increments and Promotions TOTAL COST A Pay Mid point of pay range using formula above B Direct Salary Cost Pay + Employers PRSI C Total Salary Cost B + Imputed pensions cost (typically 25% of A) D Total Staff Cost C + 40% of A in respect of ‘overheads’ Pension Levy February 2009
  • 30. -40.0% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Changes in Resourcing of Irish Health Service Staff (2015 VdeG Slide) Pay and Pensions per HSE staff member Pay & Pension per HSE Manager/Administrator GMS Payments per patient OECD Calculation GP Income (2013 & '14 Incorporate FEMPI 2013) W Behan December 2017
  • 31. 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# 2012## 2013 2014 2015 Austria Belgium Canada France Germany Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom Ireland Lower earning self-employed GPs are forced into employee status by Revenue Self-employed GPs cannot get assistants/locums: Working more hours # Change in Irish methodology of calculating GP income ## 2nd Change in Irish methodology of calculating Irish GP income OECD Self-Employed GPs Income per Average Wage W Behan December 2017
  • 32. €- €20,000 €40,000 €60,000 €80,000 €100,000 €120,000 €140,000 €160,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Axis Title Comparison of GP Personal Income vs HSE Lower Management Incomes 2008-2017 OECD Self Employed GP Pre-Pension OECD Self Employed GP Post-Pension/Income protection LOCAL HEALTH OFFICE MANAGER (HSE) HSE Grade 8 HSE Grade 8 promoted to LHO Manager in 2012 W Behan December 2017
  • 33. €33 €36 €43 €43 €51 €46 €49 €49 €70 €28 €26 €21 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 €0 €10 €20 €30 €40 €50 €60 €70 €80 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Standard GP Private Fees/CSO HBS Average Dr OOP Fees Indecon GPIT ESRI (Nolan et al.) ESRI (Layte et al.) NCA Laya Whatclinic.com Irish Independent EHO CSO HBS mode Linear (CSO HBS mode) W Behan December 2017
  • 34. 1.11 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 GRC ESP ITA EU28 EA19 GBR AUT BEL FRA NLD IRL USA FIN PPPvsEU28 Purchasing Power Parity vs EU28 Ireland and Select Countries
  • 35. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2014 or latest (↗) 2010 2007 Percentage reduction of market income inequality due to taxes and transfers, 2007 – 2014
  • 36. 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 2014 or latest year (↗) 2010 2007 Gini coefficient of disposable income inequality in 2014 (Ireland 2015), 2010 and 2007, total population
  • 37.
  • 38. 1500 1700 1900 2100 2300 2500 2700 2900 3100 3300 3500 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 General Practitioner Population (WB NEGPTS 2014 Keynote) PCRS Indecon/ESRI 2003 TCA 2009 Report OECD IMC WTE Indecon 2002 - IMC 2012
  • 39. 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 & 11 12 & 13 14-16 17-49 50+ EstimatedConsultations Recorded Consultations Comparison of true attendance to recollected attendance Est. GP consultations Recorded GP consultations Recorded GP + Nurse consultations 16 Surgeries; 873 Adults Medical Card 57.7%; GPVC 10.1% A Grace, W Behan, P Smyth. HSE Trinity GPTS 2016 W Behan December 2017
  • 40. 45.0 46.0 47.0 48.0 49.0 50.0 51.0 52.0 53.0 54.0 55.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 & 11 12 & 13 14-16 17-49 50+ EstimatedConsultations Recorded Consultations Comparison of true attendance to recollected attendance Est. GP consultations Recorded GP consultations Recorded GP + Nurse consultations W Behan December 2017
  • 41. 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 & 11 12 & 13 14-16 17-49 50+ EstimatedConsultations Recorded Consultations Comparison of true attendance to recollected attendance Est. GP consultations Recorded GP consultations Recorded GP + Nurse consultations Estimated visits to the GP: 4.1 per year Actual GP visits: 5.4 Practice Nurse estimated visits: 1.2 Actual Practice Nurse visits: 1.6 Actual GP + Nurse: 5.7 W Behan December 2017