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UNIVERSITAS GADJAH MADA
INTRODUCTION
TO STATISTICS I
Valentino Risali, M.Sc
Department of
Economics
WHAT IS STATISTICS?
C O L L E C T I N G
A N A L Y Z I N G
O R G A N I Z I N G
P R E S E N T I N G
I N T E R P R E T I N G
D A T A
A S S I S T I N
M A K I N G M O R E
E F F E C T I V E
D E C I S I O N S
• Collecting: find and collect the data from the objects or
measurements. We can use questionnaire via Gform and
then transfer the data to Excel. Interview is another
method to collect data.
• Organizing: classify the data into their type or arrange
data to a specific order.
• Presenting: using the tables or diagrams to present the
data to public. From tables and diagrams we hope that
public could read and understand the data easily.
• Analyzing: using statistical methods to examine our
hypothesis.
• Interpreting: write the result of analysis into a statement.
WHY
STUDY
STATISTICS? Uncertainty is the
basis of statistics
Lots of our decisions are based on
uncertainties. Therefore, we need
statistics to make decision in a
situation of uncomplete information.
Descriptive
Statistics
methods
consisting of
organizing,
summarizing,
and presenting
data in the form
of tables,
graphs, and
charts
Inferential
Statistics
provide an
estimate, a
prediction, a
decision, or a
generalization
about the
population
based on
information
contained in a
sample.
Descriptive
Statistics
EXAMPLE : THE SALE OF APPLES IN USA
VARIES BY REGION. IT IS MOSLY SOLD IN
THE NORTH SIDE. FOLLOWED BY EAST,
SOUTH, AND WEST REGION.
Inferential
Statistics
EXAMPLE : THE AVERAGE NATIONAL EXAM
(UJIAN NASIONAL) SCORE OF ALL 9TH
GRADER IN INDONESIA BASED ON A
CERTAIN NUMBER OF SAMPLE
Population vs Sample
1. The cost of studying all the items in a
population may be prohibitive.
2. Destruction of item being studied may be
required.
3. Not possible to test or inspect all members of a
population being studied.
4. Contacting the whole population would be
time consuming.
Why take a sample instead of
studying every member of the
population?
Population
THE COLLECTION
OR SET OF ALL
OBJECTS OR
MEASUREMENTS
THAT ARE OF
INTEREST TO
COLLECTOR
A SUBSET OF DATA
SELECTED FROM A
POPULATION
Sample
Population
Sample
Population Sample
Fricker’s is a family restaurant chain located primarily in the southeastern part of
the US.
Recently, the owner and founder, developed a new spicy flavor.
Before replacing the current flavor, he wants to be sure that patrons will like the
spicy flavor better.
To begin his taste test, Bernie selects a random sample of 15 customers.
Each sampled customer is given a small piece of the current chicken and asked to
rate its overall taste on a scale of 1 (did not like the flavor) to 20 (liked
the flavor).
Next, the same 15 participants are given a sample of the new chicken with the
spicier flavor and again asked to rate its taste on a scale of 1 to 20.
The results are reported here.
Is it reasonable to conclude that the spicy flavor is preferred?
Parameters
NUMBER CALCULATED ON
POPULATION DATA THAT
DESCRIBES A
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE
population
CASE STUDY
• A researcher of PLN selected residential
customer at random to estimate the amount
of electrical services last month.
• From a sample of 20 customers, he finds
that on average the amount charged to a
customer was Rp 100.000.
Identify the population and its parameters,
and the sample in the situation!
ANSWERS
• Population
all customers who used the service of PLN.
• Population parameter
the average amount charged to all users.
• Sample
the 20 customers surveyed by the researchers.
• The inference of interest
to estimate the amount charged per customers
on all customers
Types of Variables
Types of Variable
Types of Variable
Cross-section vs Time Series
Level of Measurements
Level of
Measurements
Nominal Data
Data that is classified into categories and cannot be
arranged in any particular order.
Properties:
1. Observations of a qualitative variable can only be
classified and counted.
2. There is no particular order to the labels.
Example: eye colour, religion, gender
Ordinal data
Data arranged in some order, but the differences between
data values cannot be determined or are meaningless
Properties:
1. Data classifications are represented by sets of labels or
names (high, medium, low) that have relative values.
2. Because of the relative values, the data classified can be
ranked or ordered.
Example: Class Ranking, education level
Interval data
Magnitude and equal interval between adjacent units but does
not have an absolute zero point. Similar to the ordinal level, with
the additional property that meaningful amounts of differences
between data values can be determined. There is no natural zero
point
Properties:
1. Data classifications are ordered according to the amount of
the characteristic they possess.
2. Equal differences in the characteristic are represented by
equal differences in the measurements.
Example: Exam Score, Temperature
Ratio data
Properties:
1. Data classifications are ordered according to the
amount of
characteristics they possess
2. The zero point and the ratio between two numbers is
meaningful.
Example: Price comparison of food, monthly income of
doctors
Thank You !!!
Questions?
Comments?
Link for access the Excel file of
Lind’s book:
www.mhhe.com/Lind18e

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PPT Chapter 1_Stat 1.pptx

  • 1. UNIVERSITAS GADJAH MADA INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS I Valentino Risali, M.Sc Department of Economics
  • 2. WHAT IS STATISTICS? C O L L E C T I N G A N A L Y Z I N G O R G A N I Z I N G P R E S E N T I N G I N T E R P R E T I N G D A T A A S S I S T I N M A K I N G M O R E E F F E C T I V E D E C I S I O N S
  • 3. • Collecting: find and collect the data from the objects or measurements. We can use questionnaire via Gform and then transfer the data to Excel. Interview is another method to collect data. • Organizing: classify the data into their type or arrange data to a specific order. • Presenting: using the tables or diagrams to present the data to public. From tables and diagrams we hope that public could read and understand the data easily. • Analyzing: using statistical methods to examine our hypothesis. • Interpreting: write the result of analysis into a statement.
  • 4. WHY STUDY STATISTICS? Uncertainty is the basis of statistics Lots of our decisions are based on uncertainties. Therefore, we need statistics to make decision in a situation of uncomplete information.
  • 5. Descriptive Statistics methods consisting of organizing, summarizing, and presenting data in the form of tables, graphs, and charts Inferential Statistics provide an estimate, a prediction, a decision, or a generalization about the population based on information contained in a sample.
  • 6. Descriptive Statistics EXAMPLE : THE SALE OF APPLES IN USA VARIES BY REGION. IT IS MOSLY SOLD IN THE NORTH SIDE. FOLLOWED BY EAST, SOUTH, AND WEST REGION.
  • 7. Inferential Statistics EXAMPLE : THE AVERAGE NATIONAL EXAM (UJIAN NASIONAL) SCORE OF ALL 9TH GRADER IN INDONESIA BASED ON A CERTAIN NUMBER OF SAMPLE
  • 9. 1. The cost of studying all the items in a population may be prohibitive. 2. Destruction of item being studied may be required. 3. Not possible to test or inspect all members of a population being studied. 4. Contacting the whole population would be time consuming. Why take a sample instead of studying every member of the population?
  • 10. Population THE COLLECTION OR SET OF ALL OBJECTS OR MEASUREMENTS THAT ARE OF INTEREST TO COLLECTOR A SUBSET OF DATA SELECTED FROM A POPULATION Sample Population Sample
  • 12. Fricker’s is a family restaurant chain located primarily in the southeastern part of the US. Recently, the owner and founder, developed a new spicy flavor. Before replacing the current flavor, he wants to be sure that patrons will like the spicy flavor better. To begin his taste test, Bernie selects a random sample of 15 customers. Each sampled customer is given a small piece of the current chicken and asked to rate its overall taste on a scale of 1 (did not like the flavor) to 20 (liked the flavor). Next, the same 15 participants are given a sample of the new chicken with the spicier flavor and again asked to rate its taste on a scale of 1 to 20. The results are reported here. Is it reasonable to conclude that the spicy flavor is preferred?
  • 13. Parameters NUMBER CALCULATED ON POPULATION DATA THAT DESCRIBES A CHARACTERISTICS OF THE population
  • 14. CASE STUDY • A researcher of PLN selected residential customer at random to estimate the amount of electrical services last month. • From a sample of 20 customers, he finds that on average the amount charged to a customer was Rp 100.000. Identify the population and its parameters, and the sample in the situation!
  • 15. ANSWERS • Population all customers who used the service of PLN. • Population parameter the average amount charged to all users. • Sample the 20 customers surveyed by the researchers. • The inference of interest to estimate the amount charged per customers on all customers
  • 22. Nominal Data Data that is classified into categories and cannot be arranged in any particular order. Properties: 1. Observations of a qualitative variable can only be classified and counted. 2. There is no particular order to the labels. Example: eye colour, religion, gender
  • 23. Ordinal data Data arranged in some order, but the differences between data values cannot be determined or are meaningless Properties: 1. Data classifications are represented by sets of labels or names (high, medium, low) that have relative values. 2. Because of the relative values, the data classified can be ranked or ordered. Example: Class Ranking, education level
  • 24. Interval data Magnitude and equal interval between adjacent units but does not have an absolute zero point. Similar to the ordinal level, with the additional property that meaningful amounts of differences between data values can be determined. There is no natural zero point Properties: 1. Data classifications are ordered according to the amount of the characteristic they possess. 2. Equal differences in the characteristic are represented by equal differences in the measurements. Example: Exam Score, Temperature
  • 25. Ratio data Properties: 1. Data classifications are ordered according to the amount of characteristics they possess 2. The zero point and the ratio between two numbers is meaningful. Example: Price comparison of food, monthly income of doctors
  • 27. Link for access the Excel file of Lind’s book: www.mhhe.com/Lind18e

Editor's Notes

  1. The science of collecting, organizing, presenting, analyzing, and interpreting data to assist in making more effective decisions. Collecting: collect the data from the objects or measurenments. We can use quissonaire via gform and then transfer the data to Excel. Organizing: Presenting: using the tables or diagrams to show the data to public. From table and diagram we hope that public could understanding our data easily. Analyzing: using statistical methods to examine our hypothesis. Interperting: write the result of analysis into a statement.
  2. There are 2 types of statistics:
  3. Suppose that there are 6 types of cars. We are interested with the amount of fuel consumed by the car per 100 km. To conduct our research, we select a sample by choosing the representation of every type. For example: for the black car, we choose one car from 5 cars in population and then put it to the sample.
  4. On the session of random variable, we will connect quantitative data with the concept of probability. Qualitative: we used categories to represent the data. Quantitative: we used number to represent the data. There are two types: Discrete: the simplest form is the data are in integers. Continuous: the values can be on a specific interval
  5. In 2019, we collect the data of population from 3 countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore.