2. ‘When not if’
Previous incidents relatively benign
Harbingers of future impact events
Little, or no, warning time available
Insufficient time for consequence management
Insufficient time to exercise response
arrangements
Insufficient time to prepare population,
politicians and the press……!
3. International response for both mitigation
methods and civil protection
International command, control, co-ordination
and communication arrangements
Determine decision-making capacities
Informing the policy for response
Minimising the costly insurance claims for
natural disasters
Protecting lives and livelihoods
6. 5m in diameter
Identified 19 hours
prior to impact
Trajectory tracked by
MPC/JPL
Predicted location of
impact site
Remote area of the
Nubian Desert
7. Asteroid between 5
and 10 metres in
diameter
Island of Sulewesi,
Indonesia
8 October 2009
8. 15 Feb 2013
Diameter of object: 19m
Total energy: equiv. to
480kt TNT
7300 buildings damaged
> 1500 people injured
> 100 kg of meteorites
found
Asteroid could not be seen approaching, (too close to direct sun)
and was too faint for prior detection during the last 10 years.
9. Uncertainty exists as to the extent of the scale of a NEO
impact for six reasons:
1. The NEO population is not sufficiently understood
2. Inability to determine impact levels for objects
between 50m and 140m in diameter
3. Unknown composition of NEOs
4. Variable collision effects
5. Effects may exceed local and regional areas and
have global effects
6. The size and type of NEO which would cause these
effects
10.
11. EARTHQUAKE, CHILE
WINTER STORMS, FRANCE, GERMANY AND SPAIN
EARTHQUAKE, NEW ZEALAND
STORMS (MAY), UNITED STATES
STORMS (APRIL), UNITED STATES
STORMS & FLOODS, AUSTRALIA
STORMS & MUDSLIDES, AUSTRALIA
OIL SPILL, GULF OF MEXICO
$8,000,000,000
$2,900,000,000
$2,700,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$1,600,000,000
$1,020,000,000
$1,010,000,000
$1,000,000,000
Most Costly Insurance Claims - 2010
(SwissRe as cited in Griffiths, 2010:57)