Total rent in Houston fell for the second straight year in 2016, declining 4.4% to $43.68 per square foot. Weak leasing and a spike in sublet space forced landlords to cut rents across the city, with the sharpest drops seen in West Houston and the Energy Corridor. Concessions increased by 20.1% as landlords offered more tenant improvement allowances and free rent to attract tenants. Tenant effective rent declined 20.3% while landlord effective rent dropped 36.3% and now sits just above 2011 levels. Rents are expected to decrease further in 2017 as oil and gas prices remain low, limiting growth in the energy industry.
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Houston Effective Rent Index Report - 2017
1. SERI2017 Houston 1
Rent TrendsMarket Review & Outlook
Review: Energy Correction Hits Rents Hard
Deal volume in the region plummeted to 8.8 msf in
2016, well below the long-term average of 12.2 msf.
Weak leasing, coupled with a spike in sublet supply,
forced landlords to make marketwide adjustments
to rent. West Houston and the Energy Corridor
posted the sharpest declines, but rents pulled back
Downtown as well.
Outlook: Additional Decrease Likely in 2017
Oil and gas prices stabilized and then pushed a
bit higher in the second half of the year. Barring
a major geopolitical crisis, prices are not likely
to recover to levels that will support drilling and
production on the scale last seen in 2013. Leasing
volume may bounce back slightly, but not to pre-
correction levels.
2016
%
Change
Net Rent $27.65 -7.1
Operating Expenses 6.68 -1.0
Real Estate Taxes 7.05 2.2
Tenant Electricity 2.30 0.0
Total Rent 43.68 -4.4
Amortized Concessions -11.29 20.1
Tenant Effective Rent 32.39 -20.3
Landlord Effective Rent 14.47 -36.3
Average Annual Change
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2015-
2016
2011-
2016
2006-
2016
Total Rent $25.37 $31.32 $36.83 $34.45 $32.48 $34.37 $37.96 $44.18 $49.04 $45.70 $43.68 -4.4% 4.9% 5.6%
Tenant Effective Rent $21.23 $27.51 $31.93 $26.97 $25.33 $27.51 $31.43 $35.71 $40.42 $40.64 $32.39 -20.3% 3.3% 4.3%
Landlord Effective Rent $10.62 $14.68 $18.53 $14.20 $12.36 $14.17 $17.02 $19.25 $22.50 $22.71 $14.47 -36.3% 0.4% 3.1%
Average Annual Change
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2015-
2016
2011-
2016
2006-
2016
Concessions $31.67 $29.17 $37.50 $57.23 $54.75 $52.55 $50.00 $64.81 $66.00 $72.00 $86.47 20.1% 10.5% 10.6%
Concessions/Rent Ratio* 17.2% 12.9% 14.1% 22.9% 23.3% 21.1% 18.2% 20.2% 18.6% 21.7% 27.3%
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$0
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$100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total Rent Tenant Effective Rent Landlord Effective Rent
* Equals amortized concessions as a percentage of total rent.
Concessions
2. SERI20172
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total rent fell for the second straight year, declining by 4.4% to $43.68. Net rent dropped by 7.1% to $27.65. Operating expenses fell by 1.0% but real estate taxes
rose by 2.2%. The value of concession packages pushed higher, spiking by 20.1% to $86.47. Tenant effective rent declined by 20.3% to $32.39, while landlord
effective rent dropped sharply by 36.3% to $14.47, placing it just above 2011 levels.
Net Rent Operating Expenses Real Estate Taxes Electricity
Average Annual Change
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2015-
2016
2011-
2016
2006-
2016
Net Rent $15.82 $19.82 $25.00 $23.15 $20.90 $22.50 $25.18 $29.62 $33.25 $29.75 $27.65 -7.1% 4.2% 5.7%
Operating Expenses $4.45 $4.97 $5.43 $5.79 $6.10 $6.22 $6.35 $6.50 $6.68 $6.75 $6.68 -1.0% 1.4% 4.1%
Real Estate Taxes $3.16 $4.48 $4.03 $3.45 $3.37 $3.47 $4.18 $5.76 $6.81 $6.90 $7.05 2.2% 15.2% 8.4%
Electricity $1.94 $2.05 $2.37 $2.06 $2.11 $2.18 $2.25 $2.30 $2.30 $2.30 $2.30 0.0% 1.5% 1.9%
Total Rent $25.37 $31.32 $36.83 $34.45 $32.48 $34.37 $37.96 $44.18 $49.04 $45.70 $43.68 -4.4% 4.9% 5.6%
3. Savills Effective Rent Index 2017 I Houston 3
Lease Terms/Concessions
Review: Concessions Continue Ascent
Anemic leasing kept companies negotiating deals in the
driver’s seat during 2016. Extended free rent periods
and generous improvement allowances were the norm
for businesses willing to commit to term.
Leases Under 50,000 sf
Average Term: 7 years
Free Rent: 3 months
Tenant Improvements: $35.00/sf
Parking: 3 months
Refurbish Allowance: $3.00-$5.00/sf
Leases Over 50,000 sf
Average Term: 10 years
Free Rent: 7 months
Tenant Improvements: $45.00/sf
Parking: 5-7 months
Refurbish Allowance: $5.00-$7.00/sf
Outlook: Concessions to Stabilize
Demand is not likely to rebound in the short-term
and companies have multiple space options to
consider. In turn, tenants can expect concession
packages to stay aloft. Larger companies opting
for a renewal may also be able to obtain some
incentives.
Total Rent^
Tenant Effective Rent
Landlord Effective Rent
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Houston $25.37 $31.32 $36.83 $34.45 $32.48 $34.37 $37.96 $44.18 $49.04 $45.70 $43.68
U.S Median $37.59 $40.20 $39.34 $35.60 $35.46 $36.79 $37.93 $37.85 $40.24 $42.32 $42.84
U.S Average $39.99 $45.13 $44.57 $38.74 $38.40 $40.45 $40.93 $42.06 $45.61 $47.41 $49.42
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Houston $21.23 $27.51 $31.93 $26.97 $25.33 $27.51 $31.43 $35.71 $40.42 $40.64 $32.39
U.S Median $29.36 $32.36 $32.93 $26.55 $25.63 $26.99 $27.77 $28.20 $29.39 $30.91 $30.73
U.S Average $33.12 $37.93 $36.24 $28.48 $28.52 $30.01 $30.61 $31.60 $34.11 $36.34 $37.55
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Houston $10.62 $14.68 $18.53 $14.20 $12.36 $14.17 $17.02 $19.25 $22.50 $22.71 $14.47
U.S Median $14.17 $16.54 $18.54 $9.81 $9.08 $8.77 $10.53 $11.82 $12.04 $13.36 $14.59
U.S Average $16.78 $20.57 $18.35 $10.60 $10.61 $11.70 $12.23 $13.05 $15.09 $16.99 $17.82
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50
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2006
2007
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2009
2010
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2012
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2016
^ All rents are unweighted. See National SERI for weighted averages.
Houston Total Rent Houston Tenant Effective Rent Houston Landlord Effective Rent
U.S. AverageU.S. Median
Local & U.S. Historical Rent Trends