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Axiom / OTC Space Webinar
Thursday, 9th Feb. 2017
Uncleared Margin
Remediation:
State of the Market
at T-3 weeks
Today’s Topics:
1. Where the market is today
2. Negotiation trends
3. What to expect over the coming weeks
4. Options to mitigate the challenge
300+ project management, contracts negotiation and operations
specialists delivering uncleared margin remediation-related
outreach and negotiaton services for 22 buy- and sell-side
institutions, including 17 of top 25 global broker dealers
3
Our Panelists:
Bill Hodgson
Founder, OTC Space
Brendan Nelson
VP, Banking Solutions at
Axiom
Barry Quinn
SVP & Co-Head, Global
Banking Practice at Axiom
Kurt Crommelin
Head of Legal, Financial
Markets for Europe at
Standard Chartered Bank
Gerard de Lambilly
Global Head of Legal
Prime & Securities
Services and Master
Agreements at SOCIETE
GENERALE
4
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
I. Very low initial counterparty engagement (10-20%)
II. ~ 70-90% of negotiations now in-flight
III. Current remediation levels typically <5% of
counterparty scope
IV. Mar. 1 targets adjusted significantly downward:
40-60% completion generally expected (can be
much lower for some firms, especially larger
dealers focusing on higher value counterparties)
Where the
Market is Today
5
I. Some initially expected 60-80% through Protocol;
actual CP preference closer to 15-25%
II. Frustrations with Protocol challenges: scope of
capabilities; operational efficiency
III. Firms actively changing negotiation strategy as
result: 70-90% of volumes now expected to be
bilateral
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
6
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
On current course and speed, there
are simply not enough derivatives
negotiator man-hours left in the
market to meet the March 1st
deadline for all CP relationships
7
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
POLL
QUESTION
What percentage of
your counterparty
relationships do you
expect to have
remediated by Mar. 1?
8
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
POLL
ANSWER
9
Negotiation Trends
I. Protocol vs. bilateral negotiations
II. ‘New CSA’ vs. ‘Amend’
III. Openness to negotiations
IV. Early implementation
1.
2.
Fragmented
initial approach
to the
challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
10
1.
2. I. Growing share of ‘Amend’
II. Move away from super-compliant standards
III. Limited influence of Protocol defaults
Negotiation Trends
Fragmented
initial approach
to the
challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
11
1.
2.
Negotiation Trends
Fragmented
initial approach
to the
challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
Firms confronted with very different
approaches, and generally little term
standardization, increasing the
likelihood, scope and length of
negotiations.
12
1.
2.
Negotiation Trends
Limited
consistency in
approaching
the challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
POLL
QUESTION
What percentage of
your VM negotiations
do you expect to
address via amendment
(vs. a new CSA)?
13
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
POLL
ANSWER
14
I. Dramatically increased staffing levels:
• Re-dedicated internal resources, including from BAU
• Reliance on 3rd parties: solutions providers, law firms, temp
staffing
II. But market for SMEs now ~tapped out (and
onboarding time negates impact)
All hands on
deck.
Hoping for
silver linings,
but expecting
thunderclouds.
1.
2.
What to Expect Over
the Coming Weeks
15
I. Pressure on and from all stakeholders will mount,
underlining the need for effective communications
II. Hope that negotiations will accelerate as deadline
nears
III. Resulting heightened concerns about data
capture/systems readiness
IV. Growing calls for regulatory relief, but no one
taking the foot off the gas
What to Expect Over
the Coming Weeks
All hands on
deck.
Hoping for
silver linings,
but expecting
thunderclouds.
1.
2.
16
What to Expect Over
the Coming Weeks
All hands on
deck.
Hoping for
silver linings,
but expecting
thunderclouds.
1.
2.
Plans at this stage should be partly
about making better use of existing
resources ahead of Mar. 1, but also
about how outstanding negotiations
will be addressed after the deadline
and how best to communicate this
within and outside the organization
17
Ensure optimal
resource
allocation
Increase
scalability of
negotiations
Mitigate post –
Mar. 1 economic
impact
1.
2.
3.
I. Revised CP segmentation strategies
II. Fewer negotiations allowed to move beyond pre-
approved language
III. Updated terms acceptance standards
IV. Effective/ responsive collaboration model with key
internal stakeholders beyond negotiation teams
Options to Mitigate
the Challenge
18
Ensure optimal
resource
allocation
Increase
scalability of
negotiations
Mitigate post –
Mar. 1 economic
impact
1.
2.
3.
I. Use of pre-approvals
II. Fast-track process for “close to the goal line”
negotiations
III. Open communications with CPs on tradeoffs
Options to Mitigate
the Challenge
19
Ensure optimal
resource
allocation
Increase
scalability of
negotiations
Mitigate post –
Mar. 1 economic
impact
1.
2.
3. I. Thoroughly vet mechanisms to prevent
unauthorized trading post Mar. 1
II. Selectively implement ‘stop-gap’ compliant CSAs
Options to Mitigate
the Challenge
20
Increase
scalability of
negotiations
Ensure optimal
resource
allocation
Mitigate post –
Mar. 1 economic
impact
1.
2.
3.
Options to Mitigate
the Challenge
Limited time left means there are
no silver bullets –but ‘no regrets’
steps exist that firms can take to
improve Mar. 1st prospects
Thank you.

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Uncleared Margin Reform: State of the Market

  • 1. Axiom / OTC Space Webinar Thursday, 9th Feb. 2017 Uncleared Margin Remediation: State of the Market at T-3 weeks
  • 2. Today’s Topics: 1. Where the market is today 2. Negotiation trends 3. What to expect over the coming weeks 4. Options to mitigate the challenge 300+ project management, contracts negotiation and operations specialists delivering uncleared margin remediation-related outreach and negotiaton services for 22 buy- and sell-side institutions, including 17 of top 25 global broker dealers
  • 3. 3 Our Panelists: Bill Hodgson Founder, OTC Space Brendan Nelson VP, Banking Solutions at Axiom Barry Quinn SVP & Co-Head, Global Banking Practice at Axiom Kurt Crommelin Head of Legal, Financial Markets for Europe at Standard Chartered Bank Gerard de Lambilly Global Head of Legal Prime & Securities Services and Master Agreements at SOCIETE GENERALE
  • 4. 4 Market as a whole is behind plan. Protocol uptake far lower than anticipated. 1. 2. I. Very low initial counterparty engagement (10-20%) II. ~ 70-90% of negotiations now in-flight III. Current remediation levels typically <5% of counterparty scope IV. Mar. 1 targets adjusted significantly downward: 40-60% completion generally expected (can be much lower for some firms, especially larger dealers focusing on higher value counterparties) Where the Market is Today
  • 5. 5 I. Some initially expected 60-80% through Protocol; actual CP preference closer to 15-25% II. Frustrations with Protocol challenges: scope of capabilities; operational efficiency III. Firms actively changing negotiation strategy as result: 70-90% of volumes now expected to be bilateral Where the Market is Today Market as a whole is behind plan. Protocol uptake far lower than anticipated. 1. 2.
  • 6. 6 Where the Market is Today Market as a whole is behind plan. Protocol uptake far lower than anticipated. 1. 2. On current course and speed, there are simply not enough derivatives negotiator man-hours left in the market to meet the March 1st deadline for all CP relationships
  • 7. 7 Where the Market is Today Market as a whole is behind plan. Protocol uptake far lower than anticipated. 1. 2. POLL QUESTION What percentage of your counterparty relationships do you expect to have remediated by Mar. 1?
  • 8. 8 Where the Market is Today Market as a whole is behind plan. Protocol uptake far lower than anticipated. 1. 2. POLL ANSWER
  • 9. 9 Negotiation Trends I. Protocol vs. bilateral negotiations II. ‘New CSA’ vs. ‘Amend’ III. Openness to negotiations IV. Early implementation 1. 2. Fragmented initial approach to the challenge… ... and now a consistent trend away from standardization.
  • 10. 10 1. 2. I. Growing share of ‘Amend’ II. Move away from super-compliant standards III. Limited influence of Protocol defaults Negotiation Trends Fragmented initial approach to the challenge… ... and now a consistent trend away from standardization.
  • 11. 11 1. 2. Negotiation Trends Fragmented initial approach to the challenge… ... and now a consistent trend away from standardization. Firms confronted with very different approaches, and generally little term standardization, increasing the likelihood, scope and length of negotiations.
  • 12. 12 1. 2. Negotiation Trends Limited consistency in approaching the challenge… ... and now a consistent trend away from standardization. POLL QUESTION What percentage of your VM negotiations do you expect to address via amendment (vs. a new CSA)?
  • 13. 13 Where the Market is Today Market as a whole is behind plan. Protocol uptake far lower than anticipated. 1. 2. POLL ANSWER
  • 14. 14 I. Dramatically increased staffing levels: • Re-dedicated internal resources, including from BAU • Reliance on 3rd parties: solutions providers, law firms, temp staffing II. But market for SMEs now ~tapped out (and onboarding time negates impact) All hands on deck. Hoping for silver linings, but expecting thunderclouds. 1. 2. What to Expect Over the Coming Weeks
  • 15. 15 I. Pressure on and from all stakeholders will mount, underlining the need for effective communications II. Hope that negotiations will accelerate as deadline nears III. Resulting heightened concerns about data capture/systems readiness IV. Growing calls for regulatory relief, but no one taking the foot off the gas What to Expect Over the Coming Weeks All hands on deck. Hoping for silver linings, but expecting thunderclouds. 1. 2.
  • 16. 16 What to Expect Over the Coming Weeks All hands on deck. Hoping for silver linings, but expecting thunderclouds. 1. 2. Plans at this stage should be partly about making better use of existing resources ahead of Mar. 1, but also about how outstanding negotiations will be addressed after the deadline and how best to communicate this within and outside the organization
  • 17. 17 Ensure optimal resource allocation Increase scalability of negotiations Mitigate post – Mar. 1 economic impact 1. 2. 3. I. Revised CP segmentation strategies II. Fewer negotiations allowed to move beyond pre- approved language III. Updated terms acceptance standards IV. Effective/ responsive collaboration model with key internal stakeholders beyond negotiation teams Options to Mitigate the Challenge
  • 18. 18 Ensure optimal resource allocation Increase scalability of negotiations Mitigate post – Mar. 1 economic impact 1. 2. 3. I. Use of pre-approvals II. Fast-track process for “close to the goal line” negotiations III. Open communications with CPs on tradeoffs Options to Mitigate the Challenge
  • 19. 19 Ensure optimal resource allocation Increase scalability of negotiations Mitigate post – Mar. 1 economic impact 1. 2. 3. I. Thoroughly vet mechanisms to prevent unauthorized trading post Mar. 1 II. Selectively implement ‘stop-gap’ compliant CSAs Options to Mitigate the Challenge
  • 20. 20 Increase scalability of negotiations Ensure optimal resource allocation Mitigate post – Mar. 1 economic impact 1. 2. 3. Options to Mitigate the Challenge Limited time left means there are no silver bullets –but ‘no regrets’ steps exist that firms can take to improve Mar. 1st prospects

Editor's Notes

  1. Bill H: Overall webinar intro
  2. Barry topics overview and Axiom intro
  3. Barry leads panelist intros
  4. Questions for the panelists (Bill H): What in your view are some of the other reasons why the industry hasn’t made more progress on remedations by this point? (e.g., late regulatory guidance, disruption from European IM deadlines, etc.) What is your perspective for why the Protocol has seen relatively little uptake? How much impact do you think that has had on the progress of negotiations so far?
  5. Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
  6. Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
  7. Questions for the panelists (Bill H): Are there trends or pockets of particularly protracted negotiations you would highlight as having surprised you in their frequency or magnitude? (e.g., dealing with non-netting names, FX swaps transition period, etc.) Without revealing anything about your negotiation strategy, how/ to what extent has the reality of early VM negotiations with counterparties changed your original approach?
  8. Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
  9. Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
  10. Questions for the panelists (Bill H): To what extent to you believe that negotiations will indeed streamline/ accelerate over the next few weeks? With the large volumes of negotiations expected to conclude in the 2nd half of Feb., how concerned do you think the industry should be about the data capture/ systems issue and its real ability to trade on Mar. 1? What course/ regulatory relief do you think regulators could consider that would provide the best outcome for the market as a whole?
  11. Questions for the panelists (Bill H): What are you investing the most energy in over the next few weeks to optimize remediation outcomes (e.g., re-prioritization/ increased focus on top relationships, communicating within the bank, developing clearer post-deadline remediation plans) How much potential do you see for these or other pragmatic measures to make a meaningful difference for Mar. 1 and beyond?
  12. Closing: Bill