By all accounts, the March 1st UMR deadline is the largest renegotiation exercise in the history of contracts. Join Axiom, Standard Chartered Bank, Société Générale and The OTC Space to get inside knowledge to help prepare – or pivot – your institution's readiness plans.
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Uncleared Margin Reform: State of the Market
1. Axiom / OTC Space Webinar
Thursday, 9th Feb. 2017
Uncleared Margin
Remediation:
State of the Market
at T-3 weeks
2. Today’s Topics:
1. Where the market is today
2. Negotiation trends
3. What to expect over the coming weeks
4. Options to mitigate the challenge
300+ project management, contracts negotiation and operations
specialists delivering uncleared margin remediation-related
outreach and negotiaton services for 22 buy- and sell-side
institutions, including 17 of top 25 global broker dealers
3. 3
Our Panelists:
Bill Hodgson
Founder, OTC Space
Brendan Nelson
VP, Banking Solutions at
Axiom
Barry Quinn
SVP & Co-Head, Global
Banking Practice at Axiom
Kurt Crommelin
Head of Legal, Financial
Markets for Europe at
Standard Chartered Bank
Gerard de Lambilly
Global Head of Legal
Prime & Securities
Services and Master
Agreements at SOCIETE
GENERALE
4. 4
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
I. Very low initial counterparty engagement (10-20%)
II. ~ 70-90% of negotiations now in-flight
III. Current remediation levels typically <5% of
counterparty scope
IV. Mar. 1 targets adjusted significantly downward:
40-60% completion generally expected (can be
much lower for some firms, especially larger
dealers focusing on higher value counterparties)
Where the
Market is Today
5. 5
I. Some initially expected 60-80% through Protocol;
actual CP preference closer to 15-25%
II. Frustrations with Protocol challenges: scope of
capabilities; operational efficiency
III. Firms actively changing negotiation strategy as
result: 70-90% of volumes now expected to be
bilateral
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
6. 6
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
On current course and speed, there
are simply not enough derivatives
negotiator man-hours left in the
market to meet the March 1st
deadline for all CP relationships
7. 7
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
POLL
QUESTION
What percentage of
your counterparty
relationships do you
expect to have
remediated by Mar. 1?
8. 8
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
POLL
ANSWER
9. 9
Negotiation Trends
I. Protocol vs. bilateral negotiations
II. ‘New CSA’ vs. ‘Amend’
III. Openness to negotiations
IV. Early implementation
1.
2.
Fragmented
initial approach
to the
challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
10. 10
1.
2. I. Growing share of ‘Amend’
II. Move away from super-compliant standards
III. Limited influence of Protocol defaults
Negotiation Trends
Fragmented
initial approach
to the
challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
11. 11
1.
2.
Negotiation Trends
Fragmented
initial approach
to the
challenge…
... and now a
consistent trend
away from
standardization.
Firms confronted with very different
approaches, and generally little term
standardization, increasing the
likelihood, scope and length of
negotiations.
13. 13
Where the
Market is Today
Market as a
whole
is behind plan.
Protocol uptake
far lower than
anticipated.
1.
2.
POLL
ANSWER
14. 14
I. Dramatically increased staffing levels:
• Re-dedicated internal resources, including from BAU
• Reliance on 3rd parties: solutions providers, law firms, temp
staffing
II. But market for SMEs now ~tapped out (and
onboarding time negates impact)
All hands on
deck.
Hoping for
silver linings,
but expecting
thunderclouds.
1.
2.
What to Expect Over
the Coming Weeks
15. 15
I. Pressure on and from all stakeholders will mount,
underlining the need for effective communications
II. Hope that negotiations will accelerate as deadline
nears
III. Resulting heightened concerns about data
capture/systems readiness
IV. Growing calls for regulatory relief, but no one
taking the foot off the gas
What to Expect Over
the Coming Weeks
All hands on
deck.
Hoping for
silver linings,
but expecting
thunderclouds.
1.
2.
16. 16
What to Expect Over
the Coming Weeks
All hands on
deck.
Hoping for
silver linings,
but expecting
thunderclouds.
1.
2.
Plans at this stage should be partly
about making better use of existing
resources ahead of Mar. 1, but also
about how outstanding negotiations
will be addressed after the deadline
and how best to communicate this
within and outside the organization
17. 17
Ensure optimal
resource
allocation
Increase
scalability of
negotiations
Mitigate post –
Mar. 1 economic
impact
1.
2.
3.
I. Revised CP segmentation strategies
II. Fewer negotiations allowed to move beyond pre-
approved language
III. Updated terms acceptance standards
IV. Effective/ responsive collaboration model with key
internal stakeholders beyond negotiation teams
Options to Mitigate
the Challenge
Questions for the panelists (Bill H):
What in your view are some of the other reasons why the industry hasn’t made more progress on remedations by this point? (e.g., late regulatory guidance, disruption from European IM deadlines, etc.)
What is your perspective for why the Protocol has seen relatively little uptake?
How much impact do you think that has had on the progress of negotiations so far?
Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
Questions for the panelists (Bill H):
Are there trends or pockets of particularly protracted negotiations you would highlight as having surprised you in their frequency or magnitude? (e.g., dealing with non-netting names, FX swaps transition period, etc.)
Without revealing anything about your negotiation strategy, how/ to what extent has the reality of early VM negotiations with counterparties changed your original approach?
Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
Bill H to introduce the poll question; read-out responses
Questions for the panelists (Bill H):
To what extent to you believe that negotiations will indeed streamline/ accelerate over the next few weeks?
With the large volumes of negotiations expected to conclude in the 2nd half of Feb., how concerned do you think the industry should be about the data capture/ systems issue and its real ability to trade on Mar. 1?
What course/ regulatory relief do you think regulators could consider that would provide the best outcome for the market as a whole?
Questions for the panelists (Bill H):
What are you investing the most energy in over the next few weeks to optimize remediation outcomes (e.g., re-prioritization/ increased focus on top relationships, communicating within the bank, developing clearer post-deadline remediation plans)
How much potential do you see for these or other pragmatic measures to make a meaningful difference for Mar. 1 and beyond?