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Daily Market Reflection
12th
January 2018
Commodity Market Outlook
Fundamental News
Gold prices inched lower as the dollar recovered against major rivals
after China's regulator called a report about Beijing slowing or halting
of its U.S. bond buying possibly wrong. Looking ahead, calendar
features top-tier U.S. data on inflation. The Commerce Department will
publish Producer Price Index figures for December at 8:30AM ET.
Crude prices were largely unchanged near recent highs in early
dealings on Thursday, drawing support from a report showing U.S.
crude stockpiles declined for an eighth straight week. EIA weekly
report showed a decline in oil inventories by 4.9 million barrels with
fell in U.S. oil production by 290000 barrels/day to 9.49 million bpd.
Event Calendar (11th January 2018)
Time Currency Event Forecast Previous
18:00PM EUR
ECB Publishes A/C of
Monetary Policy
Meeting
18:30PM RUB
Central Bank Reserve
(USD)
432.0B
19:00PM USD Core CPI(MoM) 0.2% 0.3%
19:00PM USD Initial Jobless Claims 246K 250K
19:00PM USD PPI (MoM) 0.2% 0.4%
19:00PM CAD
New Housing Price
Index (MoM)
0.2% 0.1%
COMEX
Commodities
Date Date
% Chg
09-01-18 10-01-18
GOLD 1317.38 1319.12 +0.13%
SILVER 16.99 17.00 +0.06%
CRUDE 63.51 63.97 +0.72%
COPPER 3.2385 3.2403 +0.06%
Global Commodities & Currencies
Commodities/
Currencies
Close
5 PM
Previous % Chg
LEAD 2570.25 2552.00 +0.72%
ALUMINIUM 2195.00 2182.75 +0.56%
ZINC 3386.25 3348.00 +1.14%
NATURALGAS 2.928 2.906 +0.76%
PALLADIUM 1073.85 1077.44 -0.33%
PLATINUM 981.60 978.80 +0.29%
GBPUSD 1.3476 1.3508 -0.24%
EURUSD 1.1944 1.1947 -0.03%
USDJPY 111.65 111.44 +0.19%
EURJPY 133.35 133.14 +0.16%
GBPJPY 150.44 150.52 -0.05%
GBPCHF 1.3194 1.3214 -0.15%
USDCHF 0.9791 0.9782 +0.09%
USDCAD 1.2575 1.2548 +0.22%
EURGBP 0.8862 0.8846 +0.18%
CHFJPY 114.02 113.92 +0.09%
EURCHF 1.1692 1.1690 +0.02%
AUDUSD 0.7871 0.7843 +0.36%
EURAUD 1.5173 1.5233 -0.39%
GBPAUD 1.7121 1.7222 -0.59%
COMEX GOLD
Oil Holds Near 3-Year Highs as Falling U.S. Crude supplies Provide
Support
Gold Slips from 4-Mon High as Dollar Recovers on New China Bon
News
Dollar Holds Onto Modest Gains Vs. Rivals
USD/CAD retreats from 2-Week tops, Surging oil prices capping
gains
OUR PREVIOUS CALLS UPDATE
Intraday super star
Date Currency Entry Exit P/L
10/01 EURUSD(L) 1.3527 -- UNEXE
Trifid special
Date Commodity Entry Exit P/L
10/01 GOLD(L) 1328 -- UNEXE
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COMEX Overview
Event Calendar (10th October 2017)
Time Currency Event Forecast Previous
8:30AM CAD Building Permits m/m -5.5%
10:30AM USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.4M
3:00PM NZD RBNZ Rate Statement
3:00PM NZD
RBNZ Monetary Policy
Statement
4:00PM NZD RBNZ Press Conference
8:30PM CNY CPI y/y 1.7% 1.6%
GOLD
Gold prices rose sharply up in the previous session moving
above $1327 but did not sustain there and closed near $1317
level. It is expected to trade in a broad range. At the higher
side it may move up test its resistance at $1328 while at the
lower end it may take support at $1305.
R1 R2 S1 S2
1328 1334 1305 1298
SILVER
Silver prices are moving sideways today trading near $17
level. It may continue to trade sideways but the U.S. PPI data
in the evening may bring some volatility in prices. The
immediate resistance for silver is at $17.26 while the current
support is at $16.85 level.
R1 R2 S1 S2
17.26 17.40 16.85 16.70
CRUDE
Crude oil prices are continued to move higher on the back of
supply cuts by OPEC and rising demand. Currently trading
just above $64 if it breaks its immediate resistance at $64.10
then it may move further up. On the other side any
correction will find the support at $63.05 level.
COPPER
Copper prices have turned sideways after taking the
correction in the previous week from its recent highs. It is
expected to trade range bound. On the higher side it has a
good resistance at 3.2645 while at the lower side it may get
support at 3.2040 level.
R1 R2 S1 S2
64.10 64.85 63.05 62.85
R1 R2 S1 S2
3.2645 3.2885 3.2040 3.1750
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Currencies Overview
GBPUSD
GBPUSD has broken the 1.3510 level and failed to
break1.3558 level because of incorrect news was floated in
the market regarding china’s slow down of US bond buying
but this was a fake news and momentum came last day was
the result of that. So, today prices can touch the 1.3510
levels and it may range below this level.
R1 R2 S1 S2
1.3510 1.3527 1.3482 1.3459
EURUSD
EURUSD was fallen from the 1.1989 level to 1.1947 level it is
taking support from 1.1930 level support line which may
results as some correction then if it breaks the supporting
trend line then it may go further down side.
R1 R2 S1 S2
1. 1989 1.2031 1.1959 1.1930
USDJPY
USDJPY going sideways today it is ranging between 112.00
111.33 level. If JPY broke the 111.33 level then it will go
more downside otherwise it may range like that and can
touch 112.00 levels once again.
USDCHF
USDCHF was declined from 0.9808 level which is working
as good resistance. At down side 0.9771 is good support
above it at 0.9780 level a supportive trend line is also there
which is supporting the price. So, there is ranging price
probability in this pair. Breaking of 0.9771 level is require to
go more down side.
R1 R2 S1 S2
112.00 112.17 111.48 111.33
R1 R2 S1 S2
0.9808 0.9835 0.9771 0.9736
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Intraday Super Star
(Premium Section)
GBP/USD is in bearish way can dive more downside, better to go with bears.
BUY GBP/USD ABOVE 1.3455 TARGET 1.3440/1.3425/1.3410 SL 1.3470.
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Trifid Special
(Premium Section)
Crude oil continues to move higher and if it breaks its resistance at $64.10 then it may move further up.
BUY CRUDE OIL ABOVE 64.10 TARGET 64.40 SL 63.70
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