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© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Bodacious Barley – 2018 Crop
October 2018
Lorelle Selinger
Cargill Malt
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Source: USDA and Stats Can
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
Acres
Canada US
North America – Barley Area Planted Trend
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.3
Western Canada 2-Row Variety Trends
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Plantedarea(%)
Meredith Metcalfe Copeland Newdale PoS/PtS Others Synergy
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.4
In the Beginning….
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
• Seeding may have
got off to a bit of a
late start, but warm,
dry conditions
allowed for quick
progress, with the
large majority of the
crop planted ahead
of 10 year averages
• Barley acres were up
year over year
5
And let it Grow ….
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
• By the end of June,
the word “drought”
was getting tossed
around. We saw a
lot of localized
storms, and in places
heavy rain fall – but it
was not well
dispersed.
• Although seeding
started later, the hot
& dry conditions
pushed the crop
along quickly
6
And then….
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
• As August came
around, the
southern end of the
prairies had really
struggled as a
result of the dry
conditions, but
crop quality was
still near average
in most of the
central and
northern regions.
• Disease pressure
was minimal, given
the generally dry
conditions
7
And a while later….
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.8
The Growing Season….
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.9
And in the “End” ….
• Harvest got off to a
pretty solid start by late
August. Two weeks
into September, over
60% of the barley crop
was off.
• Yields were better than
expected, given limited
precipitation across
most of the barley
growing region
• Quality was looking
positive….
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
• And then it snowed, rained
and temperatures remained
below average. Harvest
came to a screeching halt,
and has yet to fully resume
• Barley standing in the fields
is susceptible to chit (pre-
sprouting), mold, mildew
and other diseases.
Germanitive energy will
struggle. Yields will be
impacted.
• We will “pick through” the
late harvest barley, but
expectations for malting
quality are low
10
After Life….?
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Canada – Crop 2018 Update: pre-snow
Protein Plump
Range Copeland Metcalfe Synergy Range Copeland Metcalfe Synergy
<10 5% 5% 5% <70 0% 0% 0%
10.1-11 23% 12% 23% 70-80 1% 3% 0%
11.1-12 32% 29% 34% 81-90 8% 4% 0%
12.1-13 25% 39% 28% 90+ 92% 93% 100%
13.1-13.5 5% 2% 2%
13.6+ 9% 12% 8%
Avg Avg Avg Avg Avg Avg Avg
Variety Protein Moisture PLMP Test Wt. DON Chit Germ
Copeland 12.1 13.1 95 65.1 0.02 0.1 99
Metcalfe 12.3 13.1 95 67.8 0.03 0.03 99
Synergy 11.8 13.4 97 65.98 0.04 0.03 99
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Germination – min 95% 4ml/3 day
• Low germ barley can be a result of chitting/pre
sprout, disease, damaged kernels
• Low germ barley will modify less effectively in the
malting process – starch will not convert to sugar
• The malt will have poor extract, friability and wort
clarity
What does this mean?
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Protein – 10-12% ideal, export market higher
• Barley protein is influenced by seeding date, yields, fertilizer, soil quality,
available moisture, and heat units during the growing season
• Higher protein takes water on slower. There is a lower starch content and
decreased extract
• High protein can effect flavor and can cause cloudiness in beer
Moisture – 10-13.5%
 High moisture can be a result of high humidity/precipitation during the
harvest season or harvesting prematurely.
 Damp grain is more dense and has a negative impact on production
capacity and plant economics. Barley storage risk is greatly increased
What does this mean?
© 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
• BE SAFE AND HAVE FUN
There will still be Beer!

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Bodacious barley 2018 crop by Lorelle Selinger of Cargill

  • 1. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. Bodacious Barley – 2018 Crop October 2018 Lorelle Selinger Cargill Malt
  • 2. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. Source: USDA and Stats Can - 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 Acres Canada US North America – Barley Area Planted Trend
  • 3. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.3 Western Canada 2-Row Variety Trends 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Plantedarea(%) Meredith Metcalfe Copeland Newdale PoS/PtS Others Synergy
  • 4. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.4 In the Beginning….
  • 5. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. • Seeding may have got off to a bit of a late start, but warm, dry conditions allowed for quick progress, with the large majority of the crop planted ahead of 10 year averages • Barley acres were up year over year 5 And let it Grow ….
  • 6. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. • By the end of June, the word “drought” was getting tossed around. We saw a lot of localized storms, and in places heavy rain fall – but it was not well dispersed. • Although seeding started later, the hot & dry conditions pushed the crop along quickly 6 And then….
  • 7. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. • As August came around, the southern end of the prairies had really struggled as a result of the dry conditions, but crop quality was still near average in most of the central and northern regions. • Disease pressure was minimal, given the generally dry conditions 7 And a while later….
  • 8. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.8 The Growing Season….
  • 9. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved.9 And in the “End” …. • Harvest got off to a pretty solid start by late August. Two weeks into September, over 60% of the barley crop was off. • Yields were better than expected, given limited precipitation across most of the barley growing region • Quality was looking positive….
  • 10. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. • And then it snowed, rained and temperatures remained below average. Harvest came to a screeching halt, and has yet to fully resume • Barley standing in the fields is susceptible to chit (pre- sprouting), mold, mildew and other diseases. Germanitive energy will struggle. Yields will be impacted. • We will “pick through” the late harvest barley, but expectations for malting quality are low 10 After Life….?
  • 11. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. Canada – Crop 2018 Update: pre-snow Protein Plump Range Copeland Metcalfe Synergy Range Copeland Metcalfe Synergy <10 5% 5% 5% <70 0% 0% 0% 10.1-11 23% 12% 23% 70-80 1% 3% 0% 11.1-12 32% 29% 34% 81-90 8% 4% 0% 12.1-13 25% 39% 28% 90+ 92% 93% 100% 13.1-13.5 5% 2% 2% 13.6+ 9% 12% 8% Avg Avg Avg Avg Avg Avg Avg Variety Protein Moisture PLMP Test Wt. DON Chit Germ Copeland 12.1 13.1 95 65.1 0.02 0.1 99 Metcalfe 12.3 13.1 95 67.8 0.03 0.03 99 Synergy 11.8 13.4 97 65.98 0.04 0.03 99
  • 12. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. Germination – min 95% 4ml/3 day • Low germ barley can be a result of chitting/pre sprout, disease, damaged kernels • Low germ barley will modify less effectively in the malting process – starch will not convert to sugar • The malt will have poor extract, friability and wort clarity What does this mean?
  • 13. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. Protein – 10-12% ideal, export market higher • Barley protein is influenced by seeding date, yields, fertilizer, soil quality, available moisture, and heat units during the growing season • Higher protein takes water on slower. There is a lower starch content and decreased extract • High protein can effect flavor and can cause cloudiness in beer Moisture – 10-13.5%  High moisture can be a result of high humidity/precipitation during the harvest season or harvesting prematurely.  Damp grain is more dense and has a negative impact on production capacity and plant economics. Barley storage risk is greatly increased What does this mean?
  • 14. © 2014 Cargill, Incorporated. All rights reserved. • BE SAFE AND HAVE FUN There will still be Beer!