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How is the current security
situation in Europe?
Claudia Haydt, Europena Left, Germany
„One year ago (2018), we launched the Defense Union and
have since been working on our ambitious development
plan step by step. My goal is to celebrate the topping-out
ceremony in 2020 together with the start of the next
German EU Council Presidency.“ (Ursula von der Leyen, 21. Januar
2019)
Defense Union, Armament Union
or EU-Army?
German Military Budget23,16
29,45
31,7
32,8
33,14
34
35,14
36,9
38,9
43,2
47,3
2000 2008 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 NAT O
Billion €
On the way to spending 2% GDP
NATO states
(without USA)
have spend 87
Billion $ additional
to their already
high military
expenditure since
2014…
New NATO-Command in Ulm
"Joint Support Enabling
Command" JSEC
„Munic Consensus“: New Powers – New Responsibilities//2013
Good EU - PR
Pew Research
Center
www.people-
press.org
Poverty, War and Repression
Neoliberale Foreign-
economic policies
Imperial global war-policies
Austerity and
Privatisation at home
Repression and dismantling
of human and citzens‘
rights
EUFOR-Exercise Quick Response
European
Council
-
Post Lisbon
Treaty and
Post-Brexit
PESCO
Qualified
Majority:
65%
population
55% states
Voting Power %
(Nizza)
Voting Power %
(Lissabon)
Votin Power % (Post-
Bexit)
Germany 8,4 16 18,3
France 8,4 13,1 15
Italy 8,4 12 13,7
Great Britain 8,4 12,8 0
Spain 7,83 9,1 10,5
Poland 7,83 7,5 8,6
Romania 4,04 3,9 4,5
Netherlands 3,77 3,3 3,8
Greece 3,48 2,1 2,4
Portugal 3,48 2 2,3
Hungary 3,48 1,9 2,2
Czech Republik 3,48 2,1 2,4
Belgium 3,48 2,2 2,5
Sweden 2,9 1,9 2,2
Austria 2,9 1,7 1,9
Bulgaria 2,9 1,4 1,6
Finland 2,03 1,1 1,2
Slovakia 2,03 1,1 1,2
Denmark 2,03 1,1 1,3
Ireland 2,03 0,9 1
Lithuania 2,03 0,6 0,7
Latvia 1,16 0,4 0,4
Slovenia 1,16 0,4 0,5
Luxembourg 1,16 0,1 0,1
Estonia 1,16 0,3 0,3
Cyprus 1,16 0,2 0,2
Malta 0,88 0,1 0,1
PESCO Projects Overview
Expert Opinion on EDF
•„The commission choose Art.
173. 3, Art. 182, 4, Art. 183 and
Art. 188, 2 AEUV but this is no
sufficient basis of a European
Defense fund (EDF).“
•Andreas Fischer-Lescano: Gutachten
vom 30.11.2018
Global economic interests of
EU states are being
defended on a global level –
also by military means
PESCO
Rüstungskorsett per Zwang und Sanktion
PROJEKTBESCHLUSS
(einstimmig, aber nur durch
PESCO-Staaten)
AUFNAHME
(qualifizierte Mehrheit der
bereits teilnehmenden)
PROJEKTMANAGEMENT
(einstimmig, aber nur durch
PESCO-Projektteilnehmer)
EVALUATION
(durch EU-
Verteidigungsagentur)
20 TEILNAHME-
KRITERIEN
AUSSCHLUSS
(qualifizierte Mehrheit ohne
angeklagten Staat)
EUGS: Hard Power
„ For Europe, soft and hard power go hand
in hand.”
“regarding high-end military capabilities,
Member States need all major equipment
…this means having full-spectrum land, air,
space and maritime capabilities, including
strategic enablers.”
“The voluntary approach to defence
cooperation must translate into real
commitment. A sustainable, innovative
and competitive European defence
industry is essential for Europe’s strategic
autonomy and for a credible CSDP.”
The Lisbon Treaty allows for:
• „operational capacity drawing on …military
assets " (Art. 42)
• "military advice and assistance tasks " (Art. 43)
• "tasks of combat forces " (Art. 43)
• Military operations to " contribute to the fight
against terrorism, including by supporting third
countries in combating terrorism in their
territories " (Art. 43)
• „ Member States shall undertake progressively
to improve their military capabilities.“ (Art. 42,
3)
• Establish a ‘European Defence Agency’ (Art.
42,3; Art. 45)
• „Member States whose military capabilities
fulfil higher criteria and which have made
more binding commitments to one another …
with a view to the most demanding missions
shall establish permanent structured
cooperation. (Art.42,6; Art.46)
• „joint disarmament operations“ (Art. 43)
The „Logic“ of defense cooperation
 1 european wide contract
 1 mega defense corporation
 Bigger contracts = lower prices?
 Lower prices = greater
competitiveness = more exports
= even lower prices?
 [more wars, more refugees]
 More Bang for the Buck!!
„ She is awake, the Sleeping Beauty of the Lisbon Treaty:
Permanent Structured Cooperation is happening.”
Jean-Claude Juncker. 11.12.2017)
EU-Defence Fund
Group of Personalities: Lobbying
The Group of Personalities Fernando Abril-
Martorell (CEO of Indra*); Carl Bildt (former
Prime Minister of Sweden); Antoine Bouvier
(CEO of MBDA*); Håkan Buskhe (CEO of
Saab*); Paul de Krom (CEO of TNO); Tom
Enders (CEO of Airbus Group*); Michael
Gahler (MEP); Elisabeth Guigou (French
politician (Socialist Party)); Ian King (CEO of
BAE Systems*); Bogdan Klich (former Polish
Defence Minister); Federica Mogherini (EU
High Representative); Mauro Moretti (CEO
of Finmeccanica*); Reimund Neugebauer
(President of the Frauenhofer- Gesellschaft);
Arndt Schoenemann (Chairman of ASD);
Teija Tiilikainen (Director of the Finnish
Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)); Nick
Witney (former EDA Chief Executive)
* Representatives of the defence industry
2015 the Industry Commissioner Elżbieta
Bieńkowska hand-picked a ‘Group of
Personalities’ to look into the usefulness of a
European defence research budget
How is the current security situation in Europe

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How is the current security situation in Europe

  • 1. How is the current security situation in Europe? Claudia Haydt, Europena Left, Germany
  • 2. „One year ago (2018), we launched the Defense Union and have since been working on our ambitious development plan step by step. My goal is to celebrate the topping-out ceremony in 2020 together with the start of the next German EU Council Presidency.“ (Ursula von der Leyen, 21. Januar 2019) Defense Union, Armament Union or EU-Army?
  • 3.
  • 4. German Military Budget23,16 29,45 31,7 32,8 33,14 34 35,14 36,9 38,9 43,2 47,3 2000 2008 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 NAT O Billion €
  • 5. On the way to spending 2% GDP NATO states (without USA) have spend 87 Billion $ additional to their already high military expenditure since 2014…
  • 6. New NATO-Command in Ulm "Joint Support Enabling Command" JSEC
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. „Munic Consensus“: New Powers – New Responsibilities//2013
  • 11. Good EU - PR Pew Research Center www.people- press.org
  • 12. Poverty, War and Repression Neoliberale Foreign- economic policies Imperial global war-policies Austerity and Privatisation at home Repression and dismantling of human and citzens‘ rights
  • 14.
  • 15. European Council - Post Lisbon Treaty and Post-Brexit PESCO Qualified Majority: 65% population 55% states Voting Power % (Nizza) Voting Power % (Lissabon) Votin Power % (Post- Bexit) Germany 8,4 16 18,3 France 8,4 13,1 15 Italy 8,4 12 13,7 Great Britain 8,4 12,8 0 Spain 7,83 9,1 10,5 Poland 7,83 7,5 8,6 Romania 4,04 3,9 4,5 Netherlands 3,77 3,3 3,8 Greece 3,48 2,1 2,4 Portugal 3,48 2 2,3 Hungary 3,48 1,9 2,2 Czech Republik 3,48 2,1 2,4 Belgium 3,48 2,2 2,5 Sweden 2,9 1,9 2,2 Austria 2,9 1,7 1,9 Bulgaria 2,9 1,4 1,6 Finland 2,03 1,1 1,2 Slovakia 2,03 1,1 1,2 Denmark 2,03 1,1 1,3 Ireland 2,03 0,9 1 Lithuania 2,03 0,6 0,7 Latvia 1,16 0,4 0,4 Slovenia 1,16 0,4 0,5 Luxembourg 1,16 0,1 0,1 Estonia 1,16 0,3 0,3 Cyprus 1,16 0,2 0,2 Malta 0,88 0,1 0,1
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Expert Opinion on EDF •„The commission choose Art. 173. 3, Art. 182, 4, Art. 183 and Art. 188, 2 AEUV but this is no sufficient basis of a European Defense fund (EDF).“ •Andreas Fischer-Lescano: Gutachten vom 30.11.2018
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Global economic interests of EU states are being defended on a global level – also by military means
  • 25.
  • 26. PESCO Rüstungskorsett per Zwang und Sanktion PROJEKTBESCHLUSS (einstimmig, aber nur durch PESCO-Staaten) AUFNAHME (qualifizierte Mehrheit der bereits teilnehmenden) PROJEKTMANAGEMENT (einstimmig, aber nur durch PESCO-Projektteilnehmer) EVALUATION (durch EU- Verteidigungsagentur) 20 TEILNAHME- KRITERIEN AUSSCHLUSS (qualifizierte Mehrheit ohne angeklagten Staat)
  • 27.
  • 28. EUGS: Hard Power „ For Europe, soft and hard power go hand in hand.” “regarding high-end military capabilities, Member States need all major equipment …this means having full-spectrum land, air, space and maritime capabilities, including strategic enablers.” “The voluntary approach to defence cooperation must translate into real commitment. A sustainable, innovative and competitive European defence industry is essential for Europe’s strategic autonomy and for a credible CSDP.”
  • 29.
  • 30. The Lisbon Treaty allows for: • „operational capacity drawing on …military assets " (Art. 42) • "military advice and assistance tasks " (Art. 43) • "tasks of combat forces " (Art. 43) • Military operations to " contribute to the fight against terrorism, including by supporting third countries in combating terrorism in their territories " (Art. 43)
  • 31. • „ Member States shall undertake progressively to improve their military capabilities.“ (Art. 42, 3) • Establish a ‘European Defence Agency’ (Art. 42,3; Art. 45) • „Member States whose military capabilities fulfil higher criteria and which have made more binding commitments to one another … with a view to the most demanding missions shall establish permanent structured cooperation. (Art.42,6; Art.46) • „joint disarmament operations“ (Art. 43)
  • 32.
  • 33. The „Logic“ of defense cooperation  1 european wide contract  1 mega defense corporation  Bigger contracts = lower prices?  Lower prices = greater competitiveness = more exports = even lower prices?  [more wars, more refugees]  More Bang for the Buck!!
  • 34. „ She is awake, the Sleeping Beauty of the Lisbon Treaty: Permanent Structured Cooperation is happening.” Jean-Claude Juncker. 11.12.2017)
  • 36. Group of Personalities: Lobbying The Group of Personalities Fernando Abril- Martorell (CEO of Indra*); Carl Bildt (former Prime Minister of Sweden); Antoine Bouvier (CEO of MBDA*); Håkan Buskhe (CEO of Saab*); Paul de Krom (CEO of TNO); Tom Enders (CEO of Airbus Group*); Michael Gahler (MEP); Elisabeth Guigou (French politician (Socialist Party)); Ian King (CEO of BAE Systems*); Bogdan Klich (former Polish Defence Minister); Federica Mogherini (EU High Representative); Mauro Moretti (CEO of Finmeccanica*); Reimund Neugebauer (President of the Frauenhofer- Gesellschaft); Arndt Schoenemann (Chairman of ASD); Teija Tiilikainen (Director of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)); Nick Witney (former EDA Chief Executive) * Representatives of the defence industry 2015 the Industry Commissioner Elżbieta Bieńkowska hand-picked a ‘Group of Personalities’ to look into the usefulness of a European defence research budget