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臺灣:
從口罩之亂 到口罩之霸
前 言
武漢肺炎全球病例、死亡數飆高,疫情嚴峻。
近日在世界各地都缺乏口罩,臺灣也大缺貨。
臺灣要如何在這種情況下
化危機為轉機,成為全球的「口罩之霸」?
2
武漢肺炎的肆虐
到目前為止,疫情尚未有緩和的跡象。
為保護自己與他人,口罩是最不可或缺的物資。
全球已有24,000多例,近500例死亡
一有新增病例至少要隔離14天
武漢肺炎自2019年12月底
到目前已經過1個半月
3
臺灣口罩生產/庫存
2020年1月,庫存量約4,500萬個
4,500萬片/1,000萬人,僅能供應4.5天
以日產量400萬片計算
每天還欠缺600萬片口罩
庫存無法支撐 口罩缺乏
假設2,300萬人,每天1,000萬人戴口罩
4
口罩內需不足
若還收購且送到國外的話,台灣口罩將更加不足,民眾會擔心...
更加恐慌
掃貨囤貨
哄抬價格
治安問題 5
統收/統售穩定供給與價格
260萬片透過各大連鎖通路
3個一組販售,民眾就近購買
1/31-2/3政府進行口罩統收/統售的措施,以日產量400萬為例:
140萬片供給醫療系統
及公務防疫儲備使用
以260萬/3計算,約86萬人可買到,很多人仍買不到
6
400萬/日
實名販售讓人人都有
仍有民眾為買不到口罩所苦,2月3日政院宣布:
2月6日起交由健保藥局實名販售,讓每人每週都能買到2片口罩。
待新產線、產能陸續開出
會再調整購買管道及數量
7天2片口罩仍然不夠
至少讓每人都買得到
7
4
6
8
10
增加產能產線口罩不缺貨
疫情短期內不會停止,五、六月氣候回暖或許可能改善。
這幾個月若無新的口罩產能,缺貨情形將更為嚴重。
政院1/31日宣布,未來5
週增加62條產線,第一條
產線在三週左右開始啟用。
在原先400萬日產量,再增600萬日
產量,5週後達1,000萬日產量,較
能因應現在及未來防疫的基本需求。
8
5週內增加62條產線成為生產大國
我們將躍升為全球第二大口罩生產國
台灣本身機械/紡織工業發達,產線建立原料備齊,就能有效應對。
中國現有口罩產能
2,000萬/13億=0.02
0.02*7,每人每週約0.15片
台灣3月增加產線到1,000萬/日
1,000萬/2,300萬=0.4
0.4*7,每人每週約3片
9
0.15片
2.8片
註:4,00萬日產能,每人每週約1.19片
透明、公開、不恐慌
口罩之亂肇因於民眾對相關資訊的未知而慌張,建議有關單位可進一步...
10
資訊透明 有效管制 降低恐慌
公布每日產能用量
產線進度通路管控
依照使用優先緩急
說明資源分配狀況
指導有效使用口罩
加強公共衛生宣導
政府口罩控管時間表
11
12/31 1/23 1/24 1/31 1/31 2/3 2/6 2/21 3/1
首度公開疫情
預計62產線完成
達1,000萬片/日
宣布口罩
禁止出口1個月
宣布自建
62條口罩產線
實名制販售
每人每週2片
湖北武漢封城
口罩統收/統售
3入1組販售
公告2/6起
實名制販售
預計第1條
口罩產線啟用
思考一下,若沒有及時決策…
若1/31
沒決定增加產線及產能
若1/31-2/3
要是沒有統收/統售的話
若2/6起
沒採取實名制該怎麼辦
12
我們可以對政府有所要求與批評
但政府對社會和醫療系統的快速應變
社會大眾應予以支持及肯定
並感謝相關醫療單位對防疫的全力投入
13
368TW希望針對社會上的議題
整理並提出一些見解
希望跟大家一起釐清議題,讓台灣更好
14
© 2020 368TW.com

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臺灣:從口罩之亂到口罩之霸