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ECONOMIC REFORM
AVIATION SECTOR - INDIA
SUMMARY OF PRESENTATION
• Introduction

• India’s economy before 1991

• Aviation Industry before 1991

• Liberalisation policies/Government initiatives

• Impact of Liberalisation Policy

• Growth Story

• SWOT Analysis

• Reasons for current losses by Indian LCC and Govt   measures

• Conclusion
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
• India is World’s 9th largest market
• Comprises of Domestic Airline, Air Cargo and Airports
• Scheduled services available from to/fro 82 airports
• Bilateral with 104 countries
• Domestic air passenger - Worlds 4th
• Enhanced connectivity – 72 foreign airlines of 49 countries
• 14 scheduled airlines operating exclusively in passenger
  sector
• Presently it contributes 0.5 % of GDP and it is expected that
  by 2030 it will contribute 5 % of GDP
HISTORY
• Completed 100 years in the year 2011

• February 18, 1911 -  First commercial plane between
                        Allahabad & Naini carrying mails
• During Independence - 09 Companies
                         Tata Airlines, Indian National Airways
                         Air service of India, Deccan Airways
                         Ambica Airways, Bharat Airways
                        Mistry Airways.

• Inaugural flight of Air India International Ltd - June 8, 1948
                                                   Mumbai-London
• Nationalized in 1953 - Private airlines not allowed
                         Transport for elite class
                         Restricted Growth
                         High Cost structure
                         Underdevelopment of infrastructure
INDIA’S ECONOMY BEFORE 1991
• Influenced by Protectionism and Public ownership.

• Existence of License Raj (Red Tape).

• Average growth rate of India was 3.5% p.a with per capita
  1.3%p.a.

• More focused on Heavy Industries and Agriculture.

• Less attention towards service sector.

• Downfall of USSR and Gulf War added fuel to the fire of crisis.
INDIA’S ECONOMY BEFORE 1991
• Major imbalance in payments of loans.

• International Monetary Fund (IMF) demanded for economic
  reforms in return of aid.

• Prime Minister Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Manmohan
  Singh took initiative to bring Liberalization.
ECONOMIC REFORMS POST 1991
Policies
• Liberalisation - Private Players

• Open Sky

• Direct import of ATF - Regulation

• FDI – Domestic Services Sector

• Airports control - Airports Authority of India (AAI)

• Green Field Airport
Major Timelines
1912: Indian                                             1953: Indian
  State Air                                                 Airlines
 service and                                             Corporation
   Imperial                                                 formed                        2003
 Airways, UK                    1932:                     through Air                   Entry of
 collaborate                     Tata                    Corporation                   low cost
to ply on first               Aviations                  Act, 1953, by                 carriers.
  domestic                    establish                  nationalizing                     Air
    route,                      ed. It                   Air India and                  Deccan,
  between                      goes to                       Indian                    Spice Jet,
  Delhi and                   Colombo                      National                      Go Air,
   Karachi.                   in 1938.                     Airways.                     Indigo.




                    1915:                     1948:                       1994: Air
                  Tata Sons                Designated                    Corporatio
                    start                     as flag                    n Act. 1953
                   airmail                    carrier                     repealed
                   service                  under the                     and thus
                  between                   name Air                       allowed
                  Delhi and                    India                       private
                   Madras.                Internationa                    players to
                                           l with 49%                       come.
                                               govt.
                                             control.
IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION
• The Air Corporation Act, 1953 repealed
  Opening up of the domestic sector
  Disinvestment of the two public sector airlines
  New privately owned domestic airlines
• Open Sky
  Allow foreign airline of any country or ownership to land at
  any port on any number of occasions and with unlimited seat
  capacity.

• Foreign Direct Investment

  Up To 49% Of Foreign Equity & 100% Of NRI investment is
  allowed Pertaining to the Domestic Air Transport Services
IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION
• Private Carriers permitted to operate scheduled services – 75%
  share in domestic aviation

• Entry of low cost carriers

• City side development of non-metro airports

• Allowing Indian carriers to compete on international routes

• Reduction in Landing charges.

•   Fleet expansion plans of Air India
IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION

•   Restructuring of Delhi and Mumbai airport and development
    of Greenfield airports at Bangalore and Hyderabad
    undertaken.

• Up gradation/ expansion/ development of airports
  undertaken depending upon traffic potential, requirement of
  airline operators and need of air passengers.
IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION
• With the liberalization of the Indian aviation sector, aviation
  industry in India has undergone a rapid transformation. From
  being primarily a government-owned industry, the Indian
  aviation industry is now dominated by privately owned full
  service airlines and low cost carriers.
PASSENGER FLOW
2006 - 2011
MARKET SHARE
2011
MAJOR GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES
•   Reduction of high Aviation Turbine Fuel(ATF) cost and review
    of its Tax structure

•    Multi Modal Connectivity by building expressways to
     facilitate advantage of air transportation by reducing the
     total travel time

•    Promotion of Regional Airlines by the way of liberal policy
     and provision of better infrastructure facilities

•    Development of MRO hub
MAJOR GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES

•   Merger of AI and Indian Airlines to optimize fleet acquisition
    and to leverage the asset base

•   100% FDI is permissible for existing airports; approval
    required for FDI beyond 74%

•   100% FDI under automatic route is permissible for
    Greenfield airports

•   100% tax exemption for airport projects for a period of
    10 years
GROWTH OF THE INDUSTRY
• The growth of airlines traffic in Aviation Industry in India is almost
  four times above international average.

• Domestic airlines passengers traffic in increasing at the rate of 25%.

• India ranks fourth after US, China and Japan in terms of domestic
  passengers volume.
  The number of domestic flights grew by 69 per cent from 2005 to
  2008.
  The domestic aviation sector is expected to grow at a rate of 9-10
  per cent to reach a level of 150-180 million passengers by 2020.

• The industry witnessed an annual growth of 12.8 per cent during
  the last 5 years in the international cargo handled at all Indian
  airports.
GROWTH OF THE INDUSTRY
• Further, there has been an increase in tourist charter flights to India
  with around 686 flights bringing 150,000 tourists.

• It is predicted that international passengers will grow upto 50
  million by 2015


• Aviation is now affordable with check fares and discount schemes.


• Various Operators with different business model.


• Regional connectivity – Tier II & Tier III cities
Contribution to GDP

Present Contribution < 1%.

Poised to grow at 5% contribution to GDP by 2030
OPPORTUNITIES
Airport development and modernisation
• The government is promoting private participation for the
development of greenfield airports and modernisation of existing
airports.

Airport connectivity
• The Ministry of Civil Aviation is focussing on improving connectivity
to major airports.


City-side development
• The government is focussing on the city-side development of airports,
including real estate and commercial development. The city-side
development of 24 non-major airports is being taken up.
SWOT ANALYSIS
CHALLENGES
• Initializing privatization in the airport activities

• Modernization of the airlines fleet to handle the pressure of
  competition in the aviation industry

• Rapid expansion plans for the major airports for the increased
  flow of air traffic

• Development for the continuously growing Regional Airports

• Costs pressures (ATF Prices & Staff Cost)
Problems that effected airline
  industry- The low cost carrier ( LCC)
• The Indian aviation sector was exposed to intense competition
  with the advent of a low-cost airline - Air Deccan back in 2003.
  The success of Air Deccan spurred the entry of other LCCs like
  SpiceJet, Indigo, Go Air and subsequently low fare offerings from
  Jet airways and Kingfisher Airlines. However, longer term
  viability of LCCs models in India remains to be seen (Kingfisher
  exited the segment recently) as airport charges are same for
  FSCs and LCCs in India
• ATF costs contributes 30-45% of overall operating costs for Full
  Service Carrier’s (FSC’s) & 40-55% for Low cost carriers (LCCs)
• Domestic ATF prices are linked to fluctuation in crude oil prices
  and movement in INR vs. $
• High central and state levies translates into a 60-70% higher ATF
  prices in India over the global average
Problems that effected airline
  industry- The low cost carrier ( LCC)
• Significant congestion at major domestic airports increases fuel
  costs considerably.( (half an hour hovering at major airport could
  increase fuel costs by Rs.60,000 to Rs. 115,000 depending on
  aircraft, besides impacting aircraft utilizations)

• High airport charges, dearth of experienced commercial pilots and
  their demand of salaries in dollars, inflexible labor laws and overall
  higher cost of capital.

• While the passenger traffic growth has been steady (averaging 14%
  in 2010-12), intense competition has impacted yields and forced
  airlines back into losses in an inflated cost base scenario.
Current Govt. measures
• Proposal to allow foreign carriers to make strategic investments
  (up to 49% stake) in Indian Carriers.(Latest News)

• Improvement in infrastructure such that LCCs could operate on
  secondary airports.

• Proposal to allow airlines to directly import ATF lifting the freeze
  on international expansions of private airlines.

• While the domestic airlines have not been able to attract foreign
  investors (up to 49% FDI is allowed, though foreign airlines are
  currently not allowed any stake), foreign airlines may be
  interested in taking strategic stakes due to their deeper business
  understanding, longer investment horizons and overall longer
  term commitment towards the global aviation industry.
CONCLUSION
• The success of the “open sky” policy in the first phase of
  economic reforms in the domestic aviation sector, international
  cargo, airport infrastructure .

• The opening of the Airports sector with new ‘Green field
  Airports ’to the private sector, has been a step forward.

• The Disinvestment of shareholding in the public sector
   airlines still remains to be completed.

• Reforms like allowing foreign airlines to buy stake in domestic
   carriers and rationalisation of central and state levies on jet fuel
  implemented for a sound sustained growth.
THANK YOU

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Economic reforms post 1991 aviation

  • 2. SUMMARY OF PRESENTATION • Introduction • India’s economy before 1991 • Aviation Industry before 1991 • Liberalisation policies/Government initiatives • Impact of Liberalisation Policy • Growth Story • SWOT Analysis • Reasons for current losses by Indian LCC and Govt measures • Conclusion
  • 3. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW • India is World’s 9th largest market • Comprises of Domestic Airline, Air Cargo and Airports • Scheduled services available from to/fro 82 airports • Bilateral with 104 countries • Domestic air passenger - Worlds 4th • Enhanced connectivity – 72 foreign airlines of 49 countries • 14 scheduled airlines operating exclusively in passenger sector • Presently it contributes 0.5 % of GDP and it is expected that by 2030 it will contribute 5 % of GDP
  • 4. HISTORY • Completed 100 years in the year 2011 • February 18, 1911 - First commercial plane between Allahabad & Naini carrying mails • During Independence - 09 Companies Tata Airlines, Indian National Airways Air service of India, Deccan Airways Ambica Airways, Bharat Airways Mistry Airways. • Inaugural flight of Air India International Ltd - June 8, 1948 Mumbai-London • Nationalized in 1953 - Private airlines not allowed Transport for elite class Restricted Growth High Cost structure Underdevelopment of infrastructure
  • 5. INDIA’S ECONOMY BEFORE 1991 • Influenced by Protectionism and Public ownership. • Existence of License Raj (Red Tape). • Average growth rate of India was 3.5% p.a with per capita 1.3%p.a. • More focused on Heavy Industries and Agriculture. • Less attention towards service sector. • Downfall of USSR and Gulf War added fuel to the fire of crisis.
  • 6. INDIA’S ECONOMY BEFORE 1991 • Major imbalance in payments of loans. • International Monetary Fund (IMF) demanded for economic reforms in return of aid. • Prime Minister Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Manmohan Singh took initiative to bring Liberalization.
  • 7. ECONOMIC REFORMS POST 1991 Policies • Liberalisation - Private Players • Open Sky • Direct import of ATF - Regulation • FDI – Domestic Services Sector • Airports control - Airports Authority of India (AAI) • Green Field Airport
  • 8. Major Timelines 1912: Indian 1953: Indian State Air Airlines service and Corporation Imperial formed 2003 Airways, UK 1932: through Air Entry of collaborate Tata Corporation low cost to ply on first Aviations Act, 1953, by carriers. domestic establish nationalizing Air route, ed. It Air India and Deccan, between goes to Indian Spice Jet, Delhi and Colombo National Go Air, Karachi. in 1938. Airways. Indigo. 1915: 1948: 1994: Air Tata Sons Designated Corporatio start as flag n Act. 1953 airmail carrier repealed service under the and thus between name Air allowed Delhi and India private Madras. Internationa players to l with 49% come. govt. control.
  • 9. IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION • The Air Corporation Act, 1953 repealed Opening up of the domestic sector Disinvestment of the two public sector airlines New privately owned domestic airlines • Open Sky Allow foreign airline of any country or ownership to land at any port on any number of occasions and with unlimited seat capacity. • Foreign Direct Investment Up To 49% Of Foreign Equity & 100% Of NRI investment is allowed Pertaining to the Domestic Air Transport Services
  • 10. IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION • Private Carriers permitted to operate scheduled services – 75% share in domestic aviation • Entry of low cost carriers • City side development of non-metro airports • Allowing Indian carriers to compete on international routes • Reduction in Landing charges. • Fleet expansion plans of Air India
  • 11. IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION • Restructuring of Delhi and Mumbai airport and development of Greenfield airports at Bangalore and Hyderabad undertaken. • Up gradation/ expansion/ development of airports undertaken depending upon traffic potential, requirement of airline operators and need of air passengers.
  • 12. IMPACT OF LIBERALISATION • With the liberalization of the Indian aviation sector, aviation industry in India has undergone a rapid transformation. From being primarily a government-owned industry, the Indian aviation industry is now dominated by privately owned full service airlines and low cost carriers.
  • 15. MAJOR GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES • Reduction of high Aviation Turbine Fuel(ATF) cost and review of its Tax structure • Multi Modal Connectivity by building expressways to facilitate advantage of air transportation by reducing the total travel time • Promotion of Regional Airlines by the way of liberal policy and provision of better infrastructure facilities • Development of MRO hub
  • 16. MAJOR GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES • Merger of AI and Indian Airlines to optimize fleet acquisition and to leverage the asset base • 100% FDI is permissible for existing airports; approval required for FDI beyond 74% • 100% FDI under automatic route is permissible for Greenfield airports • 100% tax exemption for airport projects for a period of 10 years
  • 17. GROWTH OF THE INDUSTRY • The growth of airlines traffic in Aviation Industry in India is almost four times above international average. • Domestic airlines passengers traffic in increasing at the rate of 25%. • India ranks fourth after US, China and Japan in terms of domestic passengers volume. The number of domestic flights grew by 69 per cent from 2005 to 2008. The domestic aviation sector is expected to grow at a rate of 9-10 per cent to reach a level of 150-180 million passengers by 2020. • The industry witnessed an annual growth of 12.8 per cent during the last 5 years in the international cargo handled at all Indian airports.
  • 18. GROWTH OF THE INDUSTRY • Further, there has been an increase in tourist charter flights to India with around 686 flights bringing 150,000 tourists. • It is predicted that international passengers will grow upto 50 million by 2015 • Aviation is now affordable with check fares and discount schemes. • Various Operators with different business model. • Regional connectivity – Tier II & Tier III cities
  • 19. Contribution to GDP Present Contribution < 1%. Poised to grow at 5% contribution to GDP by 2030
  • 20. OPPORTUNITIES Airport development and modernisation • The government is promoting private participation for the development of greenfield airports and modernisation of existing airports. Airport connectivity • The Ministry of Civil Aviation is focussing on improving connectivity to major airports. City-side development • The government is focussing on the city-side development of airports, including real estate and commercial development. The city-side development of 24 non-major airports is being taken up.
  • 22. CHALLENGES • Initializing privatization in the airport activities • Modernization of the airlines fleet to handle the pressure of competition in the aviation industry • Rapid expansion plans for the major airports for the increased flow of air traffic • Development for the continuously growing Regional Airports • Costs pressures (ATF Prices & Staff Cost)
  • 23. Problems that effected airline industry- The low cost carrier ( LCC) • The Indian aviation sector was exposed to intense competition with the advent of a low-cost airline - Air Deccan back in 2003. The success of Air Deccan spurred the entry of other LCCs like SpiceJet, Indigo, Go Air and subsequently low fare offerings from Jet airways and Kingfisher Airlines. However, longer term viability of LCCs models in India remains to be seen (Kingfisher exited the segment recently) as airport charges are same for FSCs and LCCs in India • ATF costs contributes 30-45% of overall operating costs for Full Service Carrier’s (FSC’s) & 40-55% for Low cost carriers (LCCs) • Domestic ATF prices are linked to fluctuation in crude oil prices and movement in INR vs. $ • High central and state levies translates into a 60-70% higher ATF prices in India over the global average
  • 24. Problems that effected airline industry- The low cost carrier ( LCC) • Significant congestion at major domestic airports increases fuel costs considerably.( (half an hour hovering at major airport could increase fuel costs by Rs.60,000 to Rs. 115,000 depending on aircraft, besides impacting aircraft utilizations) • High airport charges, dearth of experienced commercial pilots and their demand of salaries in dollars, inflexible labor laws and overall higher cost of capital. • While the passenger traffic growth has been steady (averaging 14% in 2010-12), intense competition has impacted yields and forced airlines back into losses in an inflated cost base scenario.
  • 25. Current Govt. measures • Proposal to allow foreign carriers to make strategic investments (up to 49% stake) in Indian Carriers.(Latest News) • Improvement in infrastructure such that LCCs could operate on secondary airports. • Proposal to allow airlines to directly import ATF lifting the freeze on international expansions of private airlines. • While the domestic airlines have not been able to attract foreign investors (up to 49% FDI is allowed, though foreign airlines are currently not allowed any stake), foreign airlines may be interested in taking strategic stakes due to their deeper business understanding, longer investment horizons and overall longer term commitment towards the global aviation industry.
  • 26. CONCLUSION • The success of the “open sky” policy in the first phase of economic reforms in the domestic aviation sector, international cargo, airport infrastructure . • The opening of the Airports sector with new ‘Green field Airports ’to the private sector, has been a step forward. • The Disinvestment of shareholding in the public sector airlines still remains to be completed. • Reforms like allowing foreign airlines to buy stake in domestic carriers and rationalisation of central and state levies on jet fuel implemented for a sound sustained growth.

Editor's Notes

  1. The airports handled a total of 1020.9 thousand metric tones of international cargo in 2006-07.
  2. 10 years back there were just 2 airlines. Both state owned . In the last 10years the economy has opened up. India has experienced growth rate of 8% per year.
  3. commenwelth games, world cup, ipl etc.
  4. It is also working towards making existing non-operational airports in the country operational. It has selected 12 airports. These include the Mumbai, Chennai, Bengaluru, Kolkata, Hyderabad, Ahmedabad, Cochin, Coimbatore and the proposed Navi Mumbai and Noida airports.
  5. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced that foreign institutional investors might have shareholdings more than the limited 49% in the domestic sector.