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Mark Peffley
PS 473 Public Opinion
 When, if ever, should elected officials
follow (listen to?) the public when making
decisions about public policy?
 Are the masses
 “Asses” (Nietzsche) and politically irrational?
 Or rational and capable of reason (Jefferson)?
 Shenkman’s little book presents a
familiar collection of bleak results
from opinion surveys documenting
some of the many things most
Americans don’t know about
politics, government, and American
history.
The biggest issue in the 2000 election. Three out of every four people polled said
that the difference in incomes between rich people and poor people has increased in
the past 20 years, and most of them added that that is a bad thing—but most of
those people still supported the regressive 2001 Bush tax cut and the even more
regressive repeal of the estate tax.
 Despite low political sophistication, public
preferences are "enlightened enough.“
 Even so, Gilens finds there is a huge
disconnect between the political preferences
of the lower and middle classes and
government policy decisions.
 Do mass publics support political
tolerance—i.e., a willingness to extend
basic liberties to one’s domestic
enemies?
 Everyone supports the principle of free
speech for any groups, no matter what their
views.
 But when asked about groups we don’t like,
we often balk.Why?
 Why are politicians more tolerant than
mass publics?
In 2005, twelve cartoons
mocking the prophet
Mohammed appeared in the
Danish newspaper Jyllands-
Posten, igniting a political
firestorm over demands by
some Muslims that the claims
of their religious faith take
precedence over freedom of
expression. Given the
explosive reaction from
Middle Eastern governments,
Muslim clerics, and some
Danish politicians, the stage
was set for a backlash
against Muslims in Denmark.
But no such backlash
occurred.
 'We're not Charlie': France
divided over Charlie Hebdo
Prophet Mohammed
cartoons.
 Four out of 10 French people
think the magazine Charlie
Hebdo should not have
published the Prophet
Mohammed cartoons because of
the offence to Muslims
 The sophistication of public opinion (citizen
competence)
 Human nature (is it fixed or malleable?)
 The proper role of elites
 Standards for evaluating public opinion and
elite responsiveness to it.
A. Background, Historical examples
1. Direct democracy of Greek city-state of Athens (5th
Cent. BC).
▪ Hired Sophists, trained in the art of rhetoric and classical debate.
▪ Note: slaves outnumbered citizens in Athens.
2. Thomas Jefferson’s Declaration of Independence:
“We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are
endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty,
and the Pursuit of Happiness-That to secure these Rights, Governments are instituted among
Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, that whenever any
Form of Government becomes destructive of these Ends, it is the Right of the People to alter
or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its Foundation on such Principles,
and organizing its powers in such Form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their
Safety and Happiness.”
Whenever a government does not secure the people’s rights, “it is the Right of the People to
alter or to abolish it….”
B. Fundamental values
1. Popular Sovereignty: the ultimate source of authority rests with the
people and the government does the people’s bidding. Know it when we
see it by:
a. Government policies reflect what people want.
b. People participate in the political process. More is better.
c. High-quality information and debate are available.
d. Majority rules.
2. Political Equality: Each person carries the same weight in voting and
other decision making. "1 person, 1 vote“
a. Jefferson: Plowman has common sense, while the professor has abstract
ideas and theories.
3. Political Liberty, Minority rights, Public deliberation: basic
freedoms to allow the formation and expression of the popular will
and its translation into policy.
C. View of Human Nature
1. High potential for rationality, reasoning, and self-
government
2. Mutable, malleable human nature; improvement possible
3. “Enlightenment” through mass education and
participation
a. Mass education: John Dewey’s (1859-1952) plan for
democratic citizenship
1) Schools as democratic communities
2) “Scientific thinking,” the mental habit of free inquiry, tolerance of
alternative viewpoints, and free communication.
3) Deliberative, practical reasoning in moral situations
4) “To cure the ills of democracy, need a stronger dose of democracy.”
b. Mass political participation “Political Enlightenment”
(J. S. Mill, Carol Pateman)
1) Develops a sense of responsibility & a moral rationale for
obeying the laws of a representative body
2) Develops the faculties of reasoning & intellect by
exercising judgment, making political decisions
3) Creates incentives to become informed
4) Increases political tolerance toward one's domestic
enemies
 Interesting example of how deliberation can
work in an ideal setting.
D. Role of Mass Public in a Democracy: political
sophistication
1. Rational
2. Politically informed
3. Politically active
4. Politically tolerant
E. Role of Representatives
1. Delegate role vs.Trustee
F. Consequences for Government
1. Responsiveness
A. Historical examples:
1. Plato’s Allegory of the Cave
 Imagine the condition of men living
in a sort of cavernous chamber
underground. Here they have been
from childhood, chained by the leg
and neck, so they can’t move and
can see only what is in front of
them, because the chains won’t let
them turn their heads. They watch
manipulated images cast from a
fire onto the walls of the cave—a
kind of puppet show, with images
and voices.This is the only reality of
which they are aware, so they think
the images in the cave are the real
world.They offer prizes to each
other to see who can best predict
the sequence of images they are
presented. These predictions count
for “wisdom” among the denizens
of the cave.
A. Framers:
1. Federalist Papers
a. Federalist No. 10: Mob rule: “they [pure democracies] have
ever been spectacles of turmoil and contention; have ever
been found incompatible with personal security or the rights
of property; and have in general been as short in their lives
as they have been violent in their deaths.”
b. Federalist 49, Madison argued against the idea of allowing
disputes to be settled by appeals to the public convention
and in favor of the government intervention to control
public passions: “…still, it [a hypothetical dispute] could
never be expected to turn on the true merits of the
question. It would inevitably be connected with the spirit of
pre-existing parties, or of parties springing out of the
question itself… [or] would be connected with persons of
distinguished character and extensive influence in the
community.The passions, therefore, not the reason, of the
public would sit in judgment. But it is the reason, alone, of
the public, that ought to control and regulate the
government. The passions ought to be controlled and
regulated by the government.”[emphasis added]
c. Federalist 71: “The republican principle demands that the
deliberate sense of the community should govern the
conduct of those to whom they intrust the management of
their affairs; but it does not require an unqualified
complaisance to every sudden breeze of passion, or to
every transient impulse, which the people may receive from
the arts of men, who flatter their prejudices to betray their
interests.” (p. 432)
In other words, pure democracies were dangerous because the
masses were led by their passions and prejudices instead of
reason. Public opinion needed to be filtered through elite
deliberation of representatives.
A. Framers (cont’d)
2. Institutional Barriers to pure democracy
a. Elections
b. Limited government
c. Bill of Rights, Constitution
d. Independent Judiciary (appointed, not elected)
e. Trustee representation: Elite deliberation & filtration
of public sentiment
f. Low participation
B. Walter Lippmann:
1. On human nature:The “primary defect of popular government is that
members of the public are characterized by “violent prejudice, apathy,
preferences for the curious trivial as against the dull important, and
the hunger for sideshows and three legged calves.” (Public Opinion,
1922, p. 230)
2. On the need for trustee representation: Even if the people improved
their character, they still would not know enough to guide the
government because they simply do not spend enough time learning
about political issues to understand them.
3. Lippmann’s experiences
a. Editor of New Republic duringWWI, urging participation in war.WH
special rep. Europe writing propaganda leaflets, interrogated
prisoners, and coordinated intelligence operations with the Allies.
b. Foreign affairs
c. Demagogues and dictators inWWII
4.
Classical Representative
Democracy
Elitist Democracy
Theorists Locke, Jefferson, Rousseau, Dewey Plato, Framers, Lippmann
Historical Examples Greek city state, face-to-face
deliberation
Plato’s “cave” allegory, Federalist Papers
Human Nature High potential for self-rule & reason,
“enlightenment” through mass
education & participation, mutable
Masses inherently unsophisticated,
inattentive, anti-democratic & these
characteristics are immutable (fixed)
Role of Masses
(Sophistication)
Highly sophisticated, capable of
self-rule, active, tolerant
Unsophisticated, incapable, passive,
intolerant
Role of Elites Delegates Guardians,Trustees
PoliticalValues 1. Popular sovereignty
2. Political equality, liberty
3. Public deliberation to achieve
the public will
1. Minimal popular sovereignty to
maximize political stability of
democracy
2. Elite deliberation of modern issues
In the second term, Cheney felt Bush
was moving away from him. He said Bush
was shackled by the public reaction and
the criticism he took. Bush was more
malleable to that.
It was clear that Cheney's doctrine was
cast-iron strength at all times -- never
apologize, never explain -- and Bush
moved toward the conciliatory.
--Friend of Cheney’s who’s seen notes of his book.
Cheney (Fox interview, 1-14-07): “Polls change
day by day, week by week. I think the vast
majority of Americans want the right
outcome in Iraq. The challenge for us is to
be able to provide that. But you cannot
simply stick your finger up in the wind
and say, "Gee, public opinion's against;
we'd better quit."
CHENEY: On the security front, I think there’s a general consensus
that we’ve made major progress, that the surge has worked. That’s
been a major success.
RADDATZ: Two-third of Americans say it’s not worth fighting.
CHENEY: So?
RADDATZ So? You don’t care what the American people think?
CHENEY: No. I think you cannot be blown off course by the
fluctuations in the public opinion polls.
Mar 20, 2008: interview on ABC
 Public?
 Media?
 Politicians?
Just how widespread was the no-go-
zone chatter on Fox News? A Nexis
search fetches 15 iterations since
Jan. 7, though it doesn’t cover all Fox
News programs. A search on the TV
News Archive turns up more than 40
examples.
Barthès referred to them as
“Barbie and Ken,” and
laughed at them for citing a
poll about French support of
ISIS that was discredited
already by The Washington
Post.
 President Obama’s health reform proposal is
vastly popular among the people,
representing the “collective will” of the
American population
 Republicans are Racists
 Republicans Hate Poor People
 RepublicansAre Mean
 Should public opinion determine policy on
this issue?Why or why not?
 Which DemocraticTheory is more consistent
with this example?

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473 2015 up normative bases of public opinion

  • 1. Mark Peffley PS 473 Public Opinion
  • 2.  When, if ever, should elected officials follow (listen to?) the public when making decisions about public policy?  Are the masses  “Asses” (Nietzsche) and politically irrational?  Or rational and capable of reason (Jefferson)?
  • 3.  Shenkman’s little book presents a familiar collection of bleak results from opinion surveys documenting some of the many things most Americans don’t know about politics, government, and American history.
  • 4. The biggest issue in the 2000 election. Three out of every four people polled said that the difference in incomes between rich people and poor people has increased in the past 20 years, and most of them added that that is a bad thing—but most of those people still supported the regressive 2001 Bush tax cut and the even more regressive repeal of the estate tax.
  • 5.  Despite low political sophistication, public preferences are "enlightened enough.“  Even so, Gilens finds there is a huge disconnect between the political preferences of the lower and middle classes and government policy decisions.
  • 6.  Do mass publics support political tolerance—i.e., a willingness to extend basic liberties to one’s domestic enemies?  Everyone supports the principle of free speech for any groups, no matter what their views.  But when asked about groups we don’t like, we often balk.Why?  Why are politicians more tolerant than mass publics?
  • 7. In 2005, twelve cartoons mocking the prophet Mohammed appeared in the Danish newspaper Jyllands- Posten, igniting a political firestorm over demands by some Muslims that the claims of their religious faith take precedence over freedom of expression. Given the explosive reaction from Middle Eastern governments, Muslim clerics, and some Danish politicians, the stage was set for a backlash against Muslims in Denmark. But no such backlash occurred.
  • 8.  'We're not Charlie': France divided over Charlie Hebdo Prophet Mohammed cartoons.  Four out of 10 French people think the magazine Charlie Hebdo should not have published the Prophet Mohammed cartoons because of the offence to Muslims
  • 9.  The sophistication of public opinion (citizen competence)  Human nature (is it fixed or malleable?)  The proper role of elites  Standards for evaluating public opinion and elite responsiveness to it.
  • 10. A. Background, Historical examples 1. Direct democracy of Greek city-state of Athens (5th Cent. BC). ▪ Hired Sophists, trained in the art of rhetoric and classical debate. ▪ Note: slaves outnumbered citizens in Athens. 2. Thomas Jefferson’s Declaration of Independence: “We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness-That to secure these Rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, that whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these Ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its Foundation on such Principles, and organizing its powers in such Form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.” Whenever a government does not secure the people’s rights, “it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it….”
  • 11. B. Fundamental values 1. Popular Sovereignty: the ultimate source of authority rests with the people and the government does the people’s bidding. Know it when we see it by: a. Government policies reflect what people want. b. People participate in the political process. More is better. c. High-quality information and debate are available. d. Majority rules. 2. Political Equality: Each person carries the same weight in voting and other decision making. "1 person, 1 vote“ a. Jefferson: Plowman has common sense, while the professor has abstract ideas and theories. 3. Political Liberty, Minority rights, Public deliberation: basic freedoms to allow the formation and expression of the popular will and its translation into policy.
  • 12. C. View of Human Nature 1. High potential for rationality, reasoning, and self- government 2. Mutable, malleable human nature; improvement possible 3. “Enlightenment” through mass education and participation a. Mass education: John Dewey’s (1859-1952) plan for democratic citizenship 1) Schools as democratic communities 2) “Scientific thinking,” the mental habit of free inquiry, tolerance of alternative viewpoints, and free communication. 3) Deliberative, practical reasoning in moral situations 4) “To cure the ills of democracy, need a stronger dose of democracy.”
  • 13. b. Mass political participation “Political Enlightenment” (J. S. Mill, Carol Pateman) 1) Develops a sense of responsibility & a moral rationale for obeying the laws of a representative body 2) Develops the faculties of reasoning & intellect by exercising judgment, making political decisions 3) Creates incentives to become informed 4) Increases political tolerance toward one's domestic enemies
  • 14.  Interesting example of how deliberation can work in an ideal setting.
  • 15. D. Role of Mass Public in a Democracy: political sophistication 1. Rational 2. Politically informed 3. Politically active 4. Politically tolerant E. Role of Representatives 1. Delegate role vs.Trustee F. Consequences for Government 1. Responsiveness
  • 16. A. Historical examples: 1. Plato’s Allegory of the Cave
  • 17.  Imagine the condition of men living in a sort of cavernous chamber underground. Here they have been from childhood, chained by the leg and neck, so they can’t move and can see only what is in front of them, because the chains won’t let them turn their heads. They watch manipulated images cast from a fire onto the walls of the cave—a kind of puppet show, with images and voices.This is the only reality of which they are aware, so they think the images in the cave are the real world.They offer prizes to each other to see who can best predict the sequence of images they are presented. These predictions count for “wisdom” among the denizens of the cave.
  • 18. A. Framers: 1. Federalist Papers a. Federalist No. 10: Mob rule: “they [pure democracies] have ever been spectacles of turmoil and contention; have ever been found incompatible with personal security or the rights of property; and have in general been as short in their lives as they have been violent in their deaths.”
  • 19. b. Federalist 49, Madison argued against the idea of allowing disputes to be settled by appeals to the public convention and in favor of the government intervention to control public passions: “…still, it [a hypothetical dispute] could never be expected to turn on the true merits of the question. It would inevitably be connected with the spirit of pre-existing parties, or of parties springing out of the question itself… [or] would be connected with persons of distinguished character and extensive influence in the community.The passions, therefore, not the reason, of the public would sit in judgment. But it is the reason, alone, of the public, that ought to control and regulate the government. The passions ought to be controlled and regulated by the government.”[emphasis added]
  • 20. c. Federalist 71: “The republican principle demands that the deliberate sense of the community should govern the conduct of those to whom they intrust the management of their affairs; but it does not require an unqualified complaisance to every sudden breeze of passion, or to every transient impulse, which the people may receive from the arts of men, who flatter their prejudices to betray their interests.” (p. 432) In other words, pure democracies were dangerous because the masses were led by their passions and prejudices instead of reason. Public opinion needed to be filtered through elite deliberation of representatives.
  • 21. A. Framers (cont’d) 2. Institutional Barriers to pure democracy a. Elections b. Limited government c. Bill of Rights, Constitution d. Independent Judiciary (appointed, not elected) e. Trustee representation: Elite deliberation & filtration of public sentiment f. Low participation
  • 22. B. Walter Lippmann: 1. On human nature:The “primary defect of popular government is that members of the public are characterized by “violent prejudice, apathy, preferences for the curious trivial as against the dull important, and the hunger for sideshows and three legged calves.” (Public Opinion, 1922, p. 230) 2. On the need for trustee representation: Even if the people improved their character, they still would not know enough to guide the government because they simply do not spend enough time learning about political issues to understand them. 3. Lippmann’s experiences a. Editor of New Republic duringWWI, urging participation in war.WH special rep. Europe writing propaganda leaflets, interrogated prisoners, and coordinated intelligence operations with the Allies. b. Foreign affairs c. Demagogues and dictators inWWII 4.
  • 23. Classical Representative Democracy Elitist Democracy Theorists Locke, Jefferson, Rousseau, Dewey Plato, Framers, Lippmann Historical Examples Greek city state, face-to-face deliberation Plato’s “cave” allegory, Federalist Papers Human Nature High potential for self-rule & reason, “enlightenment” through mass education & participation, mutable Masses inherently unsophisticated, inattentive, anti-democratic & these characteristics are immutable (fixed) Role of Masses (Sophistication) Highly sophisticated, capable of self-rule, active, tolerant Unsophisticated, incapable, passive, intolerant Role of Elites Delegates Guardians,Trustees PoliticalValues 1. Popular sovereignty 2. Political equality, liberty 3. Public deliberation to achieve the public will 1. Minimal popular sovereignty to maximize political stability of democracy 2. Elite deliberation of modern issues
  • 24. In the second term, Cheney felt Bush was moving away from him. He said Bush was shackled by the public reaction and the criticism he took. Bush was more malleable to that. It was clear that Cheney's doctrine was cast-iron strength at all times -- never apologize, never explain -- and Bush moved toward the conciliatory. --Friend of Cheney’s who’s seen notes of his book. Cheney (Fox interview, 1-14-07): “Polls change day by day, week by week. I think the vast majority of Americans want the right outcome in Iraq. The challenge for us is to be able to provide that. But you cannot simply stick your finger up in the wind and say, "Gee, public opinion's against; we'd better quit."
  • 25. CHENEY: On the security front, I think there’s a general consensus that we’ve made major progress, that the surge has worked. That’s been a major success. RADDATZ: Two-third of Americans say it’s not worth fighting. CHENEY: So? RADDATZ So? You don’t care what the American people think? CHENEY: No. I think you cannot be blown off course by the fluctuations in the public opinion polls. Mar 20, 2008: interview on ABC
  • 27. Just how widespread was the no-go- zone chatter on Fox News? A Nexis search fetches 15 iterations since Jan. 7, though it doesn’t cover all Fox News programs. A search on the TV News Archive turns up more than 40 examples.
  • 28.
  • 29. Barthès referred to them as “Barbie and Ken,” and laughed at them for citing a poll about French support of ISIS that was discredited already by The Washington Post.
  • 30.  President Obama’s health reform proposal is vastly popular among the people, representing the “collective will” of the American population  Republicans are Racists  Republicans Hate Poor People  RepublicansAre Mean
  • 31.  Should public opinion determine policy on this issue?Why or why not?  Which DemocraticTheory is more consistent with this example?