The document presents polling data from February and March 2014 on Serbian voters' preferences for parliamentary and Belgrade city assembly elections scheduled for March 16, 2014. It shows that in February, 42% of respondents said they would 'surely vote' compared to 62.8% in April. For parliamentary elections, the list led by Aleksandar Vucic was the preference for 24% of undecided voters in February. In Belgrade, support for Vucic's list was 30.1% among decided voters in February for the city assembly election.
1. How likely is it that you would vote on Parliamentary election on
March 16, 2014?
Base: Total target population
March 12
February II
April I
April II
April III
February I
April IV
May
42%
I would surely vote
62.8
65
29%
I would probably vote
I probably wouldn't vote
I would vote for sure
I would probably vote
16.6
19
I probably wouldn't
vote
9%
6.3
6
I wouldn't vote for
sure
16%
I definitely wouldn't vote
DK-Ref
8.7
6
4%
2
3
I would turn out, but
would spoil the ballot
/ leave it blanc
I still don't know if I
would vote
24%
10%
10.6
7.8
7.1
8.4
6%
3%
3
1.9
1.1
1
11%
10%
9.5
8.9
7.7
8.7
2%
6%
5
5.4
4.1
2.7
2%
9%
7.8
8.4
9.4
6
54%
63%
64.1
67.4
71
73.2
2. If you had to say right now, to which party are you
leaning?
Base: indecisive (10% of target population)
February II
List led by SNS - Aleksandar Vucic (SNS+Nova Srbija+
SPO+SDPS)
24%
List Nova DS led by Boris Tadic (Nova DS+LSV+ Zajedno za Srbiju
-Dušan Petrovic, Zeleni)
Lista koju predvodi SNS -…
6%
24%
List led by DS (DS-Dragan Djilas+Nova Stranka - Zoran Živkovic)
4%
Lista koju predvodi SPS - Ivica…
5%
Lista Nova DS koju predvodi…
5%
List led by LDP - Cedomir Jovanovic (LDP + SDU- Zarko Korac +
BDZS)
3%
Lista koju predvodi DS (DS-…
5%
List led by SPS - Ivica Dacic (SPS + PUPS+ JS)
2%
Lista koju predvodi LDP -…
4%
Demokratska Stranka Srbije (Ds) - Vojislav Kostunica
2%
Demokratska Stranka Srbije…
2%
Srpska radikalna stranka (SRS)-Vojislav Seselj
2%
Srpska radikalna stranka (SRS)-…
1%
Savez vojvodjanskih Madjara…
1%
Dosta je bilo - Sasa Radulovic
1%
DVERI - Bosko Obradovic
1%
DVERI - Bosko Obradovic
1%
Dosta je bilo - Sasa Radulovic
1%
Savez vojvodjanskih Madjara (SVM) - Istvan Pastor
1%
March I
Ujedinjeni regioni Srbije -URS -… 1%
Other
Don't know
49%
Indecisive
4%
47%
Refusal
6%
3. On March 16th election for Belgrade Assembly will be held. Although all lists
and all candidates for the Mayor of Belgrade are not known, which party or
coalition will you vote for?
Base: Belgrade population (23% of target population) – March I
February I
February II
March I
20% 23
List led by SNS (SNS+Nova Srbija+SPO+SDPS)
List led by DS (DS-Dragan Djilas+Nova Stranka…
9%
8% 9.8
7.7
6%
Demokratska Stranka Srbije (DSS)
5.1
3.7
4%
List Nova DS led by Boris Tadic (Nova…
2.8 6.7
4%
List led by LDP (LDP + SDU-Zarko Korac)
2.6
3.9
2%3.4
Srpska radikalna stranka (SRS)
2.2
1%
DVERI
3 4.3
0%
Dosta je bilo - Sasa Radulovic
0%
Ujedinjeni regioni Srbije -URS
1.2
Cirilica za Beograd
0.5
Treca Srbija
0.4
Demokratija-Evropa-Srbija
0.3
Indecisive
7.1
7% 10
Refusal
11.8
I won't vote
4.9 9.1
17.2
19.4
List led by SPS (SPS + PUPS+ JS)
don’t know
8.7
18%
21%
25.2
4. On March 16th election for Belgrade Assembly will be held. Although
all lists and all candidates for the Mayor of Belgrade are not
known, which party or coalition will you vote for?
Base: decided, Belgrade population (72% of target population, Belgrade) – March I
February I
February II
March I
List led by SNS (SNS+Nova Srbija+SPO+SDPS)
30.1
List led by DS (DS-Dragan Djilas+Nova Stranka Zoran Živković)
16%
14%
12.8
10.7
11%
List led by SPS (SPS + PUPS+ JS)
Demokratska Stranka Srbije (DSS)
List Nova DS led by Boris Tadic (Nova DS+LSV+
Zajedno za Srbiju -Dušan Petrović)
List led by LDP (LDP + SDU-Zarko Korac)
Srpska radikalna stranka (SRS)
DVERI
Dosta je bilo - Sasa Radulovic
Ujedinjeni regioni Srbije -URS
Cirilica za Beograd
Treca Srbija
Demokratija-Evropa-Srbija
6.7
5.2
8%
8.8
3.9
7%
3.4
5.5
3%
4.5
3
3%
3.9
6
1%
0%
1.4
1.6
0.7
0.5
0.4
22.5
27
37%
35