3. Priorities Network-centric warfare remains a key aspirational objective for most developing nations to achieve information dominance in the battlefield. ISR will increasingly play a focal role in delivering situation awareness and supporting C2BMC which will drive priorities for interoperability between ISR systems; and with different C2 systems Soldier Modernisation Programs and Land Warrior Systems will remain an integral part of delivering capability, feedback and intelligence in real time. C4I, specifically communications and networking systems, will continue to be a primary focus of the defence electronics market. The driving force behind this market continues to be software. ISR realities are driving communications requirements for Satellites, M&VANETS, UAVs, Airborne platforms, Space-based radar, WSNs, and Advanced Data links: Missile Defence and Weapon Data communications
4. Driving Macro-Factors Driving Factors 2013 2016 2019 Expansion of allied forces forcing interoperability in communication for C3I C4ISR within National Defence Strategy towards Real-time Interactive Multi-intelligence Fusion Integration of TACCOMS and STRATCOMS for more versatile and effective mobile adaptability Soldier Modernisation Priorities innavigation, imagery and communications Investment programs to lead Trans-Atlantic integration towards Network Centric Warfare High Medium Low Source: Hawk ISM.
5. Driving Tactical Factors Driving Factors 201320162019 Current operational requirements fuelling need for changesin C2/BMS, based on application & flow of information Need for greater Integration of tactical communicationsand situational awareness Common acceptance and pursuit of SDR for bandwidth,throughput, IP enabling, SATCOM integration MANETS developed to support network-centricityand extend range & connectivity; driving SDR, and CR Demand for networked communications capability [HCDR]and dismounted soldier-to-vehicle HighMediumLow Source: HawkISM.
6. Development Path 2015 2012 2018 2020 T-Sat COTM WGS VSAT NetworkCentricWarfare AEHF TCP/IP Real-time interactiveMulti-Int Fusion MILSATISRRadio MANETS Networking Network-enabled Solutions UAS Land WarriorSystems Interoperability 1st generation spectrum-aware cognitive radios IntegrationPRR withSATCOM SDR TacNetHCDR Networked communication WIN-T RF Cognitive Radio Open air laser links SCIP VoIP VTCoIP EoIP DTN Platform-CentricWarfare Source: HawkISM.
8. Constraining Factors: Technology Constraining Factors 201320162019 Bandwidth limitations of legacy systems on integrating with IP-based systems Development of software waveforms and transistors by competing companies and bodies Developing wider bandwidth, higher spectrum, and network capacity in tandem to applications Transmission of video and imagery through radiostill embryonic but critical requirement for NCW Integration and interoperability hampered bylack of uniform standards and specifications HighMediumLow Source: Hawk ISM.
9. Constraining Factors: Investment Constraining Factors 201320162019 Affect of technological advancement on obsolescencefuels indecision without defined migration path Immediate operational priorities, budgetary pressurecreate fluid push-pull environment Awaiting the outcomes of the Joint Tactical Radio Systemand WIN-T projects creating inertia Enormous implications for doctrine, procedures, training,and forces create uncertainty and magnify issues Competing national security priorities and defence procurement practices impact pace of investment HighMediumLow Source: Hawk ISM.
10. Impact of Top 10 Trends High Impact Integration to NCW High Growth Impact Medium Growth Impact C2/BMSneeds Inter/Intra-serviceintegration SoldierModernisation TransmissionCapabilities Coping withObsolescence Projected Impact on the TACCOMS Investment Legacy BandwidthLimitations EDA /DTIBinitiatives Lack ofStandards C4ISRpriorities Low Growth Impact Low Impact Non-critical Critical Importance Source: Hawk ISM.
15. Developments Parallel investments in MILSAT/Stratcomms driven by similar needs, but present dual consideration and trade-off decisions. Military Satellites and airborne platforms offer increasing capability, but have suffered in budgetary terms. Radio vendors expanding into SATCOM terminal & network provision, which will benefit the drive to SDR and HCDR Differing national priorities for integrating and managing legacy systems towards network-centric architectures. Importance of having a proven architecture to ensure doctrinal and organisational integration across C3 to sit with NATO framework: NISP and NAF. Move towards a single defence equipment market is unlikely to transpose perfectly, but clear objective and committed drive to optimize spending. EDA launched code of conduct reporting and monitoring in 2009, DTIB introducing procurement and best practices guidelines Potential economies of scale will benefit MODs and prompt change in supply-side structure. Systems vendors are seeing the acceptance of Off-The-Shelf Solutions and more instinctively working to defence standards, and add an attractive dynamic to the system provision options Through-Life procurement agreements are changing balance of investment and responsibilities over asset lifetime for service & support. Software-centric solutions are recognised as quick & cheaper to upgrade, and extend the hardware lifecycle.
17. Projected European Spending: Tactical Communications Source: Hawk ISM. * Major markets, where total communication spending in excess of €500 million 2011-2018
Bandwitdth – underinvested until 2010, after 2011 the increasing need for greater bandwidth is expected to spur investment in new satellites with higher frequency payloads. The increase in 2013-2014 is the uptake of the EHF frequencies, while investments towards AEHF is expected to the end of the forecast period.Stratcom HF radio is expected to be relatively stable due to continuous replacements and upgrades, aimed at retaining effectiveness of HF as an essential backup to mainstream SATCOM.Stratcom Terminal - single-band terminals that characterise most of the current man pack as well as transportable terminals, will be gradually replaced by multi-band as well as COTM (Communication-on-the–move) or Satcom-on-the-move terminals, particularly with the increasing demand for EHF and AEHF after 2013. To the end of the forecast period - miniaturised COTM terminals, based on mini-sat , including Nano-sat
(MODs) are increasingly adopting integrated tactical network (TacNet) system for integration with SATCOM – investment in TacNet follows investment in SATCOMInvestment in PRR - soldier modernisation programme and transition of Man packs and SR from legacy radios to SDR platformThe bell curve pattern of market revenue trend line over the years corresponds with the radio and TacNet replacement needs of European MODs. The annual revenues from 2012 to 2015 are expected to be significantly above the yearly averages. The surge in revenue between 2012 and 2014 is due to lifecycle maturity of several communication projects across MODs that would trigger replacement need, essentially with SDR technology.Investment priority in the short-to-medium terms: soldier radio (with integrated elements of situational awareness), tactical networks with network integration components, high capacity data radio (HCDR) with multiple communication service capability and vehicular intercommunication (VIC) with dismounted soldiers interface. The solutions have to be essentially SDR technology-based, as well as capable of interfacing with SATCOM terminals.
vehicular intercommunications radio (VIC) and high capacity data radio (HCDR)/tactical network nodes are likely to grow more robustly over the study period. SATCOM is poised to galvanise the demand for HCDRs and SDRs – increase in SATCOM spending after 2011 stimulates the demand for HCDR in the following years. HCDR offers networked communication capabilityThe dismounted soldier-vehicle interfacing is getting increasing attention in VIC radio segment. Investment in PRR - soldier modernisation programme and transition of Man packs and SR from legacy radios to SDR platform
