Tendències del mercat i de la producció del sector carni porcí europeu

1. Pigmeat sector in the
Netherlands and EU:
Developments, threats and
opportunities
Innovacc, 29 September 2011
Bonne van Dam
Product Board for Livestock and Meat, The Netherlands

2. Pig populations in the Netherlands
(x1000)

3. Number and type of farms

4. Average size sow farms
in The Netherlands
500
400
300
200 380
333 366
280
100 219
156
112
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010
Source : CBS

5. Average size fattening pig farms
in The Netherlands
1.000
900
800
700
600
500 992
814 902
400
640
300
504
200
363
100 289
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010
Source : CBS

6. Sales structure of Dutch pig sector

7. Dutch pig slaughterings
(1,000 head)
+ 4,8%
Source : PVV

8. Export Dutch pig sector
(1,000 tonnes carcass weight)
1.471
1.280
1.228
Source : PVV

9. Export of pig meat

10. Dutch export piglets
(1,000 head)
+ 2,5%
Source: PVV / I&R (revised figures)

11. Export piglets by destination
100% 4%
8% 8%
10% 9%
8% 14%
6%
11%
10%
15%
80% 15% 6% 14%
6%
5%
9% 6%
5% 13%
13%
12%
60% 30%
16% 12% 3%
9% 4%
3%
40%
58%
51% 50% 52%
49%
43%
20%
0%
2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 1-32
Germany Spain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland Other countries

12. Dutch exports slaughter pigs
(1,000 head, excl. sows)
- 8%
Source: PVV / I&R (revised figures)

13. Exports slaughter pigs by
destination
100% 5% 3% 3%
9% 7% 7%
5% 10% 7%
6%
3% 10%
4% 3%
80% 21%
5%
60%
84% 85%
40% 81%
76%
81%
65%
20%
0%
2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 1-32
Germany Belgium Italy Hungary Poland Other countries

14. Pig compound feed price in
The Netherlands
(euro/100 kg incl. VAT)
30
25
20
15
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source : LEI

15. Pork production costs per country,
divided into cost factors
(euros/kg slaughter weight)

16. Pig herd EU
(% change May 2011 versus May 2010)
30000 (1,000 head)
+ 0,7
+ 3,1
25000 - 0,5
20000
15000 - 2,2 - 7,9
+ 0,2 + 1,1
- 0,4
10000 -4,8
5000
- 2,6 - 5,4 - 0,6 - 3,5 -1,4 - 7,8 - 20,1
0
k
y
ce
EU
ly
n
nd
L
ar
an
N
ai
Ita
an
la
m
Sp
m
Po
Fr
en
er
D
G
all pigs mated sows

17. EU pigmeat production
2000-2020 (million tonnes)

18. EU pigmeat consumption per capita
2000-2020 (kg)

19. World pigmeat production
2000-2011 (million tonnes)

20. World pigmeat consumption per capita
2000-2011 (kg)

21. Pigmeat Trade Flows 2010-2011
372
Flows in '000 t cwe
0-50
50-100
100-300
300-500
Red arrow: decrease forecast
>500 Black arrow: no significant change
Blue arrow: increase forecast

22. World pig meat trade
Position on world market based on:
•Cost price
•Exchange rates
•Availability (cheap) feed
•Control animal diseases
•Protection of markets

23. WTO negotiations
Market access
At the moment little import of pig meat in the EU.
In the future imports may increase significantly:
•level of import protection by tariffs
•veterinary approval of third countries by EC
Non trade concerns: compensate EU farmer
•All pig meat products need protection: tariffs, safeguard
or other options
•For some products: quota in stead of lower tariffs

24. Pig meat market
• World pig meat market still looks good
• Also in the EU the situation is favourable
Growth of consumption
New EU member countries
Ongoing concentration
• In the future:
Cost price stays very important
Influence of W.T.O. on import protection
Defend EU production

25. Issues and challenges in the
pig(meat) sector
• Animal health
• Animal welfare
• Food safety
• Environment
• Image and acceptance
• Economy
• Market Position

26. Animal health
Prevention, control and eradication of animal diseases and
zoönoses
• Maintain free-status Aujeszky’s disease
• Restriction contact between farms
• Program control/eradication PRRS (blue ear disease)
• Tracking and tracing (I&R)
Transparancy health status
• Exchange of information
• Use of antibiotics
• Protection of human health

27. Animal welfare
Guarantee animal welfare in basis of
• Animal needs
• Welfare of pig farmer
• Economics
• Sustainability
Challenge: Influence of animal welfare organisations and retailers

28. Animal welfare (2)
Elements:
• Group housing of sows (2013)
• Castration issue: declaration of Brussels (2018)
• Tail docking (?)
• Transport: quality and distance
NL: quality system livestock logistics QLL
Threat: No level playing field

29. Food safety
Responsibility sector towards the costumer
Elements:
• Monitoring on critical/undesired substances
• Salmonella program
• Minimize use of antibiotics

30. Environment
Large pig population in high density citizen area’s
Elements:
• Manure-problem
• Smell-hindrance/ammonia
• Discussion on maximizing farm size (“mega-farms”)
• Balance farms-landscape-citizens

31. Image and acceptance
Transparant pig(meat) production sector, integrated in modern
society
Elements:
• Public image campaigns
• Websites
• Farms accesible to citizens
• School campaigns/education programs

32. Economy
Efficient, profitable and sustainable production
• Technical results
• Costs of production
• Market orientated production
• Level playing field

33. Market position
Above mentioned issues determine market position for pigmeat
and live pigs
• Export orientation and promotion
• Focus on neighbouring countries:
Germany: Piglet supply
• Practical bilateral solutions in EU-regio
• Brussels: Fight for level playing field

34. Level playing field
• Use of animal proteins in pigfeed
• Use of GGO’s in feed
• Welfare and health issues
• WTO negotiations: Meat import
Solution:
• Technical topmanagement
• High health
• Quality of product and production
• Special, distinctive segments

35. Thanks for your attention
Gracias por su atención