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Presentatie marktontwikkelingen
Amerikaanse huurmarkt
2 juni 2015
Marktpresentatie 20151
Marktpresentatie 20152
Ontwikkelingen huurmarkt 2014
Algemeen: vraag naar huurwoningen blijft zich sterk ontwikkelen
Bezetting en effectieve huren gestegen;
Mede door (blijvend) gebrekkig herstel koopwoningmarkt;
Aanvangsrendementen laag;
Financieringsruimte toegenomen;
Vraag eindbeleggers ontwikkelt zich ook in secundaire en tertiaire
markten.
Marktpresentatie 20153
Ontwikkelingen huurmarkt 2014
Maar ook:
Toename aanbod = meer nieuwbouw;
Stijging bouwkosten;
Stijging operationele kosten;
Dollar sterker;
Blijvende vraag van beleggers;
Betaalbaarheid van huren.
Marktpresentatie 20154
Ontwikkelingen huurmarkt 2015/2016
Algemeen: blijvende groei vraag naar huurwoningen
Huurmarkt meer in evenwicht;
Herstel koopwoningmarkt voorlopig niet in zicht;
Demografie zorgt voor gezonde basis huurmarkt;
Lokale kans op overbebouwing hogere prijsklasse;
Bouwkosten remmen nieuw aanbod af;
Opwaartse druk rente, maar bescheiden effect aanvangsrendement;
Kapitaal op zoek naar rendement;
Regio’s hebben verschillende economische ritmes;
Dollar?
Marktpresentatie 20155
Nieuwbouw beperkt % totale woningvoorraad
Marktpresentatie 20156
Bron: USAA Real Estate Company, 2015
Demografie biedt gezonde basis huurmarkt
Marktpresentatie 20157
Bron: Multifamily Executive (MFE), 2015
Opwaartse druk rente, cap rate omhoog?
Marktpresentatie 20158
Bron: Marcus & Millichap, 2014
Samenvatting
Groeiende vraag van zowel huurders als beleggers naar
huurwoningen;
Meerjarige gezonde markt door demografie;
Veel liquiditeit in de markt;
Goede locaties steeds schaarser;
Inkoop bepaalt rendement.
Marktpresentatie 20159
Huidige portefeuille
Marktpresentatie 201510
Fonds 2015 2016 2017 2018
Rental Fund Verkoop
Alta Mira Verkoop
Ballpark Opverhuur Verkoop
Bellevue Bouw Bouw/Opverhuur Exploitatie Verkoop
Cortland VI Exploitatie Verkoop
Eagles Brooke Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop
Highlands Opverhuur/Verkoop
North Druid Hills Bouw Bouw/Opverhuur Exploitatie Verkoop
WDF 3 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop
WDF 8 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop
WDF 9 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop
WDF 10 Exploitatie Verkoop
WDF 11 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop
WPEF Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop Verkoop
West Midtown Bouw Bouw/Opverhuur Exploitatie Verkoop
Westheimer Exploitatie Verkoop
WRDF Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop Verkoop
Huidige portefeuille
Marktpresentatie 201511
Fonds 2015 Huurgroei % NOI groei % Bruto uitkering*
Cortland VI Exploitatie 3,7% 1,6% 7%
Eagles Brooke Exploitatie 4,4% 10,1% 3,4%
WDF 3 (Holdings) Exploitatie 2,6% 2,8% 17,2%
WDF 8/ WBEF II (Holdings) Exploitatie 3,6% 3,1% 6,3%/8,5%
WDF 9 (Holdings) Exploitatie 4,3% 1,5% 1,6%
WDF 10 Exploitatie 3,8% 12,5% 5,2%
WDF 11 (Holdings) Exploitatie 2,4% 3,1% 16,2%
WPEF Exploitatie 3,2% 2,6% 9,0%
Westheimer Exploitatie Nvt Nvt 5,5%
WRDF Exploitatie 2,1% 0,5% 4,2%
* Bruto uitkeringen inclusief aflossing
Dank voor uw aandacht
Marktpresentatie 201512

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Marktpresentatie Westplan juni 2015

  • 3. Ontwikkelingen huurmarkt 2014 Algemeen: vraag naar huurwoningen blijft zich sterk ontwikkelen Bezetting en effectieve huren gestegen; Mede door (blijvend) gebrekkig herstel koopwoningmarkt; Aanvangsrendementen laag; Financieringsruimte toegenomen; Vraag eindbeleggers ontwikkelt zich ook in secundaire en tertiaire markten. Marktpresentatie 20153
  • 4. Ontwikkelingen huurmarkt 2014 Maar ook: Toename aanbod = meer nieuwbouw; Stijging bouwkosten; Stijging operationele kosten; Dollar sterker; Blijvende vraag van beleggers; Betaalbaarheid van huren. Marktpresentatie 20154
  • 5. Ontwikkelingen huurmarkt 2015/2016 Algemeen: blijvende groei vraag naar huurwoningen Huurmarkt meer in evenwicht; Herstel koopwoningmarkt voorlopig niet in zicht; Demografie zorgt voor gezonde basis huurmarkt; Lokale kans op overbebouwing hogere prijsklasse; Bouwkosten remmen nieuw aanbod af; Opwaartse druk rente, maar bescheiden effect aanvangsrendement; Kapitaal op zoek naar rendement; Regio’s hebben verschillende economische ritmes; Dollar? Marktpresentatie 20155
  • 6. Nieuwbouw beperkt % totale woningvoorraad Marktpresentatie 20156 Bron: USAA Real Estate Company, 2015
  • 7. Demografie biedt gezonde basis huurmarkt Marktpresentatie 20157 Bron: Multifamily Executive (MFE), 2015
  • 8. Opwaartse druk rente, cap rate omhoog? Marktpresentatie 20158 Bron: Marcus & Millichap, 2014
  • 9. Samenvatting Groeiende vraag van zowel huurders als beleggers naar huurwoningen; Meerjarige gezonde markt door demografie; Veel liquiditeit in de markt; Goede locaties steeds schaarser; Inkoop bepaalt rendement. Marktpresentatie 20159
  • 10. Huidige portefeuille Marktpresentatie 201510 Fonds 2015 2016 2017 2018 Rental Fund Verkoop Alta Mira Verkoop Ballpark Opverhuur Verkoop Bellevue Bouw Bouw/Opverhuur Exploitatie Verkoop Cortland VI Exploitatie Verkoop Eagles Brooke Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop Highlands Opverhuur/Verkoop North Druid Hills Bouw Bouw/Opverhuur Exploitatie Verkoop WDF 3 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop WDF 8 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop WDF 9 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop WDF 10 Exploitatie Verkoop WDF 11 (Holdings) Exploitatie Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop WPEF Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop Verkoop West Midtown Bouw Bouw/Opverhuur Exploitatie Verkoop Westheimer Exploitatie Verkoop WRDF Exploitatie Exploitatie Verkoop Verkoop
  • 11. Huidige portefeuille Marktpresentatie 201511 Fonds 2015 Huurgroei % NOI groei % Bruto uitkering* Cortland VI Exploitatie 3,7% 1,6% 7% Eagles Brooke Exploitatie 4,4% 10,1% 3,4% WDF 3 (Holdings) Exploitatie 2,6% 2,8% 17,2% WDF 8/ WBEF II (Holdings) Exploitatie 3,6% 3,1% 6,3%/8,5% WDF 9 (Holdings) Exploitatie 4,3% 1,5% 1,6% WDF 10 Exploitatie 3,8% 12,5% 5,2% WDF 11 (Holdings) Exploitatie 2,4% 3,1% 16,2% WPEF Exploitatie 3,2% 2,6% 9,0% Westheimer Exploitatie Nvt Nvt 5,5% WRDF Exploitatie 2,1% 0,5% 4,2% * Bruto uitkeringen inclusief aflossing
  • 12. Dank voor uw aandacht Marktpresentatie 201512

Editor's Notes

  1. New supply will peak in 2015; however, the total % of the total apartment stock is only 2% (not 2.5%) due to increases in population and total number of apartments.  Furthermore, new supply is projected to be go down in 2016 to approx. 1.5% of total units.  Axiometrics says we can get though this new supply with not that much of a rent/occupancy dip.
  2. This shows who is going to fill all of these new apartments.  The prime rental age group 20-29 has been increasing dramatically since 2009 and will continue to increase through 2018.  The average age of the first-time home buyer is 31.
  3. .dit laat zien dat de spread nog veel ruimte biedt en we niet al te bang moeten zijn voor een stijgende cap rate
  4. Ik check nog even de percentages met Robert