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©
                                   Copyri
Video-Enabling Presence ght
              Portals               2006
         September 21, 2006        Nemer
              Irwin Lazar
Principal Analyst, Nemertes Research tes
      http://www.nemertes.com/     Resea
                                     rch
                               © Copyright 2006 Nemertes Research
Agenda                 ©
                                    Copyri
•   The Virtual Workplace
•   Presence as an Enabler
                                      ght
•   The Presence Portal              2006
•   IP Video Conferencing           Nemer
•   Standards                         tes
•   Beyond the Corporate Boundary   Resea
•   Recommendations
                                      rch
                                       2
The Virtual Workplace is
                           ©
              Here
                                                 Copyri
•
                                                    ght
    58% of IT Executives considers their company to be
    a virtual workplace.
•   More than 75% of them report using real-time 2006
    communications technologies today.
•   90% of employees work in locations other than
    headquarters.
                                                 Nemer
•   Between 40% and 70% of employees work in        tes
    different locations from their supervisors.
•                                                Resea
    The number of virtual workers has increased by a
    whopping 800% over the past five years.
                                                    rch
                                                  3
What Real-Time Applications do you use?

    120%

                    97%
                                                                                          ©
    100%

    80%
                                     80%
                                              76%
                                                                                       Copyri
    60%                                                             54%                  ght
    40%

                                                                                 16%
                                                                                        2006
    20%

     0%
                                                                                       Nemer7%




                                                                                         tes




                                                                                           D
                                            IM




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                 ng




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               ci




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                n




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                               re
             re




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                                                                          Pr
                             fe
          fe




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                           on
        on




                                                      on



                                                                                       Resea
                          C
     C




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                      eb
   io




                                                  o
                                                de
ud




                      W




                                              Vi
A




                                                                                         rch
                                                                                                 4
Convergence Timeline: ©
                               Copyri                   Advanced UM integration
                                           Collaborative Applications; Contact Centers

                                 ght       Videoconferencing, wireless
                                     Additional VOIP Deployments
                                2006 Add Unified Communications
                               Network optimization, management, security
                               Nemer
                            Troubleshoot

                     Initial VOIP deployment or pilot

                                 tes
   Upgrade WAN infrastructure (length of time depends on complexity)
Corporate buy-in
                               Resea
Decide on additional applications
Planning
                       12        rch          24                 36                48
                                             Months                                 5
Presence As The Killer App©
•   Presence Drives
                            Copyri
    Real-Time                 ght
    Communications…
•   And Bridges the
                             2006
    Virtual Workplace       Nemer
    Gap
                              tes
•   But the Value is
    Hard to Quantify;       Resea
                              rch
                               6
Presence Functional Model©
     learning, location tracking, physical security)
     Industry-specific (imaging, distance
         Web Conferencing

        Audio conferencing
                                               Copyri
        Unified Messaging                        ght   Real-time
                                                       Communications
         Instant Messaging                             Dashboard

           Desktop Video
                                                2006
             Presence                          Nemer
               IP Enabling Contact Centers

             Wireless Voice Over IP/Mobility
                                                 tes
             Room-to-Room Video Over IP        Resea
    Network optimization, management, security   rch
                                                                        7
Real-Time Communications
            Dashboard        ©
• Unifies
                            Copyri
  – IM                        ght
  – Conferencing (audio,
    video, Web)
                             2006
  – Voice (point-to-point   Nemer
    calling & related
    features)                 tes
  – Unified Messaging
  – Presence
                            Resea
                              rch
                               8
RTCD Value      ©
• Low current
                           Copyri
  implementation, but        ght
  growing interest
• Average price
                            2006
  customers willing to     Nemer
  pay increased from
  $291 to $437 per
                             tes
  seat.                    Resea
                             rch
                              9
Video Conferencing Evolution                                    ©
• Video Conferencing Then:
                                                             Copyri
   – Room-based
   – Dedicated circuits or on-demand services such as ISDN
                                                                ght
   – High bandwidth 768 kbps (128 kbps for single ISDN BRI)   2006
• Drawbacks
   – Separate high-cost network                             Nemer
   – Limited flexibility (what if you aren’t near a room?)
                                                                tes
   – No ability to tie into other applications (e.g. presence/web
     conferencing
                                                             Resea
                                                                rch
                                                            10
Video Conferencing Trends©
                                            Copyri
•   Video over IP (Trunking)
•   Desktop video conferencing
                                              ght
                                             2006
    – Allows workers to participate regardless of
      location
                                           Nemer
    – Integration with web conferencing systems
      and room-based systems                  tes
    – Cheap - all you need is a USB camera, Resea
      speakers, and microphone
                                              rch
                                             11
IP Video Provides Cost,
            Productivity Benefits    ©
•   The next application
                                  Copyri
    organizations consider
    after VOIP.
                                    ght
                             Videoconferencing Costs

•   Drivers:                       2006
                 Average Hours/Month
                 Average Per-Hour Rate
                                                            80
                                                     $250.000
                 Total Monthly Cost
     – Cost savings (travel)                          $20,000

     – Improved employee          Nemer
                 Average IP Video bridges
                 Operational Startup
                                                     $162,189
                                                      $68,000
       productivity
                 Payback/months (ALL calls)              11.51
     – Project                      tes
                 Payback/months (50% of calls)
                 Payback/months (30% of calls)
                                                        16.33
                                                        38.36
       collaboration/branch-
       office workers             Resea
•   Benefits (room-to-room)
                                    rch
                                                       12
Video Plans on the Rise ©
                                       Copyri
•   30% are using video over IP today
•   25% have plans to use room-to room
                                          ght
    video over IP                        2006
•                                      Nemer
    37% plan to use desktop video over IP
•   By 2007-2008, a growing number of tes
    organizations will use both room-to-
    room and desktop video conferencingResea
    over IP                               rch
                                        13
Vertical Breakdown                                                                                                              ©
                                              Room-to-Room Videoconferencing, by Industry

                                                                                                                                                         Copyri



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                                                                                                      ar
                                                                          an
                   ia




                                                                                                                         an
                                                                                            al




                                                                                                        e/
                                  H
                      l




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                                                                                                                                             pi
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                          ic




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                                                                                                                                                     y
                                                                    l
                                                                                                                                                          2006
          25.0%



                                                         22%
          20.0%


                            17%             17%                                       17%                                                                Nemer
Percent




          15.0%



          10.0%

                                                                                                      9%
                                                                                                                                                           tes
            5.0%
                                                                    4%                                            4%               4%             4%     Resea
            0.0%
                          Currently
                           using
                                         Currently
                                          using
                                                     Currently
                                                      using
                                                                 Currently
                                                                  using
                                                                                 Currently
                                                                                  using

                                                                  Room-to-Room Video
                                                                                                 Currently
                                                                                                  using
                                                                                                              Currently
                                                                                                               using
                                                                                                                               Currently
                                                                                                                                using
                                                                                                                                              Currently
                                                                                                                                               using       rch
                                                                                                                                                            14
Desktop vs. Room-to-Room©
                           IP Videoconferencing, Desktop vs. Room-to-Room

40.00%                  Copyri
                         ght
                                                                                                    37.20%
35.00%



30.00%



25.00%
                  29.50%

                        2006                                                               29.49%




20.00%
         21.79%
                       Nemer                                                                                 17.95%
                                                                                                                               Desktop
                                                                                                                               Room-to-room

15.00%



10.00%
                         tes
                           11.54%           11.54%
                                                                                                                      12.80%




                        Resea
                                    9.00%
                                                     7.70%
5.00%                                                        6.41%

                                                                     3.80%
                                                                             1.28% 0.00%
0.00%
            Using        rch
                           Evaluating Planned for Planned for Planned for
                                         2006        2007        2008
                                                                                            No Plans           Unsure

                                                                                                                                      15
Next Generation Video
                Conferencing                    ©
                                             Copyri
•   High Definition - Telepresence
    – “Next best thing to being there” clarity ght
    – Examples:                               2006
       • HP HALO
       • LifeSize
                                             Nemer
       • TANDBERG, Polycom                     tes
                                             Resea
                                               rch
                                              16
HiDef Video Conferencing ©
•   System Limitations                             Copyri
    – Bandwidth (1Mbps up to 54 Mbps)                 ght
    – Costs
                                                     2006
       • HALO - $550k initial cost, $30k recurring cost
         (per month, per room)                     Nemer
       • PolyCom / LifeSize initial offerings at $12,000
         for a room-based system, plus monitor        tes
    – Scalability
       • HALO is only point-to-point               Resea
                                                      rch
       • Scalability of other systems limited by available
         bandwidth                                  17
Network Impact                               ©
                                                        Copyri
•   Video is bandwidth intensive
    – Minimum of 128 kbps                                  ght
    – Codecs matter                                      2006
       • Newer codecs such as H.264 and H.264 SVC
         reduce bandwidth requirements                 Nemer
           – But at the expense of increased computational
             requirements
                                                           tes
    – Troubleshooting is difficult                      Resea
       • CPU issues, not just the network
                                                           rch
                                                       18
Typical Pitfalls           ©
        Insufficient         No baseline
                             assessment
                                               Copyri
                                           Rushing
                                           through
            ROI                             project
                                                 ght
  Narrow
                                                2006Poor
                                                   design,
  vendor
assessment
                            Failure!           Nemer
                                                 engineering



                                                 tes
       Low-quality
        products                Poor
                                               Resea
                                             Lack of
                                             training
                             management
                                tools
                                                 rch
                                                         19
When do Standards Matter?©
•   SIP/SIMPLE are the
                          Copyri
    clear winners in the    ght
    standards battle…
•   …but IT executives
                           2006
    don’t really care     Nemer
•   What they want are      tes
    open products that
    play well with others Resea
                            rch
                             20
Architectural Issues: Today
              and Tomorrow            ©
                                   Copyri
•   Hosted vs. In-House
•   Network Architecture
                                     ght
•   Security: Top Priority          2006
•   Beyond the Enterprise Boundary Nemer
                                     tes
                                   Resea
                                     rch
                                     21
Network Impact      ©
• Re-architecting the         Copyri
  network to support
  high-bandwidth,               ght
  any-to-any traffic
  flows
                               2006
• No guarantees for           Nemer
  home users                    tes
                              Resea
                                rch
                                 22
Beyond Network Boundaries                ©
                                        Copyri
• How to extend video conferencing to
  partners, customers, suppliers?         ght
   – Direct peering model                2006
   – Third-party peering services
                                        Nemer
   – Public services (SightSpeed/Skype)
• Likely a mix-and-match moving forward
                                          tes
• Video is entering the mobile world Resea
                                          rch
                                         23
Are You Ready for IP
        Videoconferencing?                       ©
•   Your staff is increasingly dispersed.
                                             Copyri
•   You find value in visual meetings with      ght
    partners, customers.                       2006
•   You have converged your network
                                             Nemer
    infrastructure to IP, QOS is in place, and
    you’re already running voice over IP.       tes
•   You already use ISDN videoconferencing on
    a limited basis.                         Resea
•                                               rch
    Staff is asking for desktop videoconferencing
                                              24
Recommendations                    ©
•
                                          Copyri
    Like voice, it is inevitable that room-
    based video will move to IP             ght
•   Determine ROI for desktop video 2006
    conferencing
•   Plan for extending video beyond Nemer
    enterprise boundaries                   tes
•   Integrate communications &            Resea
    collaboration planning
                                            rch
                                           25
Thank You                 ©
                                          Copyri
                                            ght
                                           2006
                                          Nemer
Irwin Lazar                                 tes
Irwin.lazar@nemertes.com
703-468-4361                              Resea
IM (AIM, Yahoo, Skype, Google): imlazar
SightSpeed: irwin.lazar@nemertes.com        rch
                                             26
Introductions                     ©
• About Nemertes                      Copyri
  – Founded October 2002
  – Research data comes from
                                        ght
    network of 2,500 IT executives     2006
    willing to discuss their issues   Nemer
    and concerns at length
  – Focused on analyzing the            tes
    business value of emerging        Resea
    technologies
                                        rch
                                         27

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Microsoft Live Communications Server: Is This Your Next PBX?

  • 1. © Copyri Video-Enabling Presence ght Portals 2006 September 21, 2006 Nemer Irwin Lazar Principal Analyst, Nemertes Research tes http://www.nemertes.com/ Resea rch © Copyright 2006 Nemertes Research
  • 2. Agenda © Copyri • The Virtual Workplace • Presence as an Enabler ght • The Presence Portal 2006 • IP Video Conferencing Nemer • Standards tes • Beyond the Corporate Boundary Resea • Recommendations rch 2
  • 3. The Virtual Workplace is © Here Copyri • ght 58% of IT Executives considers their company to be a virtual workplace. • More than 75% of them report using real-time 2006 communications technologies today. • 90% of employees work in locations other than headquarters. Nemer • Between 40% and 70% of employees work in tes different locations from their supervisors. • Resea The number of virtual workers has increased by a whopping 800% over the past five years. rch 3
  • 4. What Real-Time Applications do you use? 120% 97% © 100% 80% 80% 76% Copyri 60% 54% ght 40% 16% 2006 20% 0% Nemer7% tes D IM ce g ng g in TC in en ci nc nc R n es re re re Pr fe fe fe on on on Resea C C C eb io o de ud W Vi A rch 4
  • 5. Convergence Timeline: © Copyri Advanced UM integration Collaborative Applications; Contact Centers ght Videoconferencing, wireless Additional VOIP Deployments 2006 Add Unified Communications Network optimization, management, security Nemer Troubleshoot Initial VOIP deployment or pilot tes Upgrade WAN infrastructure (length of time depends on complexity) Corporate buy-in Resea Decide on additional applications Planning 12 rch 24 36 48 Months 5
  • 6. Presence As The Killer App© • Presence Drives Copyri Real-Time ght Communications… • And Bridges the 2006 Virtual Workplace Nemer Gap tes • But the Value is Hard to Quantify; Resea rch 6
  • 7. Presence Functional Model© learning, location tracking, physical security) Industry-specific (imaging, distance Web Conferencing Audio conferencing Copyri Unified Messaging ght Real-time Communications Instant Messaging Dashboard Desktop Video 2006 Presence Nemer IP Enabling Contact Centers Wireless Voice Over IP/Mobility tes Room-to-Room Video Over IP Resea Network optimization, management, security rch 7
  • 8. Real-Time Communications Dashboard © • Unifies Copyri – IM ght – Conferencing (audio, video, Web) 2006 – Voice (point-to-point Nemer calling & related features) tes – Unified Messaging – Presence Resea rch 8
  • 9. RTCD Value © • Low current Copyri implementation, but ght growing interest • Average price 2006 customers willing to Nemer pay increased from $291 to $437 per tes seat. Resea rch 9
  • 10. Video Conferencing Evolution © • Video Conferencing Then: Copyri – Room-based – Dedicated circuits or on-demand services such as ISDN ght – High bandwidth 768 kbps (128 kbps for single ISDN BRI) 2006 • Drawbacks – Separate high-cost network Nemer – Limited flexibility (what if you aren’t near a room?) tes – No ability to tie into other applications (e.g. presence/web conferencing Resea rch 10
  • 11. Video Conferencing Trends© Copyri • Video over IP (Trunking) • Desktop video conferencing ght 2006 – Allows workers to participate regardless of location Nemer – Integration with web conferencing systems and room-based systems tes – Cheap - all you need is a USB camera, Resea speakers, and microphone rch 11
  • 12. IP Video Provides Cost, Productivity Benefits © • The next application Copyri organizations consider after VOIP. ght Videoconferencing Costs • Drivers: 2006 Average Hours/Month Average Per-Hour Rate 80 $250.000 Total Monthly Cost – Cost savings (travel) $20,000 – Improved employee Nemer Average IP Video bridges Operational Startup $162,189 $68,000 productivity Payback/months (ALL calls) 11.51 – Project tes Payback/months (50% of calls) Payback/months (30% of calls) 16.33 38.36 collaboration/branch- office workers Resea • Benefits (room-to-room) rch 12
  • 13. Video Plans on the Rise © Copyri • 30% are using video over IP today • 25% have plans to use room-to room ght video over IP 2006 • Nemer 37% plan to use desktop video over IP • By 2007-2008, a growing number of tes organizations will use both room-to- room and desktop video conferencingResea over IP rch 13
  • 14. Vertical Breakdown © Room-to-Room Videoconferencing, by Industry Copyri Pr of So Fi es na ftw si nc on M Tr ght ar an ia an al e/ H l H H u Ed sp Se Se ea fa os ig o uc rv rv ct lth h pi rt R u ic ic Te at at ta ca et rin es es io io lit ch re ai g n n y l 2006 25.0% 22% 20.0% 17% 17% 17% Nemer Percent 15.0% 10.0% 9% tes 5.0% 4% 4% 4% 4% Resea 0.0% Currently using Currently using Currently using Currently using Currently using Room-to-Room Video Currently using Currently using Currently using Currently using rch 14
  • 15. Desktop vs. Room-to-Room© IP Videoconferencing, Desktop vs. Room-to-Room 40.00% Copyri ght 37.20% 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 29.50% 2006 29.49% 20.00% 21.79% Nemer 17.95% Desktop Room-to-room 15.00% 10.00% tes 11.54% 11.54% 12.80% Resea 9.00% 7.70% 5.00% 6.41% 3.80% 1.28% 0.00% 0.00% Using rch Evaluating Planned for Planned for Planned for 2006 2007 2008 No Plans Unsure 15
  • 16. Next Generation Video Conferencing © Copyri • High Definition - Telepresence – “Next best thing to being there” clarity ght – Examples: 2006 • HP HALO • LifeSize Nemer • TANDBERG, Polycom tes Resea rch 16
  • 17. HiDef Video Conferencing © • System Limitations Copyri – Bandwidth (1Mbps up to 54 Mbps) ght – Costs 2006 • HALO - $550k initial cost, $30k recurring cost (per month, per room) Nemer • PolyCom / LifeSize initial offerings at $12,000 for a room-based system, plus monitor tes – Scalability • HALO is only point-to-point Resea rch • Scalability of other systems limited by available bandwidth 17
  • 18. Network Impact © Copyri • Video is bandwidth intensive – Minimum of 128 kbps ght – Codecs matter 2006 • Newer codecs such as H.264 and H.264 SVC reduce bandwidth requirements Nemer – But at the expense of increased computational requirements tes – Troubleshooting is difficult Resea • CPU issues, not just the network rch 18
  • 19. Typical Pitfalls © Insufficient No baseline assessment Copyri Rushing through ROI project ght Narrow 2006Poor design, vendor assessment Failure! Nemer engineering tes Low-quality products Poor Resea Lack of training management tools rch 19
  • 20. When do Standards Matter?© • SIP/SIMPLE are the Copyri clear winners in the ght standards battle… • …but IT executives 2006 don’t really care Nemer • What they want are tes open products that play well with others Resea rch 20
  • 21. Architectural Issues: Today and Tomorrow © Copyri • Hosted vs. In-House • Network Architecture ght • Security: Top Priority 2006 • Beyond the Enterprise Boundary Nemer tes Resea rch 21
  • 22. Network Impact © • Re-architecting the Copyri network to support high-bandwidth, ght any-to-any traffic flows 2006 • No guarantees for Nemer home users tes Resea rch 22
  • 23. Beyond Network Boundaries © Copyri • How to extend video conferencing to partners, customers, suppliers? ght – Direct peering model 2006 – Third-party peering services Nemer – Public services (SightSpeed/Skype) • Likely a mix-and-match moving forward tes • Video is entering the mobile world Resea rch 23
  • 24. Are You Ready for IP Videoconferencing? © • Your staff is increasingly dispersed. Copyri • You find value in visual meetings with ght partners, customers. 2006 • You have converged your network Nemer infrastructure to IP, QOS is in place, and you’re already running voice over IP. tes • You already use ISDN videoconferencing on a limited basis. Resea • rch Staff is asking for desktop videoconferencing 24
  • 25. Recommendations © • Copyri Like voice, it is inevitable that room- based video will move to IP ght • Determine ROI for desktop video 2006 conferencing • Plan for extending video beyond Nemer enterprise boundaries tes • Integrate communications & Resea collaboration planning rch 25
  • 26. Thank You © Copyri ght 2006 Nemer Irwin Lazar tes Irwin.lazar@nemertes.com 703-468-4361 Resea IM (AIM, Yahoo, Skype, Google): imlazar SightSpeed: irwin.lazar@nemertes.com rch 26
  • 27. Introductions © • About Nemertes Copyri – Founded October 2002 – Research data comes from ght network of 2,500 IT executives 2006 willing to discuss their issues Nemer and concerns at length – Focused on analyzing the tes business value of emerging Resea technologies rch 27