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Global Talent Market Quarterly
                     THIRD QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly




CONTENTS




 3	      Global Economic Situation
 	       	 • Briefing	         
 	       	 • Outlook


 6	      Global Labor Market Update
 	       	 • Americas	         
 	       	 • EMEA	             
 	       	 • APAC
 	       	 • Global Labor Market Spotlight
 	       	 • Legislative Update


 12	     U.S. Labor Market Overview	
 	       	 • Current Employment Conditions	           
 	       	 • Supply and Demand	          
 	       	 • Labor Market Spotlight


 16	     Workforce Solutions Industry Insight
 	       	 • Global Labor Supply and Demad Forecasts
 	       	 • Talent Challenges in Rapid Growth Markets
 	       	 • Social Media: Business or Pleasure?
 	       	 • Kelly Knowledge
Global Economic Situation
                THIRD QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS



        GLOBAL	
  ECONOMIC	
  BRIEFING	
  
        	
  
        The	
  global	
  economy	
  has	
  hit	
  a	
  soS	
  patch	
  in	
  2012,	
  as	
  contrac?on	
  in	
  several	
  European	
  markets	
  and	
  slowing	
  in	
  India	
  and	
  China	
  is	
  leading	
  to	
  
        muted	
  economic	
  ac?vity	
  worldwide.	
  Emerging	
  markets	
  and	
  the	
  APAC	
  region	
  con?nue	
  to	
  lead	
  the	
  growth	
  trend,	
  despite	
  some	
  weakness.	
  	
  	
  	
  


        AMERICAS	
                                                                                                                    EMEA	
                                                                           APAC	
  
        The	
  global	
  economic	
  slowdown	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                                                               The	
  Eurozone	
  crisis	
  con?nues	
  to	
  drag	
  down	
                    Low	
  export	
  demand	
  and	
  cooling	
  growth	
  in	
  
        cause	
  sluggish	
  growth	
  across	
  the	
  Americas	
                                                                    economic	
  growth	
  across	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  region.	
                   China	
  and	
  India	
  have	
  soSened	
  the	
  APAC	
  
        region	
  through	
  2013.	
  Stronger	
  economic	
                                                                          Gradual	
  recovery	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  begin	
  in	
  2013.	
            outlook	
  for	
  2012-­‐2013,	
  but	
  healthy	
  domes?c	
  
        ac?vity	
  is	
  forecast	
  to	
  resume	
  in	
  2014.	
                                                                                                                                                     demand	
  is	
  helping	
  to	
  prop	
  up	
  many	
  markets.	
  
                                                                                                                                      Eurozone	
  
        Canada	
                                                                                                                      Economic	
  growth	
  in	
  many	
  Eurozone	
  countries	
  is	
                Japan	
  
        Modest	
  growth	
  of	
  around	
  2%	
  is	
  predicted	
  to	
                                                             barely	
  posi:ve,	
  while	
  markets	
  including	
  Italy,	
                  Economic	
  growth	
  was	
  surprisingly	
  strong	
  in	
  the	
  
        con:nue	
  through	
  2013.	
  Strength	
  in	
  the	
  natural	
                                                             the	
  Netherlands	
  and	
  Spain	
  are	
  sinking	
  into	
                   first	
  part	
  of	
  2012,	
  thanks	
  to	
  healthy	
  household	
  
        resources	
  sectors	
  is	
  being	
  tempered	
  by	
                                                                       recession.	
  Improvements	
  are	
  expected	
  in	
  2013,	
                   spending	
  and	
  con:nued	
  recovery	
  efforts.	
  
        government	
  austerity	
  measures	
  and	
  consumer	
                                                                      but	
  significant	
  growth	
  will	
  hold	
  off	
  un:l	
  2014.	
             Growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  moderate	
  
        and	
  business	
  cau:on	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  of	
  uncertain	
                                                                                                                                            throughout	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  the	
  year	
  and	
  in	
  2013.	
  
        global	
  economic	
  condi:ons.	
                                                                                            U.K.	
  
                                                                                                                                      GDP	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  resume	
  in	
  the	
  U.K.	
  in	
     China	
  
        U.S.	
                                                                                                                        the	
  second	
  half	
  of	
  2012	
  aZer	
  three	
  quarters	
  of	
         Second	
  quarter	
  growth	
  decelerated	
  to	
  7.6%,	
  
        The	
  U.S.	
  economy	
  con:nues	
  to	
  expand	
  at	
  a	
                                                               contrac:on.	
  The	
  economy	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                          the	
  lowest	
  rate	
  in	
  nearly	
  three	
  years.	
  S:mulus	
  
        modest	
  pace,	
  with	
  2%	
  growth	
  projected	
                                                                        con:nue	
  to	
  recover	
  gradually	
  	
  in	
  2013	
  and	
                 efforts	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  revive	
  the	
  economy	
  in	
  
        through	
  2013.	
  Future	
  gains	
  depend	
  on	
  both	
                                                                 2014,	
  in	
  step	
  with	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  Western	
  Europe.    	
     the	
  second	
  half,	
  but	
  a	
  return	
  to	
  sustained	
  long-­‐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       term	
  growth	
  will	
  require	
  structural	
  reforms.	
  
        the	
  health	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  economy	
  and	
  policy	
  
                                                                                                                                      Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
  
        measures	
  following	
  the	
  2012	
  elec:on.	
                                                                                                                                                             India	
  
                                                                                                                                      Reduced	
  demand	
  from	
  Western	
  Europe	
  will	
  
        La?n	
  America	
                                                                                                             con:nue	
  to	
  dampen	
  economic	
  performance	
                             The	
  economy	
  has	
  lost	
  some	
  momentum	
  due	
  to	
  
        Economic	
  ac:vity	
  in	
  the	
  region	
  con:nues	
  to	
                                                                through	
  2013,	
  but	
  growth	
  in	
  many	
  of	
  the	
                   weak	
  global	
  demand	
  and	
  domes:c	
  policy	
  
        cool	
  in	
  2012,	
  with	
  the	
  slowdown	
  felt	
  most	
                                                              region’s	
  larger	
  markets	
  including	
  Russia,	
  Turkey	
                issues,	
  but	
  growth	
  is	
  projected	
  to	
  accelerate	
  in	
  
        heavily	
  among	
  export-­‐dependent	
  countries.	
                                                                        and	
  Poland	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  healthy.	
  	
                2013	
  and	
  strengthen	
  further	
  in	
  2014.	
  
        Although	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  accelerate	
                                                                                                                                                     Australia	
  
                                                                                                                                      Middle	
  East	
  and	
  North	
  Africa	
  
        again	
  in	
  2013	
  and	
  beyond,	
  policy	
  adjustments	
                                                                                                                                               Australia’s	
  economy	
  remains	
  strong	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  
                                                                                                                                      Despite	
  ongoing	
  poli:cal	
  tensions,	
  economic	
  
        will	
  also	
  be	
  necessary	
  to	
  create	
  and	
  sustain	
                                                                                                                                            of	
  the	
  cooler	
  global	
  climate,	
  with	
  a	
  sound	
  
                                                                                                                                      momentum	
  should	
  accelerate	
  in	
  the	
  region	
  in	
  
        more	
  robust	
  growth	
  levels.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                      outlook	
  supported	
  by	
  con:nued	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                      2012-­‐13	
  as	
  many	
  countries	
  con:nue	
  to	
  develop	
  
        	
                                                                                                                            and	
  implement	
  policies	
  that	
  foster	
  growth.	
                      mining	
  and	
  natural	
  resources	
  sectors.	
  
        	
                                                                                                                            	
                                                                               	
  
4	
            Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (July	
  2012);	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  07.13.12	
  and	
  07.18.12;	
  Reuters,	
  05.22.12	
  and	
  07.18.12	
  	
                       	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS



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f"
Global Labor Market Update
                  THIRD QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS
        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  AMERICAS	
  
        	
  
        Posi?ve	
  employment	
  trends	
  con?nue	
  across	
  the	
  Americas	
  region,	
  although	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  Canada	
  have	
  seen	
  some	
  cooling	
  in	
  2012	
  as	
  a	
  
        result	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  economic	
  slowdown.	
  Cau?ous	
  hiring	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  con?nue	
  across	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  region,	
  leading	
  to	
  lower	
  
        unemployment	
  levels	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  years.	
  

        	
  
        UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                      BRAZIL	
                                                                         CANADA	
                                                  MEXICO	
  
        Robust	
  job	
  crea:on	
  in	
  the	
  first	
                                         Despite	
  more	
  moderate	
  recent	
                                          Canada’s	
  labor	
  market	
  outlook	
  is	
            The	
  official	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  
        quarter	
  of	
  2012	
  was	
  replaced	
  by	
                                        economic	
  growth,	
  employment	
                                              broadly	
  posi:ve,	
  as	
  vacancy	
  and	
             in	
  Mexico	
  remains	
  in	
  the	
  
        more	
  subdued	
  hiring	
  in	
  the	
                                                con:nues	
  to	
  trend	
  upwards	
  and	
                                      wage	
  data	
  suggest	
  that	
  demand	
               4.5%-­‐5%	
  range—low	
  by	
  regional	
  
        second	
  as	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
                                                unemployment	
  rates	
  con:nue	
  to	
                                         for	
  labor	
  is	
  healthy.	
  Fihul	
  hiring	
       standards	
  but	
  s:ll	
  higher	
  than	
  its	
  
        began	
  to	
  react	
  to	
  the	
  cooler	
                                           fall	
  in	
  Brazil	
  in	
  2012,	
  a	
  sign	
  that	
                       trends	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  part	
  of	
  2012	
       pre-­‐recession	
  level	
  of	
  3.5%-­‐4%.	
  
        global	
  economy.	
  Stronger	
  ac:vity	
                                             employers	
  remain	
  confident	
  and	
                                         indicate	
  that	
  employers	
  remain	
                 Gradual	
  improvement	
  is	
  
        is	
  expected	
  in	
  2013	
  and	
  2014	
  as	
                                     are	
  preparing	
  for	
  the	
  eventual	
                                     somewhat	
  cau:ous	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  the	
         expected	
  as	
  the	
  economy	
  
        uncertain:es	
  subside.	
                                                              economic	
  upturn.	
                                                            global	
  economic	
  situa:on.	
                         con:nues	
  to	
  add	
  formal	
  jobs.	
  
        	
                                                                                      	
  




                                                                                                                                             Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
                                                                               10%	
  
                                                                                  8%	
  
                                                                                                     8.1%	
   7.8%	
  
                                                                                                                          7.2%	
                                             7.3%	
                                                            2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                  6%	
                                                                                                  6.8%	
   6.5%	
  
                                                                                                                                              5.7%	
   5.6%	
                                                                                  2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                  5.3%	
  
                                                                                  4%	
                                                                                                                      4.8%	
   4.6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4.3%	
         2014	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                  2%	
  
                                                                                  0%	
  
                                                                                                               U.S.	
                               Brazil	
                     Canada	
                       Mexico	
  


        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (July	
  2012);	
  Reuters,	
  05.21.12,	
  06.20.12	
  and	
  07.06.12	
  	
  
7	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TABLE OF CONTENTS

        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  EMEA	
  
        	
  
        Weakness	
  stemming	
  from	
  the	
  European	
  fiscal	
  crisis	
  is	
  keeping	
  worker	
  demand	
  low	
  and	
  unemployment	
  high	
  across	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  region,	
  with	
  
        significant	
  improvements	
  not	
  expected	
  un?l	
  2014.	
  Despite	
  the	
  uncertain	
  economic	
  situa?on,	
  labor	
  markets	
  con?nue	
  to	
  perform	
  well	
  in	
  
        some	
  countries,	
  including	
  Germany,	
  Russia,	
  and	
  the	
  U.K.	
                                                    	
  

        GERMANY	
                                                                          FRANCE	
                                                                             UNITED	
  KINGDOM	
                                           RUSSIA	
  
        Job	
  growth	
  in	
  Germany	
  remains	
                                        The	
  labor	
  market	
  con:nues	
  to	
                                           Despite	
  the	
  economic	
  climate,	
                      Unemployment	
  in	
  Russia	
  
        rela:vely	
  healthy	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  of	
                                  deteriorate,	
  with	
  unemployment	
                                               unemployment	
  has	
  remained	
  in	
                       con:nues	
  to	
  steadily	
  decline	
  as	
  
        soZer	
  economic	
  condi:ons.	
  The	
                                           in	
  mid-­‐2012	
  at	
  its	
  highest	
  level	
  in	
                            check	
  in	
  2012	
  due	
  to	
  increases	
  in	
         the	
  economy	
  remains	
  resilient.	
  
        country’s	
  steady	
  decline	
  in	
                                             more	
  than	
  a	
  decade.	
  The	
  new	
                                         self-­‐employment	
  and	
  part-­‐:me	
                      The	
  lowest	
  unemployment	
  rates	
  
        unemployment	
  has	
  lost	
  some	
                                              government	
  is	
  considering	
                                                    work,	
  and	
  job	
  crea:on	
  driven	
  by	
              are	
  seen	
  in	
  the	
  regions	
  around	
  
        momentum	
  in	
  2012,	
  but	
  is	
                                             stricter	
  legisla:on	
  surrounding	
                                              the	
  Olympics.	
  Real	
  improvements	
                    Moscow	
  and	
  St.	
  Petersburg.	
  	
  	
  
        expected	
  to	
  resume	
  its	
                                                  layoffs	
  to	
  help	
  curb	
  the	
  rising	
                                      in	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
  are	
  not	
                  	
  
        downward	
  trend	
  in	
  2013.	
                                                 joblessness.	
                                                                       expected	
  un:l	
  2014.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ITALY	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Demand	
  for	
  workers	
  is	
  expected	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              to	
  remain	
  weak	
  throughout	
  2012	
  
                                                                             Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                                                                      and	
  2013.	
  Austerity	
  plans	
  have	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              cut	
  employment	
  in	
  the	
  public	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              sector,	
  and	
  private	
  employers	
  
                 10%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        are	
  hesitant	
  to	
  add	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  
                                                                       9.8%	
   9.8%	
                                                                                               10.0%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                 9.7%	
   9.9%	
  
                                                                                           9.3%	
                                                                                                                                             midst	
  of	
  a	
  declining	
  economy.	
  
                   8%	
                                                                                   8.5%	
   8.7%	
   8.4%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2012	
  (p)	
  
                   6%	
             6.8%	
   6.6%	
  
                                                        6.2%	
  
                                                                                                                                                 5.7%	
   5.4%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                     5.2%	
  
                   4%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2014	
  (p)	
  
                   2%	
  

                   0%	
  
                                      Germany	
                             France	
                             U.K.	
                               Russia	
                         Italy	
  



         Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (July	
  2012);	
  Reuters,	
  06.28.12;	
  Reuters,	
  06.07.12;	
  BusinessWeek,	
  07.18.12;	
  Moscow	
  Times,	
  07.23.12;	
  Agence	
  France	
  Presse,	
  07.02.12	
  
         	
  
8	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS
            GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  APAC	
  
            	
  
            Many	
  APAC	
  labor	
  markets	
  are	
  showing	
  some	
  signs	
  of	
  soSness	
  in	
  2012,	
  par?cularly	
  in	
  manufacturing	
  sectors	
  as	
  the	
  region	
  grapples	
  with	
  
            slowing	
  export	
  demand.	
  However,	
  healthy	
  domes?c	
  demand	
  and	
  ongoing	
  recovery	
  efforts	
  are	
  helping	
  to	
  boost	
  employment	
  levels	
  across	
  
            the	
  region,	
  and	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
  outlook	
  for	
  2013	
  and	
  2014	
  is	
  posi?ve.	
  	
  

            	
  
            JAPAN	
                                                                               CHINA	
                                                                                 INDIA	
                                                                          AUSTRALIA	
  
            Employment	
  growth	
  and	
  job	
                                                  The	
  labor	
  market	
  in	
  China	
  is	
                                           Employment	
  growth	
  in	
  India	
  has	
                                     Labor	
  market	
  performance	
  is	
  
            crea:on	
  trends	
  are	
  posi:ve,	
  as	
  the	
                                   showing	
  some	
  signs	
  of	
  weakness.	
                                           moderated	
  somewhat	
  due	
  to	
  	
                                         healthy	
  but	
  uneven	
  as	
  global	
  
            economy	
  con:nues	
  to	
  recover	
                                                Indicators	
  suggest	
  that	
  hiring	
  is	
                                         soZer	
  economic	
  condi:ons	
  both	
                                         uncertainty	
  and	
  the	
  strong	
  
            following	
  the	
  2011	
  natural	
                                                 slowing,	
  and	
  job	
  cuts	
  may	
  be	
                                           at	
  home	
  and	
  globally.	
  Hiring	
                                       currency	
  constrain	
  employers’	
  
            disasters	
  and	
  ongoing	
  rebuilding	
                                           spreading	
  in	
  manufacturing	
  and	
                                               inten:ons	
  are	
  strongest	
  in	
  the	
                                     hiring	
  sen:ments.	
  The	
  market	
  is	
  
            efforts	
  encourage	
  employers	
  to	
                                              heavy	
  industry,	
  amid	
  more	
                                                    construc:on	
  industry	
  and	
  the	
                                          expected	
  to	
  con:nue	
  along	
  an	
  
            take	
  on	
  more	
  workers.	
  	
                                                  modest	
  demand	
  trends	
  and	
  a	
                                                service	
  sector,	
  par:cularly	
  retail,	
                                   unsteady	
  path,	
  with	
  modest	
  
                                                                                                  cooling	
  economic	
  climate.	
  	
                                                   sales	
  and	
  healthcare.	
  	
                                                employment	
  gains	
  offset	
  by	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           higher	
  labor	
  force	
  par:cipa:on.	
  



                                                                                                                                       Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
                                                                                  10%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                           9.3%	
   9.1%	
  
                                                                                     8%	
                                                                                                                      9.0%	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                     6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5.2%	
   5.1%	
  
                                                                                     4%	
                4.8%	
   4.7%	
   4.6%	
                                                                                                                        4.7%	
               2014	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                  4.2%	
   4.1%	
   4.0%	
  

                                                                                     2%	
  

                                                                                     0%	
  
                                                                                                               Japan	
                                   China	
                                   India	
                              Australia	
  

        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (July	
  2012);	
  HSBC	
  06.07.12	
  and	
  07.12.12;	
  India	
  Times,	
  07.23.12;	
  Indian	
  Express,	
  07.23.12;	
  Financial	
  Times,	
  07.11.12;	
  Reuters,	
  05.28.12	
  and	
  06.28.12	
  


9	
  
9
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           TABLE OF CONTENTS



         GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  	
  AGING	
  WORKFORCE	
  
         	
   organiza?ons	
  try	
  to	
  envision	
  and	
  plan	
  for	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
  of	
  the	
  future,	
  aging	
  workforces	
  are	
  a	
  key	
  considera?on	
  in	
  many	
  countries.	
  An	
  
         As	
  
         increasingly	
  older	
  labor	
  force	
  will	
  bring	
  unique	
  challenges,	
  including	
  filling	
  skills	
  gaps	
  and	
  addressing	
  re?rement	
  issues.	
  

         	
  
         NEARLY	
  A	
  QUARTER	
  OF	
  GLOBAL	
  WORKERS	
  WILL	
  BE	
  AGE	
  55+	
  BY	
  2030	
  	
  
         The	
  aging	
  trend	
  will	
  be	
  most	
  acutely	
  felt	
  in	
  the	
  advanced	
  economies	
  and	
  China.	
  In	
  the	
                                                         Net	
  New	
  Re?rees	
  per	
  New	
  Worker,	
  2010-­‐2030E*	
  	
  
         advanced	
  economies,	
  the	
  share	
  of	
  older	
  workers	
  in	
  the	
  labor	
  force	
  will	
  grow	
  from	
  18%	
  in	
  
         2010	
  to	
  27%	
  in	
  2030.	
  	
  In	
  the	
  most	
  rapidly	
  aging	
  advanced	
  economies	
  such	
  as	
  Japan	
  and	
                                                    2	
  
         Germany,	
  more	
  than	
  30%	
  of	
  the	
  labor	
  force	
  will	
  be	
  55+	
  in	
  2030.	
  In	
  China,	
  the	
  propor:on	
  of	
  
         older	
  workers	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  more	
  than	
  double	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  two	
  decades.	
  Even	
  in	
  La:n	
                                                    1.5	
  
         America,	
  which	
  has	
  a	
  rela:vely	
  young	
  popula:on,	
  aging	
  will	
  slow	
  labor	
  force	
  growth.	
  
         AGING	
  TREND	
  WILL	
  CAUSE	
  FUTURE	
  LABOR	
  FORCE	
  CHALLENGES	
                                                                                                               1	
  
         The	
  number	
  of	
  re:rees	
  in	
  the	
  world	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  grow	
  by	
  2.3%	
  per	
  year	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  two	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                               0.5	
  
         decades,	
  more	
  than	
  twice	
  the	
  annual	
  labor	
  force	
  growth	
  rate,	
  leading	
  to	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  issues.	
  
         Skills	
  shortages	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  intensify	
  as	
  educated	
  workers	
  re:re.	
  The	
  growing	
  number	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                   0	
  
         re:rees	
  will	
  lead	
  to	
  greater	
  demand	
  for	
  social	
  and	
  healthcare	
  services.	
  And	
  economies	
  will	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Advanced	
                          China	
                   Other	
                           India	
  
         need	
  to	
  boost	
  produc:vity	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  sustain	
  growth	
  rates	
  with	
  smaller	
  labor	
  forces.	
  Boos:ng	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Economies	
                                                  Emerging	
  
         labor	
  force	
  par:cipa:on	
  rates	
  of	
  older	
  workers	
  is	
  one	
  way	
  to	
  help	
  solve	
  these	
  challenges.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Markets	
  


                Labor	
  	
  Force	
  %	
                             GLOBAL	
                                                             ADVANCED	
  ECONOMIES	
                                                                                                           CHINA	
  
                by	
  Age	
  
                                                      10%	
               14%	
                                                                                                                                                                    8%	
  
                                                                                              22%	
                                   13%	
                          18%	
                                                                                                      15%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                   27%	
  
                  Older	
  (55+)	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             31%	
  
                  Prime	
  (25-­‐54)	
  
                  Young	
  (15-­‐24)	
                                                                                                                                                                                                            60%	
  
                                                      62%	
  
                                                                                                                                      65%	
  
                                                                          69%	
                                                                                      70%	
                         64%	
                                                                        72%	
  
                                                                                              68%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                            62%	
  
                                                      28%	
                                                                           22%	
                                                                                                       32%	
  
                                                                          16%	
                                                                                      12%	
                         10%	
                                                                        13%	
  
                                                                                              11%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                             6%	
  
                                                     1980	
              2010	
             2030E	
                                  1980	
                        2010	
                        2030E	
                                         1980	
                        2010	
                       2030E	
  

                                                                                                                                                                      Source:	
  :	
  The	
  World	
  at	
  Work:	
  Jobs,	
  Pay,	
  and	
  Skills	
  for	
  3.5	
  Billion	
  People,	
  McKinsey	
  Global	
  Ins:tute,	
  2012	
  
                                                                                                          *Re:rees	
  are	
  defined	
  as	
  workers	
  between	
  55-­‐70	
  years	
  old	
  who	
  are	
  not	
  likely	
  to	
  be	
  in	
  the	
  labor	
  force	
  in	
  2030.	
  Advanced	
  Economies	
  are	
  those	
  with	
  
10	
                                                                                                      GDP	
  Per	
  Capita	
  above	
  $20,000	
  (USD	
  at	
  2005	
  PPP).	
  Other	
  Emerging	
  Markets	
  are	
  those	
  with	
  GDP	
  Per	
  Capita	
  between	
  $3,000	
  and	
  $20,000	
  including	
  
                                                                                                           na:ons	
  in	
  Asia	
  (Philippines,	
  Indonesia,	
  Thailand,	
  Malaysia,	
  etc.),	
  La:n	
  America	
  (Brazil,	
  Mexico,	
  Argen:na,	
  Peru,	
  etc.),	
  the	
  Middle	
  East	
  and	
  Africa.	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS



         GLOBAL	
  LEGISLATIVE	
  UPDATE	
  
         	
  
         Several	
  countries	
  have	
  implemented	
  or	
  are	
  considering	
  changes	
  to	
  their	
  regula?ons	
  on	
  temporary	
  and	
  contract	
  workers,	
  including	
  
         Norway,	
  which	
  will	
  bring	
  its	
  prac?ces	
  in	
  line	
  with	
  the	
  EU’s	
  Agency	
  Worker	
  Direc?ve.	
  New	
  and	
  pending	
  labor	
  legisla?on	
  in	
  Venezuela,	
  
         Saudi	
  Arabia,	
  and	
  Canada	
  aims	
  to	
  increase	
  labor	
  force	
  par?cipa?on,	
  while	
  the	
  new	
  lower	
  re?rement	
  age	
  in	
  France	
  defies	
  that	
  trend.	
  



                                                                                                                                               NORWAY	
  
                          CANADA	
                                                                                                             Although	
  not	
  a	
  member	
  of	
  the	
  
                          New	
  regula:ons	
  expected	
  to	
  take	
  effect	
                                                                                                                                                            AUSTRIA,	
  BELGIUM	
  
                                                                                                                                               European	
  Union,	
  Norway	
  will	
  
                          in	
  early	
  2013	
  will	
  require	
  workers	
                                                                                                                                                               New	
  legisla:on	
  requires	
  employers	
  to	
  ensure	
  
                                                                                                                                               implement	
  the	
  EU’s	
  Agency	
  Worker	
                                               equal	
  treatment	
  of	
  temporary	
  workers.	
  In	
  
                          receiving	
  unemployment	
  benefits	
  to	
  be	
                                                                   Direc:ve	
  in	
  2013,	
  ensuring	
  the	
  
                          willing	
  to	
  accept	
  available	
  jobs	
  that	
  are	
                                                                                                                                                     Belgium,	
  liZing	
  restric:ons	
  on	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                               equal	
  protec:on	
  and	
  treatment	
  of	
  
                          lower	
  paying,	
  outside	
  their	
  field,	
  or	
  are	
                                                                                                                                                      temporary	
  workers,	
  par:cularly	
  in	
  the	
  public	
  
                                                                                                                                               temporary	
  workers.	
  
                          located	
  farther	
  away.	
                                                                                                                                                                                     sector,	
  is	
  being	
  reviewed.	
  

                                                                                                                               FRANCE	
                                                                                                                               SINGAPORE	
  
                                                                                                                               The	
  new	
  French	
  government	
  lowered	
  the	
                                                                                 The	
  Employment	
  Act	
  will	
  be	
  
                     U.S.	
                                                                                                    re:rement	
  age	
  from	
  62	
  to	
  60	
  for	
  workers	
  with	
  more	
                                                         reviewed	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  half	
  of	
  
                     The	
  Supreme	
  Court	
  upheld	
  the	
  health	
                                                      than	
  40	
  years	
  of	
  social	
  security	
  contribu:ons.	
  The	
                                                              2012,	
  with	
  expected	
  revisions	
  to	
  
                     care	
  reform	
  act,	
  paving	
  the	
  way	
  for	
  the	
                                            move	
  is	
  contrary	
  to	
  many	
  other	
  developed	
  countries	
                                                              address	
  working	
  condi:ons	
  and	
  
                     implementa:on	
  of	
  both	
  the	
  individual	
                                                        that	
  are	
  increasing	
  re:rement	
  ages	
  in	
  the	
  face	
  of	
                                                            pay	
  for	
  low	
  wage	
  employees	
  and	
  
                     and	
  employer	
  mandates	
  for	
  health	
  care	
                                                    demographic	
  and	
  fiscal	
  challenges.	
                                                                                           contract	
  workers.	
  
                     insurance	
  provision	
  in	
  2014.	
  


                                                                                                                                                                        SAUDI	
  ARABIA	
                                                                 MALAYSIA	
  
                                                     VENEZUELA	
                                                                                                        Pending	
  legisla:on	
  would	
                                                  A	
  minimum	
  wage	
  law	
  will	
  take	
  
                                                     The	
  country’s	
  new	
  labor	
  law	
  includes	
                                                              shorten	
  the	
  workweek	
  in	
                                                effect	
  in	
  Malaysia	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  
                                                     provisions	
  to	
  eliminate	
  the	
  prac:ce	
  of	
                                                            the	
  private	
  sector	
  in	
  order	
                                         :me	
  as	
  of	
  January	
  2013,	
  and	
  will	
  
                                                     outsourcing,	
  reduce	
  working	
  hours	
  from	
  44	
                                                         to	
  force	
  companies	
  to	
                                                  likely	
  be	
  phased	
  in	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  
                                                     to	
  40	
  hours	
  a	
  week,	
  lengthen	
  maternity	
                                                         expand	
  their	
  workforces.	
                                                  two	
  years.	
  The	
  minimum	
  wage	
  
                                                     leaves,	
  and	
  make	
  layoffs	
  more	
  difficult.	
                                                                                                                                               level	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  be	
  modest	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          and	
  vary	
  across	
  the	
  country.	
  


           Sources:	
  Global	
  Insight	
  06.14.12,	
  06.07.12;	
  Reuters,	
  05.24.12;	
  SIA	
  Daily	
  News,	
  05.30.12,	
  06.28.12,	
  07.17.12;	
  HRM	
  Asia	
  05.28.12;	
  VenezuelaAnalysis,	
  05.01.12;	
  Global	
  Market	
  Brief	
  &	
  Labor	
  Risk	
  Index	
  Q3	
  2012,	
  KellyOCG/Eurasia;	
  SIA	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Legs	
  and	
  Regs	
  Advisor,	
  April	
  2012	
  	
  
11	
  
U.S. Labor Market Overview
                  THIRD QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS

          U.S.	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CONDITIONS	
  
          	
  
          SECOND	
  QUARTER	
  HIRING	
  DECELERATES	
                                    U.S.	
  MONTHLY	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CHANGE	
  AND	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
          The	
  U.S.	
  job	
  market	
  hit	
  a	
  soZ	
  patch	
  in	
  the	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Unemployment	
  Rate	
  (%)	
  
          second	
  quarter	
  of	
  2012,	
  adding	
  to	
  concerns	
  that	
  




                                                                                           Employment	
  (000’s)	
  
                                                                                                                        600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          11	
  
          the	
  broader	
  economic	
  slowdown	
  has	
  now	
  
                                                                                                                        300	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10	
  
          started	
  to	
  affect	
  U.S.	
  hiring.	
  Employment	
  gains	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       9	
  
          averaged	
  only	
  75,000	
  a	
  month	
  in	
  the	
  second	
                                                  0	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       8	
  
          quarter,	
  three	
  :mes	
  slower	
  than	
  the	
  rate	
  of	
  job	
                                    -­‐300	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       7	
  
          crea:on	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  three	
  months	
  of	
  the	
  year.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                       -­‐600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6	
  
          UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  STAGNANT	
                                                                           -­‐900	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5	
  



                                                                                                                                     Jun-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                   Mar-­‐10	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jun-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar-­‐11	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Jun-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Mar-­‐12	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jun-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    Dec-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Dec-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Dec-­‐11	
  
                                                                                                                                                     Sep-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sep-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Sep-­‐11	
  
          The	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  remained	
  at	
  8.2%	
  in	
  
          June	
  2012.	
  Although	
  lower	
  than	
  the	
  above-­‐9%	
  
          rates	
  seen	
  in	
  much	
  of	
  2011,	
  	
  unemployment	
  has	
  
          shown	
  	
  litle	
  improvement	
  since	
  the	
  first	
  of	
  the	
                                                                  Non-­‐Farm	
  Employment	
                                      Private-­‐Sector	
  Employment	
                                                  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
          year	
  and	
  remains	
  significantly	
  above	
  pre-­‐
          recession	
  levels.	
  	
                                                       EMPLOYMENT	
  OVERVIEW	
  
          DEMAND	
  GROWS	
  AND	
  LAYOFFS	
  SLOW	
  
          The	
  number	
  of	
  job	
  openings	
  has	
  been	
                                                                                                                                                               JUN	
                    MAY	
                      APR	
                             MAR	
                           FEB	
  
          increasing	
  steadily	
  since	
  the	
  recession	
  ended,	
  
          signaling	
  a	
  renewed	
  demand	
  trend.	
  The	
  pace	
  of	
                                   Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                  80K	
                      77K	
                     68K	
                            143K	
                          259K	
  
          layoffs	
  has	
  also	
  slowed	
  and	
  is	
  now	
  back	
  to	
  its	
  
          long-­‐term	
  average	
  level.	
  But	
  these	
  encouraging	
                                      Private	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                              84K	
                   105K	
                       85K	
                            147K	
                          254K	
  
          trends	
  have	
  not	
  	
  yet	
  translated	
  into	
  significant	
  
          and	
  sustained	
  job	
  crea:on.	
  	
                                                              Unemployment	
  rate	
                                                                                     8.2%	
                       8.2%	
                     8.1%	
                            8.2%	
                          8.3%	
  

          EMPLOYERS	
  	
  REMAIN	
  CAUTIOUS	
  
          Some	
  employers	
  indicate	
  that	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  hiring	
  stems	
  from	
  the	
  inability	
  to	
  find	
  skilled	
  workers,	
  but	
  many	
  simply	
  remain	
  hesitant	
  	
  to	
  ramp	
  up	
  their	
  full-­‐
          :me	
  workforces	
  in	
  the	
  midst	
  of	
  uncertain	
  economic	
  and	
  poli:cal	
  condi:ons.	
  The	
  ongoing	
  European	
  crisis,	
  slowdowns	
  in	
  emerging	
  economies,	
  and	
  
          concern	
  over	
  U.S.	
  policies	
  con:nue	
  to	
  weigh	
  heavily	
  on	
  employers’	
  minds	
  and	
  put	
  a	
  damper	
  on	
  hiring	
  plans.	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Sources:	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
13	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS

         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  	
  



            JOB	
  DEMAND	
  ON	
  UPWARD	
  BUT	
  UNEVEN	
  TREND	
  	
                                                               U.S.	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  MONTHLY	
  LABOR	
  DEMAND	
  VS.	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  
            Employers	
  con:nue	
  to	
  look	
  for	
  more	
  workers,	
  as	
  
            online	
  adver:sed	
  job	
  vacancies	
  increased	
  at	
  an	
  
            average	
  rate	
  of	
  over	
  100,000	
  per	
  month	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  
                                                                                                                                   16,000	
                                                                                                       10,000	
  
            half	
  of	
  2012.	
  The	
  demand	
  momentum	
  remains	
  fihul,	
  
            however,	
  as	
  job	
  ads	
  were	
  up	
  sharply	
  in	
  June	
  but	
                                           14,000	
                                                                                                       9,000	
  
            declined	
  in	
  May	
  and	
  July.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  8,000	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                No.	
  of	
  	
  Online	
  Job	
  Ads	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                   12,000	
  



                                                                                                 No.	
  of	
  Unemployed	
  	
  
            DEMAND	
  SURPASSING	
  PRE-­‐RECESSION	
  LEVELS	
  
            Job	
  adver:sements	
  con:nue	
  to	
  grow,	
  with	
  around	
                                                                                                                                                                    7,000	
  
            two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  both	
  U.S.	
  states	
  and	
  metropolitan	
  


                                                                                                         (in	
  000's)	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           (in	
  000's)	
  
                                                                                                                                   10,000	
  
            areas	
  now	
  at	
  or	
  above	
  their	
  pre-­‐recession	
  levels	
  in	
  
            labor	
  demand.	
  Despite	
  the	
  posi:ve	
  trend,	
  some	
                                                                                                                                                                     6,000	
  
            metro	
  areas	
  s:ll	
  have	
  unfavorable	
  supply/demand	
                                                        8,000	
  
            ra:os,	
  including	
  Riverside,	
  Los	
  Angeles,	
  and	
                                                                                                                                                                         5,000	
  
            Sacramento,	
  CA;	
  Las	
  Vegas;	
  and	
  Miami.	
  
                                                                                                                                    6,000	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4,000	
  
            JOB	
  MARKET	
  TIGHTEST	
  FOR	
  STEM	
  OCCUPATIONS	
  
            STEM	
  (science,	
  technology,	
  math	
  and	
  engineering)	
                                                       4,000	
                                                                                                       3,000	
  
            workers	
  con:nue	
  to	
  be	
  in	
  hot	
  demand.	
  Computer	
  
            and	
  mathema:cal	
  science,	
  healthcare	
  prac::oners,	
  
            and	
  architecture/	
  engineering	
  are	
  the	
  only	
  large	
  
                                                                                                                                    2,000	
                                                                                                       2,000	
  
                                                                                                                                                Mar	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                Mar	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                Mar	
  11	
  




                                                                                                                                                Mar	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Jun	
  08	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Sep	
  08	
  



                                                                                                                                                 Jun	
  09	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Sep	
  09	
  



                                                                                                                                                 Jun	
  10	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Sep	
  10	
  



                                                                                                                                                 Jun	
  11	
  




                                                                                                                                                 Jun	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                Sept	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Dec	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                 Dec	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                 Dec	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                 Dec	
  11	
  
            occupa:onal	
  categories	
  in	
  which	
  adver:sed	
  job	
  
            vacancies	
  outnumber	
  job	
  seekers.	
  
                                                                                                                                                       #	
  of	
  unemployed	
  workers	
                       #	
  of	
  online	
  ads	
  
            	
  	
  

            	
  
            	
   “As	
  of	
  June,	
  almost	
  half	
  of	
  the	
  occupa:onal	
  groups	
  have	
  Supply/Demand	
  rates	
  at	
  or	
  below	
  2.0.	
  Most	
  of	
  these	
  
            	
          are	
  in	
  professional	
  categories,	
  such	
  as	
  business	
  and	
  finance,	
  healthcare	
  professionals,	
  and	
  management.”	
  	
  
                                                                                                —	
  	
  June	
  Shelp,	
  Vice	
  President,	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board,	
  July	
  2,	
  2012	
  

                                                                                                                                                                            Sources:	
  Conference	
  Board	
  Help	
  Wanted	
  OnLine,	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
14	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         TABLE OF CONTENTS



         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  BRIDGING	
  THE	
  TALENT	
  GAP	
  
         	
  
                 HELP	
  WANTED	
  SIGNS	
  ARE	
  STILL	
  UP	
  
                 Plenty	
  of	
  U.S.	
  companies	
  are	
  looking	
  for	
  workers.	
                           60%	
                                Effects	
  of	
  Job	
  Vacancies	
  on	
  Current	
  Workers	
  
                 According	
  to	
  a	
  recent	
  CareerBuilder	
  survey,	
  more	
  than	
                       50%	
  
                 one-­‐third	
  of	
  employers	
  say	
  they	
  currently	
  have	
  open	
                                         51%	
  
                                                                                                                    40%	
  
                 posi:ons	
  for	
  which	
  they	
  cannot	
  find	
  qualified	
  candidates.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                    30%	
                                             36%	
                     34%	
                        33%	
  
                 OPEN	
  POSITIONS	
  TAKING	
  TOLL	
  ON	
  WORKERS,	
  FIRMS	
                                   20%	
  
                 Ongoing	
  job	
  vacancies	
  are	
  affec:ng	
  current	
  workers’	
                                                                                                                                                              23%	
  
                                                                                                                    10%	
  
                 axtudes	
  and	
  performances—and	
  companies’	
  botom	
  
                                                                                                                     0%	
  
                 lines.	
  Over	
  half	
  of	
  employers	
  say	
  that	
  current	
  employees	
  
                                                                                                                               Longer	
  hours	
  	
        Overworked/	
  no	
   Lower	
  quality	
  of	
             Lower	
  morale	
     Loss	
  in	
  revenue	
  
                 are	
  working	
  longer	
  hours.	
  More	
  than	
  one-­‐third	
  of	
                                                                  work-­‐life	
  balance	
   work	
  
                 employers	
  reported	
  that	
  job	
  vacancies	
  have	
  led	
  to	
  
                 overworked	
  employees,	
  a	
  reduced	
  quality	
  of	
  work	
  and	
  
                 lower	
  morale.	
  Nearly	
  one-­‐fourth	
  cited	
  a	
  loss	
  in	
  revenue	
                80%	
                                             Most	
  Difficult	
  Posi?ons	
  to	
  Fill	
  
                 due	
  to	
  the	
  inability	
  to	
  fill	
  open	
  posi:ons.	
  
                                                                                                                    60%	
  
                 EMPLOYERS	
  NOT	
  ADDRESSING	
  SKILLS	
  GAPS	
                                                                 61%	
                     58%	
                  57%	
  
                 Employers	
  report	
  that	
  the	
  most	
  difficult	
  posi:ons	
  	
  to	
  fill	
               40%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                             54%	
  
                 are	
  those	
  in	
  cri:cal	
  areas	
  such	
  as	
  C-­‐level	
  management,	
                                                                                                                                48%	
                47%	
  
                 business	
  development,	
  engineering,	
  and	
  IT.	
  	
  But	
  despite	
                     20%	
  
                 the	
  shorhalls	
  in	
  such	
  high-­‐profile	
  areas,	
  less	
  than	
  half	
  
                 (41%)	
  of	
  employers	
  surveyed	
  say	
  they	
  are	
  engaging	
                            0%	
  
                 workers	
  in	
  training	
  or	
  other	
  programs	
  to	
  help	
  alleviate	
  the	
                     Engineering	
                 C-­‐Level	
           Business	
              Crea:ve/	
         Management	
                 IT	
  
                 talent	
  crunch.	
  	
                                                                                                                                        Development	
              Design	
  
                 CANDIDATES	
  ARE	
  READY	
  TO	
  LEARN,	
  CHANGE	
  
                 Job	
  seekers,	
  however,	
  say	
  that	
  they	
  are	
  more	
  than	
  willing	
  
                 to	
  gain	
  the	
  addi:onal	
  skills	
  that	
  employers	
  are	
  looking	
  for.	
               Few	
  Employers	
  Have	
                               But	
  Many	
  Candidates	
  are	
  Willing	
  to	
  Learn	
  New	
  
                 Nearly	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  candidates	
  (65%)	
  say	
  that	
  they	
  are	
                 Programs	
  that	
  Fill	
  Skills	
  Gaps	
                 Skills	
  and/or	
  Train	
  for	
  a	
  Job	
  in	
  a	
  Different	
  Field	
  	
  
                 extremely	
  or	
  very	
  willing	
  to	
  learn	
  new	
  skills,	
  and	
  more	
  than	
  
                 three-­‐fourths	
  (77%)	
  say	
  they	
  would	
  be	
  willing	
  to	
  train	
  for	
  a	
                                 41%	
                                                 65%	
                                         77%	
  
                 job	
  in	
  a	
  different	
  field.	
  




                Source:	
  The	
  Talent	
  Crunch,	
  CareerBuilder,	
  June	
  2012	
  
15	
  
Workforce Solutions
   Industry Insight
          THIRD QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS



         THE	
  WORLD	
  AT	
  WORK:	
  GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  FORECASTS	
  
         	
  
         Labor	
  forces	
  around	
  the	
  globe	
  are	
  being	
  shaped	
  by	
  various	
  economic,	
  demographic,	
  and	
  cultural	
  changes	
  that	
  are	
  leading	
  to	
  mismatches	
  
         in	
  the	
  supply	
  and	
  demand	
  for	
  workers.	
  A	
  new	
  report	
  by	
  the	
  McKinsey	
  Global	
  Ins?tute	
  predicts	
  that	
  these	
  skills	
  imbalances	
  will	
  grow	
  
         stronger	
  in	
  the	
  decades	
  to	
  come,	
  unless	
  decisive	
  ac?on	
  is	
  taken	
  by	
  key	
  stakeholders,	
  including	
  policymakers	
  and	
  businesses.                                                                     	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                     23%	
  
         SKILLS	
  IMBALANCES	
  WILL	
  INTENSIFY	
  
         As	
  the	
  world	
  economy	
  shiZs	
  towards	
  knowledge-­‐	
  and	
  service-­‐                                                                                                             21%	
  
         based	
  employment,	
  demand	
  for	
  trained	
  and	
  skilled	
  workers	
                                                                                                                     21%	
  
         con:nues	
  to	
  grow.	
  Global	
  labor	
  markets	
  will	
  face	
  the	
  challenge	
  of	
         DEMAND/SUPPLY	
  GAPS	
  BY	
  SKILL	
  LEVEL,	
                                                                      Low-­‐Skill	
  Workers	
  
         having	
  too	
  few	
  high-­‐	
  and	
  medium-­‐skilled	
  workers,	
  and	
  too	
  many	
                       2020(E)	
                    16%	
                                                                           Total	
  Surplus	
  	
  
         low-­‐skilled	
  workers	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  years.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                    +89	
  to	
  94M	
  
                                                                                                                                                                         13%	
  
         The	
  shortage	
  of	
  high-­‐skilled	
  workers	
  will	
  be	
  most	
  severe	
  in	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     India	
  
         advanced	
  economies	
  and	
  in	
  China.	
  China,	
  despite	
  a	
  drama:c	
  rise	
                       Advanced	
                                                -­‐13M	
  
         in	
  educa:onal	
  atainment,	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  see	
  a	
  gap	
  of	
  23	
  million	
                Economies	
  	
  	
  
         college-­‐educated	
  workers	
  by	
  2020.	
  	
                                                                -­‐16	
  to	
  -­‐18M	
                                   Young	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     Developing	
  
         Industrializa:on	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  raise	
  demand	
  for	
  medium-­‐skilled	
                          China	
  	
                                               Economies	
  	
  
         workers	
  in	
  India	
  and	
  young	
  developing	
  economies,	
  but	
  a	
  shortage	
                      -­‐23M	
                                                  -­‐31M	
  
         of	
  these	
  workers	
  will	
  arise	
  due	
  to	
  low	
  rates	
  of	
  secondary	
  educa:on	
  
         enrollment	
  and	
  comple:on.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                       India	
  	
  &	
  Young	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Developing	
  
         A	
  poten:al	
  surplus	
  of	
  around	
  90	
  million	
  or	
  more	
  low-­‐skilled	
                                                                                                                                              Economies	
  
         workers	
  worldwide	
  is	
  projected	
  by	
  2020.	
  Advanced	
  economies	
  will	
                                                                                                                                               +58M	
  
         need	
  to	
  find	
  employment	
  for	
  more	
  than	
  30	
  million	
  low-­‐skilled	
                    High-­‐Skill	
  Workers	
                          Medium-­‐Skill	
  Workers	
  
                                                                                                                         Total	
  Shortage	
  	
                             Total	
  Shortage	
  	
                                             Advanced	
  
         workers,	
  but	
  nearly	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  the	
  oversupply	
  will	
  be	
  in	
  India	
                                                                                                                                     Economies	
  	
  
         and	
  other	
  young	
  developing	
  economies	
  in	
  Asia	
  and	
  Africa.	
                               -­‐38	
  to	
  -­‐41M	
                                -­‐45M	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 +32	
  to	
  +35M	
  




                                                                                                                                        Source:	
  The	
  World	
  at	
  Work:	
  Jobs,	
  Pay,	
  and	
  Skills	
  for	
  3.5Billion	
  People,	
  McKinsey	
  Global	
  Ins:tute,	
  2012	
  
17	
                                                                                                                                          Young	
  Developing	
  Countries	
  are	
  in	
  Asia	
  (Bangladesh,	
  Pakistan)	
  and	
  Africa	
  (Nigeria,	
  Kenya,	
  etc.).	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           	
  
Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

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Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

  • 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly THIRD QUARTER l 2012
  • 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS 3 Global Economic Situation • Briefing • Outlook 6 Global Labor Market Update • Americas • EMEA • APAC • Global Labor Market Spotlight • Legislative Update 12 U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions • Supply and Demand • Labor Market Spotlight 16 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight • Global Labor Supply and Demad Forecasts • Talent Challenges in Rapid Growth Markets • Social Media: Business or Pleasure? • Kelly Knowledge
  • 3. Global Economic Situation THIRD QUARTER l 2012
  • 4. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     The  global  economy  has  hit  a  soS  patch  in  2012,  as  contrac?on  in  several  European  markets  and  slowing  in  India  and  China  is  leading  to   muted  economic  ac?vity  worldwide.  Emerging  markets  and  the  APAC  region  con?nue  to  lead  the  growth  trend,  despite  some  weakness.         AMERICAS   EMEA   APAC   The  global  economic  slowdown  is  expected  to   The  Eurozone  crisis  con?nues  to  drag  down   Low  export  demand  and  cooling  growth  in   cause  sluggish  growth  across  the  Americas   economic  growth  across  most  of  the  region.   China  and  India  have  soSened  the  APAC   region  through  2013.  Stronger  economic   Gradual  recovery  is  expected  to  begin  in  2013.   outlook  for  2012-­‐2013,  but  healthy  domes?c   ac?vity  is  forecast  to  resume  in  2014.   demand  is  helping  to  prop  up  many  markets.   Eurozone   Canada   Economic  growth  in  many  Eurozone  countries  is   Japan   Modest  growth  of  around  2%  is  predicted  to   barely  posi:ve,  while  markets  including  Italy,   Economic  growth  was  surprisingly  strong  in  the   con:nue  through  2013.  Strength  in  the  natural   the  Netherlands  and  Spain  are  sinking  into   first  part  of  2012,  thanks  to  healthy  household   resources  sectors  is  being  tempered  by   recession.  Improvements  are  expected  in  2013,   spending  and  con:nued  recovery  efforts.   government  austerity  measures  and  consumer   but  significant  growth  will  hold  off  un:l  2014.   Growth  is  expected  to  remain  moderate   and  business  cau:on  in  the  face  of  uncertain   throughout  the  rest  of  the  year  and  in  2013.   global  economic  condi:ons.   U.K.   GDP  growth  is  expected  to  resume  in  the  U.K.  in   China   U.S.   the  second  half  of  2012  aZer  three  quarters  of   Second  quarter  growth  decelerated  to  7.6%,   The  U.S.  economy  con:nues  to  expand  at  a   contrac:on.  The  economy  is  expected  to   the  lowest  rate  in  nearly  three  years.  S:mulus   modest  pace,  with  2%  growth  projected   con:nue  to  recover  gradually    in  2013  and   efforts  are  expected  to  revive  the  economy  in   through  2013.  Future  gains  depend  on  both   2014,  in  step  with  the  rest  of  Western  Europe.   the  second  half,  but  a  return  to  sustained  long-­‐ term  growth  will  require  structural  reforms.   the  health  of  the  global  economy  and  policy   Central  and  Eastern  Europe   measures  following  the  2012  elec:on.   India   Reduced  demand  from  Western  Europe  will   La?n  America   con:nue  to  dampen  economic  performance   The  economy  has  lost  some  momentum  due  to   Economic  ac:vity  in  the  region  con:nues  to   through  2013,  but  growth  in  many  of  the   weak  global  demand  and  domes:c  policy   cool  in  2012,  with  the  slowdown  felt  most   region’s  larger  markets  including  Russia,  Turkey   issues,  but  growth  is  projected  to  accelerate  in   heavily  among  export-­‐dependent  countries.   and  Poland  is  expected  to  remain  healthy.     2013  and  strengthen  further  in  2014.   Although  growth  is  expected  to  accelerate   Australia   Middle  East  and  North  Africa   again  in  2013  and  beyond,  policy  adjustments   Australia’s  economy  remains  strong  in  the  face   Despite  ongoing  poli:cal  tensions,  economic   will  also  be  necessary  to  create  and  sustain   of  the  cooler  global  climate,  with  a  sound   momentum  should  accelerate  in  the  region  in   more  robust  growth  levels.     outlook  supported  by  con:nued  growth  in  the   2012-­‐13  as  many  countries  con:nue  to  develop     and  implement  policies  that  foster  growth.   mining  and  natural  resources  sectors.         4   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  Wall  Street  Journal,  07.13.12  and  07.18.12;  Reuters,  05.22.12  and  07.18.12      
  • 5. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS */010C#/&0(!A00Y& " )5=P6>OP&O56785&E96:6;<9&OB6J=P&<M&EVFE9=EG&=6&899E5EB8=E&<:&,-.3&8:G&M>BF8MM&<=M&56:OZ=EB;&=BE:G&5EIE5&6L&3H@&<:&,-.WT&MEIEB85& G6J:M<GE&B<MDM&BE;8<:T&<:95>G<:O&P<OP&5EIE5M&6L&O6IEB:;E:=&8:G&P6>MEP65G&GE7=T&JE8D&P6>M<:O&;8BDE=MT&8:G&F65<?985&>:9EB=8<:?EMH&&& $E85&4%U&4B6J=P&$8=EM&]&/P8:OE^&2E5E9=&C8BDE=M&& $E85&4%U&4B6J=P&$8=EM&]&/P8:OE^& MO!M"a7c"" MO!K"a7c"" MO!Y"a7c" /6>:=BN_& ,-.,&]F^& ,-.3&]F^& ,-.W&]F^& $EO<6:& /P<:8&& )C*$#/)2& #:G<8&& QB8X<5& MBKN" YBON" fBON" /8:8G8& MBON" MBON" MB_N" $>MM<8&& (H2H& MBON" MBON" MB^N" )>M=B85<8&& *C*)& RB8:9E& OBON" OB!N" OB^N" [8F8:&& 4EB;8:N& !BON" !B!N" !BKN" QB8X<5&& #=85N& SMB!N" S!BMN" OBON" $>MM<8& KB_N" KBfN" YBON" (H2H&& /012)0"/A-"/&1F59" (HYH& OBON" !BON" !BYN" aMO!M"7cG"MB^N" *>B6X6:E& SOBYN" SOB!N" OB^N" /8:8G8&& )U)/& 4EB;8:N&& )>M=B85<8& KBKN" MBfN" KBON" (HYH&& /P<:8& ^BeN" ^BgN" eBMN" #:G<8& _BfN" ^BON" eBON" RB8:9E&& [8F8:& MBYN" !BeN" KBON" #=85N& )U)/& fB!N" fB!N" fBgN" K0$A%& MB^N" KBON" KBeN" Z,& Z.& -& .& ,& 3& W& `& @& a& b& c& .-& 61>&(%G"U`6"/012)0"U?*'895"&%71&5*"ab>0@"MO!Mc" f"
  • 6. Global Labor Market Update THIRD QUARTER l 2012
  • 7. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS     Posi?ve  employment  trends  con?nue  across  the  Americas  region,  although  the  U.S.  and  Canada  have  seen  some  cooling  in  2012  as  a   result  of  the  global  economic  slowdown.  Cau?ous  hiring  is  expected  to  con?nue  across  most  of  the  region,  leading  to  lower   unemployment  levels  in  the  coming  years.     UNITED  STATES   BRAZIL   CANADA   MEXICO   Robust  job  crea:on  in  the  first   Despite  more  moderate  recent   Canada’s  labor  market  outlook  is   The  official  unemployment  rate   quarter  of  2012  was  replaced  by   economic  growth,  employment   broadly  posi:ve,  as  vacancy  and   in  Mexico  remains  in  the   more  subdued  hiring  in  the   con:nues  to  trend  upwards  and   wage  data  suggest  that  demand   4.5%-­‐5%  range—low  by  regional   second  as  the  labor  market   unemployment  rates  con:nue  to   for  labor  is  healthy.  Fihul  hiring   standards  but  s:ll  higher  than  its   began  to  react  to  the  cooler   fall  in  Brazil  in  2012,  a  sign  that   trends  in  the  first  part  of  2012   pre-­‐recession  level  of  3.5%-­‐4%.   global  economy.  Stronger  ac:vity   employers  remain  confident  and   indicate  that  employers  remain   Gradual  improvement  is   is  expected  in  2013  and  2014  as   are  preparing  for  the  eventual   somewhat  cau:ous  in  light  of  the   expected  as  the  economy   uncertain:es  subside.   economic  upturn.   global  economic  situa:on.   con:nues  to  add  formal  jobs.       Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   10%   8%   8.1%   7.8%   7.2%   7.3%   2012  (p)   6%   6.8%   6.5%   5.7%   5.6%   2013  (p)   5.3%   4%   4.8%   4.6%   4.3%   2014  (p)   2%   0%   U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  Reuters,  05.21.12,  06.20.12  and  07.06.12     7  
  • 8. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA     Weakness  stemming  from  the  European  fiscal  crisis  is  keeping  worker  demand  low  and  unemployment  high  across  much  of  the  region,  with   significant  improvements  not  expected  un?l  2014.  Despite  the  uncertain  economic  situa?on,  labor  markets  con?nue  to  perform  well  in   some  countries,  including  Germany,  Russia,  and  the  U.K.     GERMANY   FRANCE   UNITED  KINGDOM   RUSSIA   Job  growth  in  Germany  remains   The  labor  market  con:nues  to   Despite  the  economic  climate,   Unemployment  in  Russia   rela:vely  healthy  in  the  face  of   deteriorate,  with  unemployment   unemployment  has  remained  in   con:nues  to  steadily  decline  as   soZer  economic  condi:ons.  The   in  mid-­‐2012  at  its  highest  level  in   check  in  2012  due  to  increases  in   the  economy  remains  resilient.   country’s  steady  decline  in   more  than  a  decade.  The  new   self-­‐employment  and  part-­‐:me   The  lowest  unemployment  rates   unemployment  has  lost  some   government  is  considering   work,  and  job  crea:on  driven  by   are  seen  in  the  regions  around   momentum  in  2012,  but  is   stricter  legisla:on  surrounding   the  Olympics.  Real  improvements   Moscow  and  St.  Petersburg.       expected  to  resume  its   layoffs  to  help  curb  the  rising   in  the  labor  market  are  not     downward  trend  in  2013.   joblessness.   expected  un:l  2014.   ITALY   Demand  for  workers  is  expected   to  remain  weak  throughout  2012   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   and  2013.  Austerity  plans  have   cut  employment  in  the  public   sector,  and  private  employers   10%   are  hesitant  to  add  jobs  in  the   9.8%   9.8%   10.0%   9.7%   9.9%   9.3%   midst  of  a  declining  economy.   8%   8.5%   8.7%   8.4%   2012  (p)   6%   6.8%   6.6%   6.2%   5.7%   5.4%   2013  (p)   5.2%   4%   2014  (p)   2%   0%   Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  Reuters,  06.28.12;  Reuters,  06.07.12;  BusinessWeek,  07.18.12;  Moscow  Times,  07.23.12;  Agence  France  Presse,  07.02.12     8  
  • 9. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC     Many  APAC  labor  markets  are  showing  some  signs  of  soSness  in  2012,  par?cularly  in  manufacturing  sectors  as  the  region  grapples  with   slowing  export  demand.  However,  healthy  domes?c  demand  and  ongoing  recovery  efforts  are  helping  to  boost  employment  levels  across   the  region,  and  the  labor  market  outlook  for  2013  and  2014  is  posi?ve.       JAPAN   CHINA   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   Employment  growth  and  job   The  labor  market  in  China  is   Employment  growth  in  India  has   Labor  market  performance  is   crea:on  trends  are  posi:ve,  as  the   showing  some  signs  of  weakness.   moderated  somewhat  due  to     healthy  but  uneven  as  global   economy  con:nues  to  recover   Indicators  suggest  that  hiring  is   soZer  economic  condi:ons  both   uncertainty  and  the  strong   following  the  2011  natural   slowing,  and  job  cuts  may  be   at  home  and  globally.  Hiring   currency  constrain  employers’   disasters  and  ongoing  rebuilding   spreading  in  manufacturing  and   inten:ons  are  strongest  in  the   hiring  sen:ments.  The  market  is   efforts  encourage  employers  to   heavy  industry,  amid  more   construc:on  industry  and  the   expected  to  con:nue  along  an   take  on  more  workers.     modest  demand  trends  and  a   service  sector,  par:cularly  retail,   unsteady  path,  with  modest   cooling  economic  climate.     sales  and  healthcare.     employment  gains  offset  by   higher  labor  force  par:cipa:on.   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   10%   9.3%   9.1%   8%   9.0%   2012  (p)   6%   2013  (p)   5.2%   5.1%   4%   4.8%   4.7%   4.6%   4.7%   2014  (p)   4.2%   4.1%   4.0%   2%   0%   Japan   China   India   Australia   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  HSBC  06.07.12  and  07.12.12;  India  Times,  07.23.12;  Indian  Express,  07.23.12;  Financial  Times,  07.11.12;  Reuters,  05.28.12  and  06.28.12   9   9
  • 10. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:    AGING  WORKFORCE     organiza?ons  try  to  envision  and  plan  for  the  labor  market  of  the  future,  aging  workforces  are  a  key  considera?on  in  many  countries.  An   As   increasingly  older  labor  force  will  bring  unique  challenges,  including  filling  skills  gaps  and  addressing  re?rement  issues.     NEARLY  A  QUARTER  OF  GLOBAL  WORKERS  WILL  BE  AGE  55+  BY  2030     The  aging  trend  will  be  most  acutely  felt  in  the  advanced  economies  and  China.  In  the   Net  New  Re?rees  per  New  Worker,  2010-­‐2030E*     advanced  economies,  the  share  of  older  workers  in  the  labor  force  will  grow  from  18%  in   2010  to  27%  in  2030.    In  the  most  rapidly  aging  advanced  economies  such  as  Japan  and   2   Germany,  more  than  30%  of  the  labor  force  will  be  55+  in  2030.  In  China,  the  propor:on  of   older  workers  is  expected  to  more  than  double  in  the  next  two  decades.  Even  in  La:n   1.5   America,  which  has  a  rela:vely  young  popula:on,  aging  will  slow  labor  force  growth.   AGING  TREND  WILL  CAUSE  FUTURE  LABOR  FORCE  CHALLENGES   1   The  number  of  re:rees  in  the  world  is  expected  to  grow  by  2.3%  per  year  over  the  next  two   0.5   decades,  more  than  twice  the  annual  labor  force  growth  rate,  leading  to  a  number  of  issues.   Skills  shortages  are  expected  to  intensify  as  educated  workers  re:re.  The  growing  number  of   0   re:rees  will  lead  to  greater  demand  for  social  and  healthcare  services.  And  economies  will   Advanced   China   Other   India   need  to  boost  produc:vity  in  order  to  sustain  growth  rates  with  smaller  labor  forces.  Boos:ng   Economies   Emerging   labor  force  par:cipa:on  rates  of  older  workers  is  one  way  to  help  solve  these  challenges.   Markets   Labor    Force  %   GLOBAL   ADVANCED  ECONOMIES   CHINA   by  Age   10%   14%   8%   22%   13%   18%   15%   27%   Older  (55+)   31%   Prime  (25-­‐54)   Young  (15-­‐24)   60%   62%   65%   69%   70%   64%   72%   68%   62%   28%   22%   32%   16%   12%   10%   13%   11%   6%   1980   2010   2030E   1980   2010   2030E   1980   2010   2030E   Source:  :  The  World  at  Work:  Jobs,  Pay,  and  Skills  for  3.5  Billion  People,  McKinsey  Global  Ins:tute,  2012   *Re:rees  are  defined  as  workers  between  55-­‐70  years  old  who  are  not  likely  to  be  in  the  labor  force  in  2030.  Advanced  Economies  are  those  with   10   GDP  Per  Capita  above  $20,000  (USD  at  2005  PPP).  Other  Emerging  Markets  are  those  with  GDP  Per  Capita  between  $3,000  and  $20,000  including   na:ons  in  Asia  (Philippines,  Indonesia,  Thailand,  Malaysia,  etc.),  La:n  America  (Brazil,  Mexico,  Argen:na,  Peru,  etc.),  the  Middle  East  and  Africa.  
  • 11. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     Several  countries  have  implemented  or  are  considering  changes  to  their  regula?ons  on  temporary  and  contract  workers,  including   Norway,  which  will  bring  its  prac?ces  in  line  with  the  EU’s  Agency  Worker  Direc?ve.  New  and  pending  labor  legisla?on  in  Venezuela,   Saudi  Arabia,  and  Canada  aims  to  increase  labor  force  par?cipa?on,  while  the  new  lower  re?rement  age  in  France  defies  that  trend.   NORWAY   CANADA   Although  not  a  member  of  the   New  regula:ons  expected  to  take  effect   AUSTRIA,  BELGIUM   European  Union,  Norway  will   in  early  2013  will  require  workers   New  legisla:on  requires  employers  to  ensure   implement  the  EU’s  Agency  Worker   equal  treatment  of  temporary  workers.  In   receiving  unemployment  benefits  to  be   Direc:ve  in  2013,  ensuring  the   willing  to  accept  available  jobs  that  are   Belgium,  liZing  restric:ons  on  the  use  of   equal  protec:on  and  treatment  of   lower  paying,  outside  their  field,  or  are   temporary  workers,  par:cularly  in  the  public   temporary  workers.   located  farther  away.   sector,  is  being  reviewed.   FRANCE   SINGAPORE   The  new  French  government  lowered  the   The  Employment  Act  will  be   U.S.   re:rement  age  from  62  to  60  for  workers  with  more   reviewed  in  the  second  half  of   The  Supreme  Court  upheld  the  health   than  40  years  of  social  security  contribu:ons.  The   2012,  with  expected  revisions  to   care  reform  act,  paving  the  way  for  the   move  is  contrary  to  many  other  developed  countries   address  working  condi:ons  and   implementa:on  of  both  the  individual   that  are  increasing  re:rement  ages  in  the  face  of   pay  for  low  wage  employees  and   and  employer  mandates  for  health  care   demographic  and  fiscal  challenges.   contract  workers.   insurance  provision  in  2014.   SAUDI  ARABIA   MALAYSIA   VENEZUELA   Pending  legisla:on  would   A  minimum  wage  law  will  take   The  country’s  new  labor  law  includes   shorten  the  workweek  in   effect  in  Malaysia  for  the  first   provisions  to  eliminate  the  prac:ce  of   the  private  sector  in  order   :me  as  of  January  2013,  and  will   outsourcing,  reduce  working  hours  from  44   to  force  companies  to   likely  be  phased  in  over  the  next   to  40  hours  a  week,  lengthen  maternity   expand  their  workforces.   two  years.  The  minimum  wage   leaves,  and  make  layoffs  more  difficult.   level  is  expected  to  be  modest   and  vary  across  the  country.   Sources:  Global  Insight  06.14.12,  06.07.12;  Reuters,  05.24.12;  SIA  Daily  News,  05.30.12,  06.28.12,  07.17.12;  HRM  Asia  05.28.12;  VenezuelaAnalysis,  05.01.12;  Global  Market  Brief  &  Labor  Risk  Index  Q3  2012,  KellyOCG/Eurasia;  SIA   Legs  and  Regs  Advisor,  April  2012     11  
  • 12. U.S. Labor Market Overview THIRD QUARTER l 2012
  • 13. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     SECOND  QUARTER  HIRING  DECELERATES   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   The  U.S.  job  market  hit  a  soZ  patch  in  the   Unemployment  Rate  (%)   second  quarter  of  2012,  adding  to  concerns  that   Employment  (000’s)   600   11   the  broader  economic  slowdown  has  now   300   10   started  to  affect  U.S.  hiring.  Employment  gains   9   averaged  only  75,000  a  month  in  the  second   0   8   quarter,  three  :mes  slower  than  the  rate  of  job   -­‐300   7   crea:on  in  the  first  three  months  of  the  year.     -­‐600   6   UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE  STAGNANT   -­‐900   5   Jun-­‐09   Mar-­‐10   Jun-­‐10   Mar-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Mar-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Dec-­‐09   Dec-­‐10   Dec-­‐11   Sep-­‐09   Sep-­‐10   Sep-­‐11   The  unemployment  rate  remained  at  8.2%  in   June  2012.  Although  lower  than  the  above-­‐9%   rates  seen  in  much  of  2011,    unemployment  has   shown    litle  improvement  since  the  first  of  the   Non-­‐Farm  Employment   Private-­‐Sector  Employment   Unemployment  Rate   year  and  remains  significantly  above  pre-­‐ recession  levels.     EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   DEMAND  GROWS  AND  LAYOFFS  SLOW   The  number  of  job  openings  has  been   JUN   MAY   APR   MAR   FEB   increasing  steadily  since  the  recession  ended,   signaling  a  renewed  demand  trend.  The  pace  of   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   80K   77K   68K   143K   259K   layoffs  has  also  slowed  and  is  now  back  to  its   long-­‐term  average  level.  But  these  encouraging   Private  employment  growth   84K   105K   85K   147K   254K   trends  have  not    yet  translated  into  significant   and  sustained  job  crea:on.     Unemployment  rate   8.2%   8.2%   8.1%   8.2%   8.3%   EMPLOYERS    REMAIN  CAUTIOUS   Some  employers  indicate  that  the  lack  of  hiring  stems  from  the  inability  to  find  skilled  workers,  but  many  simply  remain  hesitant    to  ramp  up  their  full-­‐ :me  workforces  in  the  midst  of  uncertain  economic  and  poli:cal  condi:ons.  The  ongoing  European  crisis,  slowdowns  in  emerging  economies,  and   concern  over  U.S.  policies  con:nue  to  weigh  heavily  on  employers’  minds  and  put  a  damper  on  hiring  plans.     Sources:  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   13  
  • 14. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     JOB  DEMAND  ON  UPWARD  BUT  UNEVEN  TREND     U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   Employers  con:nue  to  look  for  more  workers,  as   online  adver:sed  job  vacancies  increased  at  an   average  rate  of  over  100,000  per  month  in  the  first   16,000   10,000   half  of  2012.  The  demand  momentum  remains  fihul,   however,  as  job  ads  were  up  sharply  in  June  but   14,000   9,000   declined  in  May  and  July.     8,000   No.  of    Online  Job  Ads     12,000   No.  of  Unemployed     DEMAND  SURPASSING  PRE-­‐RECESSION  LEVELS   Job  adver:sements  con:nue  to  grow,  with  around   7,000   two-­‐thirds  of  both  U.S.  states  and  metropolitan   (in  000's)   (in  000's)   10,000   areas  now  at  or  above  their  pre-­‐recession  levels  in   labor  demand.  Despite  the  posi:ve  trend,  some   6,000   metro  areas  s:ll  have  unfavorable  supply/demand   8,000   ra:os,  including  Riverside,  Los  Angeles,  and   5,000   Sacramento,  CA;  Las  Vegas;  and  Miami.   6,000   4,000   JOB  MARKET  TIGHTEST  FOR  STEM  OCCUPATIONS   STEM  (science,  technology,  math  and  engineering)   4,000   3,000   workers  con:nue  to  be  in  hot  demand.  Computer   and  mathema:cal  science,  healthcare  prac::oners,   and  architecture/  engineering  are  the  only  large   2,000   2,000   Mar  09   Mar  10   Mar  11   Mar  12   Jun  08   Sep  08   Jun  09   Sep  09   Jun  10   Sep  10   Jun  11   Jun  12   Sept  11   Dec  08   Dec  09   Dec  10   Dec  11   occupa:onal  categories  in  which  adver:sed  job   vacancies  outnumber  job  seekers.   #  of  unemployed  workers   #  of  online  ads           “As  of  June,  almost  half  of  the  occupa:onal  groups  have  Supply/Demand  rates  at  or  below  2.0.  Most  of  these     are  in  professional  categories,  such  as  business  and  finance,  healthcare  professionals,  and  management.”     —    June  Shelp,  Vice  President,  The  Conference  Board,  July  2,  2012   Sources:  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine,  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   14  
  • 15. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  BRIDGING  THE  TALENT  GAP     HELP  WANTED  SIGNS  ARE  STILL  UP   Plenty  of  U.S.  companies  are  looking  for  workers.   60%   Effects  of  Job  Vacancies  on  Current  Workers   According  to  a  recent  CareerBuilder  survey,  more  than   50%   one-­‐third  of  employers  say  they  currently  have  open   51%   40%   posi:ons  for  which  they  cannot  find  qualified  candidates.     30%   36%   34%   33%   OPEN  POSITIONS  TAKING  TOLL  ON  WORKERS,  FIRMS   20%   Ongoing  job  vacancies  are  affec:ng  current  workers’   23%   10%   axtudes  and  performances—and  companies’  botom   0%   lines.  Over  half  of  employers  say  that  current  employees   Longer  hours     Overworked/  no   Lower  quality  of   Lower  morale   Loss  in  revenue   are  working  longer  hours.  More  than  one-­‐third  of   work-­‐life  balance   work   employers  reported  that  job  vacancies  have  led  to   overworked  employees,  a  reduced  quality  of  work  and   lower  morale.  Nearly  one-­‐fourth  cited  a  loss  in  revenue   80%   Most  Difficult  Posi?ons  to  Fill   due  to  the  inability  to  fill  open  posi:ons.   60%   EMPLOYERS  NOT  ADDRESSING  SKILLS  GAPS   61%   58%   57%   Employers  report  that  the  most  difficult  posi:ons    to  fill   40%   54%   are  those  in  cri:cal  areas  such  as  C-­‐level  management,   48%   47%   business  development,  engineering,  and  IT.    But  despite   20%   the  shorhalls  in  such  high-­‐profile  areas,  less  than  half   (41%)  of  employers  surveyed  say  they  are  engaging   0%   workers  in  training  or  other  programs  to  help  alleviate  the   Engineering   C-­‐Level   Business   Crea:ve/   Management   IT   talent  crunch.     Development   Design   CANDIDATES  ARE  READY  TO  LEARN,  CHANGE   Job  seekers,  however,  say  that  they  are  more  than  willing   to  gain  the  addi:onal  skills  that  employers  are  looking  for.   Few  Employers  Have   But  Many  Candidates  are  Willing  to  Learn  New   Nearly  two-­‐thirds  of  candidates  (65%)  say  that  they  are   Programs  that  Fill  Skills  Gaps   Skills  and/or  Train  for  a  Job  in  a  Different  Field     extremely  or  very  willing  to  learn  new  skills,  and  more  than   three-­‐fourths  (77%)  say  they  would  be  willing  to  train  for  a   41%   65%   77%   job  in  a  different  field.   Source:  The  Talent  Crunch,  CareerBuilder,  June  2012   15  
  • 16. Workforce Solutions Industry Insight THIRD QUARTER l 2012
  • 17. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS THE  WORLD  AT  WORK:  GLOBAL  LABOR  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND  FORECASTS     Labor  forces  around  the  globe  are  being  shaped  by  various  economic,  demographic,  and  cultural  changes  that  are  leading  to  mismatches   in  the  supply  and  demand  for  workers.  A  new  report  by  the  McKinsey  Global  Ins?tute  predicts  that  these  skills  imbalances  will  grow   stronger  in  the  decades  to  come,  unless  decisive  ac?on  is  taken  by  key  stakeholders,  including  policymakers  and  businesses.   23%   SKILLS  IMBALANCES  WILL  INTENSIFY   As  the  world  economy  shiZs  towards  knowledge-­‐  and  service-­‐ 21%   based  employment,  demand  for  trained  and  skilled  workers   21%   con:nues  to  grow.  Global  labor  markets  will  face  the  challenge  of   DEMAND/SUPPLY  GAPS  BY  SKILL  LEVEL,   Low-­‐Skill  Workers   having  too  few  high-­‐  and  medium-­‐skilled  workers,  and  too  many   2020(E)   16%   Total  Surplus     low-­‐skilled  workers  in  the  coming  years.     +89  to  94M   13%   The  shortage  of  high-­‐skilled  workers  will  be  most  severe  in   India   advanced  economies  and  in  China.  China,  despite  a  drama:c  rise   Advanced   -­‐13M   in  educa:onal  atainment,  is  expected  to  see  a  gap  of  23  million   Economies       college-­‐educated  workers  by  2020.     -­‐16  to  -­‐18M   Young   Developing   Industrializa:on  is  expected  to  raise  demand  for  medium-­‐skilled   China     Economies     workers  in  India  and  young  developing  economies,  but  a  shortage   -­‐23M   -­‐31M   of  these  workers  will  arise  due  to  low  rates  of  secondary  educa:on   enrollment  and  comple:on.   India    &  Young   Developing   A  poten:al  surplus  of  around  90  million  or  more  low-­‐skilled   Economies   workers  worldwide  is  projected  by  2020.  Advanced  economies  will   +58M   need  to  find  employment  for  more  than  30  million  low-­‐skilled   High-­‐Skill  Workers   Medium-­‐Skill  Workers   Total  Shortage     Total  Shortage     Advanced   workers,  but  nearly  two-­‐thirds  of  the  oversupply  will  be  in  India   Economies     and  other  young  developing  economies  in  Asia  and  Africa.   -­‐38  to  -­‐41M   -­‐45M   +32  to  +35M   Source:  The  World  at  Work:  Jobs,  Pay,  and  Skills  for  3.5Billion  People,  McKinsey  Global  Ins:tute,  2012   17   Young  Developing  Countries  are  in  Asia  (Bangladesh,  Pakistan)  and  Africa  (Nigeria,  Kenya,  etc.).